3779 Ridgemere Dr · Bemiss, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.7/30.0
- ARV discount +9.4/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3BR/2BA home located in the desirable Trotter's Ridge Subdivision! Step inside to a welcoming living room featuring vaulted ceilings and a cozy wood-burning fireplace—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The spacious kitchen offers ample cabinet storage and flows seamlessly into a bright breakfast nook with front yard views. This well-designed floor plan includes two guest bedrooms and a private primary suite complete with a large walk-in closet. Additional highlights include a two-car garage and energy-efficient solar panels for added savings. Conveniently situated near Moody Air Force Base, South Georgia Medical Center, Valdosta State University, and downtown Valdosta. Enjoy the benefit of NO HOA!
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- Walk-in closet
- No hoa
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $216k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-781/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (4.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (16.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $181k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.7% in Bemiss — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Lowndes County (rural): math 59% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #8 of 174 in GA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Moulton-Branch Elementary School (math 58% / reading 38%, grade D, #289 of 1,228 statewide, top 24%, 558 students, 71% FRL); Pine Grove Middle School (math 56% / reading 57%, grade B, #48 of 470 statewide, top 10%, 742 students, 50% FRL); Lowndes High School (math 69% / reading 51%, grade C+, #14 of 424 statewide, top 3%, 3,201 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 233 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 896 units permitted in Lowndes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lowndes County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $140k; list at $216k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.29%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $225,287
- List price
- $215,999
- Delta
- -4.12%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4513 Windward Ct | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,397 (+1%) | 0mo | $230,000 | $165 | 81 |
| 3821 Saddlebred Ln | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,341 (-3%) | 10mo | $218,750 | $163 | 76 |
| 4236 Shadowwood Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,353 (-2%) | 12mo | $226,500 | $167 | 75 |
| 6444 Abney Ct | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 | 1,470 (+6%) | 9mo | $248,000 | $169 | 72 |
| 3923 Trotters Ridge Cir | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,416 (+2%) | 14mo | $240,000 | $169 | 68 |
| 3799 Ridgemere Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+11%) | 10mo | $239,900 | $156 | 68 |
| 3823 Merriman Ct | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,509 (+9%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $149 | 60 |
| 3859 Studstill Rd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,482 (+7%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $162 | 55 |
| 4314 Shadowwood Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,584 (+14%) | 13mo | $249,900 | $158 | 54 |
| 3840 Trotters Ridge Cir | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,590 (+15%) | 14mo | $255,000 | $160 | 53 |
| 3875 Studstill Rd | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,533 (+11%) | 10mo | $253,500 | $165 | 44 |
| 4008 Muirfield Ln | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,546 (+12%) | 7mo | $247,000 | $160 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-35,277
- Equity at exit
- $32,206
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-19,499
- Equity at exit
- $18,676
Cash invested: $60,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31605
- Home prices YoY
- -11.5%
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 233
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,807 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,133
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$270 /mo · $3,240/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $-65
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $84 | -5% $10 | +0% $-65 | +5% $-140 | +10% $-214 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-208 | -5% $-136 | +0% $-65 | +5% $6 | +10% $78 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $44 | -0.5pp $-10 | base $-65 | +0.5pp $-121 | +1.0pp $-178 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,000
- Closing costs
- $6,480
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3875 Trotters Ridge Cir Valdosta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $1,700 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3824 Brookfield Dr Valdosta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1517 | $2,000 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3964 Crusader Ct Valdosta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1851 | $2,400 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3912 Duke Ct Valdosta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $2,000 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3905 Greenridge Rd Valdosta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1398 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 6042 Bemiss Towns Dr Valdosta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1537 | $1,700 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 6023 Bemiss Towns Dr Valdosta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1498 | $1,550 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3911 Nicole Ln Valdosta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1294 | $1,700 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4125 Barrington Dr Valdosta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,500 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4032 Case Pt Valdosta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1664 | $2,050 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3925 Glen Laurel Dr S Valdosta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1510 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 6412 Abney Ct Valdosta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1459 | $1,500 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 6416 Abney Ct Valdosta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1459 | $1,500 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3905 Heatherwoods Dr Valdosta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,350 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 5026 Pearl Davis Rd Valdosta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1207 | $1,200 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3844 Coventry Dr Valdosta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1765 | $1,950 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 6043 Bemiss Towns Dr Bemiss, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1498 | $1,675 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-22price $215,999 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $230,999 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $230,999 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $230,999 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $230,999 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $230,999 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $230,999 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,999 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $239,999 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,999 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $239,999 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,999 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $239,999 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $250,999 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $250,999 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $250,999 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $250,999 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,999 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,999 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,999 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $250,999 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $250,999 724-char remark
Show marketing remark (724 chars)
Charming 3BR/2BA home located in the desirable Trotter's Ridge Subdivision! Step inside to a welcoming living room featuring vaulted ceilings and a cozy wood-burning fireplace—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The spacious kitchen offers ample cabinet storage and flows seamlessly into a bright breakfast nook with front yard views. This well-designed floor plan includes two guest bedrooms and a private primary suite complete with a large walk-in closet. Additional highlights include a two-car garage and energy-efficient solar panels for added savings. Conveniently situated near Moody Air Force Base, South Georgia Medical Center, Valdosta State University, and downtown Valdosta. Enjoy the benefit of NO HOA!
-
2026-03-17price $255,000 724-char remark
Show marketing remark (724 chars)
Charming 3BR/2BA home located in the desirable Trotter's Ridge Subdivision! Step inside to a welcoming living room featuring vaulted ceilings and a cozy wood-burning fireplace—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The spacious kitchen offers ample cabinet storage and flows seamlessly into a bright breakfast nook with front yard views. This well-designed floor plan includes two guest bedrooms and a private primary suite complete with a large walk-in closet. Additional highlights include a two-car garage and energy-efficient solar panels for added savings. Conveniently situated near Moody Air Force Base, South Georgia Medical Center, Valdosta State University, and downtown Valdosta. Enjoy the benefit of NO HOA!
-
2026-03-08$260,000 Active 724-char remark
Show marketing remark (724 chars)
Charming 3BR/2BA home located in the desirable Trotter's Ridge Subdivision! Step inside to a welcoming living room featuring vaulted ceilings and a cozy wood-burning fireplace—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The spacious kitchen offers ample cabinet storage and flows seamlessly into a bright breakfast nook with front yard views. This well-designed floor plan includes two guest bedrooms and a private primary suite complete with a large walk-in closet. Additional highlights include a two-car garage and energy-efficient solar panels for added savings. Conveniently situated near Moody Air Force Base, South Georgia Medical Center, Valdosta State University, and downtown Valdosta. Enjoy the benefit of NO HOA!
-
2020-09-21soldstatus $140,000
-
2010-03-25soldstatus $113,000
-
1998-07-31soldstatus $84,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 6/10 Major 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,686
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,099
- − Property taxes
- −$3,240
- − Insurance
- −$1,080
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,735
- − Management
- −$1,735
- − Depreciation
- −$6,284
- Taxable loss
- −$4,487
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,077
- After-tax cash flow
- $296/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lowndes County
- NCES district ID
- 1303390
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,221
- Composite
- 47.21/100
- National rank
- #2317
- State rank
- #8 of 174 in GA
Livability — Bemiss
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bemiss, GA
- County
- Lowndes County · 107,801 people
- City population
- 24,280
- Metro
- Valdosta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,829
- Household income
- $79,156
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 642.0
Population outlook (Lowndes County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 120,348 people
- By 2030
- 123,469 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 128,482 · +6.8%
- By 2050
- 131,907 · +9.6%
- By 2075
- 139,080 · +15.6%
- By 2100
- 133,649 · +11.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 27% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lowndes
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.0) · D 40.8% · R 58.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.4pp · 2024: -18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+18.2 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.74%
- Current HPI
- 189.8471
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.07%
- Metro
- Valdosta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+198.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $250,999 SGMLS
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $255,000 SGMLS
- 2026-03-08 Listed $260,000 SGMLS
- 2020-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2010-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $113,000 Public Records
- 1998-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-27.9%/yrLatest (2025): $38 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…