🏷️ Likely Rental
229 Benzinger St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- Appreciation +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Turnkey investment opportunity in Lovejoy grossing $1700/mo. ! Well-maintained double with clean, on-time, responsible tenants who would love to stay, and with professional property management available. The price is right, don't miss out! Equal housing opportunity.
Key facts
- 3,896 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1892
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $374 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $130k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1892 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1892 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.35%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $194,412
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92 Schiller St | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,788 (-6%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $112 | 62 |
| 266 Ludington St | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 | 1,692 (-11%) | 10mo | $212,000 | $125 | 61 |
| 42 Hennepin St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,733 (-9%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $127 | 55 |
| 139 N Ogden St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,159 (+13%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $67 | 53 |
| 215 Ideal St | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,656 (-13%) | 19mo | $164,900 | $100 | 52 |
| 15 Central Ave | 0.62mi | 4/1.0 | 1,730 (-9%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $75 | 48 |
| 365 Atlantic Ave | 0.65mi | 4/1.0 | 1,701 (-11%) | 0mo | $146,250 | $86 | 47 |
| 310 Gold St | 0.16mi | 5/1.0 (+1) | 1,650 (-13%) | 17mo | $130,000 | $79 | 47 |
| 69 Lackawanna Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,187 (+15%) | 8mo | $295,111 | $135 | 41 |
| 84 Deshler St | 0.75mi | 4/1.0 | 1,785 (-6%) | 16mo | $35,000 | $20 | 37 |
| 108 Halstead Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,710 (-10%) | 12mo | $174,000 | $102 | 37 |
| 341 Wagner Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,620 (-15%) | 10mo | $209,900 | $130 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.14×
- Total profit
- $77,856
- Equity at exit
- $99,205
- IRR
- 26.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.73×
- Total profit
- $208,249
- Equity at exit
- $197,415
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14206
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 169
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,610 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $374
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1777 Broadway Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 14 Rutland Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $2,200 | $1.54 | 10d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1793 | $2,000 | $1.12 | 1d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 96 Academy Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2247 | $1,400 | $0.62 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1202 Walden Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 17d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-14status Active
-
2026-04-14price $129,900
-
2026-03-09status Pending
-
2026-02-03$139,900 Active
-
2019-02-05soldstatus $50,000
-
2017-02-28soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,321
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,948
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,546
- − Management
- −$1,546
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $2,576
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$618
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,873/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,631
- Household income
- $50,450
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 841.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 25% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.06%
- Current HPI
- 457.3935
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+766.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $129,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-03-09 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-02-03 Listed $139,900 WNYREIS
- 2019-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2017-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $258 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…