25955 California 243 #40 · Idyllwild-Pine Cove, CA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$32,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your Hidden Gem in the center of tow. Located at the end of the road in the Idyllwild Trailer Park a 55+ community. Space rent is $812 a month and includes snowplowing, sewer, and trash. separately metered for electric and propane, water is an additional charge. The community features laundry mat, community hall and a walk into town location. The unit features a propane stove in the corner of the living room. Enjoy the front and back covered decks offering great outdoor space. The eat in kitchen leads to the hall with ample closet and storage space, the bathroom and finally into the bedroom, currently set up with small nightstand and 2 beds. This is the perfect summer retreat from the heat below or the quintessential full time living. Make this a must see today.
Key facts
- Eat in kitchen
- Garage
- Built 1971
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $32k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($848/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
- Recommended offer: $30k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 2.9% in Idyllwild-Pine Cove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Idyllwild (269 students, 73% FRL); Hemet High (math 21% / reading 46%, grade F, #656 of 1,170 statewide, top 57%, 2,438 students, 82% FRL).
- Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $221 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $960 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 55% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.36%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $54,262
- List price
- $32,000
- Delta
- -41.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25955 Hwy 243 #17 | 0.01mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $188 | 98 |
| 25995 Hwy 243 #17 | 0.05mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $188 | 96 |
| 25955 Highway 243 #53 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 9mo | $40,000 | $100 | 92 |
| 25955 Hwy 243 #2 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 450 (+12%) | 5mo | $55,000 | $122 | 75 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-120
- Equity at exit
- $4,771
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $7,986
- Equity at exit
- $2,767
Cash invested: $8,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92549
- Home prices YoY
- -25.8%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,488 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$168
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$40 /mo · $480/yr
- Insurance
- −$13
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$817
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$312
- Net cashflow
- $71
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $93 | -5% $82 | +0% $71 | +5% $60 | +10% $49 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-47 | -5% $12 | +0% $71 | +5% $129 | +10% $188 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $87 | -0.5pp $79 | base $71 | +0.5pp $62 | +1.0pp $54 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,000
- Closing costs
- $960
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55045 Strong Dr Idyllwild, CA | — | 1.0 | 300 | $1,500 | $5.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $817 · $9,804/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrashelectricsnow removal
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18status $32,000 Pending 76 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $32,000 Active Under Contract 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $32,000 Active Under Contract 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $32,000 Active Under Contract 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $32,000 Active Under Contract 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $32,000 Active Under Contract 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $32,000 Active Under Contract 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $32,000 Active Under Contract 66 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $32,000 Active Under Contract 63 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $32,000 Active Under Contract 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $32,000 Active Under Contract 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $32,000 Active Under Contract 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $32,000 Active Under Contract 59 DOM
-
2026-04-02$32,000 Active 783-char remark
Show marketing remark (783 chars)
Welcome to your Hidden Gem in the center of tow. Located at the end of the road in the Idyllwild Trailer Park a 55+ community. Space rent is $812 a month and includes snowplowing, sewer, and trash. separately metered for electric and propane, water is an additional charge. The community features laundry mat, community hall and a walk into town location. The unit features a propane stove in the corner of the living room. Enjoy the front and back covered decks offering great outdoor space. The eat in kitchen leads to the hall with ample closet and storage space, the bathroom and finally into the bedroom, currently set up with small nightstand and 2 beds. This is the perfect summer retreat from the heat below or the quintessential full time living. Make this a must see today.
-
2026-03-07price $32,000 783-char remark
Show marketing remark (783 chars)
Welcome to your Hidden Gem in the center of tow. Located at the end of the road in the Idyllwild Trailer Park a 55+ community. Space rent is $812 a month and includes snowplowing, sewer, and trash. separately metered for electric and propane, water is an additional charge. The community features laundry mat, community hall and a walk into town location. The unit features a propane stove in the corner of the living room. Enjoy the front and back covered decks offering great outdoor space. The eat in kitchen leads to the hall with ample closet and storage space, the bathroom and finally into the bedroom, currently set up with small nightstand and 2 beds. This is the perfect summer retreat from the heat below or the quintessential full time living. Make this a must see today.
-
2025-10-24status Active 783-char remark
Show marketing remark (783 chars)
Welcome to your Hidden Gem in the center of tow. Located at the end of the road in the Idyllwild Trailer Park a 55+ community. Space rent is $812 a month and includes snowplowing, sewer, and trash. separately metered for electric and propane, water is an additional charge. The community features laundry mat, community hall and a walk into town location. The unit features a propane stove in the corner of the living room. Enjoy the front and back covered decks offering great outdoor space. The eat in kitchen leads to the hall with ample closet and storage space, the bathroom and finally into the bedroom, currently set up with small nightstand and 2 beds. This is the perfect summer retreat from the heat below or the quintessential full time living. Make this a must see today.
-
2025-10-17historical Active Under Contract 783-char remark
Show marketing remark (783 chars)
Welcome to your Hidden Gem in the center of tow. Located at the end of the road in the Idyllwild Trailer Park a 55+ community. Space rent is $812 a month and includes snowplowing, sewer, and trash. separately metered for electric and propane, water is an additional charge. The community features laundry mat, community hall and a walk into town location. The unit features a propane stove in the corner of the living room. Enjoy the front and back covered decks offering great outdoor space. The eat in kitchen leads to the hall with ample closet and storage space, the bathroom and finally into the bedroom, currently set up with small nightstand and 2 beds. This is the perfect summer retreat from the heat below or the quintessential full time living. Make this a must see today.
-
2025-05-09status Active 783-char remark
Show marketing remark (783 chars)
Welcome to your Hidden Gem in the center of tow. Located at the end of the road in the Idyllwild Trailer Park a 55+ community. Space rent is $812 a month and includes snowplowing, sewer, and trash. separately metered for electric and propane, water is an additional charge. The community features laundry mat, community hall and a walk into town location. The unit features a propane stove in the corner of the living room. Enjoy the front and back covered decks offering great outdoor space. The eat in kitchen leads to the hall with ample closet and storage space, the bathroom and finally into the bedroom, currently set up with small nightstand and 2 beds. This is the perfect summer retreat from the heat below or the quintessential full time living. Make this a must see today.
-
2025-05-09price $39,000 783-char remark
Show marketing remark (783 chars)
Welcome to your Hidden Gem in the center of tow. Located at the end of the road in the Idyllwild Trailer Park a 55+ community. Space rent is $812 a month and includes snowplowing, sewer, and trash. separately metered for electric and propane, water is an additional charge. The community features laundry mat, community hall and a walk into town location. The unit features a propane stove in the corner of the living room. Enjoy the front and back covered decks offering great outdoor space. The eat in kitchen leads to the hall with ample closet and storage space, the bathroom and finally into the bedroom, currently set up with small nightstand and 2 beds. This is the perfect summer retreat from the heat below or the quintessential full time living. Make this a must see today.
-
2024-11-07$45,000 Active 783-char remark
Show marketing remark (783 chars)
Welcome to your Hidden Gem in the center of tow. Located at the end of the road in the Idyllwild Trailer Park a 55+ community. Space rent is $812 a month and includes snowplowing, sewer, and trash. separately metered for electric and propane, water is an additional charge. The community features laundry mat, community hall and a walk into town location. The unit features a propane stove in the corner of the living room. Enjoy the front and back covered decks offering great outdoor space. The eat in kitchen leads to the hall with ample closet and storage space, the bathroom and finally into the bedroom, currently set up with small nightstand and 2 beds. This is the perfect summer retreat from the heat below or the quintessential full time living. Make this a must see today.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥87°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,852
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,792
- − Property taxes
- −$480
- − Insurance
- −$957
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,428
- − Management
- −$1,428
- − HOA
- −$9,804
- − Depreciation
- −$931
- Taxable income
- $1,031
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$247
- After-tax cash flow
- $600/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
The home is in fair condition with moderate repairs needed, particularly in the kitchen and bathroom. Updates to these areas would significantly increase its resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — yellow cabinets need updating
- Moderate stove — outdated stove needs replacement
- Minor bathroom fixtures — basic fixtures need updating
Value-add opportunities
- Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizing the kitchen
- Resale update flooring — modernizing the flooring
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathroom
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · yellow cabinets need updating | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| stove · outdated stove needs replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · basic fixtures need updating | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizing the kitchen ↑
- Resale update flooring — modernizing the flooring ↑
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathroom ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hemet Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0616920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,962
- Composite
- 25.16/100
- National rank
- #7517
- State rank
- #360 of 517 in CA
Livability — Idyllwild-Pine Cove
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Idyllwild-Pine Cove, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,016
- Household income
- $73,750
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 156.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 24% Asian 9% Two or more races 8% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 14% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -100.32%
- Current HPI
- 287.8582
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-28.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Listed $32,000 GPSMLS
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $32,000 IAOR
- 2025-10-24 Relisted — IAOR
- 2025-10-17 Contingent — IAOR
- 2025-05-09 Relisted — IAOR
- 2025-05-09 Price Changed $39,000 IAOR
- 2024-11-07 Listed $45,000 IAOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…