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4140 Davis Dr
B Composite 73.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.8/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

4140 Davis Dr · Levittown, PA 19067
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · Manufactured · 89 Days on market
Built 1974 $75/sqft · at area comps Est $93k · at est. $860/mo HOA · 38% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover this beautifully refreshed double-wide home in the highly sought-after Pennsbury School District. Boasting a brand-new coat of paint and extensive recent repairs, this home blends vintage charm with modern peace of mind. The sun-drenched living room, lined with tall vinyl windows, flows seamlessly into the dining area featuring classic built-in cabinetry. Cozy up by the pellet stove on chilly nights or enjoy the spacious primary suite, complete with dual vanities and a relaxing walk-in tub. With Central Air and a versatile bonus family/office area—perfect for a potential third bedroom—this home is ready for its next chapter.

Key facts

  • New coat of paint
  • Double-wide home
  • Vintage charm

Tags

DOUBLE-WIDE HOMEPENNSBURY SCHOOL DISTRICTNEW COAT OF PAINTRECENT REPAIRSVINTAGE CHARMSUN-DRENCHED LIVING ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 4.0% in Levittown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#470 in PA, #4,342 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Pennsbury SD (suburban): math 46% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #67 of 539 in PA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 175 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $63k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 38% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.50%
Cap rate
10.59%
Cash-on-cash
15.36%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$92,545
List price
$89,900
Delta
-2.86%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.8%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$6,770
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
16.7%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$35,647
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19067

Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
175
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,246 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $994/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$860
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$472
Net cashflow
$322

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,838
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $373 -5% $348 +0% $322 +5% $297 +10% $271
Rent -10% $145 -5% $234 +0% $322 +5% $411 +10% $500
Rate -1.0pp $367 -0.5pp $345 base $322 +0.5pp $299 +1.0pp $275

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$860 · $10,320/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $89,900 Pending 89 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 88 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 87 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 86 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,900 Active 83 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 82 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 80 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 79 DOM
  10. 2026-04-23
    price $89,900 653-char remark
    Show marketing remark (653 chars)

    Discover this beautifully refreshed double-wide home in the highly sought-after Pennsbury School District. Boasting a brand-new coat of paint and extensive recent repairs, this home blends vintage charm with modern peace of mind. The sun-drenched living room, lined with tall vinyl windows, flows seamlessly into the dining area featuring classic built-in cabinetry. Cozy up by the pellet stove on chilly nights or enjoy the spacious primary suite, complete with dual vanities and a relaxing walk-in tub. With Central Air and a versatile bonus family/office area—perfect for a potential third bedroom—this home is ready for its next chapter.

  11. 2026-03-25
    price $99,900 653-char remark
    Show marketing remark (653 chars)

    Discover this beautifully refreshed double-wide home in the highly sought-after Pennsbury School District. Boasting a brand-new coat of paint and extensive recent repairs, this home blends vintage charm with modern peace of mind. The sun-drenched living room, lined with tall vinyl windows, flows seamlessly into the dining area featuring classic built-in cabinetry. Cozy up by the pellet stove on chilly nights or enjoy the spacious primary suite, complete with dual vanities and a relaxing walk-in tub. With Central Air and a versatile bonus family/office area—perfect for a potential third bedroom—this home is ready for its next chapter.

  12. 2026-03-13
    listed $109,900 Active 653-char remark
    Show marketing remark (653 chars)

    Discover this beautifully refreshed double-wide home in the highly sought-after Pennsbury School District. Boasting a brand-new coat of paint and extensive recent repairs, this home blends vintage charm with modern peace of mind. The sun-drenched living room, lined with tall vinyl windows, flows seamlessly into the dining area featuring classic built-in cabinetry. Cozy up by the pellet stove on chilly nights or enjoy the spacious primary suite, complete with dual vanities and a relaxing walk-in tub. With Central Air and a versatile bonus family/office area—perfect for a potential third bedroom—this home is ready for its next chapter.

  13. 2025-04-09
    soldstatus $63,000 Closed 1212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1212 chars)

    Quaint double-wide mobile home with charming vintage appeal. Located in Pennsbury School District. Spacious and full of character. The enclosed front porch invites you into a large, open living room lined with tall vinyl windows and allows an abundance of natural light. There's a pellet stove in the corner for ambiance and warmth during those chilly winter nights. The dining room features built-in cabinetry and the adjoining kitchen & family/office area provide additional square footage for potential expansion (Possibly to frame a third bedroom? Perhaps add to the existing kitchen area?). The first bedroom has a massive closet and the main bathroom highlights a walk-in shower. The primary bedroom with ensuite boasts a walk-in closet, a secondary closet, dual vanities, and a walk-in tub. Let's not forget about Central Air! This property is being sold in "as-is" condition. The seller has certifications required by Falls Township for Use & Occupancy. The lot rent covers water usage, snow removal in common areas, trash removal, and access to community amenities such as a playground, pool (with membership), basketball courts, and clubhouse. Please confirm with the association.

  14. 2025-03-10
    status Pending 1212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1212 chars)

    Quaint double-wide mobile home with charming vintage appeal. Located in Pennsbury School District. Spacious and full of character. The enclosed front porch invites you into a large, open living room lined with tall vinyl windows and allows an abundance of natural light. There's a pellet stove in the corner for ambiance and warmth during those chilly winter nights. The dining room features built-in cabinetry and the adjoining kitchen & family/office area provide additional square footage for potential expansion (Possibly to frame a third bedroom? Perhaps add to the existing kitchen area?). The first bedroom has a massive closet and the main bathroom highlights a walk-in shower. The primary bedroom with ensuite boasts a walk-in closet, a secondary closet, dual vanities, and a walk-in tub. Let's not forget about Central Air! This property is being sold in "as-is" condition. The seller has certifications required by Falls Township for Use & Occupancy. The lot rent covers water usage, snow removal in common areas, trash removal, and access to community amenities such as a playground, pool (with membership), basketball courts, and clubhouse. Please confirm with the association.

  15. 2025-03-02
    historical Active Under Contract 1212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1212 chars)

    Quaint double-wide mobile home with charming vintage appeal. Located in Pennsbury School District. Spacious and full of character. The enclosed front porch invites you into a large, open living room lined with tall vinyl windows and allows an abundance of natural light. There's a pellet stove in the corner for ambiance and warmth during those chilly winter nights. The dining room features built-in cabinetry and the adjoining kitchen & family/office area provide additional square footage for potential expansion (Possibly to frame a third bedroom? Perhaps add to the existing kitchen area?). The first bedroom has a massive closet and the main bathroom highlights a walk-in shower. The primary bedroom with ensuite boasts a walk-in closet, a secondary closet, dual vanities, and a walk-in tub. Let's not forget about Central Air! This property is being sold in "as-is" condition. The seller has certifications required by Falls Township for Use & Occupancy. The lot rent covers water usage, snow removal in common areas, trash removal, and access to community amenities such as a playground, pool (with membership), basketball courts, and clubhouse. Please confirm with the association.

  16. 2025-02-18
    price $74,000 1212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1212 chars)

    Quaint double-wide mobile home with charming vintage appeal. Located in Pennsbury School District. Spacious and full of character. The enclosed front porch invites you into a large, open living room lined with tall vinyl windows and allows an abundance of natural light. There's a pellet stove in the corner for ambiance and warmth during those chilly winter nights. The dining room features built-in cabinetry and the adjoining kitchen & family/office area provide additional square footage for potential expansion (Possibly to frame a third bedroom? Perhaps add to the existing kitchen area?). The first bedroom has a massive closet and the main bathroom highlights a walk-in shower. The primary bedroom with ensuite boasts a walk-in closet, a secondary closet, dual vanities, and a walk-in tub. Let's not forget about Central Air! This property is being sold in "as-is" condition. The seller has certifications required by Falls Township for Use & Occupancy. The lot rent covers water usage, snow removal in common areas, trash removal, and access to community amenities such as a playground, pool (with membership), basketball courts, and clubhouse. Please confirm with the association.

  17. 2025-01-30
    listed $79,000 Active 1212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1212 chars)

    Quaint double-wide mobile home with charming vintage appeal. Located in Pennsbury School District. Spacious and full of character. The enclosed front porch invites you into a large, open living room lined with tall vinyl windows and allows an abundance of natural light. There's a pellet stove in the corner for ambiance and warmth during those chilly winter nights. The dining room features built-in cabinetry and the adjoining kitchen & family/office area provide additional square footage for potential expansion (Possibly to frame a third bedroom? Perhaps add to the existing kitchen area?). The first bedroom has a massive closet and the main bathroom highlights a walk-in shower. The primary bedroom with ensuite boasts a walk-in closet, a secondary closet, dual vanities, and a walk-in tub. Let's not forget about Central Air! This property is being sold in "as-is" condition. The seller has certifications required by Falls Township for Use & Occupancy. The lot rent covers water usage, snow removal in common areas, trash removal, and access to community amenities such as a playground, pool (with membership), basketball courts, and clubhouse. Please confirm with the association.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$994 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,207 · $101/mo
Expected delta
+$213/yr (+$18/mo · 21.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,946
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$994
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,156
− Management
−$2,156
− HOA
−$10,320
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$3,220
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$773
After-tax cash flow
$3,094/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pennsbury SD
NCES district ID
4218840
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$85,495
Composite
52.3/100
National rank
#1594
State rank
#67 of 539 in PA

Livability — Levittown

Score
75/100
State rank
#470
US rank
#4342

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Bucks County · 506,477 people
City population
33,478
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
53,885
Household income
$133,630
Rent vs Own
22.2% rent · 77.8% own
Severe rent burden
1036.0

Population outlook (Bucks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
630,973 people
By 2030
627,093 · -0.6%
By 2040
609,680 · -3.4%
By 2050
584,225 · -7.4%
By 2075
539,840 · -14.4%
By 2100
483,970 · -23.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 6% Two or more races 5% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Bucks

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.7pp · 2024: -0.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.1 2020: D+4.4 2016: D+0.6 2012: D+1.2 2008: D+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -435.62%
Current HPI
281.8167
Rent YoY
▲ 3.12%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+13.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-04-09 Sold (MLS) $63,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-03-10 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-03-02 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-02-18 Price Changed $74,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-01-30 Listed $79,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $994 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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