444 N El Camino Real Pkwy Spc 64 · Encinitas, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.5/30.0
- Schools +7.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$749,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lovely 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Encinitas Mobile Home Park. Quaint and quiet park with great amenities. Don't miss out. Neighborhoods: Encinitas Equipment: Dryer, Range/Oven, Washer Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Available Topography: LL
Key facts
- 25.3 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Encinitas Mobile Home Park (Park Encinitas); Directions: El Camino Real to La Entrada
- HOA & community: Part of Park Encinitas association; Monthly association fee of $285; Senior community; Association amenities include gym/exercise room, meeting room, clubhouse, banquet facilities, picnic area, and billiard room; Community features include street lighting and storm drains
Exterior
- Parking: Located in Encinitas Mobile Home Park
- Home design: Single-story mobile home; Mobile home dimensions approximately 25 ft by 65 ft; Mobile home remains on property
- Construction: Year built reported by assessor
- Exterior features: Community pool; Property has a view; Lot categorized as 0–1 unit/acre
Interior
- Bedrooms: All bedrooms are on the main (first) level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling
- Interior features: One-level home with the main entry at the front door; All bedrooms located on the ground floor; Central air conditioning
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $750k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-515 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $659k (12.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $561k (25.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $561k (25.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 1.6% in Encinitas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#54 in CA, #2,026 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
- San Dieguito Union High (urban): math 72% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #56 of 1,400 in CA (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 208 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($159k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($727k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $335k; list at $750k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.94%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $549,024
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 444 El Camino Real #2 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-8%) | 1mo | $729,000 | $482 | 87 |
| 444 N El Camino Real Real Spc 48 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-12%) | 1mo | $665,000 | $462 | 79 |
| 350 N El Camino Real Real #50 | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-12%) | 1mo | $228,000 | $158 | 68 |
| 444 N El Camino Real Spc 8 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-12%) | 23mo | $570,000 | $396 | 61 |
| 350 N El Camino Real Real Spc 19 | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-12%) | 12mo | $280,000 | $194 | 59 |
| 444 N El Camino Real #49 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,400 (-14%) | 18mo | $469,900 | $336 | 56 |
| 350 N El Camino Real #22 | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-12%) | 19mo | $191,000 | $133 | 53 |
| 350 N El Camino Real #12 | 0.13mi | 3/3.0 | 1,440 (-12%) | 21mo | $189,000 | $131 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-140,563
- Equity at exit
- $111,813
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-105,351
- Equity at exit
- $64,838
Cash invested: $209,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92024
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 208
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,611 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,933
- Tax from tax record
- −$417 /mo · $5,008/yr
- Insurance
- −$312
- HOA
- −$285
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,178
- Net cashflow
- $-515
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-91 | -5% $-303 | +0% $-515 | +5% $-727 | +10% $-940 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-958 | -5% $-737 | +0% $-515 | +5% $-293 | +10% $-72 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-137 | -0.5pp $-324 | base $-515 | +0.5pp $-709 | +1.0pp $-907 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $187,475
- Closing costs
- $22,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1320 Via Terrassa Encinitas, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $4,260 | $4.25 | 0d | 17 | 0.62mi |
| 1647 Tennis Match Way Encinitas, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1783 | $6,000 | $3.37 | 13d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 264 Turner Ave Encinitas, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2123 | $9,000 | $4.24 | 5d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 820 Encinitas Blvd #202 Encinitas, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $3,000 | $2.83 | 20d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 760 Encinitas Blvd #103 Encinitas, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $3,600 | $3.30 | 0d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 141 Turner Ave Encinitas, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1830 | $6,500 | $3.55 | 0d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 141 Turner Ave Encinitas, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1830 | $6,500 | $3.55 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1953 Skyknoll Way Encinitas, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1492 | $4,500 | $3.02 | 4d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 606 Camino De Orchidia Encinitas, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1139 | $9,000 | $7.90 | 0d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1101 Catania Ct Unit 202 Encinitas, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1057 | $5,400 | $5.11 | 12d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1840 N Willowspring Dr Encinitas, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1986 | $4,795 | $2.41 | 18d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 211 Chapalita Dr Unit 1048659P Encinitas, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1313 | $7,526 | $5.73 | 0d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 668 Westlake St Encinitas, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1379 | $4,850 | $3.52 | 0d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 608 Silver Berry Pl Encinitas, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1268 | $5,500 | $4.34 | 8d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 778 Del Riego Ave Encinitas, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2014 | $6,850 | $3.40 | 0d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $285 · $3,420/yr
- Likely covers
- sewer
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $749,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $749,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $749,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 693-char remark
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2026-06-13days on market $749,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $749,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $749,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $749,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $749,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $749,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $749,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $749,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $749,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$749,900 Active
-
2026-05-13price $749,900
-
2026-05-12historical $539,900
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2015-03-04soldstatus $335,000 Sold 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Lovely 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Encinitas Mobile Home Park. Quaint and quiet park with great amenities. Don't miss out. Neighborhoods: Encinitas Equipment: Dryer, Range/Oven, Washer Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Available Topography: LL
-
2015-03-04soldstatus $335,000 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Lovely 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Encinitas Mobile Home Park. Quaint and quiet park with great amenities. Don't miss out. Neighborhoods: Encinitas Equipment: Dryer, Range/Oven, Washer Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Available Topography: LL
-
2015-03-03$335,000 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Lovely 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Encinitas Mobile Home Park. Quaint and quiet park with great amenities. Don't miss out. Neighborhoods: Encinitas Equipment: Dryer, Range/Oven, Washer Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Available Topography: LL
-
2015-03-03historical 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Lovely 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Encinitas Mobile Home Park. Quaint and quiet park with great amenities. Don't miss out. Neighborhoods: Encinitas Equipment: Dryer, Range/Oven, Washer Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Available Topography: LL
-
2015-03-03$335,000 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Lovely 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Encinitas Mobile Home Park. Quaint and quiet park with great amenities. Don't miss out. Neighborhoods: Encinitas Equipment: Dryer, Range/Oven, Washer Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Available Topography: LL
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2015-03-02soldstatus $335,000
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2002-09-19soldstatus $245,000
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2002-07-10historical
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2002-03-04$269,900
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2000-04-28soldstatus $179,500
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1999-10-22soldstatus $93,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,008 · $417/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,699 · $475/mo
- Expected delta
- +$691/yr (+$58/mo · 13.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $67,327
- − Mortgage interest
- −$42,006
- − Property taxes
- −$5,008
- − Insurance
- −$3,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,386
- − Management
- −$5,386
- − HOA
- −$3,420
- − Depreciation
- −$21,815
- Taxable loss
- −$19,444
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,667
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,513/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Dieguito Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0634380
- Math proficiency
- 72% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $110,199
- Composite
- 70.63/100
- National rank
- #519
- State rank
- #56 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Encinitas
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #54
- US rank
- #2026
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Encinitas, CA
- County
- San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
- City population
- 61,717
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,617
- Household income
- $158,507
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1537.0
Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,678,185 people
- By 2030
- 3,856,546 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 4,171,407 · +13.4%
- By 2050
- 4,421,607 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 4,831,599 · +31.4%
- By 2100
- 4,832,502 · +31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Diego
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -881.14%
- Current HPI
- 461.5044
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.39%
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+706.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $749,900 CRMLS
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $749,900 CRMLS
- 2026-05-12 Coming Soon $539,900 CRMLS
- 2015-03-04 Sold (MLS) $335,000 CRMLS
- 2015-03-04 Sold (MLS) $335,000 SDMLS
- 2015-03-03 Listed $335,000 CRMLS
- 2015-03-03 Listing Removed — SDMLS
- 2015-03-03 Listed $335,000 SDMLS
- 2015-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $335,000 Public Records
- 2002-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
- 2002-07-10 Listing Removed — SDMLS
- 2002-03-04 Listed $269,900 SDMLS
- 2000-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $179,500 Public Records
- 1999-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $5,008 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…