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3433 Upton Ave Duplex
B- Composite 68.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$106,900

3433 Upton Ave · Toledo, OH 43613
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,232 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 154 Days on market
Built 1924 3,300 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Can you say $500 a month positive cash flow!? That's more than your mortgage back. 2 car garage converted to apartment that is currently rented. House has new roof, new carpet, newer furnace, centralair, great opportunity. Can buy for investment with only 10% down. Call for details.

Key facts

  • 3,300 sq ft lot
  • 3 parking spots
  • Built 1924

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 1,232 (source: Assessor); Below-grade finished area: 560; Lot size approximately 0.08 acres (3,300 sq ft)
  • Financial info: Property is residential income with 2 total units across 2 buildings; Both units currently vacant; Tenants are responsible for all utilities, cable TV, electricity, exterior maintenance, gas, grounds care, internet, pest control, sewer, trash, water, snow removal and lawn care; Owner is responsible for common area maintenance, HVAC maintenance, repairs, insurance and taxes
  • HOA & community: Pets policy: Call; Community features include curbs and street lights

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking; Accessible parking; Driveway; Off-street parking; Shared driveway; Total 3 parking spaces
  • Security: Security features not specified (other)
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (100 amp service, circuit breakers); Natural gas connected; Public sewer; Public water; WiFi and internet available
  • Home design: Residential income property — duplex; Two levels / 2 stories; Main building identified; Entry level not specified; Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Built year source: Assessor; Construction includes asphalt, aluminum siding, brick, vinyl siding and blown-in insulation; Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Fencing: Other
  • Exterior features: Private entrance; Front porch; Guest house; Level lot; City street frontage; Concrete road surface

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms information not provided
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl; Tile
  • Bathrooms: Bathrooms information not provided
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (forced air, natural gas); Central air; Electric cooling; Window unit(s)
  • Interior features: Primary bathroom; Double pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $107k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $604 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $302/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $107k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mckinley Stemm Academy (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,527 of 1,584 statewide, top 98%, 279 students, 0% FRL); Start High School (math 11% / reading 33%, grade F, #672 of 781 statewide, top 86%, 1,242 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 25% FRL vs 72% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 111 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $739 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $107k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $94,072 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.62%
Cap rate
13.07%
Cash-on-cash
24.22%
DSCR
2.08
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$68,992
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1725 Mansfield Rd 0.21mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,348 (+9%) 14mo $75,000 $56 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$21,712
Equity at exit
$15,939
10-year hold
IRR
26.5%
Equity multiple
3.36×
Total profit
$70,764
Equity at exit
$9,243

Cash invested: $29,932 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43613

Home prices YoY
-20.7%
Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
111
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,727 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$561
Tax from tax record
$155 /mo · $1,862/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$363
Net cashflow
$604

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $106,900
Occupancy floor 60%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,727

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,725
Closing costs
$3,207
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1951 Loxley Rd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 804 $975 $1.21 23d 1 0.17mi
1846 Loxley Rd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 876 $900 $1.03 43d 1 0.18mi
3683 Upton Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1119 $1,100 $0.98 43d 1 0.21mi
1731 Mansfield Rd Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1138 $1,195 $1.05 23d 1 0.23mi
1705 Marlow Rd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 738 $1,000 $1.36 23d 1 0.27mi
1838 Giant St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 14d 1 0.31mi
1732 Talbot St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 840 $995 $1.18 23d 1 0.31mi
1804 Bigelow St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 995 $937 $0.94 43d 1 0.39mi
1718 Giant St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,395 $1.29 14d 1 0.39mi
3817 Burton Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 754 $1,015 $1.35 21d 1 0.63mi
1489 Berdan Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1068 $1,250 $1.17 43d 1 0.63mi
3430 Anderson Pkwy Toledo, OH 3.0 2.0 1372 $1,650 $1.20 23d 1 0.64mi
1573 Jermain Dr Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1254 $1,195 $0.95 14d 1 0.64mi
2301 Portsmouth Ave Toledo, OH 4.0 1.0 1335 $1,395 $1.04 23d 1 0.65mi
3835 Monroe St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1002 $950 $0.95 43d 1 0.65mi
3803 Monroe St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 942 $850 $0.90 43d 1 0.68mi
3901 Leybourn Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 840 $1,150 $1.37 23d 1 0.72mi
3606 Revere Dr Toledo, OH 4.0 1.0 1320 $1,500 $1.14 43d 1 0.72mi
2244 W Sylvania Ave Unit 6 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $795 $0.99 43d 1 0.73mi
3644 Harley Rd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1025 $975 $0.95 23d 1 0.78mi
3713 Hazelhurst Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1352 $1,700 $1.26 43d 1 0.80mi
2802 Gunckel Blvd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 860 $1,100 $1.28 43d 1 0.82mi
4038 Lyman Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1175 $1,395 $1.19 43d 1 0.84mi
3022 Letchworth Pkwy Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $970 $1.21 43d 1 0.87mi
3725 Hoiles Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1180 $1,245 $1.06 23d 1 0.87mi
3805 Hoiles Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1370 $1,025 $0.75 23d 1 0.88mi
2734 Powhattan Pkwy Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1144 $900 $0.79 43d 1 0.91mi
4315 Garden Park Dr Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1268 $1,423 $1.12 23d 1 0.91mi
4120 Parrakeet Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 2.0 1410 $1,450 $1.03 43d 1 0.94mi
3541 Willys Pkwy Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1113 $1,400 $1.26 43d 1 0.95mi
3915 Willys Pkwy Unit 3915 Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1080 $800 $0.74 21d 1 1.05mi
4435 Jackman Rd Toledo, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $922 $1.27 14d 3 1.05mi
4223 Birchall Rd Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1338 $1,395 $1.04 23d 1 1.08mi
1919 Ottawa Dr Unit 7 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $800 $0.89 43d 1 1.09mi
2356 Torrey Hill Dr Unit 11 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1050 $800 $0.76 43d 1 1.09mi
2650 Christie St Toledo, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $849 $1.06 43d 1 1.15mi
2322 Upton Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 43d 1 1.16mi
2347 Rosedale Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 767 $875 $1.14 43d 1 1.20mi
3615 Berkeley Dr Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1096 $1,400 $1.28 14d 1 1.22mi
1738 Milburn Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1016 $650 $0.64 23d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $106,900 Active 154 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $106,900 Active 153 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $106,900 Active 152 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $106,900 Active 151 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $106,900 Active 149 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $106,900 Active 146 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $106,900 Active 145 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $106,900 Active 144 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricestatusdays on market $106,900 Active 143 DOM
  10. 2026-05-14
    status Pending
  11. 2026-04-14
    historical Contingent
  12. 2026-02-25
    price $114,900
  13. 2026-02-09
    status Active
  14. 2026-02-06
    historical Contingent
  15. 2026-01-22
    price $124,900
  16. 2026-01-22
    status Active
  17. 2026-01-20
    status Pending
  18. 2025-12-22
    listed $129,900 Active
  19. 2025-10-14
    price $37,000 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Can you say $500 a month positive cash flow!? That's more than your mortgage back. 2 car garage converted to apartment that is currently rented. House has new roof, new carpet, newer furnace, centralair, great opportunity. Can buy for investment with only 10% down. Call for details.

  20. 2022-10-12
    soldstatus $60,000
  21. 2002-05-21
    soldstatus $37,000 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Can you say $500 a month positive cash flow!? That's more than your mortgage back. 2 car garage converted to apartment that is currently rented. House has new roof, new carpet, newer furnace, centralair, great opportunity. Can buy for investment with only 10% down. Call for details.

  22. 2002-05-21
    soldstatus $37,000
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Can you say $500 a month positive cash flow!? That's more than your mortgage back. 2 car garage converted to apartment that is currently rented. House has new roof, new carpet, newer furnace, centralair, great opportunity. Can buy for investment with only 10% down. Call for details.

  23. 2001-10-11
    listed $39,900 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Can you say $500 a month positive cash flow!? That's more than your mortgage back. 2 car garage converted to apartment that is currently rented. House has new roof, new carpet, newer furnace, centralair, great opportunity. Can buy for investment with only 10% down. Call for details.

  24. 2000-10-25
    historical
  25. 2000-06-25
    listed $49,900
  26. 2000-05-17
    historical
  27. 1999-11-17
    listed $49,900
  28. 1995-11-20
    soldstatus $40,000
  29. 1994-11-28
    soldstatus $23,000
  30. 1991-10-15
    soldstatus $273,000
  31. 1988-01-13
    soldstatus $27,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,862 · $155/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,862 · $155/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,724
− Mortgage interest
−$5,988
− Property taxes
−$1,862
− Insurance
−$534
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,658
− Management
−$1,658
− Depreciation
−$3,110
Taxable income
$5,914
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,419
After-tax cash flow
$5,829/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
30,780
Household income
$64,384
Rent vs Own
32.5% rent · 67.5% own
Severe rent burden
917.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 15% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.37%
Current HPI
239.1345
Rent YoY
▲ 3.30%
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+317.8% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending NORIS
  • 2026-04-14 Contingent NORIS
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $114,900 NORIS
  • 2026-02-09 Relisted NORIS
  • 2026-02-06 Contingent NORIS
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $124,900 NORIS
  • 2026-01-22 Relisted NORIS
  • 2026-01-20 Pending NORIS
  • 2025-12-22 Listed $129,900 NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $37,000 NORIS
  • 2022-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2002-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
  • 2002-05-21 Sold (MLS) $37,000 NORIS
  • 2001-10-11 Listed $39,900 NORIS
  • 2000-10-25 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2000-06-25 Listed $49,900 NORIS
  • 2000-05-17 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 1999-11-17 Listed $49,900 NORIS
  • 1995-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 1994-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
  • 1991-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $273,000 Public Records
  • 1988-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,862 · +22.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…