9 Chamiso Dr · Los Alamos, CA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.8/30.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
$895,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy stunning views from this beautifully updated 4BD/3BA Los Alamos home, offering the perfect blend of space, comfort, and wine country living. Fresh interior and exterior paint and pretty new carpet in all bedrooms create a clean, move-in-ready feel. The gourmet kitchen features granite countertops, generous cabinetry, and an open layout flowing into a bright great room with cathedral ceilings, a cozy fireplace, and vineyard views. The flexible floor plan includes a convenient downstairs bedroom and bath, ideal for guests or multi-generational living. The private upstairs primary suite offers a sitting or office area, fireplace, walk-in closet, and a luxurious en-suite bath with a soaking tub and walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms, a full bath, and a central laundry room complete the upper level. The fenced backyard with raised garden beds is perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or enjoying your own wine country oasis. Located just blocks from Bell Street's restaurants, tasting rooms, and shops, and a short drive to Los Olivos, Santa Ynez, and the Santa Barbara coastline. This home shows like sparkly new and is an exceptional deal for a country retreat in desirable Los Alamos.
Key facts
- Flexible floor plan
- Stunning views
- Gourmet kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: Homeowner association present; Association maintains common areas; Community play area
Exterior
- Parking: 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water and sewer (standard connections implied)
- Home design: Attached home; Two-story; Property subtype: Home/Estate; Property in good condition; One building
- Construction: Stucco construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of a development with vineyard views
- Exterior features: Level lot; Mountain views; Play area (community amenity)
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Built-in gas range; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Ground-floor bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate; Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced-air heating
- Interior features: Fireplaces in the primary bedroom and family room; Laundry room with gas hookup
- Laundry & utility: Gas hookup in laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $895k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-575 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $793k (11.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $650k (27.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $650k (27.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.5% in Los Alamos — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#1,007 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Orcutt Union Elementary (suburban): math 44% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #414 of 1,400 in CA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 719 units permitted in Santa Barbara County in 2024 (217 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
- Santa Barbara County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($788k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $64k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $649k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.75%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,112,740
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Chamiso Dr | 0.04mi | 4/3.0 | 2,714 (0%) | 3mo | $955,000 | $352 | 96 |
| 25 Chamiso Dr | 0.10mi | 4/3.0 | 2,714 (0%) | 6mo | $960,000 | $354 | 90 |
| 13 Chamiso Dr | 0.03mi | 4/2.5 | 2,807 (+3%) | 15mo | $1,150,000 | $410 | 79 |
| 95 St Joseph St | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,491 (-8%) | 2mo | $2,325,000 | $933 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.44% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-44,334
- Equity at exit
- $279,717
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $52,355
- Equity at exit
- $352,502
Cash invested: $250,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93440
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,693
- Tax from tax record
- −$643 /mo · $7,720/yr
- Insurance
- −$373
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,365
- Net cashflow
- $-575
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $223,750
- Closing costs
- $26,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 370 Main St Los Alamos, CA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2694 | $6,500 | $2.41 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
Listing history 45 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $895,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $895,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $895,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $895,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $895,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $895,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $895,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $895,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $895,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $895,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $895,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $895,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $895,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $895,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $895,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $895,000 Active 189 DOM
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2026-05-03price $909,000
Show marketing remark (1209 chars)
Enjoy stunning views from this beautifully updated 4BD/3BA Los Alamos home, offering the perfect blend of space, comfort, and wine country living. Fresh interior and exterior paint and pretty new carpet in all bedrooms create a clean, move-in-ready feel. The gourmet kitchen features granite countertops, generous cabinetry, and an open layout flowing into a bright great room with cathedral ceilings, a cozy fireplace, and vineyard views. The flexible floor plan includes a convenient downstairs bedroom and bath, ideal for guests or multi-generational living. The private upstairs primary suite offers a sitting or office area, fireplace, walk-in closet, and a luxurious en-suite bath with a soaking tub and walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms, a full bath, and a central laundry room complete the upper level. The fenced backyard with raised garden beds is perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or enjoying your own wine country oasis. Located just blocks from Bell Street's restaurants, tasting rooms, and shops, and a short drive to Los Olivos, Santa Ynez, and the Santa Barbara coastline. This home shows like sparkly new and is an exceptional deal for a country retreat in desirable Los Alamos.
-
2026-05-03price $909,000 1209-char remark
Show marketing remark (1209 chars)
Enjoy stunning views from this beautifully updated 4BD/3BA Los Alamos home, offering the perfect blend of space, comfort, and wine country living. Fresh interior and exterior paint and pretty new carpet in all bedrooms create a clean, move-in-ready feel. The gourmet kitchen features granite countertops, generous cabinetry, and an open layout flowing into a bright great room with cathedral ceilings, a cozy fireplace, and vineyard views. The flexible floor plan includes a convenient downstairs bedroom and bath, ideal for guests or multi-generational living. The private upstairs primary suite offers a sitting or office area, fireplace, walk-in closet, and a luxurious en-suite bath with a soaking tub and walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms, a full bath, and a central laundry room complete the upper level. The fenced backyard with raised garden beds is perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or enjoying your own wine country oasis. Located just blocks from Bell Street's restaurants, tasting rooms, and shops, and a short drive to Los Olivos, Santa Ynez, and the Santa Barbara coastline. This home shows like sparkly new and is an exceptional deal for a country retreat in desirable Los Alamos.
-
2026-04-07historical
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2026-04-02price $919,000
Show marketing remark (1209 chars)
Enjoy stunning views from this beautifully updated 4BD/3BA Los Alamos home, offering the perfect blend of space, comfort, and wine country living. Fresh interior and exterior paint and pretty new carpet in all bedrooms create a clean, move-in-ready feel. The gourmet kitchen features granite countertops, generous cabinetry, and an open layout flowing into a bright great room with cathedral ceilings, a cozy fireplace, and vineyard views. The flexible floor plan includes a convenient downstairs bedroom and bath, ideal for guests or multi-generational living. The private upstairs primary suite offers a sitting or office area, fireplace, walk-in closet, and a luxurious en-suite bath with a soaking tub and walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms, a full bath, and a central laundry room complete the upper level. The fenced backyard with raised garden beds is perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or enjoying your own wine country oasis. Located just blocks from Bell Street's restaurants, tasting rooms, and shops, and a short drive to Los Olivos, Santa Ynez, and the Santa Barbara coastline. This home shows like sparkly new and is an exceptional deal for a country retreat in desirable Los Alamos.
-
2026-04-02price $919,000 1209-char remark
Show marketing remark (1209 chars)
Enjoy stunning views from this beautifully updated 4BD/3BA Los Alamos home, offering the perfect blend of space, comfort, and wine country living. Fresh interior and exterior paint and pretty new carpet in all bedrooms create a clean, move-in-ready feel. The gourmet kitchen features granite countertops, generous cabinetry, and an open layout flowing into a bright great room with cathedral ceilings, a cozy fireplace, and vineyard views. The flexible floor plan includes a convenient downstairs bedroom and bath, ideal for guests or multi-generational living. The private upstairs primary suite offers a sitting or office area, fireplace, walk-in closet, and a luxurious en-suite bath with a soaking tub and walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms, a full bath, and a central laundry room complete the upper level. The fenced backyard with raised garden beds is perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or enjoying your own wine country oasis. Located just blocks from Bell Street's restaurants, tasting rooms, and shops, and a short drive to Los Olivos, Santa Ynez, and the Santa Barbara coastline. This home shows like sparkly new and is an exceptional deal for a country retreat in desirable Los Alamos.
-
2026-02-06price $929,000 1209-char remark
Show marketing remark (1209 chars)
Enjoy stunning views from this beautifully updated 4BD/3BA Los Alamos home, offering the perfect blend of space, comfort, and wine country living. Fresh interior and exterior paint and pretty new carpet in all bedrooms create a clean, move-in-ready feel. The gourmet kitchen features granite countertops, generous cabinetry, and an open layout flowing into a bright great room with cathedral ceilings, a cozy fireplace, and vineyard views. The flexible floor plan includes a convenient downstairs bedroom and bath, ideal for guests or multi-generational living. The private upstairs primary suite offers a sitting or office area, fireplace, walk-in closet, and a luxurious en-suite bath with a soaking tub and walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms, a full bath, and a central laundry room complete the upper level. The fenced backyard with raised garden beds is perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or enjoying your own wine country oasis. Located just blocks from Bell Street's restaurants, tasting rooms, and shops, and a short drive to Los Olivos, Santa Ynez, and the Santa Barbara coastline. This home shows like sparkly new and is an exceptional deal for a country retreat in desirable Los Alamos.
-
2026-02-06price $929,000
Show marketing remark (1209 chars)
Enjoy stunning views from this beautifully updated 4BD/3BA Los Alamos home, offering the perfect blend of space, comfort, and wine country living. Fresh interior and exterior paint and pretty new carpet in all bedrooms create a clean, move-in-ready feel. The gourmet kitchen features granite countertops, generous cabinetry, and an open layout flowing into a bright great room with cathedral ceilings, a cozy fireplace, and vineyard views. The flexible floor plan includes a convenient downstairs bedroom and bath, ideal for guests or multi-generational living. The private upstairs primary suite offers a sitting or office area, fireplace, walk-in closet, and a luxurious en-suite bath with a soaking tub and walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms, a full bath, and a central laundry room complete the upper level. The fenced backyard with raised garden beds is perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or enjoying your own wine country oasis. Located just blocks from Bell Street's restaurants, tasting rooms, and shops, and a short drive to Los Olivos, Santa Ynez, and the Santa Barbara coastline. This home shows like sparkly new and is an exceptional deal for a country retreat in desirable Los Alamos.
-
2026-02-06price $929,000
Show marketing remark (1209 chars)
Enjoy stunning views from this beautifully updated 4BD/3BA Los Alamos home, offering the perfect blend of space, comfort, and wine country living. Fresh interior and exterior paint and pretty new carpet in all bedrooms create a clean, move-in-ready feel. The gourmet kitchen features granite countertops, generous cabinetry, and an open layout flowing into a bright great room with cathedral ceilings, a cozy fireplace, and vineyard views. The flexible floor plan includes a convenient downstairs bedroom and bath, ideal for guests or multi-generational living. The private upstairs primary suite offers a sitting or office area, fireplace, walk-in closet, and a luxurious en-suite bath with a soaking tub and walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms, a full bath, and a central laundry room complete the upper level. The fenced backyard with raised garden beds is perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or enjoying your own wine country oasis. Located just blocks from Bell Street's restaurants, tasting rooms, and shops, and a short drive to Los Olivos, Santa Ynez, and the Santa Barbara coastline. This home shows like sparkly new and is an exceptional deal for a country retreat in desirable Los Alamos.
-
2026-01-19price $939,000 1209-char remark
Show marketing remark (1209 chars)
Enjoy stunning views from this beautifully updated 4BD/3BA Los Alamos home, offering the perfect blend of space, comfort, and wine country living. Fresh interior and exterior paint and pretty new carpet in all bedrooms create a clean, move-in-ready feel. The gourmet kitchen features granite countertops, generous cabinetry, and an open layout flowing into a bright great room with cathedral ceilings, a cozy fireplace, and vineyard views. The flexible floor plan includes a convenient downstairs bedroom and bath, ideal for guests or multi-generational living. The private upstairs primary suite offers a sitting or office area, fireplace, walk-in closet, and a luxurious en-suite bath with a soaking tub and walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms, a full bath, and a central laundry room complete the upper level. The fenced backyard with raised garden beds is perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or enjoying your own wine country oasis. Located just blocks from Bell Street's restaurants, tasting rooms, and shops, and a short drive to Los Olivos, Santa Ynez, and the Santa Barbara coastline. This home shows like sparkly new and is an exceptional deal for a country retreat in desirable Los Alamos.
-
2026-01-19price $939,000
Show marketing remark (1209 chars)
Enjoy stunning views from this beautifully updated 4BD/3BA Los Alamos home, offering the perfect blend of space, comfort, and wine country living. Fresh interior and exterior paint and pretty new carpet in all bedrooms create a clean, move-in-ready feel. The gourmet kitchen features granite countertops, generous cabinetry, and an open layout flowing into a bright great room with cathedral ceilings, a cozy fireplace, and vineyard views. The flexible floor plan includes a convenient downstairs bedroom and bath, ideal for guests or multi-generational living. The private upstairs primary suite offers a sitting or office area, fireplace, walk-in closet, and a luxurious en-suite bath with a soaking tub and walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms, a full bath, and a central laundry room complete the upper level. The fenced backyard with raised garden beds is perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or enjoying your own wine country oasis. Located just blocks from Bell Street's restaurants, tasting rooms, and shops, and a short drive to Los Olivos, Santa Ynez, and the Santa Barbara coastline. This home shows like sparkly new and is an exceptional deal for a country retreat in desirable Los Alamos.
-
2026-01-19price $939,000
Show marketing remark (1209 chars)
Enjoy stunning views from this beautifully updated 4BD/3BA Los Alamos home, offering the perfect blend of space, comfort, and wine country living. Fresh interior and exterior paint and pretty new carpet in all bedrooms create a clean, move-in-ready feel. The gourmet kitchen features granite countertops, generous cabinetry, and an open layout flowing into a bright great room with cathedral ceilings, a cozy fireplace, and vineyard views. The flexible floor plan includes a convenient downstairs bedroom and bath, ideal for guests or multi-generational living. The private upstairs primary suite offers a sitting or office area, fireplace, walk-in closet, and a luxurious en-suite bath with a soaking tub and walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms, a full bath, and a central laundry room complete the upper level. The fenced backyard with raised garden beds is perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or enjoying your own wine country oasis. Located just blocks from Bell Street's restaurants, tasting rooms, and shops, and a short drive to Los Olivos, Santa Ynez, and the Santa Barbara coastline. This home shows like sparkly new and is an exceptional deal for a country retreat in desirable Los Alamos.
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2025-11-29$959,000 Active
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2025-11-22$959,000 Active
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2025-11-21$959,000 Active 1209-char remark
Show marketing remark (1209 chars)
Enjoy stunning views from this beautifully updated 4BD/3BA Los Alamos home, offering the perfect blend of space, comfort, and wine country living. Fresh interior and exterior paint and pretty new carpet in all bedrooms create a clean, move-in-ready feel. The gourmet kitchen features granite countertops, generous cabinetry, and an open layout flowing into a bright great room with cathedral ceilings, a cozy fireplace, and vineyard views. The flexible floor plan includes a convenient downstairs bedroom and bath, ideal for guests or multi-generational living. The private upstairs primary suite offers a sitting or office area, fireplace, walk-in closet, and a luxurious en-suite bath with a soaking tub and walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms, a full bath, and a central laundry room complete the upper level. The fenced backyard with raised garden beds is perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or enjoying your own wine country oasis. Located just blocks from Bell Street's restaurants, tasting rooms, and shops, and a short drive to Los Olivos, Santa Ynez, and the Santa Barbara coastline. This home shows like sparkly new and is an exceptional deal for a country retreat in desirable Los Alamos.
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2021-01-08soldstatus $649,000
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2021-01-08soldstatus $644,500
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2021-01-04$649,000
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2019-09-30historical
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2019-09-30historical
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2019-08-25$649,000 Active
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2019-08-24$649,000 Active
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2017-04-27historical
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2017-04-25$659,000 Active
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2016-12-30soldstatus $455,000
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2016-12-30soldstatus $455,000 Closed
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2016-12-30soldstatus $455,000
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2016-08-15historical Contingent
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2016-02-24$449,000 Active
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2016-02-23$455,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,720 · $643/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,720 · $643/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $78,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$50,134
- − Property taxes
- −$7,720
- − Insurance
- −$4,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,240
- − Management
- −$6,240
- − Depreciation
- −$26,036
- Taxable loss
- −$22,845
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,483
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,414/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orcutt Union Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0628710
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,564
- Composite
- 45.96/100
- National rank
- #5530
- State rank
- #414 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Los Alamos
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #1007
- US rank
- #24871
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Los Alamos, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 896
Population outlook (Santa Barbara County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,679 people
- By 2030
- 505,323 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 545,783 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 584,263 · +20.5%
- By 2075
- 682,586 · +40.8%
- By 2100
- 723,188 · +49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 13% Serbian 7% German 5%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Barbara
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.7) · D 61.8% · R 35.1% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 26.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.7 2020: D+32.1 2016: D+28.2 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.44%
- Current HPI
- 320.7938
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+99.8% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Price Changed $909,000 SBMLS
- 2026-05-03 Price Changed $909,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2026-04-07 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $919,000 SBMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $919,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $929,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $929,000 CRMLS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $929,000 SBMLS
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $939,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $939,000 CRMLS
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $939,000 SBMLS
- 2025-11-29 Listed $959,000 CRMLS
- 2025-11-22 Listed $959,000 SBMLS
- 2025-11-21 Listed $959,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2021-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $644,500 Public Records
- 2021-01-08 Sold (MLS) $649,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2021-01-04 Listed $649,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2019-09-30 Listing Removed — SBMLS
- 2019-09-30 Listing Removed — NSBCRMLS
- 2019-08-25 Listed $649,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2019-08-24 Listed $649,000 SBMLS
- 2017-04-27 Listing Removed — NSBCRMLS
- 2017-04-25 Listed $659,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2016-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $455,000 Public Records
- 2016-12-30 Sold (MLS) $455,000 SBMLS
- 2016-12-30 Sold (MLS) $455,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2016-08-15 Contingent — SBMLS
- 2016-02-24 Listed $449,000 SBMLS
- 2016-02-23 Listed $455,000 NSBCRMLS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $7,720 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…