33 Convent Ave #23 · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$545,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This Rarely Available Unique Home Combines Two Units Into One Expansive 3 Bedroom Layout With A Bonus Room In A Well Maintained HDFC Coop. Freshly Painted And Filled With Natural Light, It Features Tall Ceilings, Hardwood Floors, And A Generous Living/Dining Area Perfect For Entertaining. The Open Concept Kitchen Flows Seamlessly Into The Main Living Space. Custom Laundry Closet For Washer/Dryer Located Next To The Kitchen. All Of The Bedrooms And The Bonus Room Offer Versatile Layouts - Use One As A Home Office, Study, Or Fitness Room. The Primary Bedroom Functions As A Private Suite With A Full Bath. The Building Offers A Renovated Lobby And A Peaceful Shared Outdoor Area With A Garden, S
Key facts
- Built 1910
- Listed 317 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Has association with monthly fees; Association fees cover common area maintenance, exterior maintenance, sewer, snow removal, trash and water
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer; Sewer connected; Trash collection (public)
- Home design: Stock cooperative; 5-story building; Actual condition
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Unit located on 5th floor (entry level 5)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Steam heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; No basement; Allows cats and dogs
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $545k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $545k).
- Recommended offer: $480k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 175 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,830/mo this rent would consume 138% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 5635% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-1.3% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $153k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 317 days — a 12% lower offer ($480k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $53k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 317 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.81%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.26% appreciation · 2.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $54,474
- Equity at exit
- $124,791
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $211,259
- Equity at exit
- $125,360
Cash invested: $152,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10027
- Home prices YoY
- -0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 175
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,830 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,858
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$681 /mo · $8,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$227
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,434
- Net cashflow
- $1,629
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,006 | -5% $1,817 | +0% $1,629 | +5% $1,441 | +10% $1,252 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,089 | -5% $1,359 | +0% $1,629 | +5% $1,899 | +10% $2,169 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,903 | -0.5pp $1,768 | base $1,629 | +0.5pp $1,488 | +1.0pp $1,344 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $136,250
- Closing costs
- $16,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 Convent Ave Unit 30 New York, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $7,500 | $5.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 300 W 135th St Unit 9G New York, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $5,500 | $5.33 | 5d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 543 W 122nd St Unit 27C New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1313 | $10,995 | $8.37 | 11d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 543 W 122nd St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1057 | $10,995 | $10.40 | 3d | 7 | 0.39mi |
| 312 W 121st St Unit 4C New York, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $4,854 | $5.39 | 8d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2071 Adam Clayton Powell Junior Blvd Unit 2 New York, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $5,995 | $6.00 | 19d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1 Morningside Dr New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1655 | $9,970 | $6.02 | 0d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 61 Malcolm X Blvd New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $4,795 | $3.69 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 545 W 110th St Unit 6A New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $7,500 | $5.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2413 3rd Ave Bronx, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $5,091 | $5.94 | 0d | 21 | 1.18mi |
| 120 E 116th St Unit 3R New York, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $4,995 | $4.54 | 8d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1280 5th Ave Unit 15G New York, NY | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1640 | $10,500 | $6.40 | 19d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 915 W End Ave #1020 New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 851 | $8,540 | $10.04 | 0d | 2 | 1.25mi |
| 5 Lincoln Ave Bronx, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1011 | $7,416 | $7.33 | 0d | 184 | 1.26mi |
| 5 W 103rd St Apt 4W New York, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $7,495 | $6.25 | 19d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 77 E 110th St Unit 1322508P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 990 | $6,360 | $6.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 420 Central Park W Unit 6K New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $8,000 | $7.55 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 100 Tower Dr Edgewater, NJ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1290 | $7,532 | $5.84 | 0d | 10 | 1.35mi |
| 862 W End Ave New York, NY | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $7,995 | $4.44 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 100 River Mews Ln Edgewater, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 988 | $5,205 | $5.27 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 814 Amsterdam Ave #1019 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $5,270 | $6.59 | 25d | 2 | 1.46mi |
| 400 Central Park W Unit 11D New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $6,950 | $6.09 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $545,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $545,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $545,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $545,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $545,000 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $545,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $545,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $545,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $545,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-02-03price $545,000
-
2025-10-02price $568,000
-
2025-08-05$598,000 Active
-
2023-09-25price $649,000
-
2023-08-09price $699,000
-
2023-07-28$725,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $81,955
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,528
- − Property taxes
- −$8,175
- − Insurance
- −$2,725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,556
- − Management
- −$6,556
- − Depreciation
- −$15,855
- Taxable income
- $11,559
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,774
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,774/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- New York County · 1,599,927 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,885
- Household income
- $59,587
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5635.0
Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,825,725 people
- By 2030
- 1,904,611 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 2,052,719 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 2,206,601 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 2,509,427 · +37.4%
- By 2100
- 2,702,933 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 33% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 24% Asian 10% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 18% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Chinese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · New York
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.26%
- Current HPI
- 414.8385
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.71%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-24.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $545,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-02 Price Changed $568,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-05 Listed $598,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-25 Price Changed $649,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-09 Price Changed $699,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-28 Listed $725,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…