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317 Big Oak Cir
F Composite 34.33
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.6/30.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.5/15.0
  • DSCR +0.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.6/10.0

$325,999

317 Big Oak Cir · Madison, AL 35758
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,634 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1987 0.45 ac lot Est $288k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully remodeled home in the heart of Madison. Large fully fenced yard with mature trees. Kitchen has new stainless appliances and quartz counters. Luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout. New roof!

Key facts

  • 0.45 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Listed 5 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Two-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story home; New construction: No; Living area approximately 1,649 square feet
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Built with crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Public water; Located in the Brass Oaks Estates subdivision; Directions: I565 West, Right on Wall Triana, Right on Big Oak, home on the right

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; One fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $326k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-533 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $232k (28.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (44.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (44.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 2.6% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in AL, #3,280 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Madison City (suburban): math 51% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #4 of 129 in AL (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Midtown Elementary School (math 49% / reading 78%, grade B, #46 of 627 statewide, top 8%, 999 students, 26% FRL); Discovery Middle School (math 46% / reading 69%, grade B, #13 of 257 statewide, top 5%, 1,334 students, 25% FRL); Bob Jones High School (math 53% / reading 51%, grade D+, #11 of 305 statewide, top 4%, 1,920 students, 24% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 382 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $190k; list at $326k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $182,257 (44.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.56%
Cap rate
4.33%
Cash-on-cash
-7.01%
DSCR
0.69
GRM
14.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$287,584
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
110 Kim Cir 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,565 (-4%) 13mo $276,000 $176 69
104 Big Oak Cir 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,540 (-6%) 18mo $223,000 $145 68
104 Patra Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,778 (+9%) 3mo $300,000 $169 65
101 Mountain View Ln 0.10mi 3/2.5 1,854 (+14%) 3mo $295,500 $159 65
106 Marie Cir 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,700 (+4%) 20mo $305,000 $179 60
100 Patra Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,732 (+6%) 15mo $250,500 $145 59
110 Mcdermotts Way 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,750 (+7%) 1mo $317,000 $181 54
106 Clover Ridge Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,572 (-4%) 6mo $300,000 $191 51
114 Mcdermotts Way 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,644 (+1%) 16mo $305,000 $186 51
107 Patra Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,796 (+10%) 20mo $234,300 $130 50
241 Pin Oak Dr 0.55mi 3/2.5 1,837 (+12%) 5mo $320,000 $174 44
107 Welbury Ct 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,876 (+15%) 14mo $375,000 $200 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$140,877
Equity at exit
$293,686
10-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
5.78×
Total profit
$436,362
Equity at exit
$633,344

Cash invested: $91,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35758

Home prices YoY
4.2%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
382
Price-to-rent
14.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,823 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,710
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,531/yr
Insurance
$136
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$383
Net cashflow
$-533

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,497
Max offer price $231,810
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,500
Closing costs
$9,780
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
102 McDermotts Way Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1462 $1,675 $1.15 14d 1 0.56mi
139 Angela Dr Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 1160 $995 $0.86 14d 1 0.58mi
5142 Wall Triana Hwy Madison, AL 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1000 $1,250 $1.25 43d 2 0.59mi
1110 Liberty Dr Unit 1110 Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 23d 1 0.68mi
114 Clover Ridge Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 2002 $2,250 $1.12 43d 1 0.76mi
109 DuPont Cir Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1725 $1,895 $1.10 14d 1 0.80mi
110 Markum Ln Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1937 $2,100 $1.08 43d 1 0.85mi
649 Gooch Ln Madison, AL 4.0 2.0 1913 $2,061 $1.08 43d 1 0.86mi
137 Clover Ridge Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1860 $1,850 $0.99 14d 1 0.86mi
110 Wildweed Ct Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1481 $1,750 $1.18 43d 1 0.88mi
113 Claytor Ln Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1650 $1,795 $1.09 14d 1 0.93mi
111 Tumbleweed Dr Madison, AL 4.0 2.0 2010 $2,450 $1.22 13d 1 0.95mi
127 Philadelphia Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1404 $1,650 $1.18 23d 1 0.99mi
104 Kings Cross Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1906 $2,050 $1.08 43d 1 1.05mi
104 Kings Cross Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1905 $2,050 $1.08 23d 1 1.05mi
195 Amsterdam Pl Madison, AL 4.0 2.0 1820 $2,200 $1.21 14d 1 1.16mi
106 Champions Green Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1950 $1,995 $1.02 23d 1 1.18mi
189 Merganser Blvd Madison, AL 4.0 2.5 2225 $1,995 $0.90 23d 1 1.29mi
106 Blanchard Pl Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1926 $2,100 $1.09 23d 1 1.29mi
403 Barrington Hills Dr Madison, AL 4.0 2.0 1820 $1,950 $1.07 21d 1 1.32mi
106 Teal Park Ln Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1707 $1,950 $1.14 14d 1 1.40mi
333 Hay Rake Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.5 2047 $2,200 $1.07 13d 1 1.44mi
104 Chelsea Park Madison, AL 3.0 3.0 2061 $2,300 $1.12 43d 1 1.44mi
333 Hay Rake Dr Unit 1 Madison, AL 3.0 3.0 2047 $2,200 $1.07 23d 1 1.44mi
1150 Balch Rd Madison, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1020 $1,616 $1.58 21d 50 1.47mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-29
    price $325,999
  3. 2026-04-25
    listed $309,999 Active
  4. 2026-03-09
    soldstatus $190,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,531 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,531 · $128/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,871
− Mortgage interest
−$18,261
− Property taxes
−$1,531
− Insurance
−$1,630
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,750
− Management
−$1,750
− Depreciation
−$9,484
Taxable loss
−$12,534
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,008
After-tax cash flow
$-3,390/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison City
NCES district ID
0100008
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$89,091
Composite
55.56/100
National rank
#1238
State rank
#4 of 129 in AL

Livability — Madison

Score
76/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#3280

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Madison, AL
County
Madison County · 380,832 people
City population
93,742
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
50,266
Household income
$117,380
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
875.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 7% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.46%
Current HPI
355.2784
Rent YoY
▲ 1.58%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+71.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending VMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $325,999 VMLS
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $309,999 VMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,531 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…