106 W High St · Orangeville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming Two-Story Home in the Heart of Downtown Orangeville***Discover the potential in this spacious four-bedroom, two-bath home ideally located in the heart of downtown Orangeville-just moments from schools, shops, and all the conveniences of town. This welcoming property offers a functional layout with one bedroom on the main floor along with main-floor laundry, and three additional bedrooms upstairs. The roof was replaced about five years ago, giving you a great start on big-ticket updates. Inside, you'll find large rooms filled with opportunity. While the home does need a little TLC, it provides the perfect canvas for customization and equity-building. With its classic two-story charm, practical floor plan, and location, this home is ready to be transformed into something truly special. Rented, 24 hour notice required.
Key facts
- Two-story home
- Large rooms
- Heart of downtown
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#878 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, employment D.
- Orangeville CUSD 203 (rural): math 30% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #346 of 919 in IL (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Stephenson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
- Stephenson County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.82%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $182,283
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -45.20%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 E High St | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 | 1,902 (+8%) | 12mo | $41,000 | $22 | 73 |
| 201 S Church St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,896 (+8%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $111 | 73 |
| 110 Main | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (-4%) | 18mo | $118,000 | $70 | 68 |
| 204 E 2nd St | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 | 1,824 (+4%) | 22mo | $170,000 | $93 | 67 |
| 312 Hillside Ct | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 | 1,852 (+5%) | 7mo | $260,000 | $140 | 66 |
| 205 Hancock Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,760 (+0%) | 20mo | $205,000 | $116 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.58% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $44,171
- Equity at exit
- $54,079
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.09×
- Total profit
- $114,499
- Equity at exit
- $91,304
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61060
- Home prices YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,379 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$155 /mo · $1,861/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $369
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $425 | -5% $397 | +0% $369 | +5% $340 | +10% $312 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $260 | -5% $314 | +0% $369 | +5% $423 | +10% $478 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $419 | -0.5pp $394 | base $369 | +0.5pp $343 | +1.0pp $317 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-21$99,900 Active 837-char remark
Show marketing remark (837 chars)
Charming Two-Story Home in the Heart of Downtown Orangeville***Discover the potential in this spacious four-bedroom, two-bath home ideally located in the heart of downtown Orangeville-just moments from schools, shops, and all the conveniences of town. This welcoming property offers a functional layout with one bedroom on the main floor along with main-floor laundry, and three additional bedrooms upstairs. The roof was replaced about five years ago, giving you a great start on big-ticket updates. Inside, you'll find large rooms filled with opportunity. While the home does need a little TLC, it provides the perfect canvas for customization and equity-building. With its classic two-story charm, practical floor plan, and location, this home is ready to be transformed into something truly special. Rented, 24 hour notice required.
-
2026-04-11historical
-
2026-02-19price
-
2026-01-05price
-
2025-11-11Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,861 · $155/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,064 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- +$203/yr (+$17/mo · 10.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,547
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,861
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,324
- − Management
- −$1,324
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $3,037
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$729
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,696/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orangeville CUSD 203
- NCES district ID
- 1730060
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,346
- Composite
- 35.43/100
- National rank
- #9771
- State rank
- #346 of 919 in IL
Livability — Orangeville
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #878
- US rank
- #17047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Orangeville, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,467
Population outlook (Stephenson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,802 people
- By 2030
- 39,487 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 34,534 · -17.4%
- By 2050
- 29,693 · -29.0%
- By 2075
- 21,196 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 14,596 · -65.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Romanian 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stephenson
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.4) · D 39.5% · R 58.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: 6.7pp · 2024: -19.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.4 2020: R+15.7 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+4.6 2008: D+6.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.58%
- Current HPI
- 141.362
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listed $99,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-11 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-11 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2024): $1,861 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…