525 Riverleigh Ave Unit C7 · Riverside, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.3/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home is located in a highly desirable 55+COMMUNITY and has been beautifully UPDATED throughout. Featuring NEW WINDOWS, brand-new LAMINATE FLOORING, NEW PLYWOOD subflooring, and a completely RENOVATED KITCHEN with MARBLE COUNTERTOPS and all new appliances. The BATHROOM has been FULLY REMODELED, and there is a NEW WATER HEATER for added peace of mind. Enjoy outdoor living with a NEW PRIVATE SHED 7 ft x 8 ft. Monthly land rent is $1,081 and includes trash and snow removal, water, cesspool maintenance, use of the clubhouse, and access to weekly community events. SOUTHAMPTON TOWN BEACH ACCESS is available with a permit. Conveniently located near Main Street, shopping, dining, and parks. All buyers must be approved by Riverwoods.
Key facts
- Marble countertops
- New water heater
- Renovated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $141 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,145 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A, health & safety B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Riverhead Central School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #489 of 590 in NY (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $110k implies a 243% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 43% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.49%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $76,797
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- 43.10%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 525 Riverleigh Ave Unit A19 | 0.07mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 560 (-3%) | 11mo | $63,900 | $114 | 78 |
| 525 Riverleigh Ave Unit B15 | 0.04mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 560 (-3%) | 13mo | $60,000 | $107 | 78 |
| A20 Riverleigh | 0.42mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 500 (-13%) | 12mo | $35,000 | $70 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-8,134
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $7,324
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11901
- Home prices YoY
- -29.5%
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,508 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$137 /mo · $1,648/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$1,081
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$527
- Net cashflow
- $141
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $217 | -5% $179 | +0% $141 | +5% $103 | +10% $65 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-57 | -5% $42 | +0% $141 | +5% $240 | +10% $339 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $196 | -0.5pp $169 | base $141 | +0.5pp $112 | +1.0pp $83 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221 E Main St Unit 227 Riverhead, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $2,154 | $3.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 221 E Main St Unit 502 Riverhead, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $1,794 | $2.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 331 E Main St Unit 404 Riverhead, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $3,750 | $5.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $1,081 · $12,972/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrashsnow removalpool
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $109,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-04-21$120,900 Active 777-char remark
Show marketing remark (777 chars)
This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home is located in a highly desirable 55+COMMUNITY and has been beautifully UPDATED throughout. Featuring NEW WINDOWS, brand-new LAMINATE FLOORING, NEW PLYWOOD subflooring, and a completely RENOVATED KITCHEN with MARBLE COUNTERTOPS and all new appliances. The BATHROOM has been FULLY REMODELED, and there is a NEW WATER HEATER for added peace of mind. Enjoy outdoor living with a NEW PRIVATE SHED 7 ft x 8 ft. Monthly land rent is $1,081 and includes trash and snow removal, water, cesspool maintenance, use of the clubhouse, and access to weekly community events. SOUTHAMPTON TOWN BEACH ACCESS is available with a permit. Conveniently located near Main Street, shopping, dining, and parks. All buyers must be approved by Riverwoods.
-
2026-04-21historical
Show marketing remark (777 chars)
This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home is located in a highly desirable 55+COMMUNITY and has been beautifully UPDATED throughout. Featuring NEW WINDOWS, brand-new LAMINATE FLOORING, NEW PLYWOOD subflooring, and a completely RENOVATED KITCHEN with MARBLE COUNTERTOPS and all new appliances. The BATHROOM has been FULLY REMODELED, and there is a NEW WATER HEATER for added peace of mind. Enjoy outdoor living with a NEW PRIVATE SHED 7 ft x 8 ft. Monthly land rent is $1,081 and includes trash and snow removal, water, cesspool maintenance, use of the clubhouse, and access to weekly community events. SOUTHAMPTON TOWN BEACH ACCESS is available with a permit. Conveniently located near Main Street, shopping, dining, and parks. All buyers must be approved by Riverwoods.
-
2026-03-26price $120,900
-
2026-02-11$124,900 Active
-
2025-06-07soldstatus $32,000 Closed
-
2025-06-06status Pending
-
2025-05-21$45,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,097
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,648
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,408
- − Management
- −$2,408
- − HOA
- −$12,972
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $758
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$182
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,509/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riverhead Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624690
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 13.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,607
- Composite
- 36.38/100
- National rank
- #4683
- State rank
- #489 of 590 in NY
Livability — Riverside
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #1145
- US rank
- #23895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Riverside, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,921
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,505,262 people
- By 2030
- 1,498,318 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,471,101 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 1,424,848 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 1,337,157 · -11.2%
- By 2100
- 1,217,720 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 14% Black 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Iranian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 26% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -182.60%
- Current HPI
- 436.7781
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+168.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Listed $120,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $120,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-11 Listed $124,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-07 Sold (MLS) $32,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-06 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-21 Listed $45,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-2.1%/yrLatest (2022): $201 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…