5110 Sistine Dr · Iowa Colony, TX 77583

$349,000

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,961 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 139 Days on market

Built 2024 Good condition 5,357 sqft lot Garage $178/sqft · 11% below area Est $394k · 11% under $106/mo HOA · 4% of rent ↓ 8% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +12.6/15.0
• Cash flow +4.7/30.0
• Schools +4.0/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• 1% rule +3.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• DSCR +0.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

MLS# 46766859 - Built by Highland Homes - Ready Now! ~ Family room opens to the kitchen, great for entertaining, big wall space for that entertainment center & easy furniture placement. Chef’s dream kitchen with built in appliances, quartz countertops, and built in hutch which makes a great coffee bar area. Connected primary closet to primary bathroom allows person getting ready in the early morning/late night not to disturb some. Soaring ceilings and tons of windows brings in tons of natural lighting. Spacious primary suite with double sinks and freestanding tub. High efficiency Trane heating and cooling system with built in dehumidification. Close to Texas Medical Center and Downtown Houston.

Key facts

• Built in hutch
• 5,357 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots

Tags

• CHEF INSPIRED KITCHEN
• ELEGANT QUARTZ COUNTERTOPS
• BUILT IN HUTCH
• CONNECTED WALK IN CLOSET
• FREESTANDING SOAKING TUB
• NEAR TEXAS MEDICAL CENTER

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $349k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-870 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $241k (30.9% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $281k (19.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $241k (30.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 3.3% vs local median 4.2% in Iowa Colony — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#757 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Alvin ISD (suburban): math 39% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #255 of 826 in TX (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Meridiana El (math 39% / reading 41%, grade F, #1,514 of 4,322 statewide, top 36%, 998 students, 42% FRL); Iowa Colony H S (792 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 1736 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 99d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($307k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.

Recommended offer $241,319 (30.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.80% ✗
• Cap rate: 3.30%
• Cash-on-cash: -10.68%
• DSCR: 0.52
• GRM: 10.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $394,089
• List price: $349,000
• Delta: -11.44%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
5251 Palo Verde Dr	0.29mi	4/2.5	1,910 (-3%)	2mo	$335,000	$175	80
5227 Palo Verde Dr	0.28mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,977 (+1%)	2mo	$325,000	$164	79
5215 Getty Ln	0.14mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,872 (-4%)	2mo	$361,000	$193	79
10131 Palm Springs Pl	0.23mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,901 (-3%)	3mo	$365,000	$192	77
10102 Palm Springs Pl	0.25mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,901 (-3%)	3mo	$347,990	$183	76
10115 Palm Springs Pl	0.25mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,878 (-4%)	1mo	$350,000	$186	76
10127 Palm Springs Pl	0.24mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,878 (-4%)	2mo	$350,000	$186	75
10107 Palm Springs Pl	0.26mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,866 (-5%)	0mo	$330,000	$177	74
10419 Hay Meadow Dr	0.15mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,096 (+7%)	2mo	$350,000	$167	73
5210 Getty Ln	0.13mi	4/3.0	1,753 (-11%)	3mo	$346,990	$198	72
5235 Palo Verde Dr	0.28mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,838 (-6%)	1mo	$325,000	$177	70
4946 Hitchings Ct	0.42mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,141 (+9%)	1mo	$336,000	$157	57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -39.5%
• Equity multiple: -0.21×
• Total profit: $-118,528
• Equity at exit: $52,037

10-year hold

• IRR: -88.7%
• Equity multiple: -1.05×
• Total profit: $-200,152
• Equity at exit: $30,175

Cash invested: $97,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 180 active · 34 under contract
• Months of supply: 25.1 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $394,990 ($193/sqft)
• Median days on market: 132 d
• This list price: 19% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: +4.2% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 77583

• Rents YoY: 0.4%
• Active inventory: 1736
• Price-to-rent: 10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,807 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,830
• Tax from tax record: −$1,005 /mo · $12,066/yr
• Insurance: −$145
• HOA: −$106
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$589
• Net cashflow: $-870

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,908

Max offer price $241,319

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-672	-5% $-771	+0% $-870	+5% $-968	+10% $-1,067
Rent	-10% $-1,091	-5% $-980	+0% $-870	+5% $-759	+10% $-648
Rate	-1.0pp $-694	-0.5pp $-781	base $-870	+0.5pp $-960	+1.0pp $-1,052

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $87,250
• Closing costs: $10,470
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 9 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
10035 Crescendo Way Rosharon, TX	3.0	2.0	1446	$2,275	$1.57	70d	1	0.28mi
9623 Wright Dr Manvel, TX	4.0	3.0	2548	$3,600	$1.41	120d	1	0.70mi
5714 Caracara St Arcola, TX	3.0	2.0	2518	$2,750	$1.09	98d	1	0.92mi
4143 Champlain Way Iowa Colony, TX	3.0	3.0	1839	$2,400	$1.31	38d	1	0.93mi
4018 Champlain Way Rosharon, TX	3.0	2.5	1897	$1,500	$0.79	103d	1	1.05mi
10526 Cabot Trl Iowa Colony, TX	3.0	2.5	1927	$2,500	$1.30	54d	1	1.07mi
10327 Armstrong Dr Rosharon, TX	3.0	2.0	1956	$2,291	$1.17	139d	1	1.12mi
10539 Dolce Ln Rosharon, TX	4.0	2.5	2258	$2,391	$1.06	108d	1	1.15mi
3734 Bach St Iowa Colony, TX	4.0	3.0	2258	$2,800	$1.24	38d	1	1.18mi

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Owner is the listing agent
• HOA & community: Homeowners association managed by InframarkAnnual association fee of $1,271

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage2 garage spaces
• Utilities: Public waterPublic sewer
• Home design: Residential propertySingle-story entry (all main rooms listed on first floor)
• Construction: Built in 2024Brick and cement siding exteriorComposition roofSlab foundation
• Exterior features: Located in a subdivision

Interior

• Kitchen: First-floor kitchen (15 x 13)
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (15 x 12)Three additional first-floor bedrooms each about 10 x 11One more first-floor bedroom (10 x 11)
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas)Central electric air conditioning
• Interior features: 6 total rooms

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-09-24
   days on market $349,000 Active 139 DOM
2. 2026-09-23
   days on market $349,000 Active 138 DOM
3. 2026-09-22
   days on market $349,000 Active 137 DOM
4. 2026-09-21
   days on market $349,000 Active 136 DOM
5. 2026-09-20
   days on market $349,000 Active 135 DOM
6. 2026-09-19
   days on market $349,000 Active 134 DOM
7. 2026-09-18
   days on market $349,000 Active 133 DOM
8. 2026-09-17
   days on market $349,000 Active 132 DOM
9. 2026-09-16
   days on market $349,000 Active 131 DOM
10. 2026-09-15
    days on market $349,000 Active 130 DOM
11. 2026-09-14
    days on market $349,000 Active 129 DOM
12. 2026-09-13
    days on market $349,000 Active 128 DOM
13. 2026-09-12
    days on market $349,000 Active 127 DOM
14. 2026-09-11
    days on market $349,000 Active 126 DOM
15. 2026-09-05
    days on market $349,000 Active 120 DOM
16. 2026-09-04
    days on market $349,000 Active 119 DOM
17. 2026-09-02
    days on market $349,000 Active 117 DOM
18. 2026-08-31
    days on market $349,000 Active 115 DOM
19. 2026-08-29
    days on market $349,000 Active 113 DOM
20. 2026-08-28
    days on market $349,000 Active 112 DOM
21. 2026-08-27
    days on market $349,000 Active 111 DOM
22. 2026-08-26
    days on market $349,000 Active 110 DOM
23. 2026-08-25
    days on market $349,000 Active 109 DOM
24. 2026-08-24
    days on market $349,000 Active 108 DOM
25. 2026-08-23
    pricedays on market $349,000 Active 107 DOM
26. 2026-08-22
    days on market $359,000 Active 106 DOM
27. 2026-08-21
    days on market $359,000 Active 105 DOM
28. 2026-08-20
    days on market $359,000 Active 104 DOM
29. 2026-08-19
    days on market $359,000 Active 103 DOM
30. 2026-08-18
    days on market $359,000 Active 102 DOM
31. 2026-08-17
    days on market $359,000 Active 101 DOM
32. 2026-08-16
    days on market $359,000 Active 100 DOM
33. 2026-08-15
    days on market $359,000 Active 99 DOM
34. 2026-08-14
    days on market $359,000 Active 98 DOM
35. 2026-08-13
    days on market $359,000 Active 97 DOM
36. 2026-08-12
    days on market $359,000 Active 96 DOM
37. 2026-08-11
    days on market $359,000 Active 95 DOM
38. 2026-08-10
    days on market $359,000 Active 94 DOM
39. 2026-08-09
    days on market $359,000 Active 93 DOM
40. 2026-08-08
    days on market $359,000 Active 92 DOM
41. 2026-08-06
    days on market $359,000 Active 90 DOM
42. 2026-08-05
    days on market $359,000 Active 89 DOM
43. 2026-08-04
    days on market $359,000 Active 88 DOM
44. 2026-08-03
    days on market $359,000 Active 87 DOM
45. 2026-07-31
    days on market $359,000 Active 84 DOM
46. 2026-07-30
    days on market $359,000 Active 82 DOM
47. 2026-07-28
    days on market $359,000 Active 81 DOM
48. 2026-07-26
    days on market $359,000 Active 79 DOM
49. 2026-07-24
    days on market $359,000 Active 77 DOM
50. 2026-07-23
    days on market $359,000 Active 76 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $12,066 · $1,005/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $12,066 · $1,005/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $33,684
• − Mortgage interest: −$19,549
• − Property taxes: −$12,066
• − Insurance: −$1,745
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,695
• − Management: −$2,695
• − HOA: −$1,272
• − Depreciation: −$10,153
• Taxable loss: −$16,490
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$3,958
• After-tax cash flow: $-6,477/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This move-in ready home by Highland Homes offers a spacious and well-designed interior with modern finishes and ample natural light. The exterior is well-maintained, and the property is ready for immediate occupancy.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both Landscaping and trimming bushes — Maintaining the lawn and landscaping improves curb appeal ↑
• Both Reorganizing interior spaces — Creating a more functional and inviting living space ↑

F Composite school gradezoned avg 40/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Meridiana El F TX #1,514/4,322 Nat'l #19,354/41,679 High Iowa Colony H S

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Alvin ISD
• NCES district ID: 4808090
• Math proficiency: 39% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $66,740
• Composite: 38.96/100
• National rank: #4080
• State rank: #255 of 826 in TX

C Composite livability gradescore 64/100

Livability — Iowa Colony

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #757
• US rank: #13904

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Iowa Colony, TX
• County: Brazoria County · 420,414 people
• City population: 52,747
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 52,747
• Household income: $119,287
• Rent vs Own: 9.8% rent · 90.2% own

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Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 420,414 people
• By 2030: 457,585 · +8.8%
• By 2040: 532,232 · +26.6%
• By 2050: 605,399 · +44.0%
• By 2075: 779,358 · +85.4%
• By 2100: 883,759 · +110.2%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 38% Black 34% White 20% Two or more races 18% Asian 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 31% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 16% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 64% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 1%

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Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria

• 2024 margin: R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: +9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -120.19%
• Current HPI: 198.6559
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.44%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Owner is the listing agent
• HOA & community: Homeowners association managed by InframarkAnnual association fee of $1,271

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage2 garage spaces
• Utilities: Public waterPublic sewer
• Home design: Residential propertySingle-story entry (all main rooms listed on first floor)
• Construction: Built in 2024Brick and cement siding exteriorComposition roofSlab foundation
• Exterior features: Located in a subdivision

Interior

• Kitchen: First-floor kitchen (15 x 13)
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (15 x 12)Three additional first-floor bedrooms each about 10 x 11One more first-floor bedroom (10 x 11)
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas)Central electric air conditioning
• Interior features: 6 total rooms

Price history

-8.2% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-08 Listed $359,000 HARMLS
• 2024-09-12 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
• 2024-08-06 Pending — HARMLS
• 2024-07-26 Price Changed $369,500 HARMLS
• 2024-05-21 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2024-05-21 Listed $379,000 HARMLS
• 2024-05-17 Price Changed $379,000 HARMLS
• 2024-03-27 Listed $390,969 HARMLS

Property tax history

+564.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $12,066 · +564.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.