3060 Grand Ave · Phoenix, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$799,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 14 units. confirmed
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
The industrial piece north of this parcel would make an interesting industrial assembladge.
Key facts
- 1425 parking spots
- Built 1946
- Listed 485 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: Grand to 31st Ave, property on SE corner.
- Financial info: Annual tax information available
- HOA & community: No pool
Exterior
- Parking: 1,425 total parking spaces; Open parking available; Parking listed as 1 space per unit
- Utilities: Electric service: APS; Public sewer; City-franchise water
- Construction: Painted, stucco, and block construction; Rolled/Hot Mop roof; Two buildings
- Exterior features: Painted stucco and block construction; Rolled/Hot Mop roof; Asphalt road access; Lot dimensions approximately 200 x 200 x 148 x 282; Two buildings on the property; Fee simple ownership
Interior
- Flooring: Vinyl; Concrete
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Vinyl and concrete flooring; Natural gas heating; No cooling system indicated
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 14 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $800k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($108k/yr) — positive. Per door: $642/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($17k rent vs $800k).
- Recommended offer: $704k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.8% vs local median 3.3% in Phoenix — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AZ, #3,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F.
- Phoenix Union High School District (4286) (urban): math 10% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 249 in AZ (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Alhambra High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #281 of 381 statewide, top 75%, 2,282 students, 86% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 87 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $17,396/mo this rent would consume 358% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1843% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $224k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 486 days — a 12% lower offer ($704k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $550k (41%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 486 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.14%
- DSCR
- 3.14
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $391,456
- Equity at exit
- $119,268
- IRR
- 47.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.93×
- Total profit
- $879,880
- Equity at exit
- $69,161
Cash invested: $223,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85017
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 53.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $17,396 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,195
- Tax from tax record
- −$230 /mo · $2,756/yr
- Insurance
- −$333
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,653
- Net cashflow
- $8,985
Break-even live
14-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14× units | 2 | — | $17,402 |
| #1 | 2 | — | $1,243 |
| #2 | 2 | — | $1,243 |
| #3 | 2 | — | $1,243 |
| #4 | 2 | — | $1,243 |
| #5 | 2 | — | $1,243 |
| #6 | 2 | — | $1,243 |
| #7 | 2 | — | $1,243 |
| #8 | 2 | — | $1,243 |
| #9 | 2 | — | $1,243 |
| #10 | 2 | — | $1,243 |
| #11 | 2 | — | $1,243 |
| #12 | 2 | — | $1,243 |
| #13 | 2 | — | $1,243 |
| #14 | 2 | — | $1,243 |
| Total (14 units) | $17,396 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $199,975
- Closing costs
- $23,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2123 W Devonshire Ave Unit 3 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2833 | $795 | $0.28 | 1d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2115 W Devonshire Ave Unit 4 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2833 | $995 | $0.35 | 1d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $799,900 Active 486 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $799,900 Active 485 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $799,900 Active 484 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $799,900 Active 483 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $799,900 Active 481 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $799,900 Active 480 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $849,900 Active 477 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $849,900 Active 476 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $849,900 Active 475 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $849,900 Active 472 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $849,900 Active 471 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $849,900 Active 470 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $849,900 Active 469 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $849,900 Active 468 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $849,900
-
2026-04-13status Active
-
2026-04-02status Pending
-
2026-03-10price $899,900
-
2026-02-06price $924,900
-
2026-01-15price $949,900
-
2025-12-02status Active
-
2025-12-02price $974,900
-
2025-09-24price $999,900
-
2025-09-02price $1,049,900
-
2025-08-31status Active
-
2025-08-11status Pending
-
2025-08-11historical
-
2025-05-08price $1,099,900
-
2025-03-05price $1,175,000
-
2025-01-24price $1,200,000
-
2024-12-12price $1,250,000
-
2024-12-07status Active
-
2024-11-15status Pending
-
2024-10-14price $1,295,000
-
2024-09-23$1,350,000 Active
-
2022-03-11price $995
-
2021-05-17soldstatus $726,000 Closed 91-char remark
Show marketing remark (91 chars)
The industrial piece north of this parcel would make an interesting industrial assembladge.
-
2021-05-17soldstatus $726,000
Show marketing remark (91 chars)
The industrial piece north of this parcel would make an interesting industrial assembladge.
-
2021-04-30status Pending 91-char remark
Show marketing remark (91 chars)
The industrial piece north of this parcel would make an interesting industrial assembladge.
-
2021-03-05$660,000 Active 91-char remark
Show marketing remark (91 chars)
The industrial piece north of this parcel would make an interesting industrial assembladge.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,756 · $230/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,279 · $440/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,523/yr (+$210/mo · 91.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $208,752
- − Mortgage interest
- −$44,807
- − Property taxes
- −$2,756
- − Insurance
- −$4,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$16,700
- − Management
- −$16,700
- − Depreciation
- −$23,270
- Taxable income
- $100,519
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$24,125
- After-tax cash flow
- $83,697/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Phoenix Union High School District (4286)
- NCES district ID
- 0406330
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,055
- Composite
- 10.63/100
- National rank
- #9773
- State rank
- #224 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Phoenix
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #3924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Phoenix, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 1,500,198
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,129
- Household income
- $58,346
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1843.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 61% Two or more races 31% White 20% Black 10% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 54%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 40% English-only · Spanish 51% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.21%
- Current HPI
- 471.0211
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.33%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
+28.8% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $849,900 ARMLS
- 2026-04-13 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2026-04-02 Pending — ARMLS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $899,900 ARMLS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $924,900 ARMLS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $949,900 ARMLS
- 2025-12-02 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $974,900 ARMLS
- 2025-09-24 Price Changed $999,900 ARMLS
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $1,049,900 ARMLS
- 2025-08-31 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2025-08-11 Pending — ARMLS
- 2025-08-11 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-05-08 Price Changed $1,099,900 ARMLS
- 2025-03-05 Price Changed $1,175,000 ARMLS
- 2025-01-24 Price Changed $1,200,000 ARMLS
- 2024-12-12 Price Changed $1,250,000 ARMLS
- 2024-12-07 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2024-11-15 Pending — ARMLS
- 2024-10-14 Price Changed $1,295,000 ARMLS
- 2024-09-23 Listed $1,350,000 ARMLS
- 2022-03-11 Price Changed $995 RENT.
- 2021-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $726,000 Public Records
- 2021-05-17 Sold (MLS) $726,000 ARMLS
- 2021-04-30 Pending — ARMLS
- 2021-03-05 Listed $660,000 ARMLS
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,756 · +10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…