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C- Composite 53.79
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$245,000

None · Peppermill Village, MD 20743
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 700 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1956 3,920 sqft lot $350/sqft · 30% below area Est $348k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity for investors or first-time buyers! This property is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Whether you're looking to renovate, customize, or create your dream space, this home offers a solid foundation to bring your vision to life. Sold AS-IS—bring your style, creativity, and imagination to unlock its full charm and value. ”

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Built 1956
  • Listed 54 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Finished above-grade area estimated at 700; Land assessed (data available)
  • Financial info: Fee simple ownership; Property condition listed as below average and in need of major rehab

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric available (150 amp); Natural gas available; Phone service available; Electric hot water
  • Home design: Detached property; Entry level at grade (level 0)
  • Construction: Shake siding and vinyl siding; Concrete perimeter foundation; Building not winterized; Above-grade structure
  • Exterior features: Outside city limits; Not in a federal flood zone; Ground rent paid annually

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; Drywall walls and ceilings; Not furnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $172 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (4.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $234k (4.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#142 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 215 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $32k; list at $245k implies a 666% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $234,294 (4.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.14%
Cash-on-cash
3.01%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$347,820
List price
$245,000
Delta
-29.56%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6702 Blacklog St 0.09mi 4/2.0 720 (+3%) 12mo $373,000 $518 77
6707 Drylog St 0.16mi 3/1.5 (-1) 700 (0%) 15mo $345,000 $493 73
301 Goldleaf Ave 0.08mi 4/2.0 750 (+7%) 18mo $345,000 $460 65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.4%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-21,684
Equity at exit
$36,530
10-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$25,970
Equity at exit
$21,183

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 20743

Rents YoY
5.9%
Active inventory
215
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,343 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax from tax record
$292 /mo · $3,504/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$492
Net cashflow
$172

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,125
Max offer price $245,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $311 -5% $241 +0% $172 +5% $103 +10% $33
Rent -10% $-13 -5% $79 +0% $172 +5% $265 +10% $357
Rate -1.0pp $295 -0.5pp $234 base $172 +0.5pp $109 +1.0pp $44

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6207 Old Central Ave Unit b1 Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 3.0 350 $1,000 $2.86 44d 1 0.81mi
323 62nd St NE Washington, DC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 908 $2,435 $2.68 25d 1 1.08mi
8100 Gibbs Way Hyattsville, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1082 $2,810 $2.60 0d 55 1.34mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $245,000 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $245,000 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $245,000 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $245,000 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $245,000 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $245,000 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $245,000 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $245,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $245,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $245,000 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $245,000 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $245,000 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $245,000 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $245,000 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-04-27
    listed $245,000 Active 371-char remark
  16. 2026-03-19
    historical
  17. 2026-02-13
    historical Active Under Contract
  18. 2026-01-20
    price $239,000
  19. 2025-11-13
    price $255,000
  20. 2025-10-23
    listed $269,900 Active
  21. 2025-10-23
    historical
  22. 2001-07-31
    soldstatus $32,000
  23. 2001-04-25
    soldstatus $25,750
  24. 2001-03-28
    historical
  25. 2000-05-19
    listed $25,000
  26. 1974-07-30
    soldstatus $18,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,504 · $292/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,504 · $292/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,115
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$3,504
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,249
− Management
−$2,249
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable loss
−$1,964
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$471
After-tax cash flow
$2,535/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Prince George'S County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400510
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$73,967
Composite
16.82/100
National rank
#9151
State rank
#21 of 24 in MD

Livability — Peppermill Village

Score
72/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#6113

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Peppermill Village, MD
County
Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
41,093
Household income
$76,466
Rent vs Own
33.9% rent · 66.1% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,005,426 people
By 2030
1,048,416 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,123,425 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,183,220 · +17.7%
By 2075
1,306,202 · +29.9%
By 2100
1,408,179 · +40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (78%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 78% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 4% White 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 13% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's

2024 margin
Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -311.97%
Current HPI
335.5152
Rent YoY
▲ 5.90%
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1224.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $245,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-19 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-13 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $239,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-13 Price Changed $255,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-23 Listed $269,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-23 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2001-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
  • 2001-04-25 Sold (MLS) $25,750 MRIS
  • 2001-03-28 Delisted MRIS
  • 2000-05-19 Listed $25,000 MRIS
  • 1974-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,504 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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