8002 Le Havre Pl #12 · Merrifield, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.7/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Cash flow +6.4/30.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bright, spacious 1 BR, 1 BA condo unit with quick access to Metro and Beltway! Minutes from the Mosaic District with plenty of dining and shopping options! This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 5% down! This property is approved for HomePath Mortgage Financing. This property is approved for HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing.
Key facts
- $854 HOA
- Community pool
- Built 1966
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly condo fee of $854.18; HOA fee includes common area maintenance, electricity, gas, water, trash, snow removal, recreation facilities and pools; Community amenities include outdoor pool and tot lot/playground; Other monthly fee: $179.12
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking (free)
- Utilities: Central air (electric); Natural gas heating and hot water; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Mid-rise condominium (5–8 floors); Unit/flat; Entry on level 2; Yorktowne Square building; Brick exterior
- Construction: Brick construction; Year built is estimated
- Exterior features: Community pool; Above-grade and below-grade other structures
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on main level
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump(s); Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Den; Not furnished; No basement; Living area is estimated
- Laundry & utility: Common laundry; No washer/dryer hook-up in unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-370 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (24.9% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
- Recommended offer: $161k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.4% in Merrifield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in VA, #90 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Fairfax County Public School District (suburban): math 61% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #13 of 131 in VA (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Mantua Elementary (math 76% / reading 82%, grade A, #161 of 1,108 statewide, top 14%, 932 students, 13% FRL); Jackson Middle (math 54% / reading 69%, grade B+, #147 of 342 statewide, top 44%, 1,053 students, 53% FRL); Falls Church High (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #299 of 319 statewide, top 94%, 2,118 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 42% FRL vs 21% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,861 units permitted in Fairfax County in 2024 (1,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fairfax County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $162k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.37%
- DSCR
- 0.67
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $243,298
- List price
- $215,000
- Delta
- -11.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -32.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.04×
- Total profit
- $-62,468
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- -60.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.67×
- Total profit
- $-100,745
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 22042
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,494 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$854
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$524
- Net cashflow
- $-370
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-221 | -5% $-296 | +0% $-370 | +5% $-444 | +10% $-519 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-567 | -5% $-468 | +0% $-370 | +5% $-271 | +10% $-173 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-262 | -0.5pp $-315 | base $-370 | +0.5pp $-426 | +1.0pp $-482 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2903 Charing Cross Rd #7 Falls Church, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $1,950 | $2.66 | 6d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2904 Kings Chapel Rd Unit 5/16 Falls Church, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $2,000 | $2.73 | 22d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2910 Yarling Ct Unit 1 Falls Church, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 996 | $1,430 | $1.44 | 26d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2940 Yarling Ct Falls Church, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $2,800 | $2.73 | 45d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2839 Yarling Ct Falls Church, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $2,800 | $2.71 | 22d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3003 Nicosh Cir #3108 Falls Church, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $2,800 | $2.53 | 16d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2844 Yarling Ct Falls Church, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1113 | $2,700 | $2.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 8190 Strawberry Ln Falls Church, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1369 | $3,380 | $2.47 | 0d | 21 | 0.40mi |
| 8130 Prescott Dr Vienna, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1037 | $2,724 | $2.63 | 0d | 27 | 0.46mi |
| 2750 Gallows Rd Vienna, VA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 863 | $3,090 | $3.58 | 0d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 7758 New Providence Dr #9 Falls Church, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $2,600 | $2.77 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2726 Gallows Rd Vienna, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 958 | $2,650 | $2.76 | 26d | 2 | 0.58mi |
| 2726 Gallows Rd Vienna, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 979 | $2,400 | $2.45 | 22d | 2 | 0.58mi |
| 7753 New Providence Dr #79 Falls Church, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $2,500 | $2.65 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2726 Gallows Rd #1011 Vienna, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 969 | $2,500 | $2.58 | 0d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2729 Merrilee Dr Fairfax, VA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 803 | $3,300 | $4.11 | 0d | 22 | 0.60mi |
| 2841 Windsor Dr #202 Falls Church, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $2,500 | $2.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2655 Prosperity Ave #318 Fairfax, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 667 | $2,150 | $3.22 | 4d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2852 Dover Ln Falls Church, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,100 | $2.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2987 District Ave Fairfax, VA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $3,405 | $3.89 | 0d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2677 Avenir Pl Vienna, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 876 | $3,072 | $3.50 | 0d | 10 | 0.68mi |
| 7618 Savannah St #104 Falls Church, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 819 | $2,300 | $2.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2665 Prosperity Ave Fairfax, VA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 989 | $2,950 | $2.98 | 16d | 2 | 0.71mi |
| 2665 Prosperity Ave Fairfax, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 898 | $3,200 | $3.56 | 26d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2700 Dorr Ave Fairfax, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 931 | $3,090 | $3.32 | 3d | 29 | 0.82mi |
| 2754 Hollywood Rd Unit 304 Falls Church, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 621 | $1,875 | $3.02 | 16d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 7481 Lee Hwy Falls Church, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,895 | $2.45 | 26d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 8301 Anderson Dr Fairfax, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1192 | $2,456 | $2.06 | 0d | 38 | 1.03mi |
| 3150 Anchorway Ct Unit E Falls Church, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 724 | $2,100 | $2.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3151 Covewood Ct Unit D Falls Church, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 951 | $2,400 | $2.52 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3151 Anchorway Ct Unit H Falls Church, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 628 | $1,950 | $3.11 | 20d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 7598 Lakeside Village Dr Falls Church, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $2,700 | $3.03 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 7435 Arlington Blvd Falls Church, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $2,214 | $3.54 | 0d | 15 | 1.14mi |
| 2809 W Glen Dr Falls Church, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 627 | $2,150 | $3.43 | 9d | 7 | 1.24mi |
| 7400 Parkwood Ct Falls Church, VA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 718 | $2,493 | $3.47 | 5d | 20 | 1.26mi |
| 3300 Woodburn Village Dr #21 Annandale, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,750 | $2.40 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3302 Woodburn Village Dr Annandale, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 898 | $1,990 | $2.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3378 Woodburn Rd Unit 3378-14 Annandale, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,390 | $3.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 7308 Arlington Blvd Falls Church, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 955 | $2,395 | $2.51 | 23d | 6 | 1.34mi |
| 3354 Woodburn Rd #14 Annandale, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,900 | $2.61 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $854 · $10,248/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $215,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $215,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $215,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $215,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $215,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$215,000 Active 407-char remark
-
2026-05-07historical $215,000 407-char remark
-
2024-06-13historical $1,750
-
2024-06-08$1,750
-
2014-03-17soldstatus $162,000 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Bright, spacious 1 BR, 1 BA condo unit with quick access to Metro and Beltway! Minutes from the Mosaic District with plenty of dining and shopping options! This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 5% down! This property is approved for HomePath Mortgage Financing. This property is approved for HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing.
-
2014-03-17soldstatus $162,000 Sold
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Bright, spacious 1 BR, 1 BA condo unit with quick access to Metro and Beltway! Minutes from the Mosaic District with plenty of dining and shopping options! This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 5% down! This property is approved for HomePath Mortgage Financing. This property is approved for HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing.
-
2014-01-30status Contingent (No Kick Out)
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Bright, spacious 1 BR, 1 BA condo unit with quick access to Metro and Beltway! Minutes from the Mosaic District with plenty of dining and shopping options! This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 5% down! This property is approved for HomePath Mortgage Financing. This property is approved for HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing.
-
2014-01-30historical 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Bright, spacious 1 BR, 1 BA condo unit with quick access to Metro and Beltway! Minutes from the Mosaic District with plenty of dining and shopping options! This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 5% down! This property is approved for HomePath Mortgage Financing. This property is approved for HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing.
-
2014-01-02price $159,900
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Bright, spacious 1 BR, 1 BA condo unit with quick access to Metro and Beltway! Minutes from the Mosaic District with plenty of dining and shopping options! This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 5% down! This property is approved for HomePath Mortgage Financing. This property is approved for HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing.
-
2013-12-03price $169,900
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Bright, spacious 1 BR, 1 BA condo unit with quick access to Metro and Beltway! Minutes from the Mosaic District with plenty of dining and shopping options! This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 5% down! This property is approved for HomePath Mortgage Financing. This property is approved for HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing.
-
2013-10-29price $179,900
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Bright, spacious 1 BR, 1 BA condo unit with quick access to Metro and Beltway! Minutes from the Mosaic District with plenty of dining and shopping options! This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 5% down! This property is approved for HomePath Mortgage Financing. This property is approved for HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing.
-
2013-09-26status Active
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Bright, spacious 1 BR, 1 BA condo unit with quick access to Metro and Beltway! Minutes from the Mosaic District with plenty of dining and shopping options! This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 5% down! This property is approved for HomePath Mortgage Financing. This property is approved for HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing.
-
2013-09-25$159,900 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Bright, spacious 1 BR, 1 BA condo unit with quick access to Metro and Beltway! Minutes from the Mosaic District with plenty of dining and shopping options! This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 5% down! This property is approved for HomePath Mortgage Financing. This property is approved for HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing.
-
2013-09-25$185,000
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Bright, spacious 1 BR, 1 BA condo unit with quick access to Metro and Beltway! Minutes from the Mosaic District with plenty of dining and shopping options! This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 5% down! This property is approved for HomePath Mortgage Financing. This property is approved for HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing.
-
2013-09-25historical
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Bright, spacious 1 BR, 1 BA condo unit with quick access to Metro and Beltway! Minutes from the Mosaic District with plenty of dining and shopping options! This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 5% down! This property is approved for HomePath Mortgage Financing. This property is approved for HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,922
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$3,225
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,394
- − Management
- −$2,394
- − HOA
- −$10,248
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$7,711
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,851
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,588/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fairfax County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101260
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $110,238
- Composite
- 62.59/100
- National rank
- #679
- State rank
- #13 of 131 in VA
Livability — Merrifield
- Score
- 90/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #90
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Merrifield, VA
- County
- Fairfax County · 1,104,456 people
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,483
- Household income
- $138,255
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 857.0
Population outlook (Fairfax County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,237,259 people
- By 2030
- 1,277,758 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,346,508 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 1,397,919 · +13.0%
- By 2075
- 1,493,100 · +20.7%
- By 2100
- 1,465,712 · +18.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 33% Asian 18% Two or more races 12% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 37% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 30% Vietnamese 8% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Fairfax
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+35.0) · D 66.1% · R 31.1% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.8pp toward D · 2008: 21.2pp · 2024: 35.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+35.0 2020: D+41.9 2016: D+36.2 2012: D+19.8 2008: D+21.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -488.58%
- Current HPI
- 349.9051
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.12%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+34.5% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-07 Coming Soon $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-06-13 Rental Removed $1,750 BRIGHTMLS
- 2024-06-08 Listed for Rent $1,750 BRIGHTMLS
- 2014-03-17 Sold (MLS) $162,000 MRIS
- 2014-03-17 Sold (MLS) $162,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-01-30 Pending — MRIS
- 2014-01-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-01-02 Price Changed $159,900 MRIS
- 2013-12-03 Price Changed $169,900 MRIS
- 2013-10-29 Price Changed $179,900 MRIS
- 2013-09-26 Relisted — MRIS
- 2013-09-25 Delisted — MRIS
- 2013-09-25 Listed $185,000 MRIS
- 2013-09-25 Listed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
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