605 North St · Oak Grove, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.5/30.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled in a peaceful Oak Grove setting directly across from the park, this charming 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offers comfort, character, and a welcoming feel. Inside, you’ll find a spacious living area perfect for everyday living, along with a back deck ideal for relaxing and enjoying the peaceful surroundings. Enjoy the convenience of a quiet location while still being close to everything Oak Grove has to offer. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this home your own!
Key facts
- Back deck
- Quiet location
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: From Main Street in Oak Grove, left on N Johnson Street, right on to North Street.; Subdivision: OTHER
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Parking: One garage space; Has carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected
- Home design: Single-family residence (site built); One level; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Frame construction; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as a site-built home
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Cleared lot; Workshop outbuilding; No fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans for cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Double-pane windows with blinds; Crawl space foundation (basement)
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $181 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (2.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#224 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- West Carroll Parish (rural): math 25% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #46 of 98 in LA (top 47%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Oak Grove High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #58 of 265 statewide, top 23%, 480 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools at 65% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 44% at this address vs 30% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the West Carroll Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- West Carroll County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $97k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.46%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $97,720
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- 22.80%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 406 E Noble St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,671 (+6%) | 20mo | $41,300 | $25 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-7,959
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $7,758
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71263
- Home prices YoY
- -5.4%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,167 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $744/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $181
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $249 | -5% $215 | +0% $181 | +5% $147 | +10% $113 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $89 | -5% $135 | +0% $181 | +5% $227 | +10% $273 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $241 | -0.5pp $211 | base $181 | +0.5pp $150 | +1.0pp $118 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $120,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $120,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $120,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $135,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$135,000 Active 485-char remark
-
2019-11-04soldstatus $97,000
-
2017-06-23soldstatus $85,000
-
2016-03-30$119,500
-
2015-10-29soldstatus $60,000
-
2014-06-03soldstatus $43,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $744 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $744 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,008
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$744
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,121
- − Management
- −$1,121
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $210
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$50
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,121/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Carroll Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201950
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -35.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -35.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,471
- Composite
- 24.27/100
- National rank
- #7717
- State rank
- #46 of 98 in LA
Livability — Oak Grove
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #17232
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oak Grove, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,241
Population outlook (West Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,760 people
- By 2030
- 10,411 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 9,728 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 9,053 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 7,599 · -29.4%
- By 2100
- 6,174 · -42.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · West Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+74.0) · D 12.6% · R 86.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.5pp toward R · 2008: -63.5pp · 2024: -74.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+74.0 2020: R+71.4 2016: R+68.4 2012: R+61.0 2008: R+63.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.84%
- Current HPI
- 226.54
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+179.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $120,000 NELABOR
- 2026-05-15 Listed $135,000 NELABOR
- 2019-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
- 2017-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2016-03-30 Listed $119,500 NELABOR
- 2015-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2014-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.4%/yrLatest (2025): $744 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…