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400 W Forest Ave 30-Plex
C- Composite 51.8
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$4,780,000

400 W Forest Ave · Coalinga, CA 93210
78 bd · 60.0 ba · 44,167 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1995 5.19 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 30 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Ridgeview Apartments was built in 1995, a single-story garden-style Class B community consisting of 6 one-bedroom, 18 two-bedroom/one-bath, 6 two-bedroom/two-bath, and 12 three-bedroom/two-bath units - 42 spacious units across 8 buildings on 5.19 acres. The property's single-story layout offers a family-friendly living environment that appeals strongly to long-term renters, contributing to the property's current 100% occupancy. Considered by local residents as their preferred community in Coalinga, when a unit becomes available it's rented quickly. Multiple units are below establish units rents already in place giving a clear path to increased NOI for a new owner.

Key facts

  • 5.19 acre lot
  • Community pool
  • Built 1995

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: On-site manager; Community pool; Playground

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; Covered parking; Open parking available; More than one parking space per unit
  • Utilities: Electric service available; Public sewer; Public utilities
  • Home design: Multi-family property; Composition roof; Wood siding; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Construction: Wood siding construction; Composition roof; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: One level; Patio; Suburban setting; Automatic sprinkler system; Mature landscaping

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Stove
  • Bathrooms: Multiple bathrooms (total indicated as 60 across property)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Refrigerator included in all units; Dishwasher included in all units; Garbage disposal included in all units; Stove included in all units; In-unit laundry; No fireplaces; Central heat and air
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in each unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 30 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $4.78M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($93k/yr) — positive. Per door: $258/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($48k rent vs $4.78M).
  • Recommended offer: $4.64M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.9% in Coalinga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#946 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Coalinga-Huron Unified (town): math 14% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #384 of 517 in CA (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Nell Dawson Elementary (453 students, 81% FRL); Coalinga Middle (684 students, 84% FRL); Coalinga High (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #750 of 1,170 statewide, top 66%, 1,266 students, 89% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 2,426 units permitted in Fresno County in 2024 (296 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $48,378/mo this rent would consume 776% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 336% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $33k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $143k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fresno County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($4.64M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $3.00M; list at $4.78M implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $4,636,600 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.24%
Cash-on-cash
6.95%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.7%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-281,601
Equity at exit
$712,714
10-year hold
IRR
4.0%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$387,204
Equity at exit
$413,287

Cash invested: $1,338,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93210

Home prices YoY
-11.7%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
247.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$48,378 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$25,067
Tax from tax record
$3,407 /mo · $40,882/yr
Insurance
$1,992
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$10,159
Net cashflow
$7,753

Break-even live

Break-even rent $38,564
Max offer price $4,780,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $10,459 -5% $9,106 +0% $7,753 +5% $6,400 +10% $5,047
Rent -10% $3,931 -5% $5,842 +0% $7,753 +5% $9,664 +10% $11,575
Rate -1.0pp $10,161 -0.5pp $8,969 base $7,753 +0.5pp $6,515 +1.0pp $5,255

30-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (30 units) $48,378

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,195,000
Closing costs
$143,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-23
    days on market $4,780,000 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $4,780,000 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $4,780,000 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $4,780,000 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $4,780,000 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $4,780,000 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $4,780,000 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $4,780,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $4,780,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $4,780,000 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $4,780,000 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $4,780,000 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $4,780,000 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $4,780,000 Active 28 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $4,780,000 Active 27 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $4,780,000 Active 26 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $4,780,000 Active 25 DOM
  18. 2026-05-05
    listed $4,780,000 Active 670-char remark
  19. 2021-01-13
    soldstatus $3,000,000
  20. 2017-05-01
    soldstatus $2,900,000
  21. 2017-04-06
    historical
  22. 2017-02-01
    historical
  23. 2012-07-22
    listed $3,800,000
  24. 2005-08-31
    listed $3,400,000
  25. 2005-08-31
    listed $3,400,000
  26. 2004-06-25
    soldstatus $2,700,000
  27. 2004-06-25
    soldstatus $2,771,143
  28. 2003-11-01
    historical
  29. 2003-08-30
    listed $2,700,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$40,882 · $3,407/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$40,882 · $3,407/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 20 unhealthy d/yr today · 21 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$580,536
− Mortgage interest
−$267,754
− Property taxes
−$40,882
− Insurance
−$23,900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$46,443
− Management
−$46,443
− Depreciation
−$139,055
Taxable income
$16,060
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,854
After-tax cash flow
$89,185/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coalinga-Huron Unified
NCES district ID
0609120
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$40,366
Composite
22.69/100
National rank
#8040
State rank
#384 of 517 in CA

Livability — Coalinga

Score
53/100
State rank
#946
US rank
#24409

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Coalinga, CA
County
Fresno County · 834,801 people
City population
18,491
Metro
Fresno, CA
Population (ZIP)
18,491
Household income
$74,817
Rent vs Own
46.1% rent · 53.9% own
Severe rent burden
336.0

Population outlook (Fresno County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,042,971 people
By 2030
1,072,198 · +2.8%
By 2040
1,122,408 · +7.6%
By 2050
1,157,251 · +11.0%
By 2075
1,182,575 · +13.4%
By 2100
1,105,899 · +6.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 66% White 24% Two or more races 18% Black 4% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 59% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada
Languages at home
47% English-only · Spanish 50% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fresno

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.5% · R 50.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.1pp · 2024: -4.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.4 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+3.9 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+2.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.35%
Current HPI
296.6031
Rent YoY
Metro
Fresno, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+77.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $4,780,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2021-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $3,000,000 Public Records
  • 2017-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $2,900,000 Public Records
  • 2017-04-06 Listing Removed NSBCRMLS
  • 2017-02-01 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2012-07-22 Listed $3,800,000 CRMLS
  • 2005-08-31 Listed $3,400,000 CRMLS
  • 2005-08-31 Listed $3,400,000 NSBCRMLS
  • 2004-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $2,771,143 Public Records
  • 2004-06-25 Sold (MLS) $2,700,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2003-11-01 Delisted FRESNOMLS
  • 2003-08-30 Listed $2,700,000 FRESNOMLS

Property tax history

-1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $40,882 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…