4140 Davis Dr · Levittown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.5/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.8/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover this beautifully refreshed double-wide home in the highly sought-after Pennsbury School District. Boasting a brand-new coat of paint and extensive recent repairs, this home blends vintage charm with modern peace of mind. The sun-drenched living room, lined with tall vinyl windows, flows seamlessly into the dining area featuring classic built-in cabinetry. Cozy up by the pellet stove on chilly nights or enjoy the spacious primary suite, complete with dual vanities and a relaxing walk-in tub. With Central Air and a versatile bonus family/office area—perfect for a potential third bedroom—this home is ready for its next chapter.
Key facts
- New coat of paint
- Double-wide home
- Vintage charm
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 4.0% in Levittown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#470 in PA, #4,342 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Pennsbury SD (suburban): math 46% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #67 of 539 in PA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 175 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $63k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 38% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.36%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $92,545
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -2.86%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $6,770
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $35,647
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19067
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 175
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,246 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $994/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$860
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$472
- Net cashflow
- $322
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $373 | -5% $348 | +0% $322 | +5% $297 | +10% $271 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $145 | -5% $234 | +0% $322 | +5% $411 | +10% $500 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $367 | -0.5pp $345 | base $322 | +0.5pp $299 | +1.0pp $275 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $860 · $10,320/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $89,900 Pending 89 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-04-23price $89,900 653-char remark
Show marketing remark (653 chars)
Discover this beautifully refreshed double-wide home in the highly sought-after Pennsbury School District. Boasting a brand-new coat of paint and extensive recent repairs, this home blends vintage charm with modern peace of mind. The sun-drenched living room, lined with tall vinyl windows, flows seamlessly into the dining area featuring classic built-in cabinetry. Cozy up by the pellet stove on chilly nights or enjoy the spacious primary suite, complete with dual vanities and a relaxing walk-in tub. With Central Air and a versatile bonus family/office area—perfect for a potential third bedroom—this home is ready for its next chapter.
-
2026-03-25price $99,900 653-char remark
Show marketing remark (653 chars)
Discover this beautifully refreshed double-wide home in the highly sought-after Pennsbury School District. Boasting a brand-new coat of paint and extensive recent repairs, this home blends vintage charm with modern peace of mind. The sun-drenched living room, lined with tall vinyl windows, flows seamlessly into the dining area featuring classic built-in cabinetry. Cozy up by the pellet stove on chilly nights or enjoy the spacious primary suite, complete with dual vanities and a relaxing walk-in tub. With Central Air and a versatile bonus family/office area—perfect for a potential third bedroom—this home is ready for its next chapter.
-
2026-03-13$109,900 Active 653-char remark
Show marketing remark (653 chars)
Discover this beautifully refreshed double-wide home in the highly sought-after Pennsbury School District. Boasting a brand-new coat of paint and extensive recent repairs, this home blends vintage charm with modern peace of mind. The sun-drenched living room, lined with tall vinyl windows, flows seamlessly into the dining area featuring classic built-in cabinetry. Cozy up by the pellet stove on chilly nights or enjoy the spacious primary suite, complete with dual vanities and a relaxing walk-in tub. With Central Air and a versatile bonus family/office area—perfect for a potential third bedroom—this home is ready for its next chapter.
-
2025-04-09soldstatus $63,000 Closed 1212-char remark
Show marketing remark (1212 chars)
Quaint double-wide mobile home with charming vintage appeal. Located in Pennsbury School District. Spacious and full of character. The enclosed front porch invites you into a large, open living room lined with tall vinyl windows and allows an abundance of natural light. There's a pellet stove in the corner for ambiance and warmth during those chilly winter nights. The dining room features built-in cabinetry and the adjoining kitchen & family/office area provide additional square footage for potential expansion (Possibly to frame a third bedroom? Perhaps add to the existing kitchen area?). The first bedroom has a massive closet and the main bathroom highlights a walk-in shower. The primary bedroom with ensuite boasts a walk-in closet, a secondary closet, dual vanities, and a walk-in tub. Let's not forget about Central Air! This property is being sold in "as-is" condition. The seller has certifications required by Falls Township for Use & Occupancy. The lot rent covers water usage, snow removal in common areas, trash removal, and access to community amenities such as a playground, pool (with membership), basketball courts, and clubhouse. Please confirm with the association.
-
2025-03-10status Pending 1212-char remark
Show marketing remark (1212 chars)
Quaint double-wide mobile home with charming vintage appeal. Located in Pennsbury School District. Spacious and full of character. The enclosed front porch invites you into a large, open living room lined with tall vinyl windows and allows an abundance of natural light. There's a pellet stove in the corner for ambiance and warmth during those chilly winter nights. The dining room features built-in cabinetry and the adjoining kitchen & family/office area provide additional square footage for potential expansion (Possibly to frame a third bedroom? Perhaps add to the existing kitchen area?). The first bedroom has a massive closet and the main bathroom highlights a walk-in shower. The primary bedroom with ensuite boasts a walk-in closet, a secondary closet, dual vanities, and a walk-in tub. Let's not forget about Central Air! This property is being sold in "as-is" condition. The seller has certifications required by Falls Township for Use & Occupancy. The lot rent covers water usage, snow removal in common areas, trash removal, and access to community amenities such as a playground, pool (with membership), basketball courts, and clubhouse. Please confirm with the association.
-
2025-03-02historical Active Under Contract 1212-char remark
Show marketing remark (1212 chars)
Quaint double-wide mobile home with charming vintage appeal. Located in Pennsbury School District. Spacious and full of character. The enclosed front porch invites you into a large, open living room lined with tall vinyl windows and allows an abundance of natural light. There's a pellet stove in the corner for ambiance and warmth during those chilly winter nights. The dining room features built-in cabinetry and the adjoining kitchen & family/office area provide additional square footage for potential expansion (Possibly to frame a third bedroom? Perhaps add to the existing kitchen area?). The first bedroom has a massive closet and the main bathroom highlights a walk-in shower. The primary bedroom with ensuite boasts a walk-in closet, a secondary closet, dual vanities, and a walk-in tub. Let's not forget about Central Air! This property is being sold in "as-is" condition. The seller has certifications required by Falls Township for Use & Occupancy. The lot rent covers water usage, snow removal in common areas, trash removal, and access to community amenities such as a playground, pool (with membership), basketball courts, and clubhouse. Please confirm with the association.
-
2025-02-18price $74,000 1212-char remark
Show marketing remark (1212 chars)
Quaint double-wide mobile home with charming vintage appeal. Located in Pennsbury School District. Spacious and full of character. The enclosed front porch invites you into a large, open living room lined with tall vinyl windows and allows an abundance of natural light. There's a pellet stove in the corner for ambiance and warmth during those chilly winter nights. The dining room features built-in cabinetry and the adjoining kitchen & family/office area provide additional square footage for potential expansion (Possibly to frame a third bedroom? Perhaps add to the existing kitchen area?). The first bedroom has a massive closet and the main bathroom highlights a walk-in shower. The primary bedroom with ensuite boasts a walk-in closet, a secondary closet, dual vanities, and a walk-in tub. Let's not forget about Central Air! This property is being sold in "as-is" condition. The seller has certifications required by Falls Township for Use & Occupancy. The lot rent covers water usage, snow removal in common areas, trash removal, and access to community amenities such as a playground, pool (with membership), basketball courts, and clubhouse. Please confirm with the association.
-
2025-01-30$79,000 Active 1212-char remark
Show marketing remark (1212 chars)
Quaint double-wide mobile home with charming vintage appeal. Located in Pennsbury School District. Spacious and full of character. The enclosed front porch invites you into a large, open living room lined with tall vinyl windows and allows an abundance of natural light. There's a pellet stove in the corner for ambiance and warmth during those chilly winter nights. The dining room features built-in cabinetry and the adjoining kitchen & family/office area provide additional square footage for potential expansion (Possibly to frame a third bedroom? Perhaps add to the existing kitchen area?). The first bedroom has a massive closet and the main bathroom highlights a walk-in shower. The primary bedroom with ensuite boasts a walk-in closet, a secondary closet, dual vanities, and a walk-in tub. Let's not forget about Central Air! This property is being sold in "as-is" condition. The seller has certifications required by Falls Township for Use & Occupancy. The lot rent covers water usage, snow removal in common areas, trash removal, and access to community amenities such as a playground, pool (with membership), basketball courts, and clubhouse. Please confirm with the association.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $994 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,207 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$213/yr (+$18/mo · 21.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,946
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$994
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,156
- − Management
- −$2,156
- − HOA
- −$10,320
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $3,220
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$773
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,094/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pennsbury SD
- NCES district ID
- 4218840
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $85,495
- Composite
- 52.3/100
- National rank
- #1594
- State rank
- #67 of 539 in PA
Livability — Levittown
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #470
- US rank
- #4342
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Bucks County · 506,477 people
- City population
- 33,478
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,885
- Household income
- $133,630
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1036.0
Population outlook (Bucks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 630,973 people
- By 2030
- 627,093 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 609,680 · -3.4%
- By 2050
- 584,225 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 539,840 · -14.4%
- By 2100
- 483,970 · -23.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 6% Two or more races 5% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bucks
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.7pp · 2024: -0.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.1 2020: D+4.4 2016: D+0.6 2012: D+1.2 2008: D+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -435.62%
- Current HPI
- 281.8167
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.12%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+13.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-13 Listed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-04-09 Sold (MLS) $63,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-03-10 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-03-02 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-02-18 Price Changed $74,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-01-30 Listed $79,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2026): $994 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…