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1232 N Sioux Ct
D+ Composite 48.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$206,800

1232 N Sioux Ct · Independence, MO 64056
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,323 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 72 Days on market
Built 1988 0.48 ac lot $156/sqft · 18% below area Est $251k · 18% under ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Split level home offers 3 bedrooms, and 2 bathrooms with approximately 1,323 square feet of living space. Built in 1988 this property features a functional layout with an unfinished basement providing opportunity for future expansion, storage, or additional living space. Auction Occupied – NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. "As is" CASH ONLY sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.

Key facts

  • 0.48 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1988

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $207k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-165/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $204k (1.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (9.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (9.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 5.0% in Independence — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#10 in MO, #1,296 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
  • Fort Osage R-I (rural): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #213 of 324 in MO (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 106 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $187,535 (9.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.28%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$250,879
List price
$206,800
Delta
-17.57%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1607 N Belvidere Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,314 (-1%) 3mo $160,000 $122 67
1621 N Belvidere Ave 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,362 (+3%) 1mo $245,000 $180 66
906 N Ponca Dr 0.64mi 3/1.5 1,362 (+3%) 1mo $225,000 $165 62
816 N Tepee Dr 0.57mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,364 (+3%) 1mo $243,000 $178 61
1600 N Dover St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,216 (-8%) 1mo $250,000 $206 59
18609 E Bundschu Pl 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,202 (-9%) 2mo $270,000 $225 54
1413 N Geronimo Dr 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,450 (+10%) 1mo $185,000 $128 54
658 N Mohican Dr 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,388 (+5%) 4mo $152,900 $110 51
1422 N Blue Mills Rd 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,447 (+9%) 3mo $228,000 $158 48
834 N Ponca Dr 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,200 (-9%) 3mo $219,900 $183 47
1117 N Ponca Dr 0.60mi 3/3.0 1,492 (+13%) 1mo $245,000 $164 46
1511 Osage Trl 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,150 (-13%) 3mo $174,900 $152 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.76% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.8%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-32,872
Equity at exit
$30,835
10-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-23,450
Equity at exit
$17,880

Cash invested: $57,904 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64056

Rents YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
106
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,875 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,084
Tax from tax record
$325 /mo · $3,895/yr
Insurance
$86
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$394
Net cashflow
$-14

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,893
Max offer price $204,372
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,700
Closing costs
$6,204
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19246 E Ponca Dr Independence, MO 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,700 $1.31 4d 1 0.46mi
19200 E Ponca Ter Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1195 $1,973 $1.65 43d 1 0.48mi
1604 N Glen Ellyn St Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1330 $1,845 $1.39 16d 1 0.50mi
18813 Lexington Rd Independence, MO 2.0 1.5 1190 $1,250 $1.05 2d 1 0.55mi
1617 N Belvidere Ave Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1642 $2,006 $1.22 1d 1 0.58mi
1406 N Ponca Dr Independence, MO 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,650 $1.18 4d 1 0.62mi
18410 E Shoshone Dr Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1426 $1,450 $1.02 43d 1 0.70mi
19300 E Salisbury Rd Independence, MO 3.0 1.0 1257 $1,845 $1.47 1d 1 0.96mi
19200 E Salisbury Rd Independence, MO 4.0 2.0 1518 $2,000 $1.32 23d 1 0.96mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $206,800 Active 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $206,800 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $206,800 Active 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $206,800 Active 69 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $206,800 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $213,800 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $213,800 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $213,800 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $213,800 Active 57 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $213,800 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $213,800 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $213,800 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-05-08
    price $223,200 529-char remark
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    This Split level home offers 3 bedrooms, and 2 bathrooms with approximately 1,323 square feet of living space. Built in 1988 this property features a functional layout with an unfinished basement providing opportunity for future expansion, storage, or additional living space. Auction Occupied – NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. "As is" CASH ONLY sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.

  14. 2026-04-22
    price $235,000 529-char remark
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    This Split level home offers 3 bedrooms, and 2 bathrooms with approximately 1,323 square feet of living space. Built in 1988 this property features a functional layout with an unfinished basement providing opportunity for future expansion, storage, or additional living space. Auction Occupied – NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. "As is" CASH ONLY sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.

  15. 2026-04-07
    listed $249,100 Active 529-char remark
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    This Split level home offers 3 bedrooms, and 2 bathrooms with approximately 1,323 square feet of living space. Built in 1988 this property features a functional layout with an unfinished basement providing opportunity for future expansion, storage, or additional living space. Auction Occupied – NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. "As is" CASH ONLY sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.

  16. 2026-04-07
    historical $249,100 529-char remark
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    This Split level home offers 3 bedrooms, and 2 bathrooms with approximately 1,323 square feet of living space. Built in 1988 this property features a functional layout with an unfinished basement providing opportunity for future expansion, storage, or additional living space. Auction Occupied – NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. "As is" CASH ONLY sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.

  17. 1990-04-16
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,895 · $325/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,895 · $325/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,504
− Mortgage interest
−$11,584
− Property taxes
−$3,895
− Insurance
−$1,034
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,800
− Management
−$1,800
− Depreciation
−$6,016
Taxable loss
−$3,626
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$870
After-tax cash flow
$705/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Osage R-I
NCES district ID
2912290
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$57,441
Composite
29.78/100
National rank
#6428
State rank
#213 of 324 in MO

Livability — Independence

Score
82/100
State rank
#10
US rank
#1296

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Independence, MO
County
Jackson County · 687,798 people
City population
117,675
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
17,395
Household income
$67,685
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
747.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 9% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -163.60%
Current HPI
286.349
Rent YoY
▲ 3.76%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $223,200 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $235,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $249,100 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Coming Soon $249,100 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1990-04-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+9.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,895 · -3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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