1153 26th St · Newport News, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.6/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor opportunity with strong value add potential. Ideal for flip or buy and hold. Sold as is.
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 55 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA (N/A)
Exterior
- Parking: Street parking
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Detached traditional home; 2 stories; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Lot approximately 0.11 acres; Lot dimensions about 50' x 100'
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: No bedroom and full bathroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating
- Interior features: Carpet and laminate flooring
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $961 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 4.2% in Newport News — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in VA, #4,018 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: crime F, commute F.
- Newport News City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #112 of 131 in VA (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sedgefield Elementary (math 9% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,066 of 1,108 statewide, top 96%, 469 students, 91% FRL); Heritage High (math 49% / reading 67%, grade C, #262 of 319 statewide, top 82%, 1,111 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 55% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 522 units permitted in Newport News city in 2024 (458 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-0.8%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $924 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Newport News County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-0.8% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $90k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.43%
- DSCR
- 2.67
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $232,375
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1034 26th St | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 | 1,579 (-3%) | 0mo | $139,000 | $88 | 82 |
| 1236 27th St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,550 (-5%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $158 | 76 |
| 1220 29th St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,509 (-7%) | 2mo | $121,000 | $80 | 75 |
| 2011 Chestnut Ave | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 | 1,687 (+4%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $98 | 73 |
| 1237 30th St | 0.23mi | 4/1.5 | 1,479 (-9%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $85 | 71 |
| 1222 27th St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,450 (-11%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $121 | 67 |
| 928 17th St | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 1,625 (0%) | 2mo | $275,200 | $169 | 66 |
| 1016 31st St | 0.32mi | 4/2.5 | 1,768 (+9%) | 1mo | $282,000 | $160 | 64 |
| 1329 22nd St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,759 (+8%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $68 | 59 |
| 1633 Rolfe Pl | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 1,589 (-2%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $167 | 59 |
| 1605 Rolfe Pl | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 1,514 (-7%) | 2mo | $264,900 | $175 | 48 |
| 241 Maple Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,388 (-15%) | 2mo | $199,000 | $143 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.84% appreciation · 2.91% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $53,558
- Equity at exit
- $27,398
- IRR
- 41.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.37×
- Total profit
- $134,614
- Equity at exit
- $29,496
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23607
- Home prices YoY
- -0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,221 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,049/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$466
- Net cashflow
- $961
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,023 | -5% $992 | +0% $961 | +5% $930 | +10% $899 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $785 | -5% $873 | +0% $961 | +5% $1,048 | +10% $1,136 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,016 | -0.5pp $989 | base $961 | +0.5pp $932 | +1.0pp $903 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1242 26th St Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1704 | $2,400 | $1.41 | 4d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1222 29th St Newport News, VA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1563 | $2,950 | $1.89 | 2d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1044 26th St Newport News, VA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,450 | $1.63 | 5d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1034 26th St Newport News, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1579 | $1,600 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1035 23rd St Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $1,600 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1227 31st St Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,495 | $1.66 | 2d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1332 29th St Newport News, VA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1553 | $2,500 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1020 23rd St Newport News, VA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1710 | $2,195 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1216 21st St Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1446 | $1,700 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1124 33rd St Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1386 | $1,600 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1110 21st St Newport News, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1613 | $1,850 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1032 37th St Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1191 | $1,450 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2104 Marshall Ave Newport News, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $2,200 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2102 Marshall Ave Newport News, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1780 | $1,500 | $0.84 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 321 Pine Ave Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1349 | $1,990 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 740 21st St Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $2,000 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 35 Cedar Ave Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1138 | $1,595 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 233 Pine Ave Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1213 | $2,100 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 40 Buxton Ave Unit C Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1750 | $1,795 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 327 Locust Ave Hampton, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 729 Chesapeake Ave Hampton, VA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2239 | $2,975 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 633 Hemlock Ave Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,757 | $1.66 | 13d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 621 44th St Newport News, VA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2100 | $3,000 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 646 46th St Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 5d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 646 46th St Unit Na Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 635 46th St Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1097 | $1,400 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-12status Under Contract
-
2026-05-11price $110,000
-
2026-05-11status Active
-
2026-03-30historical
-
2026-02-10status Active
-
2026-02-10historical
-
2026-02-04$145,000 Active
-
2022-11-23historical
-
2022-10-24price $129,999
-
2022-10-05status Active
-
2022-10-04historical
-
2022-09-28$150,000 Active
-
2016-06-21soldstatus $90,000
-
1985-06-14soldstatus $16,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,049 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,049 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,647
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$2,049
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,132
- − Management
- −$2,132
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $10,422
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,501
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,028/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newport News City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102640
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -37.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,644
- Composite
- 37.7/100
- National rank
- #4360
- State rank
- #112 of 131 in VA
Livability — Newport News
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #123
- US rank
- #4018
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newport News, VA
- County
- Newport News City · 178,950 people
- City population
- 178,950
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,096
- Household income
- $42,334
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2008.0
Population outlook (Newport News County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 181,076 people
- By 2030
- 179,683 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 174,649 · -3.5%
- By 2050
- 167,407 · -7.5%
- By 2075
- 147,597 · -18.5%
- By 2100
- 122,144 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% White 13% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Newport News
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.8) · D 63.7% · R 34.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 28.7pp · 2024: 28.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.8 2020: D+32.9 2016: D+25.4 2012: D+30.0 2008: D+28.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.84%
- Current HPI
- 312.4039
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.91%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+587.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $110,000 REINMLS
- 2026-05-11 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2026-03-30 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2026-02-10 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2026-02-10 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2026-02-04 Listed $145,000 REINMLS
- 2022-11-23 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2022-10-24 Price Changed $129,999 REINMLS
- 2022-10-05 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2022-10-04 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2022-09-28 Listed $150,000 REINMLS
- 2016-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 1985-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2026): $2,049 · +14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…