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1316 Old Cowan Rd Duplex
C Composite 59.84
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$364,900

1316 Old Cowan Rd · Winchester, TN 37398
6 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,052 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition 0.30 ac lot Est $359k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

INVESTOR SPECIAL! INCLUDES 1316/1318 OLD COWAN RD! Duplex featuring 3BR/2BA units with stainless appliances, tile flooring, and city water and sewer. Strong rental potential in a convenient location just minutes from downtown Winchester. Low‑maintenance finishes and solid layout make this an excellent income‑producing opportunity for any portfolio.

Key facts

  • Stainless appliances
  • City water and sewer
  • Tile flooring

Tags

STAINLESS APPLIANCESTILE FLOORINGCITY WATER AND SEWERSTRONG RENTAL POTENTIALCONVENIENT LOCATIONLOW MAINTENANCE FINISHES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: r
  • Financial info: Gross income reported as $33,000; Net operating income reported as $33,000; Tenant pays electricity

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; 2 total parking spaces (2 open)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
  • Home design: Residential income property; Attached duplex; One-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Duplex structure
  • Exterior features: Irregular lot dimensions approximately 122.9 x 104.99

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units (each unit is 3 bedrooms)
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 2 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Tile flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Individual laundry hook-ups; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3.0-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $365k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $975 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $487/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $365k).
  • Recommended offer: $359k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.0% in Winchester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#149 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D, amenities D-.
  • Franklin County (town): math 18% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #111 of 139 in TN (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Clark Memorial School (math 14% / reading 27%, grade F, #637 of 952 statewide, top 68%, 489 students, 0% FRL); Franklin Co High School (math 5% / reading 22%, grade F, #255 of 332 statewide, top 77%, 1,180 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 324 active listings in the ZIP; 422 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Franklin County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $102k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($359k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $359,426 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.50%
Cash-on-cash
11.45%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$359,100
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1106 Old Cowan Rd 0.21mi 6/4.0 2,052 (0%) 8mo $360,000 $175 84

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$2,834
Equity at exit
$54,408
10-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$81,952
Equity at exit
$31,550

Cash invested: $102,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37398

Home prices YoY
-21.1%
Active inventory
324
Price-to-rent
14.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,074 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,914
Tax from tax record
$178 /mo · $2,139/yr
Insurance
$152
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$856
Net cashflow
$975

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,840
Max offer price $364,900
Occupancy floor 71%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,074

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$91,225
Closing costs
$10,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    pricedays on market $364,900 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $369,900 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $369,900 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $369,900 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $369,900 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $369,900 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $369,900 Active 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $369,900 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $369,900 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $369,900 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $369,900 Active 17 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $369,900 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $369,900 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $369,900 Active 12 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $369,900 Active 11 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $369,900 Active 10 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $369,900 Active 9 DOM
  18. 2026-05-21
    listed $369,900 Active
  19. 2023-05-02
    soldstatus $345,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,139 · $178/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,591 · $216/mo
Expected delta
+$452/yr (+$38/mo · 21.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$48,888
− Mortgage interest
−$20,440
− Property taxes
−$2,139
− Insurance
−$1,824
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,911
− Management
−$3,911
− Depreciation
−$10,615
Taxable income
$6,047
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,451
After-tax cash flow
$10,244/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This multi-family home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for both resale and rental value through updates such as new flooring, smart home devices, and landscaping improvements.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace ceiling fans — Modern ceiling fans improve airflow and aesthetics.
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Hardwood or tile flooring increases resale value and is easier to maintain.
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices improve convenience and can increase property value.
  • Rental Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting enhances safety and curb appeal for tenants.
  • Resale Upgrade kitchen appliances — Upgraded appliances can attract more buyers and increase the home's value.
  • Both Add a deck or patio — An outdoor living space increases the home's livability and can boost both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more buyers/tenants.
  • Both Add a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort, attracting more buyers/tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace ceiling fans — Modern ceiling fans improve airflow and aesthetics.
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Hardwood or tile flooring increases resale value and is easier to maintain.
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices improve convenience and can increase property value.
  • Rental Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting enhances safety and curb appeal for tenants.
  • Resale Upgrade kitchen appliances — Upgraded appliances can attract more buyers and increase the home's value.
  • Both Add a deck or patio — An outdoor living space increases the home's livability and can boost both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more buyers/tenants.
  • Both Add a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort, attracting more buyers/tenants.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Franklin County
NCES district ID
4701290
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$43,108
Composite
17.24/100
National rank
#9094
State rank
#111 of 139 in TN

Livability — Winchester

Score
65/100
State rank
#149
US rank
#13341

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Winchester, TN
Population (ZIP)
15,712

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,858 people
By 2030
43,540 · +1.6%
By 2040
44,623 · +4.1%
By 2050
45,523 · +6.2%
By 2075
48,954 · +14.2%
By 2100
50,170 · +17.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.2) · D 23.0% · R 76.1%
2008→2024 swing
-30.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -53.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.2 2020: R+47.7 2016: R+43.7 2012: R+28.9 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -89.03%
Current HPI
333.839
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+7.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $369,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $345,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,139 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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