7976 N Tecumseh Rd · Koontz Lake, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- ARV discount +14.8/15.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lake Life just got a little easier!! Another price reduction!! You need to check this one out before the weather turns and it's gone! This is a 2 bedroom, 1 bath with an attached garage that sits on a double lot with a storage shed allowing plenty of space for your toys. You'll want to add your touch on the paint and flooring but this house is solid and will make a great cottage for years. You'll be especially impressed with the size of the rear screened in porch for entertaining your friends. Bring your Jet-skis, Wakeboards, Kayaks or your Pontoons and enjoy your summer on beautiful Koontz Lake in Indiana. A convenient public Park strip at Kramer's Beach Public Access is just minutes away and up the street is a Public access where you can launch your equipment. Limited parking but you're so close to home already. This is a great investment and definitely worth your time to check it out! Schedule your private tour today and write us an offer! Reduced to $110,000.
Key facts
- Double lot
- Storage shed
- 7,500 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.1% in Koontz Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#516 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Oregon-Davis School Corporation (rural): math 19% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #257 of 301 in IN (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Starke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Starke County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $110k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.47%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $131,443
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -16.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7976 N Tecumseh Rd | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (0%) | 0mo | $92,000 | $102 | 100 |
| 7713 N Tecumseh Rd | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (+4%) | 14mo | $170,000 | $182 | 70 |
| 7993 N Tippecanoe Dr | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 773 (-14%) | 0mo | $290,000 | $375 | 70 |
| 7798 N Topinabee Rd | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 868 (-4%) | 23mo | $117,500 | $135 | 65 |
| 8230 Indiana 23 | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (+12%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $164 | 63 |
| 7307 N Hickory Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 928 (+3%) | 10mo | $74,000 | $80 | 53 |
| 7478 N Navigator Dr | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (+12%) | 5mo | $163,900 | $163 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-2,367
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $17,783
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46574
- Home prices YoY
- -17.2%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,188 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $871/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $243
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-26price $110,000 979-char remark
Show marketing remark (979 chars)
Lake Life just got a little easier!! Another price reduction!! You need to check this one out before the weather turns and it's gone! This is a 2 bedroom, 1 bath with an attached garage that sits on a double lot with a storage shed allowing plenty of space for your toys. You'll want to add your touch on the paint and flooring but this house is solid and will make a great cottage for years. You'll be especially impressed with the size of the rear screened in porch for entertaining your friends. Bring your Jet-skis, Wakeboards, Kayaks or your Pontoons and enjoy your summer on beautiful Koontz Lake in Indiana. A convenient public Park strip at Kramer's Beach Public Access is just minutes away and up the street is a Public access where you can launch your equipment. Limited parking but you're so close to home already. This is a great investment and definitely worth your time to check it out! Schedule your private tour today and write us an offer! Reduced to $110,000.
-
2026-02-04price $122,500 979-char remark
Show marketing remark (979 chars)
Lake Life just got a little easier!! Another price reduction!! You need to check this one out before the weather turns and it's gone! This is a 2 bedroom, 1 bath with an attached garage that sits on a double lot with a storage shed allowing plenty of space for your toys. You'll want to add your touch on the paint and flooring but this house is solid and will make a great cottage for years. You'll be especially impressed with the size of the rear screened in porch for entertaining your friends. Bring your Jet-skis, Wakeboards, Kayaks or your Pontoons and enjoy your summer on beautiful Koontz Lake in Indiana. A convenient public Park strip at Kramer's Beach Public Access is just minutes away and up the street is a Public access where you can launch your equipment. Limited parking but you're so close to home already. This is a great investment and definitely worth your time to check it out! Schedule your private tour today and write us an offer! Reduced to $110,000.
-
2025-12-06$125,000 Active 979-char remark
Show marketing remark (979 chars)
Lake Life just got a little easier!! Another price reduction!! You need to check this one out before the weather turns and it's gone! This is a 2 bedroom, 1 bath with an attached garage that sits on a double lot with a storage shed allowing plenty of space for your toys. You'll want to add your touch on the paint and flooring but this house is solid and will make a great cottage for years. You'll be especially impressed with the size of the rear screened in porch for entertaining your friends. Bring your Jet-skis, Wakeboards, Kayaks or your Pontoons and enjoy your summer on beautiful Koontz Lake in Indiana. A convenient public Park strip at Kramer's Beach Public Access is just minutes away and up the street is a Public access where you can launch your equipment. Limited parking but you're so close to home already. This is a great investment and definitely worth your time to check it out! Schedule your private tour today and write us an offer! Reduced to $110,000.
-
2021-05-04soldstatus $48,000 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
Looking for a home near the Lake? Here it is! This 2 Bedroom 1 bath with 1 car attached garage is 1 block from Koontz Lake in Walkerton Indiana. There are 2 enclosed porches that are great for seasonal enjoyment & recreating while listening to the rain and wind rustling through the mature trees. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. There's space to create a 3rd bedroom, if desired. Live in the home the way it is or customize it to your liking. Here's the affordable deal you've been waiting for. Buy it today, so you can enjoy the relaxing lakeside lifestyle.
-
2021-03-25$52,000 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
Looking for a home near the Lake? Here it is! This 2 Bedroom 1 bath with 1 car attached garage is 1 block from Koontz Lake in Walkerton Indiana. There are 2 enclosed porches that are great for seasonal enjoyment & recreating while listening to the rain and wind rustling through the mature trees. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. There's space to create a 3rd bedroom, if desired. Live in the home the way it is or customize it to your liking. Here's the affordable deal you've been waiting for. Buy it today, so you can enjoy the relaxing lakeside lifestyle.
-
2014-09-09historical
-
2009-05-28$54,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $871 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $903 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- +$32/yr (+$3/mo · 3.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,253
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$871
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,140
- − Management
- −$1,140
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $1,190
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$286
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,631/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oregon-Davis School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1808460
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,674
- Composite
- 22.93/100
- National rank
- #7991
- State rank
- #257 of 301 in IN
Livability — Koontz Lake
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #516
- US rank
- #18383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Koontz Lake, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,414
Population outlook (Starke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,860 people
- By 2030
- 21,024 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 19,041 · -12.9%
- By 2050
- 16,881 · -22.8%
- By 2075
- 11,880 · -45.7%
- By 2100
- 7,217 · -67.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Starke
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.2% · R 75.3% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -55.3pp toward R · 2008: 3.2pp · 2024: -52.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.0 2020: R+46.8 2016: R+42.0 2012: R+10.6 2008: D+3.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.04%
- Current HPI
- 260.7073
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+100.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Price Changed $110,000 IRMLS
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $122,500 IRMLS
- 2025-12-06 Listed $125,000 IRMLS
- 2021-05-04 Sold (MLS) $48,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-25 Listed $52,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-09 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-05-28 Listed $54,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2024): $871 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…