None · Peppermill Village, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity for investors or first-time buyers! This property is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Whether you're looking to renovate, customize, or create your dream space, this home offers a solid foundation to bring your vision to life. Sold AS-IS—bring your style, creativity, and imagination to unlock its full charm and value. ”
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1956
- Listed 54 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Finished above-grade area estimated at 700; Land assessed (data available)
- Financial info: Fee simple ownership; Property condition listed as below average and in need of major rehab
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric available (150 amp); Natural gas available; Phone service available; Electric hot water
- Home design: Detached property; Entry level at grade (level 0)
- Construction: Shake siding and vinyl siding; Concrete perimeter foundation; Building not winterized; Above-grade structure
- Exterior features: Outside city limits; Not in a federal flood zone; Ground rent paid annually
Interior
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floor plan; Drywall walls and ceilings; Not furnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $172 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (4.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $234k (4.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#142 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 215 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $245k implies a 666% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.01%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $347,820
- List price
- $245,000
- Delta
- -29.56%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6702 Blacklog St | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 | 720 (+3%) | 12mo | $373,000 | $518 | 77 |
| 6707 Drylog St | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 700 (0%) | 15mo | $345,000 | $493 | 73 |
| 301 Goldleaf Ave | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 | 750 (+7%) | 18mo | $345,000 | $460 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-21,684
- Equity at exit
- $36,530
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $25,970
- Equity at exit
- $21,183
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 20743
- Rents YoY
- 5.9%
- Active inventory
- 215
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,343 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$292 /mo · $3,504/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$492
- Net cashflow
- $172
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $311 | -5% $241 | +0% $172 | +5% $103 | +10% $33 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-13 | -5% $79 | +0% $172 | +5% $265 | +10% $357 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $295 | -0.5pp $234 | base $172 | +0.5pp $109 | +1.0pp $44 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6207 Old Central Ave Unit b1 Capitol Heights, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 350 | $1,000 | $2.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 323 62nd St NE Washington, DC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 908 | $2,435 | $2.68 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 8100 Gibbs Way Hyattsville, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1082 | $2,810 | $2.60 | 0d | 55 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $245,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $245,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $245,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $245,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $245,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $245,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $245,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $245,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $245,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $245,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $245,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $245,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $245,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $245,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-04-27$245,000 Active 371-char remark
-
2026-03-19historical
-
2026-02-13historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-01-20price $239,000
-
2025-11-13price $255,000
-
2025-10-23$269,900 Active
-
2025-10-23historical
-
2001-07-31soldstatus $32,000
-
2001-04-25soldstatus $25,750
-
2001-03-28historical
-
2000-05-19$25,000
-
1974-07-30soldstatus $18,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,504 · $292/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,504 · $292/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,115
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$3,504
- − Insurance
- −$1,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,249
- − Management
- −$2,249
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable loss
- −$1,964
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$471
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,535/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Prince George'S County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400510
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,967
- Composite
- 16.82/100
- National rank
- #9151
- State rank
- #21 of 24 in MD
Livability — Peppermill Village
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #6113
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peppermill Village, MD
- County
- Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,093
- Household income
- $76,466
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1418.0
Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,005,426 people
- By 2030
- 1,048,416 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,123,425 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,183,220 · +17.7%
- By 2075
- 1,306,202 · +29.9%
- By 2100
- 1,408,179 · +40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 78% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 4% White 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 13% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -311.97%
- Current HPI
- 335.5152
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.90%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+1224.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Listed $245,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-19 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-13 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $239,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $255,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-23 Listed $269,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-23 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2001-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
- 2001-04-25 Sold (MLS) $25,750 MRIS
- 2001-03-28 Delisted — MRIS
- 2000-05-19 Listed $25,000 MRIS
- 1974-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,504 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…