134 Lamplighter Ct · Greentree, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.9/30.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$279,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Absolutely Gorgeous! Backs to woods. The Prof. landscapped w/ shaved rock walls, brick dbl patio, all secluded backing to woods. Outdoor liting, sprinkler sys. New w/ w, freshly painted, wood riser staircase, ceramic tile, pergo floors in greatroom/dining room, & 2 beds. New garage door (Garage is all sheetrocked) w/ opener & new HW Heater. Custom suround on corner gas FP, ceiling fans & rec lites t/o. What a bonus. .. the Loft was made a 4th bedroom with 2 full walkin closets. Master is currently being used as a 2nd family room. The "Master" has a vaulted ceiling with skylights, a walk in closet & a glorious master bath w/ palatium window over soaking tub & private shower. The eat in kitchen has a Pantry, new dw. Also has a gas range (usually elect in this dev) custom wood shelving, bead board & new light fixture adds the to beauty of this kitchen. This home is a knock out & a pleasure to show! Close to all major highways, shopping & restaraunts.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Backs to woods
- Paver patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Not in a federal flood zone
- HOA & community: HOA fee of $100 per month
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 space); Driveway parking; On-street parking; Total of 1 garage/parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling; Natural gas for heating and hot water
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Below-average condition; Building name: CHIUSANO
- Construction: Frame construction; Slab foundation; Year built source: Assessor
- Exterior features: Backs to trees; Above-grade and below-grade structures
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level (Bedrooms 1, 2, 3)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (upper level); One half bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating and hot water
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan; Skylights; Spiral staircase; Great room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located on upper floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-173 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (10.9% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $280k).
- Recommended offer: $249k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.5% in Greentree — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#121 in NJ, #3,201 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D-, commute F, cost of living F.
- Lenape Regional High School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #136 of 472 in NJ (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cherokee High School (math 32% / reading 59%, grade D-, #138 of 399 statewide, top 36%, 2,179 students, 10% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 191 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.65%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $426,880
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 Wagonwheel Ct | 0.14mi | 3/2.5 | 1,869 (+1%) | 2mo | $455,000 | $243 | 91 |
| 110 Wagonwheel Ct | 0.14mi | 3/2.5 | 1,869 (+1%) | 5mo | $410,000 | $219 | 88 |
| 102 Lamplighter Ct | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 1,832 (-1%) | 14mo | $400,000 | $218 | 85 |
| 403 Hazelwood Ln | 0.09mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,788 (-4%) | 6mo | $399,900 | $224 | 79 |
| 313 Hazelwood Ln | 0.08mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,788 (-4%) | 8mo | $411,500 | $230 | 79 |
| 310 Hazelwood Ln | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 1,869 (+1%) | 19mo | $419,000 | $224 | 78 |
| 120 Wagonwheel Ct | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 | 1,584 (-15%) | 2mo | $440,000 | $278 | 65 |
| 113 Lamplighter Ct | 0.10mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,082 (+12%) | 12mo | $465,000 | $223 | 60 |
| 33 Jacamar Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 | 1,788 (-4%) | 3mo | $465,000 | $260 | 57 |
| 53 Fulmar Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 | 1,747 (-6%) | 11mo | $405,000 | $232 | 52 |
| 44 Brambling Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 | 1,888 (+2%) | 18mo | $390,000 | $207 | 49 |
| 20 Peregrine Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 | 1,620 (-13%) | 9mo | $388,500 | $240 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-55,915
- Equity at exit
- $41,734
- IRR
- -13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-60,968
- Equity at exit
- $24,201
Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08053
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,876 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$761 /mo · $9,127/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$100
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$604
- Net cashflow
- $-173
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-15 | -5% $-94 | +0% $-173 | +5% $-252 | +10% $-332 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-400 | -5% $-287 | +0% $-173 | +5% $-60 | +10% $54 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-32 | -0.5pp $-102 | base $-173 | +0.5pp $-246 | +1.0pp $-320 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,975
- Closing costs
- $8,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Christopher Rd Voorhees, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1747 | $2,900 | $1.66 | 2d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 900 Sagemore Dr Unit 3409 Evesham, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,750 | $1.96 | 5d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2215 Hailey Dr Unit 226 Evesham, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,900 | $2.15 | 16d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2215 Hailey Dr Unit 3113 Evesham, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,900 | $2.15 | 2d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 6161 Main St Unit PIAZZA Voorhees Township, NJ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2210 | $3,000 | $1.36 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1022 Main St Voorhees, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $2,500 | $1.91 | 17d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1022 Main St Voorhees, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $2,300 | $1.76 | 3d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 125 E Main St Marlton, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1051 | $5,153 | $4.90 | 11d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $100 · $1,200/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $279,900 Coming Soon 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $279,900 Coming Soon 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $279,900 Coming Soon 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $279,900 Coming Soon 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $279,900 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $279,900 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$279,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $9,127 · $761/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,127 · $761/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,508
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,679
- − Property taxes
- −$9,127
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,761
- − Management
- −$2,761
- − HOA
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$8,143
- Taxable loss
- −$6,561
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,575
- After-tax cash flow
- $-504/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lenape Regional High School District
- NCES district ID
- 3408490
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $98,739
- Composite
- 44.86/100
- National rank
- #2724
- State rank
- #136 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Greentree
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #121
- US rank
- #3201
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Burlington County · 323,710 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,179
- Household income
- $118,670
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1512.0
Population outlook (Burlington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 453,425 people
- By 2030
- 452,359 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 445,033 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 431,760 · -4.8%
- By 2075
- 406,277 · -10.4%
- By 2100
- 364,732 · -19.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Asian 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Burlington
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.6% · R 41.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+19.5 2016: D+14.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -363.01%
- Current HPI
- 311.8655
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.04%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
+109.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Coming Soon $279,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $308,000 Public Records
- 2006-02-28 Sold (MLS) $308,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-12-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-11-14 Listed $308,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1998-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $142,000 Public Records
- 1991-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $133,422 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $9,127 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…