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370 Austin St
D Composite 43.4
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$113,560

370 Austin St · Timpson, TX 75975
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 137 Days on market
Built 1958 0.40 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step inside and picture the potential this home holds! The living room is an inviting space with original hardwood floors that could be brought back to life and a cozy, brick wood-burning fireplace perfect for quiet evenings. You'll appreciate the unique architectural touch of the beautiful arched front door and other vintage details waiting for your personal touch. With 3 comfortable bedrooms and 2 baths, this spacious 1,960 sqft house, built in 1958, sits on a generous 0.4-acre lot, offering plenty of room inside and out. It's a wonderful place to envision your future in a quiet Timpson Texas.

Key facts

  • 0.4-acre lot
  • Vintage details
  • Arched front door

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSBRICK WOOD-BURNING FIREPLACEARCHED FRONT DOORVINTAGE DETAILS0.4-ACRE LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $114k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-25 ($-299/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $109k (3.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (1.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,064 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Timpson ISD (rural): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #614 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $298 of equity ($785 loan paydown + $-487 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Shelby County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $53k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,932 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.94%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.43% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-7,088
Equity at exit
$30,560
10-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$4,539
Equity at exit
$34,859

Cash invested: $31,797 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75975

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,116 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$596
Tax from tax record
$264 /mo · $3,162/yr
Insurance
$47
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$-25

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,147
Max offer price $109,156
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,390
Closing costs
$3,407
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $113,560 Pending 137 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $113,560 Active 137 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $113,560 Active 136 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $113,560 Active 135 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $113,560 Active 134 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $113,560 Active 131 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $113,560 Active 130 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $113,560 Active 129 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $113,560 Active 128 DOM
  10. 2026-05-04
    status Active 602-char remark
    Show marketing remark (602 chars)

    Step inside and picture the potential this home holds! The living room is an inviting space with original hardwood floors that could be brought back to life and a cozy, brick wood-burning fireplace perfect for quiet evenings. You'll appreciate the unique architectural touch of the beautiful arched front door and other vintage details waiting for your personal touch. With 3 comfortable bedrooms and 2 baths, this spacious 1,960 sqft house, built in 1958, sits on a generous 0.4-acre lot, offering plenty of room inside and out. It's a wonderful place to envision your future in a quiet Timpson Texas.

  11. 2026-04-21
    price $133,600 602-char remark
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    Step inside and picture the potential this home holds! The living room is an inviting space with original hardwood floors that could be brought back to life and a cozy, brick wood-burning fireplace perfect for quiet evenings. You'll appreciate the unique architectural touch of the beautiful arched front door and other vintage details waiting for your personal touch. With 3 comfortable bedrooms and 2 baths, this spacious 1,960 sqft house, built in 1958, sits on a generous 0.4-acre lot, offering plenty of room inside and out. It’s a wonderful place to envision your future in a quiet Timpson Texas.

  12. 2026-04-21
    price $133,600 608-char remark
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    Step inside and picture the potential this home holds! The living room is an inviting space with original hardwood floors that could be brought back to life and a cozy, brick wood-burning fireplace perfect for quiet evenings. You'll appreciate the unique architectural touch of the beautiful arched front door and other vintage details waiting for your personal touch. With 3 comfortable bedrooms and 2 baths, this spacious 1,960 sqft house, built in 1958, sits on a generous 0.4-acre lot, offering plenty of room inside and out. It’s a wonderful place to envision your future in a quiet Timpson Texas.

  13. 2026-03-10
    price $153,640 608-char remark
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    Step inside and picture the potential this home holds! The living room is an inviting space with original hardwood floors that could be brought back to life and a cozy, brick wood-burning fireplace perfect for quiet evenings. You'll appreciate the unique architectural touch of the beautiful arched front door and other vintage details waiting for your personal touch. With 3 comfortable bedrooms and 2 baths, this spacious 1,960 sqft house, built in 1958, sits on a generous 0.4-acre lot, offering plenty of room inside and out. It’s a wonderful place to envision your future in a quiet Timpson Texas.

  14. 2026-01-23
    listed $167,000 Active 602-char remark
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    Step inside and picture the potential this home holds! The living room is an inviting space with original hardwood floors that could be brought back to life and a cozy, brick wood-burning fireplace perfect for quiet evenings. You'll appreciate the unique architectural touch of the beautiful arched front door and other vintage details waiting for your personal touch. With 3 comfortable bedrooms and 2 baths, this spacious 1,960 sqft house, built in 1958, sits on a generous 0.4-acre lot, offering plenty of room inside and out. It’s a wonderful place to envision your future in a quiet Timpson Texas.

  15. 2026-01-23
    listed $167,000 Active 608-char remark
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    Step inside and picture the potential this home holds! The living room is an inviting space with original hardwood floors that could be brought back to life and a cozy, brick wood-burning fireplace perfect for quiet evenings. You'll appreciate the unique architectural touch of the beautiful arched front door and other vintage details waiting for your personal touch. With 3 comfortable bedrooms and 2 baths, this spacious 1,960 sqft house, built in 1958, sits on a generous 0.4-acre lot, offering plenty of room inside and out. It’s a wonderful place to envision your future in a quiet Timpson Texas.

  16. 2021-07-22
    soldstatus
  17. 2020-12-07
    listed $122,000
  18. 2017-12-15
    soldstatus
  19. 2014-07-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,162 · $264/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,162 · $264/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,389
− Mortgage interest
−$6,361
− Property taxes
−$3,162
− Insurance
−$568
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,071
− Management
−$1,071
− Depreciation
−$3,304
Taxable loss
−$2,148
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$516
After-tax cash flow
$216/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Timpson ISD
NCES district ID
4842840
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$36,041
Composite
26.09/100
National rank
#7293
State rank
#614 of 826 in TX

Livability — Timpson

Score
60/100
State rank
#1064
US rank
#18901

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Timpson, TX
Population (ZIP)
3,873

Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,199 people
By 2030
24,986 · -0.8%
By 2040
24,646 · -2.2%
By 2050
24,144 · -4.2%
By 2075
22,328 · -11.4%
By 2100
18,734 · -25.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Two or more races 20% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 10% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Shelby

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.6) · D 17.5% · R 82.1%
2008→2024 swing
-20.3pp toward R · 2008: -44.3pp · 2024: -64.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.6 2020: R+58.6 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+49.1 2008: R+44.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.43%
Current HPI
160.5146
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+9.5% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Relisted Deep East Texas MLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $133,600 Deep East Texas MLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $133,600 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $153,640 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $167,000 Deep East Texas MLS
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $167,000 HARMLS
  • 2021-07-22 Sold (MLS) LAAR
  • 2020-12-07 Listed $122,000 LAAR
  • 2017-12-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-07-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,162 · -5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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