219 SE 70th Ave · Cross City, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2/1 Mobile Home on 2 Acres near Cross City. Great location at the end of a quiet street. .. Home could use some TLC. Looking for an investment or a place to call home, this may be what you are looking for! Call today to schedule an appointment to see it.
Key facts
- Quiet street
- 2 acres
- 2 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Private well water
- Home design: Residential mobile home
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Wooded lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 total rooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Refrigerator; Crawl space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $94k (5.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $94k (5.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.1% in Cross City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#412 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Dixie (rural): math 52% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #36 of 73 in FL (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Dixie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
- Dixie County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.52%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $25,104
- Equity at exit
- $51,709
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.59×
- Total profit
- $72,471
- Equity at exit
- $85,429
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32628
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $940 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $860/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$197
- Net cashflow
- $105
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $162 | -5% $134 | +0% $105 | +5% $77 | +10% $49 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $31 | -5% $68 | +0% $105 | +5% $142 | +10% $180 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $156 | -0.5pp $131 | base $105 | +0.5pp $79 | +1.0pp $53 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-04statusdays on market $99,900 Pending 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$99,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $860 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $860 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,279
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$860
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$902
- − Management
- −$902
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable loss
- −$388
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$93
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,357/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dixie
- NCES district ID
- 1200450
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,799
- Composite
- 42.18/100
- National rank
- #3290
- State rank
- #36 of 73 in FL
Livability — Cross City
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #412
- US rank
- #7340
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,423
Population outlook (Dixie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,122 people
- By 2030
- 14,521 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 13,503 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 12,671 · -16.2%
- By 2075
- 10,857 · -28.2%
- By 2100
- 8,344 · -44.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 18% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dixie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.4) · D 14.5% · R 84.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: -45.0pp · 2024: -70.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.4 2020: R+66.0 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+45.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.18%
- Current HPI
- 398.3675
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $99,900 DGLMLS
Property tax history
+19.0%/yrLatest (2025): $860 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…