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444 N El Camino Real Pkwy Spc 64
F Composite 32.08
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.5/30.0
  • Schools +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$749,900

444 N El Camino Real Pkwy Spc 64 · Encinitas, CA 92024
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,634 sqft · Manufactured public records · 34 Days on market
Built 2000 25 ac lot Est $549k · 37% over $285/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lovely 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Encinitas Mobile Home Park. Quaint and quiet park with great amenities. Don't miss out. Neighborhoods: Encinitas Equipment: Dryer, Range/Oven, Washer Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Available Topography: LL

Key facts

  • 25.3 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Encinitas Mobile Home Park (Park Encinitas); Directions: El Camino Real to La Entrada
  • HOA & community: Part of Park Encinitas association; Monthly association fee of $285; Senior community; Association amenities include gym/exercise room, meeting room, clubhouse, banquet facilities, picnic area, and billiard room; Community features include street lighting and storm drains

Exterior

  • Parking: Located in Encinitas Mobile Home Park
  • Home design: Single-story mobile home; Mobile home dimensions approximately 25 ft by 65 ft; Mobile home remains on property
  • Construction: Year built reported by assessor
  • Exterior features: Community pool; Property has a view; Lot categorized as 0–1 unit/acre

Interior

  • Bedrooms: All bedrooms are on the main (first) level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling
  • Interior features: One-level home with the main entry at the front door; All bedrooms located on the ground floor; Central air conditioning
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $750k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-515 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $659k (12.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $561k (25.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $561k (25.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 1.6% in Encinitas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#54 in CA, #2,026 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
  • San Dieguito Union High (urban): math 72% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #56 of 1,400 in CA (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 208 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($159k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($727k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $335k; list at $750k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $561,061 (25.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.47%
Cash-on-cash
-2.94%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$549,024
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
444 El Camino Real #2 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,512 (-8%) 1mo $729,000 $482 87
444 N El Camino Real Real Spc 48 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-12%) 1mo $665,000 $462 79
350 N El Camino Real Real #50 0.13mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-12%) 1mo $228,000 $158 68
444 N El Camino Real Spc 8 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-12%) 23mo $570,000 $396 61
350 N El Camino Real Real Spc 19 0.13mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-12%) 12mo $280,000 $194 59
444 N El Camino Real #49 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (-14%) 18mo $469,900 $336 56
350 N El Camino Real #22 0.13mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-12%) 19mo $191,000 $133 53
350 N El Camino Real #12 0.13mi 3/3.0 1,440 (-12%) 21mo $189,000 $131 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.7%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-140,563
Equity at exit
$111,813
10-year hold
IRR
-7.2%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-105,351
Equity at exit
$64,838

Cash invested: $209,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92024

Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
208
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,611 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,933
Tax from tax record
$417 /mo · $5,008/yr
Insurance
$312
HOA
$285
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,178
Net cashflow
$-515

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,263
Max offer price $658,922
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-91 -5% $-303 +0% $-515 +5% $-727 +10% $-940
Rent -10% $-958 -5% $-737 +0% $-515 +5% $-293 +10% $-72
Rate -1.0pp $-137 -0.5pp $-324 base $-515 +0.5pp $-709 +1.0pp $-907

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$187,475
Closing costs
$22,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1320 Via Terrassa Encinitas, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1002 $4,260 $4.25 0d 17 0.62mi
1647 Tennis Match Way Encinitas, CA 3.0 2.5 1783 $6,000 $3.37 13d 1 0.69mi
264 Turner Ave Encinitas, CA 4.0 2.5 2123 $9,000 $4.24 5d 1 0.76mi
820 Encinitas Blvd #202 Encinitas, CA 2.0 1.0 1060 $3,000 $2.83 20d 1 0.81mi
760 Encinitas Blvd #103 Encinitas, CA 2.0 1.5 1092 $3,600 $3.30 0d 1 0.85mi
141 Turner Ave Encinitas, CA 4.0 2.0 1830 $6,500 $3.55 0d 1 0.89mi
141 Turner Ave Encinitas, CA 4.0 2.0 1830 $6,500 $3.55 4d 1 0.89mi
1953 Skyknoll Way Encinitas, CA 3.0 3.0 1492 $4,500 $3.02 4d 1 1.03mi
606 Camino De Orchidia Encinitas, CA 2.0 2.5 1139 $9,000 $7.90 0d 1 1.07mi
1101 Catania Ct Unit 202 Encinitas, CA 2.0 2.0 1057 $5,400 $5.11 12d 1 1.08mi
1840 N Willowspring Dr Encinitas, CA 4.0 2.5 1986 $4,795 $2.41 18d 1 1.15mi
211 Chapalita Dr Unit 1048659P Encinitas, CA 3.0 2.0 1313 $7,526 $5.73 0d 1 1.17mi
668 Westlake St Encinitas, CA 2.0 2.5 1379 $4,850 $3.52 0d 1 1.26mi
608 Silver Berry Pl Encinitas, CA 3.0 2.5 1268 $5,500 $4.34 8d 1 1.34mi
778 Del Riego Ave Encinitas, CA 4.0 2.0 2014 $6,850 $3.40 0d 1 1.43mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$285 · $3,420/yr
Likely covers
sewer

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    days on market $749,900 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $749,900 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $749,900 Active 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    remarks 693-char remark
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $749,900 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $749,900 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $749,900 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $749,900 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $749,900 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $749,900 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $749,900 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $749,900 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $749,900 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-13
    listed $749,900 Active
  15. 2026-05-13
    price $749,900
  16. 2026-05-12
    historical $539,900
  17. 2015-03-04
    soldstatus $335,000 Sold 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    Lovely 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Encinitas Mobile Home Park. Quaint and quiet park with great amenities. Don't miss out. Neighborhoods: Encinitas Equipment: Dryer, Range/Oven, Washer Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Available Topography: LL

  18. 2015-03-04
    soldstatus $335,000 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    Lovely 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Encinitas Mobile Home Park. Quaint and quiet park with great amenities. Don't miss out. Neighborhoods: Encinitas Equipment: Dryer, Range/Oven, Washer Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Available Topography: LL

  19. 2015-03-03
    listed $335,000 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    Lovely 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Encinitas Mobile Home Park. Quaint and quiet park with great amenities. Don't miss out. Neighborhoods: Encinitas Equipment: Dryer, Range/Oven, Washer Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Available Topography: LL

  20. 2015-03-03
    historical 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    Lovely 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Encinitas Mobile Home Park. Quaint and quiet park with great amenities. Don't miss out. Neighborhoods: Encinitas Equipment: Dryer, Range/Oven, Washer Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Available Topography: LL

  21. 2015-03-03
    listed $335,000 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    Lovely 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Encinitas Mobile Home Park. Quaint and quiet park with great amenities. Don't miss out. Neighborhoods: Encinitas Equipment: Dryer, Range/Oven, Washer Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Available Topography: LL

  22. 2015-03-02
    soldstatus $335,000
  23. 2002-09-19
    soldstatus $245,000
  24. 2002-07-10
    historical
  25. 2002-03-04
    listed $269,900
  26. 2000-04-28
    soldstatus $179,500
  27. 1999-10-22
    soldstatus $93,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,008 · $417/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,699 · $475/mo
Expected delta
+$691/yr (+$58/mo · 13.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$67,327
− Mortgage interest
−$42,006
− Property taxes
−$5,008
− Insurance
−$3,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,386
− Management
−$5,386
− HOA
−$3,420
− Depreciation
−$21,815
Taxable loss
−$19,444
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,667
After-tax cash flow
$-1,513/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Dieguito Union High
NCES district ID
0634380
Math proficiency
72% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
79% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$110,199
Composite
70.63/100
National rank
#519
State rank
#56 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Encinitas

Score
79/100
State rank
#54
US rank
#2026

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A- Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Encinitas, CA
County
San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
City population
61,717
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
Population (ZIP)
50,617
Household income
$158,507
Rent vs Own
32.6% rent · 67.4% own
Severe rent burden
1537.0

Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,678,185 people
By 2030
3,856,546 · +4.8%
By 2040
4,171,407 · +13.4%
By 2050
4,421,607 · +20.2%
By 2075
4,831,599 · +31.4%
By 2100
4,832,502 · +31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Diego

2024 margin
D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -881.14%
Current HPI
461.5044
Rent YoY
▲ 5.39%
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+706.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $749,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $749,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Coming Soon $539,900 CRMLS
  • 2015-03-04 Sold (MLS) $335,000 CRMLS
  • 2015-03-04 Sold (MLS) $335,000 SDMLS
  • 2015-03-03 Listed $335,000 CRMLS
  • 2015-03-03 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2015-03-03 Listed $335,000 SDMLS
  • 2015-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $335,000 Public Records
  • 2002-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
  • 2002-07-10 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2002-03-04 Listed $269,900 SDMLS
  • 2000-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $179,500 Public Records
  • 1999-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,008 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…