14 Robkins Rd · Avon, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +0.0/30.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,999,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Remarkable Avon property. This stunning home with Circular drive, all brick exterior and slate roof, has been exquisitely decorated with custom updates throughout the entire house. The fabulous brand new white kitchen has beautiful Quartzite counters, breakfast bar, wine bar, ice maker, Wolf appliances and Miele coffee bar, set in gorgeous glass cabinetry with designer tile inserts. The family room with coffered ceiling, fabulous mantel over gas fireplace and bookcases, has access to the private screened porch leading to patios for wonderful outdoor entertaining. The formal Living Room with another gorgeous mantle, flows easily into the elegant Dining Room, offering excellent entertaining space. The first floor Master suite has gas fireplace, separate his and her bathrooms and luxurious custom walk-in closets. There are 4 bedrooms upstairs, all with newly updated en-suite bathrooms, plus 3 cleverly placed cozy loft areas to curl up and play games or read. The finished walkout lower level provides a possible in-law/au-pair suite with bedroom and bath, plus home theatre, billiard room, work out space and flex area, ideal for home office or projects. Tons of storage and closets throughout, 4 gas fireplaces, generator, heated 3 car garage, sprinklers, central vac, security system, new landscaping, 2 staircases and to die for decorating. Excellent location with quick access to Bradley International Airport and all major routes. A truly spectacular home.
Key facts
- 2 acre lot
- 3 garage spots
- Built 2002
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with space for 3 vehicles
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic sewage system; In-ground propane fuel tank
- Home design: Single-family home
- Construction: Frame and brick construction; Concrete foundation
- Exterior features: Slate roof; Brick siding; Lightly wooded, level lot; Located on a cul-de-sac; Professionally landscaped
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas range; Wall oven; Microwave; Range hood; Refrigerator; Freezer; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 7 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Hot air heating fueled by propane; 50-gallon hot water tank
- Interior features: Audio system; Cable available; Central vacuum; Open floor plan; Security system; Four fireplaces; Full, fully finished walk-out basement; Has attic with access via hatch
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/7.0-bath single-family listed at $2.00M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12k ($-140k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $374k (81.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $327k (83.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $327k (83.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Avon School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #11 of 153 in CT (top 7%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Pine Grove School (math 64% / reading 69%, grade B+, #109 of 553 statewide, top 20%, 643 students, 11% FRL); Avon High School (math 72% / reading 88%, grade A, #6 of 194 statewide, top 3%, 923 students, 11% FRL).
- Market conditions: 107 active listings in the ZIP; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $14k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $60k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.97M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask is 25% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $1.59M; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.16% ✗
- Cap rate
- -0.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- -25.06%
- DSCR
- -0.11
- GRM
- 50.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -72.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.91×
- Total profit
- $-1,068,508
- Equity at exit
- $298,192
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -2.37×
- Total profit
- $-1,888,105
- Equity at exit
- $172,915
Cash invested: $559,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06001
- Active inventory
- 107
- Price-to-rent
- 50.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,272 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$10,488
- Tax from tax record
- −$2,958 /mo · $35,490/yr
- Insurance
- −$833
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$687
- Net cashflow
- $-11,694
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $499,975
- Closing costs
- $59,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,999,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,999,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,999,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,999,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,999,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,999,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1,999,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,999,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,999,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,999,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,999,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,999,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,999,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,999,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-20historical $1,999,900
-
2021-07-26soldstatus $1,595,000
-
2021-07-23soldstatus $1,595,000 Closed 1472-char remark
Show marketing remark (1472 chars)
Remarkable Avon property. This stunning home with Circular drive, all brick exterior and slate roof, has been exquisitely decorated with custom updates throughout the entire house. The fabulous brand new white kitchen has beautiful Quartzite counters, breakfast bar, wine bar, ice maker, Wolf appliances and Miele coffee bar, set in gorgeous glass cabinetry with designer tile inserts. The family room with coffered ceiling, fabulous mantel over gas fireplace and bookcases, has access to the private screened porch leading to patios for wonderful outdoor entertaining. The formal Living Room with another gorgeous mantle, flows easily into the elegant Dining Room, offering excellent entertaining space. The first floor Master suite has gas fireplace, separate his and her bathrooms and luxurious custom walk-in closets. There are 4 bedrooms upstairs, all with newly updated en-suite bathrooms, plus 3 cleverly placed cozy loft areas to curl up and play games or read. The finished walkout lower level provides a possible in-law/au-pair suite with bedroom and bath, plus home theatre, billiard room, work out space and flex area, ideal for home office or projects. Tons of storage and closets throughout, 4 gas fireplaces, generator, heated 3 car garage, sprinklers, central vac, security system, new landscaping, 2 staircases and to die for decorating. Excellent location with quick access to Bradley International Airport and all major routes. A truly spectacular home.
-
2021-03-05historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 1472-char remark
Show marketing remark (1472 chars)
Remarkable Avon property. This stunning home with Circular drive, all brick exterior and slate roof, has been exquisitely decorated with custom updates throughout the entire house. The fabulous brand new white kitchen has beautiful Quartzite counters, breakfast bar, wine bar, ice maker, Wolf appliances and Miele coffee bar, set in gorgeous glass cabinetry with designer tile inserts. The family room with coffered ceiling, fabulous mantel over gas fireplace and bookcases, has access to the private screened porch leading to patios for wonderful outdoor entertaining. The formal Living Room with another gorgeous mantle, flows easily into the elegant Dining Room, offering excellent entertaining space. The first floor Master suite has gas fireplace, separate his and her bathrooms and luxurious custom walk-in closets. There are 4 bedrooms upstairs, all with newly updated en-suite bathrooms, plus 3 cleverly placed cozy loft areas to curl up and play games or read. The finished walkout lower level provides a possible in-law/au-pair suite with bedroom and bath, plus home theatre, billiard room, work out space and flex area, ideal for home office or projects. Tons of storage and closets throughout, 4 gas fireplaces, generator, heated 3 car garage, sprinklers, central vac, security system, new landscaping, 2 staircases and to die for decorating. Excellent location with quick access to Bradley International Airport and all major routes. A truly spectacular home.
-
2021-02-26$1,595,000 Active 1472-char remark
Show marketing remark (1472 chars)
Remarkable Avon property. This stunning home with Circular drive, all brick exterior and slate roof, has been exquisitely decorated with custom updates throughout the entire house. The fabulous brand new white kitchen has beautiful Quartzite counters, breakfast bar, wine bar, ice maker, Wolf appliances and Miele coffee bar, set in gorgeous glass cabinetry with designer tile inserts. The family room with coffered ceiling, fabulous mantel over gas fireplace and bookcases, has access to the private screened porch leading to patios for wonderful outdoor entertaining. The formal Living Room with another gorgeous mantle, flows easily into the elegant Dining Room, offering excellent entertaining space. The first floor Master suite has gas fireplace, separate his and her bathrooms and luxurious custom walk-in closets. There are 4 bedrooms upstairs, all with newly updated en-suite bathrooms, plus 3 cleverly placed cozy loft areas to curl up and play games or read. The finished walkout lower level provides a possible in-law/au-pair suite with bedroom and bath, plus home theatre, billiard room, work out space and flex area, ideal for home office or projects. Tons of storage and closets throughout, 4 gas fireplaces, generator, heated 3 car garage, sprinklers, central vac, security system, new landscaping, 2 staircases and to die for decorating. Excellent location with quick access to Bradley International Airport and all major routes. A truly spectacular home.
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2017-08-18soldstatus $1,240,000
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2017-08-17soldstatus $1,240,000 946-char remark
Show marketing remark (946 chars)
Immaculate attention to the finest of details and craftsmanship are distinguishing features of this exquisite home, From the moment you enter the circular driveway you will notice the impeccably maintained grounds, stunning brick façade and slate roof. The beautiful foyer with grand staircase sets the tone. The architect and homeowners paid close attention to every detail. The gourmet kitchen drenched in sunlight offers double ovens, a large limestone island with gas cooktop and eating space with French doors overlooking the professionally landscaped yard. Off of the kitchen is the family room perfect for entertaining or just relaxing by the fireplace, which boasts a hand carved one of a kind mantle. The master bedroom suite features a gas fireplace and large walk in closet as well as his and her master bathrooms. Walking the peaceful grounds you will feel like you are in an English garden. This impressive home is a must see!
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2017-06-16$1,299,000 946-char remark
Show marketing remark (946 chars)
Immaculate attention to the finest of details and craftsmanship are distinguishing features of this exquisite home, From the moment you enter the circular driveway you will notice the impeccably maintained grounds, stunning brick façade and slate roof. The beautiful foyer with grand staircase sets the tone. The architect and homeowners paid close attention to every detail. The gourmet kitchen drenched in sunlight offers double ovens, a large limestone island with gas cooktop and eating space with French doors overlooking the professionally landscaped yard. Off of the kitchen is the family room perfect for entertaining or just relaxing by the fireplace, which boasts a hand carved one of a kind mantle. The master bedroom suite features a gas fireplace and large walk in closet as well as his and her master bathrooms. Walking the peaceful grounds you will feel like you are in an English garden. This impressive home is a must see!
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2017-06-13historical
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2016-06-13$1,470,000
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2001-07-03soldstatus $225,000
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2000-06-17$249,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $35,490 · $2,958/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $39,144 · $3,262/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,654/yr (+$304/mo · 10.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,265
- − Mortgage interest
- −$112,025
- − Property taxes
- −$35,490
- − Insurance
- −$10,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,141
- − Management
- −$3,141
- − Depreciation
- −$58,179
- Taxable loss
- −$182,712
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$43,851
- After-tax cash flow
- $-96,472/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Avon School District
- NCES district ID
- 0900120
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 77% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $114,198
- Composite
- 65.87/100
- National rank
- #447
- State rank
- #11 of 153 in CT
Livability — Avon
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,157
Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 1,063,519
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Asian 15% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · South Korea, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Korean 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Capitol
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.48%
- Current HPI
- 174.8885
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
||
Price history
+703.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Coming Soon $1,999,900 Smart MLS
- 2021-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $1,595,000 Public Records
- 2021-07-23 Sold (MLS) $1,595,000 Smart MLS
- 2021-03-05 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2021-02-26 Listed $1,595,000 Smart MLS
- 2017-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $1,240,000 Public Records
- 2017-08-17 Sold (MLS) $1,240,000 Smart MLS
- 2017-06-16 Listed $1,299,000 Smart MLS
- 2017-06-13 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2016-06-13 Listed $1,470,000 Smart MLS
- 2001-07-03 Sold (MLS) $225,000 Smart MLS
- 2000-06-17 Listed $249,000 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $35,490 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…