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219 SE 70th Ave
C Composite 56.78
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,900

219 SE 70th Ave · Cross City, FL 32628
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1975 2.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2/1 Mobile Home on 2 Acres near Cross City. Great location at the end of a quiet street. .. Home could use some TLC. Looking for an investment or a place to call home, this may be what you are looking for! Call today to schedule an appointment to see it.

Key facts

  • Quiet street
  • 2 acres
  • 2 acre lot

Tags

2 ACRESQUIET STREET

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Private well water
  • Home design: Residential mobile home
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Wooded lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 total rooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Refrigerator; Crawl space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $94k (5.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (5.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.1% in Cross City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#412 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Dixie (rural): math 52% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #36 of 73 in FL (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Dixie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
  • Dixie County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $93,988 (5.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.56%
Cash-on-cash
4.52%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
1.90×
Total profit
$25,104
Equity at exit
$51,709
10-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
3.59×
Total profit
$72,471
Equity at exit
$85,429

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32628

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$940 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $860/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$197
Net cashflow
$105

Break-even live

Break-even rent $807
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $162 -5% $134 +0% $105 +5% $77 +10% $49
Rent -10% $31 -5% $68 +0% $105 +5% $142 +10% $180
Rate -1.0pp $156 -0.5pp $131 base $105 +0.5pp $79 +1.0pp $53

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    statusdays on market $99,900 Pending 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-05-26
    listed $99,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$860 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$860 · $72/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,279
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$860
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$902
− Management
−$902
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable loss
−$388
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$93
After-tax cash flow
$1,357/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dixie
NCES district ID
1200450
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$34,799
Composite
42.18/100
National rank
#3290
State rank
#36 of 73 in FL

Livability — Cross City

Score
70/100
State rank
#412
US rank
#7340

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,423

Population outlook (Dixie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,122 people
By 2030
14,521 · -4.0%
By 2040
13,503 · -10.7%
By 2050
12,671 · -16.2%
By 2075
10,857 · -28.2%
By 2100
8,344 · -44.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 18% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dixie

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.4) · D 14.5% · R 84.9%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: -45.0pp · 2024: -70.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.4 2020: R+66.0 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+45.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.18%
Current HPI
398.3675
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $99,900 DGLMLS

Property tax history

+19.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $860 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…