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500 W Santa Maria St #4
D+ Composite 47.73
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.1/30.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$268,000

500 W Santa Maria St #4 · Santa Paula, CA 93060
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · Manufactured · 191 Days on market
Built 1975 1,296 sqft lot $207/sqft · 17% above area Est $229k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Imagine sipping morning coffee while gazing at mountain views, as the Santa Clara River meanders peacefully nearby! Located in the welcoming Rancho Santa Paula Mobile Home Park 55+ this 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured residence offers comfort, convenience, and a lifestyle that invites you to slow down and savor each day. Manicured landscaping frames the exterior, while inside, sunlight pours through wide windows that illuminate the living and dining areas, seamlessly connected for effortless entertaining. Wood-style floors and neutral hues add warmth, and the open layout flows into a generous kitchen with abundant cabinets and a breakfast bar ready for your next recipe. Your primary suite is a restful retreat, complete with an ensuite featuring a walk-in shower. The sleek hall bath offers overnight guests a rejuvenating shower/tub combo. The enclosed sunroom leads to a backyard sanctuary with vibrant foliage and your own grapefruit tree, ready to enjoy bright afternoons. Perks like a laundry nook and a 1-vehicle carport make every day easy, along with access to community amenities such as a clubhouse, pool, spa, and dog park. With proximity to downtown Santa Paula, the 126 Fwy, and the sandy shores of Ventura just a short drive away, this is more than a relaxing home. Come experience the tranquil haven you've been looking for!

Key facts

  • Wide windows
  • Open layout
  • Santa clara river

Tags

MOUNTAIN VIEWSSANTA CLARA RIVERMANICURED LANDSCAPINGWIDE WINDOWSWOOD-STYLE FLOORSOPEN LAYOUT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $268k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $479 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $268k).
  • Recommended offer: $236k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.0% in Santa Paula — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#331 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A-, commute B+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Santa Paula Unified (town): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #1,004 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,759 units permitted in Ventura County in 2024 (1,196 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ventura County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $153k; list at $268k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $235,840 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.44%
Cash-on-cash
7.65%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$229,000
List price
$268,000
Delta
17.03%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
500 W Santa Maria St #54 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,296 (0%) 2mo $263,000 $203 98
500 W Santa Maria St #30 0.08mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+4%) 1mo $315,000 $234 89
500 W Santa Maria #43 0.07mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-4%) 5mo $87,000 $70 86
500 W Santa Maria St #52 0.04mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-4%) 22mo $221,000 $177 74
500 W Santa Maria St #1 0.08mi 2/2.0 1,488 (+15%) 6mo $195,000 $131 66
500 W Santa Maria St #38 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,356 (+5%) 21mo $230,000 $170 66
500 W Santa Maria St #85 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,152 (-11%) 19mo $250,000 $217 66
720 W Santa Maria St #36 0.24mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+4%) 21mo $273,500 $203 65
720 W Santa Maria St #10 0.31mi 2/2.0 1,456 (+12%) 3mo $310,000 $213 63
720 W Santa Maria St #33 0.24mi 2/2.0 1,200 (-7%) 21mo $197,000 $164 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-12,896
Equity at exit
$39,960
10-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$28,209
Equity at exit
$23,172

Cash invested: $75,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93060

Active inventory
158
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,950 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,405
Tax est. 1.5%
$335 /mo · $4,020/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$620
Net cashflow
$479

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,344
Max offer price $268,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $664 -5% $571 +0% $479 +5% $386 +10% $293
Rent -10% $246 -5% $362 +0% $479 +5% $595 +10% $712
Rate -1.0pp $614 -0.5pp $547 base $479 +0.5pp $409 +1.0pp $339

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,000
Closing costs
$8,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
325 Princeton St Santa Paula, CA 3.0 2.0 1197 $3,600 $3.01 45d 1 0.30mi
325 Princeton St Santa Paula, CA 3.0 2.0 1197 $3,600 $3.01 3d 1 0.30mi
126 E Ventura St Unit F Santa Paula, CA 2.0 1.0 890 $2,350 $2.64 3d 1 0.65mi
200 W Main St Apt 7 Santa Paula, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,175 $2.42 20d 1 0.66mi
180 Pleasant St Unit D Santa Paula, CA 2.0 1.0 980 $2,100 $2.14 45d 1 1.07mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $268,000 Active 191 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $268,000 Active 188 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $268,000 Active 187 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $268,000 Active 186 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $268,000 Active 185 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $268,000 Active 183 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $268,000 Active 182 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $268,000 Active 180 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $268,000 Active 179 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $268,000 Active 178 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $268,000 Active 177 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $268,000 Active 174 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $268,000 Active 173 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $268,000 Active 172 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $268,000 Active 171 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $268,000 Active 170 DOM
  17. 2026-05-19
    price $268,000 1347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1347 chars)

    Imagine sipping morning coffee while gazing at mountain views, as the Santa Clara River meanders peacefully nearby! Located in the welcoming Rancho Santa Paula Mobile Home Park 55+ this 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured residence offers comfort, convenience, and a lifestyle that invites you to slow down and savor each day. Manicured landscaping frames the exterior, while inside, sunlight pours through wide windows that illuminate the living and dining areas, seamlessly connected for effortless entertaining. Wood-style floors and neutral hues add warmth, and the open layout flows into a generous kitchen with abundant cabinets and a breakfast bar ready for your next recipe. Your primary suite is a restful retreat, complete with an ensuite featuring a walk-in shower. The sleek hall bath offers overnight guests a rejuvenating shower/tub combo. The enclosed sunroom leads to a backyard sanctuary with vibrant foliage and your own grapefruit tree, ready to enjoy bright afternoons. Perks like a laundry nook and a 1-vehicle carport make every day easy, along with access to community amenities such as a clubhouse, pool, spa, and dog park. With proximity to downtown Santa Paula, the 126 Fwy, and the sandy shores of Ventura just a short drive away, this is more than a relaxing home. Come experience the tranquil haven you've been looking for!

  18. 2026-04-01
    price $269,000 1347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1347 chars)

    Imagine sipping morning coffee while gazing at mountain views, as the Santa Clara River meanders peacefully nearby! Located in the welcoming Rancho Santa Paula Mobile Home Park 55+ this 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured residence offers comfort, convenience, and a lifestyle that invites you to slow down and savor each day. Manicured landscaping frames the exterior, while inside, sunlight pours through wide windows that illuminate the living and dining areas, seamlessly connected for effortless entertaining. Wood-style floors and neutral hues add warmth, and the open layout flows into a generous kitchen with abundant cabinets and a breakfast bar ready for your next recipe. Your primary suite is a restful retreat, complete with an ensuite featuring a walk-in shower. The sleek hall bath offers overnight guests a rejuvenating shower/tub combo. The enclosed sunroom leads to a backyard sanctuary with vibrant foliage and your own grapefruit tree, ready to enjoy bright afternoons. Perks like a laundry nook and a 1-vehicle carport make every day easy, along with access to community amenities such as a clubhouse, pool, spa, and dog park. With proximity to downtown Santa Paula, the 126 Fwy, and the sandy shores of Ventura just a short drive away, this is more than a relaxing home. Come experience the tranquil haven you've been looking for!

  19. 2026-02-10
    price $279,000 1347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1347 chars)

    Imagine sipping morning coffee while gazing at mountain views, as the Santa Clara River meanders peacefully nearby! Located in the welcoming Rancho Santa Paula Mobile Home Park 55+ this 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured residence offers comfort, convenience, and a lifestyle that invites you to slow down and savor each day. Manicured landscaping frames the exterior, while inside, sunlight pours through wide windows that illuminate the living and dining areas, seamlessly connected for effortless entertaining. Wood-style floors and neutral hues add warmth, and the open layout flows into a generous kitchen with abundant cabinets and a breakfast bar ready for your next recipe. Your primary suite is a restful retreat, complete with an ensuite featuring a walk-in shower. The sleek hall bath offers overnight guests a rejuvenating shower/tub combo. The enclosed sunroom leads to a backyard sanctuary with vibrant foliage and your own grapefruit tree, ready to enjoy bright afternoons. Perks like a laundry nook and a 1-vehicle carport make every day easy, along with access to community amenities such as a clubhouse, pool, spa, and dog park. With proximity to downtown Santa Paula, the 126 Fwy, and the sandy shores of Ventura just a short drive away, this is more than a relaxing home. Come experience the tranquil haven you've been looking for!

  20. 2025-12-12
    listed $285,000 Active 1347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1347 chars)

    Imagine sipping morning coffee while gazing at mountain views, as the Santa Clara River meanders peacefully nearby! Located in the welcoming Rancho Santa Paula Mobile Home Park 55+ this 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured residence offers comfort, convenience, and a lifestyle that invites you to slow down and savor each day. Manicured landscaping frames the exterior, while inside, sunlight pours through wide windows that illuminate the living and dining areas, seamlessly connected for effortless entertaining. Wood-style floors and neutral hues add warmth, and the open layout flows into a generous kitchen with abundant cabinets and a breakfast bar ready for your next recipe. Your primary suite is a restful retreat, complete with an ensuite featuring a walk-in shower. The sleek hall bath offers overnight guests a rejuvenating shower/tub combo. The enclosed sunroom leads to a backyard sanctuary with vibrant foliage and your own grapefruit tree, ready to enjoy bright afternoons. Perks like a laundry nook and a 1-vehicle carport make every day easy, along with access to community amenities such as a clubhouse, pool, spa, and dog park. With proximity to downtown Santa Paula, the 126 Fwy, and the sandy shores of Ventura just a short drive away, this is more than a relaxing home. Come experience the tranquil haven you've been looking for!

  21. 2022-02-07
    soldstatus $153,000 Closed Sale 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    Spacious home with lots of natural light, enclosed porch, kitchen with island, dining room, spacious living room, den, laundry room, nice sized yard with Grapefruit tree! Nicely maintained senior park, owner must be 55 years old or older. The park amenities include: Pool, Jacuzzi, Billiards Room, Dog Park and Club house for entertaining!

  22. 2022-01-29
    status Pending Sale 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    Spacious home with lots of natural light, enclosed porch, kitchen with island, dining room, spacious living room, den, laundry room, nice sized yard with Grapefruit tree! Nicely maintained senior park, owner must be 55 years old or older. The park amenities include: Pool, Jacuzzi, Billiards Room, Dog Park and Club house for entertaining!

  23. 2022-01-07
    historical Active Under Contract 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    Spacious home with lots of natural light, enclosed porch, kitchen with island, dining room, spacious living room, den, laundry room, nice sized yard with Grapefruit tree! Nicely maintained senior park, owner must be 55 years old or older. The park amenities include: Pool, Jacuzzi, Billiards Room, Dog Park and Club house for entertaining!

  24. 2021-11-07
    listed $160,000 Active 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    Spacious home with lots of natural light, enclosed porch, kitchen with island, dining room, spacious living room, den, laundry room, nice sized yard with Grapefruit tree! Nicely maintained senior park, owner must be 55 years old or older. The park amenities include: Pool, Jacuzzi, Billiards Room, Dog Park and Club house for entertaining!

  25. 2021-08-18
    soldstatus $135,000 Closed Sale
  26. 2021-07-28
    status Pending Sale
  27. 2021-07-22
    listed $115,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,404
− Mortgage interest
−$15,012
− Property taxes
−$4,020
− Insurance
−$1,340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,832
− Management
−$2,832
− Depreciation
−$7,796
Taxable income
$1,571
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$377
After-tax cash flow
$5,367/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Santa Paula Unified
NCES district ID
0601421
Math proficiency
26% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$51,933
Composite
29.6/100
National rank
#11750
State rank
#1004 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Santa Paula

Score
66/100
State rank
#331
US rank
#11320

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living F Crime B- Employment B- Housing B- Health & safety A- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Santa Paula, CA
County
Ventura County · 829,955 people
City population
34,501
Metro
Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
Population (ZIP)
34,501
Household income
$80,979
Rent vs Own
44.0% rent · 56.0% own
Severe rent burden
1317.0

Population outlook (Ventura County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
895,754 people
By 2030
912,134 · +1.8%
By 2040
931,454 · +4.0%
By 2050
934,609 · +4.3%
By 2075
924,899 · +3.3%
By 2100
864,712 · -3.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 77% White 18% Two or more races 18% Black 1% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 75%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
31% · Canada
Languages at home
37% English-only · Spanish 61%

Political lean MEDSL · Ventura

2024 margin
D (+15.1) · D 56.1% · R 41.0% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+2.8pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 15.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.1 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+16.8 2012: D+5.3 2008: D+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -942.94%
Current HPI
333.9105
Rent YoY
Metro
Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+133.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $268,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $269,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Price Changed $279,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-12-12 Listed $285,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-02-07 Sold (MLS) $153,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-01-29 Pending CRMLS
  • 2022-01-07 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2021-11-07 Listed $160,000 CRMLS
  • 2021-08-18 Sold (MLS) $135,000 CRMLS
  • 2021-07-28 Pending CRMLS
  • 2021-07-22 Listed $115,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…