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14-Plex
B- Composite 67.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$799,900

3060 Grand Ave · Phoenix, AZ 85017
None bd · None ba · 3,328 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 486 Days on market
Built 1946

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 14 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

The industrial piece north of this parcel would make an interesting industrial assembladge.

Key facts

  • 1425 parking spots
  • Built 1946
  • Listed 485 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: Grand to 31st Ave, property on SE corner.
  • Financial info: Annual tax information available
  • HOA & community: No pool

Exterior

  • Parking: 1,425 total parking spaces; Open parking available; Parking listed as 1 space per unit
  • Utilities: Electric service: APS; Public sewer; City-franchise water
  • Construction: Painted, stucco, and block construction; Rolled/Hot Mop roof; Two buildings
  • Exterior features: Painted stucco and block construction; Rolled/Hot Mop roof; Asphalt road access; Lot dimensions approximately 200 x 200 x 148 x 282; Two buildings on the property; Fee simple ownership

Interior

  • Flooring: Vinyl; Concrete
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Vinyl and concrete flooring; Natural gas heating; No cooling system indicated

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 14 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $800k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($108k/yr) — positive. Per door: $642/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($17k rent vs $800k).
  • Recommended offer: $704k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.8% vs local median 3.3% in Phoenix — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AZ, #3,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F.
  • Phoenix Union High School District (4286) (urban): math 10% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 249 in AZ (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Alhambra High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #281 of 381 statewide, top 75%, 2,282 students, 86% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 87 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $17,396/mo this rent would consume 358% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1843% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $224k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 486 days — a 12% lower offer ($704k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $550k (41%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $703,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 486 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.17%
Cap rate
19.77%
Cash-on-cash
48.14%
DSCR
3.14
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.3%
Equity multiple
2.75×
Total profit
$391,456
Equity at exit
$119,268
10-year hold
IRR
47.1%
Equity multiple
4.93×
Total profit
$879,880
Equity at exit
$69,161

Cash invested: $223,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85017

Home prices YoY
-14.4%
Rents YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
87
Price-to-rent
53.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$17,396 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,195
Tax from tax record
$230 /mo · $2,756/yr
Insurance
$333
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,653
Net cashflow
$8,985

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,022
Max offer price $799,900
Occupancy floor 43%

14-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (14 units) $17,396

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$199,975
Closing costs
$23,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2123 W Devonshire Ave Unit 3 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0 2833 $795 $0.28 1d 1 1.32mi
2115 W Devonshire Ave Unit 4 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0 2833 $995 $0.35 1d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 40 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $799,900 Active 486 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $799,900 Active 485 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $799,900 Active 484 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $799,900 Active 483 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $799,900 Active 481 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $799,900 Active 480 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $849,900 Active 477 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $849,900 Active 476 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $849,900 Active 475 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $849,900 Active 472 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $849,900 Active 471 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $849,900 Active 470 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $849,900 Active 469 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $849,900 Active 468 DOM
  15. 2026-05-06
    price $849,900
  16. 2026-04-13
    status Active
  17. 2026-04-02
    status Pending
  18. 2026-03-10
    price $899,900
  19. 2026-02-06
    price $924,900
  20. 2026-01-15
    price $949,900
  21. 2025-12-02
    status Active
  22. 2025-12-02
    price $974,900
  23. 2025-09-24
    price $999,900
  24. 2025-09-02
    price $1,049,900
  25. 2025-08-31
    status Active
  26. 2025-08-11
    status Pending
  27. 2025-08-11
    historical
  28. 2025-05-08
    price $1,099,900
  29. 2025-03-05
    price $1,175,000
  30. 2025-01-24
    price $1,200,000
  31. 2024-12-12
    price $1,250,000
  32. 2024-12-07
    status Active
  33. 2024-11-15
    status Pending
  34. 2024-10-14
    price $1,295,000
  35. 2024-09-23
    listed $1,350,000 Active
  36. 2022-03-11
    price $995
  37. 2021-05-17
    soldstatus $726,000 Closed 91-char remark
    Show marketing remark (91 chars)

    The industrial piece north of this parcel would make an interesting industrial assembladge.

  38. 2021-05-17
    soldstatus $726,000
    Show marketing remark (91 chars)

    The industrial piece north of this parcel would make an interesting industrial assembladge.

  39. 2021-04-30
    status Pending 91-char remark
    Show marketing remark (91 chars)

    The industrial piece north of this parcel would make an interesting industrial assembladge.

  40. 2021-03-05
    listed $660,000 Active 91-char remark
    Show marketing remark (91 chars)

    The industrial piece north of this parcel would make an interesting industrial assembladge.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,756 · $230/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,279 · $440/mo
Expected delta
+$2,523/yr (+$210/mo · 91.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$208,752
− Mortgage interest
−$44,807
− Property taxes
−$2,756
− Insurance
−$4,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$16,700
− Management
−$16,700
− Depreciation
−$23,270
Taxable income
$100,519
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$24,125
After-tax cash flow
$83,697/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Phoenix Union High School District (4286)
NCES district ID
0406330
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$39,055
Composite
10.63/100
National rank
#9773
State rank
#224 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Phoenix

Score
75/100
State rank
#16
US rank
#3924

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Phoenix, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
1,500,198
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
46,129
Household income
$58,346
Rent vs Own
55.6% rent · 44.4% own
Severe rent burden
1843.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 61% Two or more races 31% White 20% Black 10% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 54%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
31% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
40% English-only · Spanish 51% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.21%
Current HPI
471.0211
Rent YoY
▼ -0.33%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+28.8% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $849,900 ARMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Pending ARMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $899,900 ARMLS
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $924,900 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $949,900 ARMLS
  • 2025-12-02 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2025-12-02 Price Changed $974,900 ARMLS
  • 2025-09-24 Price Changed $999,900 ARMLS
  • 2025-09-02 Price Changed $1,049,900 ARMLS
  • 2025-08-31 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2025-08-11 Pending ARMLS
  • 2025-08-11 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2025-05-08 Price Changed $1,099,900 ARMLS
  • 2025-03-05 Price Changed $1,175,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-01-24 Price Changed $1,200,000 ARMLS
  • 2024-12-12 Price Changed $1,250,000 ARMLS
  • 2024-12-07 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2024-11-15 Pending ARMLS
  • 2024-10-14 Price Changed $1,295,000 ARMLS
  • 2024-09-23 Listed $1,350,000 ARMLS
  • 2022-03-11 Price Changed $995 RENT.
  • 2021-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $726,000 Public Records
  • 2021-05-17 Sold (MLS) $726,000 ARMLS
  • 2021-04-30 Pending ARMLS
  • 2021-03-05 Listed $660,000 ARMLS

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,756 · +10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…