317 Big Oak Cir · Madison, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +6.6/30.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.5/15.0
- DSCR +0.9/10.0
- 1% rule +0.6/10.0
$325,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully remodeled home in the heart of Madison. Large fully fenced yard with mature trees. Kitchen has new stainless appliances and quartz counters. Luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout. New roof!
Key facts
- 0.45 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Listed 5 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Two-car garage
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story home; New construction: No; Living area approximately 1,649 square feet
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Built with crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Public water; Located in the Brass Oaks Estates subdivision; Directions: I565 West, Right on Wall Triana, Right on Big Oak, home on the right
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; One fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $326k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-533 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $232k (28.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (44.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $182k (44.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 2.6% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in AL, #3,280 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Madison City (suburban): math 51% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #4 of 129 in AL (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Midtown Elementary School (math 49% / reading 78%, grade B, #46 of 627 statewide, top 8%, 999 students, 26% FRL); Discovery Middle School (math 46% / reading 69%, grade B, #13 of 257 statewide, top 5%, 1,334 students, 25% FRL); Bob Jones High School (math 53% / reading 51%, grade D+, #11 of 305 statewide, top 4%, 1,920 students, 24% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 382 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $190k; list at $326k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.56% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.01%
- DSCR
- 0.69
- GRM
- 14.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $287,584
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 Kim Cir | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,565 (-4%) | 13mo | $276,000 | $176 | 69 |
| 104 Big Oak Cir | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (-6%) | 18mo | $223,000 | $145 | 68 |
| 104 Patra Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,778 (+9%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $169 | 65 |
| 101 Mountain View Ln | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 | 1,854 (+14%) | 3mo | $295,500 | $159 | 65 |
| 106 Marie Cir | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (+4%) | 20mo | $305,000 | $179 | 60 |
| 100 Patra Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,732 (+6%) | 15mo | $250,500 | $145 | 59 |
| 110 Mcdermotts Way | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,750 (+7%) | 1mo | $317,000 | $181 | 54 |
| 106 Clover Ridge Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,572 (-4%) | 6mo | $300,000 | $191 | 51 |
| 114 Mcdermotts Way | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,644 (+1%) | 16mo | $305,000 | $186 | 51 |
| 107 Patra Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,796 (+10%) | 20mo | $234,300 | $130 | 50 |
| 241 Pin Oak Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 | 1,837 (+12%) | 5mo | $320,000 | $174 | 44 |
| 107 Welbury Ct | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,876 (+15%) | 14mo | $375,000 | $200 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $140,877
- Equity at exit
- $293,686
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.78×
- Total profit
- $436,362
- Equity at exit
- $633,344
Cash invested: $91,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35758
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 382
- Price-to-rent
- 14.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,823 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,710
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,531/yr
- Insurance
- −$136
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $-533
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,500
- Closing costs
- $9,780
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 McDermotts Way Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1462 | $1,675 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 139 Angela Dr Madison, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $995 | $0.86 | 14d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5142 Wall Triana Hwy Madison, AL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 43d | 2 | 0.59mi |
| 1110 Liberty Dr Unit 1110 Madison, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 114 Clover Ridge Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2002 | $2,250 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 109 DuPont Cir Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1725 | $1,895 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 110 Markum Ln Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1937 | $2,100 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 649 Gooch Ln Madison, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1913 | $2,061 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 137 Clover Ridge Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1860 | $1,850 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 110 Wildweed Ct Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $1,750 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 113 Claytor Ln Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,795 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 111 Tumbleweed Dr Madison, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2010 | $2,450 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 127 Philadelphia Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 104 Kings Cross Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1906 | $2,050 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 104 Kings Cross Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1905 | $2,050 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 195 Amsterdam Pl Madison, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $2,200 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 106 Champions Green Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1950 | $1,995 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 189 Merganser Blvd Madison, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2225 | $1,995 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 106 Blanchard Pl Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1926 | $2,100 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 403 Barrington Hills Dr Madison, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $1,950 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 106 Teal Park Ln Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1707 | $1,950 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 333 Hay Rake Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2047 | $2,200 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 104 Chelsea Park Madison, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2061 | $2,300 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 333 Hay Rake Dr Unit 1 Madison, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2047 | $2,200 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1150 Balch Rd Madison, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1020 | $1,616 | $1.58 | 21d | 50 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-29price $325,999
-
2026-04-25$309,999 Active
-
2026-03-09soldstatus $190,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,531 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,531 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,871
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,261
- − Property taxes
- −$1,531
- − Insurance
- −$1,630
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,750
- − Management
- −$1,750
- − Depreciation
- −$9,484
- Taxable loss
- −$12,534
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,008
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,390/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison City
- NCES district ID
- 0100008
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $89,091
- Composite
- 55.56/100
- National rank
- #1238
- State rank
- #4 of 129 in AL
Livability — Madison
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #3280
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Madison, AL
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- City population
- 93,742
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,266
- Household income
- $117,380
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 875.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 7% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.46%
- Current HPI
- 355.2784
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+71.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $325,999 VMLS
- 2026-04-25 Listed $309,999 VMLS
- 2026-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2024): $1,531 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…