1784 Longleaf Prairie Dr · Davenport, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.8/30.0
- ARV discount +10.3/15.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,990
1784 Longleaf Prairie Dr · Davenport, FL 33837
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,674 sqft · Land
· 39 Days on market
Built 2026
2,200 sqft lot
1-car garage
$161/sqft
· 6% below area
Est $288k · 6% under
$150/mo HOA · 6% of rent
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Pre-Construction. To be built. Welcome home to Pine Pointe at Astonia, a new low-maintenance townhome community with easy access to major highways, everyday conveniences, and resort-style amenities. Enjoy low-maintenance living at a great value near Champions Gate and I-4. Resort-style pool, cabana, tot lot, dog park, and open green space. Included paver patio and privacy fence between neighbors. HOA includes internet, cable, lawn and exterior maintenance, & roof replacement. Enjoy comfort and convenience inside The Mayshore. Enter this one-car garage attached home through the covered front porch. The welcoming foyer leads your eye to the spacious living area.
Key facts
- Hoa includes cable
- Included paver patio
- Resort-style pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
Sold within
Property
Rental comp
Retail
Costco
Walmart
Transit
Schools
Stadiums
Fortune 500
· Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath land listed at $270k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-124 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $252k (6.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (11.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $239k (11.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.1% in Davenport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#423 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Loughman Oaks Elementary School (math 36% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,670 of 2,144 statewide, top 78%, 1,052 students, 37% FRL); Shelley S. Boone Middle School (math 25% / reading 25%, grade F, #517 of 571 statewide, top 91%, 1,403 students, 52% FRL); Davenport High School (2,333 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 42% FRL vs 60% district-wide (18 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.7%/yr); 2240 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 108d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer
$239,457
(11.3% below list)
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.97%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $287,990
- List price
- $269,990
- Delta
- -6.25%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1652 Sweet Sapling Ct | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,674 (0%) | 1mo | $290,990 | $174 | 98 |
| 1676 Sweet Sapling Ct | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,674 (0%) | 2mo | $269,990 | $161 | 98 |
| 1253 Pineywood Field Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 | 1,674 (0%) | 1mo | $317,990 | $190 | 96 |
| 1229 Pineywood Field Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 | 1,674 (0%) | 1mo | $285,990 | $171 | 95 |
| 1235 Pineywood Field Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 | 1,674 (0%) | 1mo | $276,990 | $165 | 95 |
| 1247 Pineywood Field Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 | 1,674 (0%) | 2mo | $285,589 | $171 | 95 |
| 1200 Pineywood Field Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 | 1,673 (-0%) | 2mo | $296,990 | $178 | 92 |
| 1060 Cascade Dr | 1.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,506 (-10%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $199 | 45 |
| 248 Victory Ave | 1.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,466 (-12%) | 0mo | $290,000 | $198 | 42 |
| 1564 Eucalyptus Way | 0.94mi | 3/2.5 | 1,910 (+14%) | 1mo | $335,000 | $175 | 41 |
| 895 Sydney St | 1.01mi | 3/2.5 | 1,910 (+14%) | 2mo | $359,900 | $188 | 40 |
| 245 Foggy Creek Rd | 1.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-14%) | 3mo | $320,000 | $222 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
5-year hold
- IRR
- -23.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-58,545
- Equity at exit
- $40,256
10-year hold
- IRR
- -29.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.16×
- Total profit
- $-87,759
- Equity at exit
- $23,344
Cash invested: $75,597 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
ZIP-level market 33837
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- -2.7%
- Active inventory
- 2240
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
↻
- Estimated rent
- $2,395 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,416
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$337 /mo · $4,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$150
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$503
- Net cashflow
- $-124
Break-even live
Break-even rent
$2,552
Max offer price
$252,028
Occupancy floor
—
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $62 | -5% $-31 | +0% $-124 | +5% $-217 | +10% $-311 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-313 | -5% $-219 | +0% $-124 | +5% $-30 | +10% $65 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $12 | -0.5pp $-55 | base $-124 | +0.5pp $-194 | +1.0pp $-265 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,498
- Closing costs
- $8,100
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608 Daring Dr Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1848 | $2,250 | $1.22 | 125d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 616 Daring Dr Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2090 | $2,500 | $1.20 | 164d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 640 Daring Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $2,200 | $1.41 | 5d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 640 Daring Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $2,200 | $1.41 | 10d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 541 Hatteras Rd Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1884 | $2,350 | $1.25 | 55d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 652 Daring Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2109 | $2,150 | $1.02 | 164d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 655 Daring Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $2,300 | $1.46 | 118d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 506 Hatteras Rd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2120 | $2,420 | $1.14 | 10d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 683 Daring Dr Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1853 | $2,200 | $1.19 | 118d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 503 Hatteras Rd Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1853 | $2,250 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 700 Daring Dr Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1853 | $2,350 | $1.27 | 164d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 316 Heroic Rd Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2080 | $2,900 | $1.39 | 138d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 348 Heroic Rd Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1848 | $2,275 | $1.23 | 10d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 716 Daring Dr Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2080 | $2,600 | $1.25 | 55d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 263 Brave Rd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1555 | $2,300 | $1.48 | 125d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1731 Oceania Ave Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2110 | $2,360 | $1.12 | 138d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1337 Cascade Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1506 | $2,025 | $1.34 | 155d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1824 Brisbane Pl Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $2,200 | $1.38 | 160d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1807 Brisbane Pl Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1615 | $2,370 | $1.47 | 10d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 315 Lily Ln Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1863 | $2,650 | $1.42 | 10d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 315 Lily Ln Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1863 | $2,650 | $1.42 | 17d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 840 Sydney St Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2029 | $2,400 | $1.18 | 10d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1011 John Jacob Rd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1555 | $2,100 | $1.35 | 118d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2788 Pierr St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,150 | $1.26 | 155d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2821 Pierr St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1873 | $2,000 | $1.07 | 164d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2776 Pierr St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1834 | $1,900 | $1.04 | 10d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2768 Pierr St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1840 | $1,950 | $1.06 | 51d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2172 Desert Rose Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1545 | $2,250 | $1.46 | 164d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 828 Daring Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $2,200 | $1.41 | 10d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1126 James Paul Rd Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2041 | $2,200 | $1.08 | 155d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1106 James Paul Rd Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1897 | $2,500 | $1.32 | 10d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 832 Daring Dr Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1868 | $2,500 | $1.34 | 125d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1238 Fury St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,850 | $1.17 | 55d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 852 Daring Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1555 | $1,990 | $1.28 | 164d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3007 Chantilly Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1649 | $1,850 | $1.12 | 10d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 860 Daring Dr Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2080 | $2,300 | $1.11 | 55d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 865 Daring Dr Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1890 | $2,650 | $1.40 | 10d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4711 Terrasonesta Dr Unit 1580541P Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2174 | $4,545 | $2.09 | 108d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2212 Orchid Dr Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2034 | $2,400 | $1.18 | 10d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 507 Lily Ln Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1952 | $2,300 | $1.18 | 160d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Lease restrictions applyHome warranty included
- Financial info
- Other annual assessment: $2,040Total monthly fees listed as $150
- HOA & community
- HOA (Ryan Homes) with $150 monthly feeAssociation amenities include park and playgroundHOA fee covers cable TV, internet, and grounds maintenancePets allowed
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 1-car garage with garage door opener (10x21)
- Security
- Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity available
- Home design
- Residential townhouseAttached propertyTwo-level homeNorth-facingPre-construction (projected completion March 31, 2027)
- Construction
- Block, stucco and frame constructionShingle roofSlab foundationNew construction (builder: RYAN HOMES, model MAYSHORE)
- Exterior features
- PatioSidewalkPaved lot/roadFlorida-friendly/native landscapingDrip irrigation and reclaimed-water irrigationLow-flow water fixtures
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalMicrowaveRange
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetCeramic tile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air
- Interior features
- Eat-in kitchenHigh ceilingsKitchen/family room comboLiving room/dining room comboSolid surface countersStone countersThermostatWalk-in closet(s)ENERGY STAR qualified windowsSmoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry inside on upper levelInside utility room
HOA detail $150/mo · $1,800/yr
- Likely covers
- internetcableexterior maint.pool
Listing history 47 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $269,990 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-11-07days on market $269,990 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-11-06days on market $269,990 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $269,990 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-11-04days on market $269,990 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $269,990 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $269,990 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $269,990 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-10-30days on market $269,990 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $269,990 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $269,990 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $269,990 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $269,990 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-10-25days on market $269,990 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-10-24days on market $269,990 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-10-23days on market $269,990 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-10-22days on market $269,990 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $269,990 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $269,990 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $269,990 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-10-18days on market $269,990 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-10-17days on market $269,990 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-10-16days on market $269,990 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $269,990 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-10-14days on market $269,990 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $269,990 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $269,990 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-10-11days on market $269,990 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-10-10days on market $269,990 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-10-09days on market $269,990 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $269,990 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $269,990 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-10-06days on market $269,990 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $269,990 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $269,990 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-10-03days on market $269,990 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $269,990 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-10-01pricestatusdays on market $269,990 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-25statusdays on market $285,990 Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $285,990 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $285,990 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $285,990 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $285,990 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $285,990 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $285,990 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 695-char remark
-
2026-06-13$285,990 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,735
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,124
- − Property taxes
- −$4,050
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,299
- − Management
- −$2,299
- − HOA
- −$1,800
- − Depreciation
- −$7,854
- Taxable loss
- −$6,040
combined federal + state — saved on this device
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,450
- After-tax cash flow
- $-40/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
100/100
None rehab
This new construction townhouse is in excellent condition with a fresh exterior, new interior walls, and modern kitchen and bathroom appliances. It is move-in ready and has the potential for further value increases through updates to the kitchen and bathrooms, as well as landscaping and curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Landscaping and curb appeal can enhance the home's visual appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Updating the kitchen and bathrooms can increase the home's value and appeal to a wider range of buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Painting interior walls — Painting interior walls can refresh the home's appearance and make it more appealing to potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Landscaping and curb appeal can enhance the home's visual appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters. ↑
F
Composite school gradezoned avg 30/100
Zoned Schools
Elementary
Loughman Oaks Elementary School
F
FL #1,670/2,144
Nat'l #22,595/41,679
Middle
Shelley S. Boone Middle School
F
FL #517/571
Nat'l #10,338/14,009
High
Davenport High School
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
B
Composite livability gradescore 70/100
Livability — Davenport
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #423
- US rank
- #7541
Category grades
Amenities F
Commute F
Cost of living B+
Crime A+
Employment D+
Housing A+
Health & safety A+
User ratings A
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Polk County · 752,975 people
- City population
- 104,279
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,389
- Household income
- $81,276
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 42% White 36% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 22% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 35% French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.62%
- Current HPI
- 256.8165
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.73%
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-09-30 Listed $269,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…