3806 N Oak Dr Unit V22 · Tampa, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.57%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to your stylish, move-in-ready 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo in South Tampa that delivers the perfect mix of modern updates, smart layout, and unbeatable location. .. all at an approachable price point! Situated on the second floor, the open-concept living and dining space flows seamlessly into a refreshed kitchen with stainless steel appliances, solid surface countertops, updated cabinetry pulls, and breakfast bar seating-ideal for hosting friends or easy weeknight dinners. Both bedrooms feature walk-in closets with custom shelving systems and share a gorgeous renovated Jack-and-Jill bathroom with dual vanities ('25) and a glass enclosed shower. ('22) Your enclosed office/sunroom adds flexible bonus space for remote work, workouts, or a creative retreat, plus in-unit laundry and extra storage. Recent upgrades throughout allow you to move right in and make it your own without the hassle, including water heater ('23), HVAC and Electric Panel ('23) and fresh touch-ups throughout. .. care of ownership is evident and it shines through! Just a short bike or golf cart ride to world class Bayshore Boulevard and Hyde Park, your new condo is set in a well-maintained South Tampa community just minutes from the Selmon Expressway/Gandy, Downtown Tampa and St. Petersburg, Tampa International Airport, Clearwater beaches, and MacDill Air Force Base, this location makes commuting-or getting away-effortless. Enjoy low-maintenance living with resort-style amenities including a pool, fishing pier overlooking a scenic pond, clubhouse, BBQ pavilion, assigned parking, ample guest parking, and optional boat/RV storage. HOA fees cover water, sewer, trash, exterior maintenance, insurance, pest control, and basic cable-keeping monthly costs predictable and affordable. Close to top restaurants, coffee shops, gyms, nightlife, and everyday essentials, this condo is an ideal opportunity for young professionals, first-time buyers, or anyone looking to own in one of Tampa’s most connected and in-demand neighborhoods.
Key facts
- Open concept living
- Updated cabinetry
- Refreshed kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-51 ($-612/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $186k (4.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $172k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#142 in FL, #2,135 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Anderson Elementary School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 304 students, 46% FRL); Madison Middle School (math 43% / reading 46%, grade D, #320 of 571 statewide, top 57%, 563 students, 65% FRL); Robinson High School (math 43% / reading 63%, grade C-, #148 of 667 statewide, top 23%, 1,354 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 423 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $195k implies a 222% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.12%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-39,220
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- -23.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.02×
- Total profit
- $-55,435
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33611
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 423
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,019 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $682/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$485
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$424
- Net cashflow
- $-51
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $59 | -5% $4 | +0% $-51 | +5% $-106 | +10% $-161 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-210 | -5% $-131 | +0% $-51 | +5% $29 | +10% $108 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $47 | -0.5pp $-1 | base $-51 | +0.5pp $-102 | +1.0pp $-153 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3811 N Oak Dr Unit 61 Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,880 | $2.08 | 12d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 3811 N Oak Dr Unit 61 Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,880 | $2.08 | 1d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 3821 N Oak Dr Unit J21 Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $1,950 | $1.93 | 22d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 4207 S Dale Mabry Hwy Tampa, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1117 | $2,185 | $1.96 | 1d | 8 | 0.15mi |
| 3814 W Euclid Ave Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,500 | $2.31 | 26d | 2 | 0.42mi |
| 3414 W Oakellar Ave Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1078 | $1,850 | $1.72 | 15d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 4220 La Dega Ct Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $1,899 | $1.82 | 26d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4220 La Dega Ct Unit 1 Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1044 | $1,899 | $1.82 | 26d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4521 W La Villa Ln Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1044 | $1,875 | $1.80 | 26d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4233 La Sorrento Ct Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1044 | $2,200 | $2.11 | 5d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4304 La Riviera Ct Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1044 | $3,275 | $3.14 | 26d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4315 Aegean Dr Unit 102C Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,849 | $1.85 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5055 S Dale Mabry Hwy Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 797 | $2,000 | $2.51 | 4d | 28 | 0.70mi |
| 4002 S Manhattan Ave Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,549 | $2.38 | 1d | 3 | 0.73mi |
| 5000 S Himes Ave Tampa, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 866 | $2,155 | $2.49 | 0d | 7 | 0.74mi |
| 3404 W Marlin Ave Tampa, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 915 | $1,900 | $2.08 | 6d | 10 | 0.76mi |
| 5101 S Clarice Ct Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,300 | $1.59 | 26d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5107 S Clarice Ct Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5117 S Clarice Ct Unit 5117A Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,756 | $1.95 | 15d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5113 S Clarice Ct Unit 5113A Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 16d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5145 S Dale Mabry Hwy Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1057 | $3,253 | $3.08 | 0d | 20 | 0.86mi |
| 3606 S MacDill Ave Unit 208 Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $2,095 | $2.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4015 Bayshore Blvd Tampa, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 747 | $2,500 | $3.35 | 4d | 3 | 1.05mi |
| 5110 S Manhattan Ave Tampa, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 997 | $2,686 | $2.69 | 1d | 23 | 1.09mi |
| 3325 Bayshore Blvd Tampa, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 2.0 | 832 | $2,300 | $2.76 | 26d | 2 | 1.19mi |
| 3401 W San Pedro St Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $2,200 | $2.72 | 26d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3203 W Tacon St Unit B Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 832 | $1,800 | $2.16 | 6d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3203 W Tacon St Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 832 | $1,800 | $2.16 | 5d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3417 W San Juan St Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,445 | $2.22 | 26d | 3 | 1.21mi |
| 3313 W San Pedro St Apt 2 Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $2,200 | $2.53 | 26d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3325 Bayshore Blvd Unit E35 Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $2,200 | $2.35 | 6d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3325 Bayshore Blvd Unit E34 Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $2,300 | $2.46 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 4800 S West Shore Blvd Tampa, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 801 | $2,256 | $2.82 | 0d | 18 | 1.25mi |
| 2575 S Himes Ave Unit A Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $1,800 | $2.88 | 12d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3701 W Wyoming Ave Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3218 W Santiago St Unit 2 Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,000 | $2.35 | 26d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3009 S Manhattan Ave Unit B Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,800 | $1.89 | 26d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4003 S West Shore Blvd Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 690 | $1,950 | $2.82 | 1d | 304 | 1.37mi |
| 5901 S Dale Mabry Hwy Unit B Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,500 | $1.95 | 26d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3394 W Wyoming Cir Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 930 | $2,600 | $2.80 | 26d | 1 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $485 · $5,820/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrashelectriccableexterior maint.poolgymparking
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $195,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $195,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $195,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $195,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $218,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-03-07price $218,000 2036-char remark
Show marketing remark (2036 chars)
Welcome home to your stylish, move-in-ready 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo in South Tampa that delivers the perfect mix of modern updates, smart layout, and unbeatable location. .. all at an approachable price point! Situated on the second floor, the open-concept living and dining space flows seamlessly into a refreshed kitchen with stainless steel appliances, solid surface countertops, updated cabinetry pulls, and breakfast bar seating-ideal for hosting friends or easy weeknight dinners. Both bedrooms feature walk-in closets with custom shelving systems and share a gorgeous renovated Jack-and-Jill bathroom with dual vanities ('25) and a glass enclosed shower. ('22) Your enclosed office/sunroom adds flexible bonus space for remote work, workouts, or a creative retreat, plus in-unit laundry and extra storage. Recent upgrades throughout allow you to move right in and make it your own without the hassle, including water heater ('23), HVAC and Electric Panel ('23) and fresh touch-ups throughout. .. care of ownership is evident and it shines through! Just a short bike or golf cart ride to world class Bayshore Boulevard and Hyde Park, your new condo is set in a well-maintained South Tampa community just minutes from the Selmon Expressway/Gandy, Downtown Tampa and St. Petersburg, Tampa International Airport, Clearwater beaches, and MacDill Air Force Base, this location makes commuting-or getting away-effortless. Enjoy low-maintenance living with resort-style amenities including a pool, fishing pier overlooking a scenic pond, clubhouse, BBQ pavilion, assigned parking, ample guest parking, and optional boat/RV storage. HOA fees cover water, sewer, trash, exterior maintenance, insurance, pest control, and basic cable-keeping monthly costs predictable and affordable. Close to top restaurants, coffee shops, gyms, nightlife, and everyday essentials, this condo is an ideal opportunity for young professionals, first-time buyers, or anyone looking to own in one of Tampa’s most connected and in-demand neighborhoods.
-
2026-01-16$224,000 Active 2036-char remark
Show marketing remark (2036 chars)
Welcome home to your stylish, move-in-ready 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo in South Tampa that delivers the perfect mix of modern updates, smart layout, and unbeatable location. .. all at an approachable price point! Situated on the second floor, the open-concept living and dining space flows seamlessly into a refreshed kitchen with stainless steel appliances, solid surface countertops, updated cabinetry pulls, and breakfast bar seating-ideal for hosting friends or easy weeknight dinners. Both bedrooms feature walk-in closets with custom shelving systems and share a gorgeous renovated Jack-and-Jill bathroom with dual vanities ('25) and a glass enclosed shower. ('22) Your enclosed office/sunroom adds flexible bonus space for remote work, workouts, or a creative retreat, plus in-unit laundry and extra storage. Recent upgrades throughout allow you to move right in and make it your own without the hassle, including water heater ('23), HVAC and Electric Panel ('23) and fresh touch-ups throughout. .. care of ownership is evident and it shines through! Just a short bike or golf cart ride to world class Bayshore Boulevard and Hyde Park, your new condo is set in a well-maintained South Tampa community just minutes from the Selmon Expressway/Gandy, Downtown Tampa and St. Petersburg, Tampa International Airport, Clearwater beaches, and MacDill Air Force Base, this location makes commuting-or getting away-effortless. Enjoy low-maintenance living with resort-style amenities including a pool, fishing pier overlooking a scenic pond, clubhouse, BBQ pavilion, assigned parking, ample guest parking, and optional boat/RV storage. HOA fees cover water, sewer, trash, exterior maintenance, insurance, pest control, and basic cable-keeping monthly costs predictable and affordable. Close to top restaurants, coffee shops, gyms, nightlife, and everyday essentials, this condo is an ideal opportunity for young professionals, first-time buyers, or anyone looking to own in one of Tampa’s most connected and in-demand neighborhoods.
-
2014-06-23soldstatus $60,500
-
2010-07-09soldstatus $33,000 520-char remark
Show marketing remark (520 chars)
Sold in current/AS IS condition. Any RE agnt. attempting to buy a bank owned prop. , must disclose it at the time the offer is made. All information believed to be accurate, buyer/buyers agnt. must verify all. All offers submitted, subject to financing, must be accompanied by a pre-qual letter from Wells Fargo. No repairs warranties, disclosures or inspections provided by seller. Proof of funds or prequal letter must accompany all offers. It may be 24-72 hrs. for verbal response from seller. Seller hours: M-F, 9-5.
-
2010-05-12$32,000 520-char remark
Show marketing remark (520 chars)
Sold in current/AS IS condition. Any RE agnt. attempting to buy a bank owned prop. , must disclose it at the time the offer is made. All information believed to be accurate, buyer/buyers agnt. must verify all. All offers submitted, subject to financing, must be accompanied by a pre-qual letter from Wells Fargo. No repairs warranties, disclosures or inspections provided by seller. Proof of funds or prequal letter must accompany all offers. It may be 24-72 hrs. for verbal response from seller. Seller hours: M-F, 9-5.
-
2005-10-14soldstatus $144,900
-
2005-10-05soldstatus $144,900
-
2005-09-07$144,900
-
1982-10-01soldstatus $40,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $682 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,618 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- +$937/yr (+$78/mo · 137.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 57% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,222
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$682
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,938
- − Management
- −$1,938
- − HOA
- −$5,820
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable loss
- −$3,726
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$894
- After-tax cash flow
- $282/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Tampa
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2135
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tampa, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
- City population
- 523,346
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,810
- Household income
- $90,910
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1761.0
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 12% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -328.23%
- Current HPI
- 374.7996
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.69%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+438.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $218,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-16 Listed $224,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $60,500 Public Records
- 2010-07-09 Sold (MLS) $33,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-05-12 Listed $32,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $144,900 Public Records
- 2005-10-05 Sold (MLS) $144,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-09-07 Listed $144,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1982-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.3%/yrLatest (2025): $682 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…