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1604 Central Ave
B Composite 72.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,000

1604 Central Ave · Sandusky, OH 44870
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,464 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 217 Days on market
Built 1910 7,000 sqft lot Est $170k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Large 4 bedroom 1.5 bath home located in the heart of Sandusky on Central Ave!This home offers an abundance of space and creativity to make it your own. The beautiful front porch has new pillars, brand new white siding, new paved driveway, one car detached garage, a nice yard that is great in depth, and back deck. Laundry on the main floor for added convenience, a lovely wooden built-in - giving you that true Sandusky charm. New Furnace, Sump Pump and Hot Water Tank 2025. You also have a loft styled attic - perfect for dry storage, or use it as an extra bedroom, or as an entertaining room or study. Enjoy living just a stone throw away from downtown Sandusky and all of what Lake Erie has to

Key facts

  • New pillars
  • New paved driveway
  • Front porch

Tags

FRONT PORCHNEW PILLARSNEW WHITE SIDINGNEW PAVED DRIVEWAYDETACHED GARAGEBACK DECK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Finch And Emrichs Addition subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached paved off-street parking; 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl-sided construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Vinyl siding; Lot on approximately 0.16 acres

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; 7 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $159k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $159k).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 6.1% in Sandusky — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#63 in OH, #929 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, employment F.
  • Sandusky City (town): math 24% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #583 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: The Sandusky Intermediate School (math 26% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,135 of 1,584 statewide, top 73%, 909 students, 0% FRL); Sandusky Middle School (math 25% / reading 32%, grade F, #580 of 654 statewide, top 89%, 468 students, 0% FRL); Sandusky High School (math 17% / reading 41%, grade F, #627 of 781 statewide, top 81%, 1,004 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 71% district-wide (71 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 210 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 128 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,717/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 1602% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Erie County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $76k; list at $159k implies a 111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $139,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.71%
Cap rate
14.85%
Cash-on-cash
30.54%
DSCR
2.36
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$169,824
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1342 Camp St 0.37mi 4/2.0 1,555 (+6%) 4mo $211,500 $136 67
1334 Lindsley St 0.34mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,366 (-7%) 1mo $143,000 $105 65
318 High St 0.49mi 4/2.0 1,532 (+5%) 3mo $185,000 $121 65
1308 W Madison St 0.53mi 4/1.0 1,572 (+7%) 2mo $137,400 $87 60
921 Polk St 0.19mi 5/1.5 (+1) 1,680 (+15%) 4mo $195,000 $116 58
1330 Clinton St 0.52mi 4/2.0 1,334 (-9%) 3mo $177,250 $133 57
513 Rockwell St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,312 (-10%) 3mo $170,000 $130 56
325 Mcdonough St 0.74mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,506 (+3%) 1mo $175,500 $117 55
332 W Parish St 0.69mi 4/1.0 1,371 (-6%) 3mo $103,000 $75 52
919 Hancock St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,426 (-3%) 3mo $72,000 $50 52
914 Hayes Ave 0.56mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,320 (-10%) 1mo $133,000 $101 50
1805 Mills St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,352 (-8%) 2mo $65,000 $48 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$46,397
Equity at exit
$23,707
10-year hold
IRR
33.0%
Equity multiple
3.99×
Total profit
$133,290
Equity at exit
$13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44870

Active inventory
210
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,717 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax from tax record
$113 /mo · $1,359/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$571
Net cashflow
$1,133

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,283
Max offer price $159,000
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,223 -5% $1,178 +0% $1,133 +5% $1,088 +10% $1,043
Rent -10% $919 -5% $1,026 +0% $1,133 +5% $1,241 +10% $1,348
Rate -1.0pp $1,213 -0.5pp $1,174 base $1,133 +0.5pp $1,092 +1.0pp $1,050

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1032 Perry St Sandusky, OH 4.0 2.5 1845 $850 $0.46 45d 1 1.01mi
1107 1st St Unit 1496057P Sandusky, OH 4.0 3.0 1151 $6,631 $5.76 45d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    status $159,000 Pending 217 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,000 Active Under Contract 217 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,000 Active Under Contract 216 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,000 Active Under Contract 215 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,000 Active Under Contract 211 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,000 Active Under Contract 210 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,000 Active Under Contract 209 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,000 Active Under Contract 208 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $159,000 Active Under Contract 207 DOM
  10. 2026-04-14
    historical Active Under Contract
  11. 2025-11-28
    price $159,000
  12. 2025-11-05
    listed $165,000 Active
  13. 2001-06-04
    soldstatus $75,500
  14. 1992-06-26
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,359 · $113/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,920 · $160/mo
Expected delta
+$561/yr (+$47/mo · 41.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,606
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$1,359
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,608
− Management
−$2,608
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable income
$11,702
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,809
After-tax cash flow
$10,790/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sandusky City
NCES district ID
3904474
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$34,583
Composite
25.1/100
National rank
#7532
State rank
#583 of 656 in OH

Livability — Sandusky

Score
83/100
State rank
#63
US rank
#929

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sandusky, OH
County
Erie County · 39,883 people
City population
39,883
Metro
Sandusky, OH
Population (ZIP)
39,883
Household income
$62,082
Rent vs Own
39.1% rent · 60.9% own
Severe rent burden
1602.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
73,204 people
By 2030
71,341 · -2.5%
By 2040
66,771 · -8.8%
By 2050
62,512 · -14.6%
By 2075
56,154 · -23.3%
By 2100
49,045 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 15% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Subsaharan African 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
R (+14.1) · D 42.5% · R 56.6%
2008→2024 swing
-28.0pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: -14.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.6 2016: R+9.8 2012: D+11.3 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -151.99%
Current HPI
209.6383
Rent YoY
Metro
Sandusky, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+218.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Contingent FAOR
  • 2025-11-28 Price Changed $159,000 FAOR
  • 2025-11-05 Listed $165,000 FAOR
  • 2001-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $75,500 Public Records
  • 1992-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,359 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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