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8 Running Bear Ln
C Composite 58.27
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$230,000

8 Running Bear Ln · Towamensing Trails, PA 18210
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1990 0.29 ac lot Est $170k · 35% over $38/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming chalet, surrounded by nature's beauty of trees and the songs of the birds. Enjoy your early morning coffee or relax for a cozy night on your expansive front porch. Step inside to the gorgeous, vaulted ceilings highlighting the large beams and beautiful windows that flood the home with natural sunlight and beautiful view. Two sliding doors open up your living room centered around a cozy pellet stove with a striking stone surround. The kitchen features a newly updated countertop and sink, with an eat-in kitchen. The main level offers 2 bedrooms with a full bath and easy access laundry. The upper level overlooks the main level and features the master suite with walk-in closet and jetted tub. This home has much to love and has major improvements done. Including a new septic pump (2025), and new roof with spouting (2024). Detached 1-car garage for convenient parking or additional storage. In the community of Mt. Pocahontas, offering a clubhouse, outdoor pool, playground, basketball/tennis courts and baseball field; with security. Conveniently located near PA turnpike and I-80, and proximity to major Pocono resorts. Low taxes! Whether you are looking for your new home or a weekend getaway, schedule your own tour today!

Key facts

  • Cozy pellet stove
  • Natural sunlight
  • Vaulted ceilings

Tags

EXPANSIVE FRONT PORCHVAULTED CEILINGSLARGE BEAMSNATURAL SUNLIGHTCOZY PELLET STOVESTRIKING STONE SURROUND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $652 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.8% in Towamensing Trails — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,361 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jim Thorpe Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #394 of 539 in PA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 453 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $230,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.69%
Cash-on-cash
12.15%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$169,920
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
32 Osage Trl 0.06mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (0%) 18mo $170,000 $177 75
354 Old Stage Rd 0.47mi 3/1.0 960 (0%) 9mo $225,000 $234 68
119 Hunt Trl 0.67mi 3/1.0 960 (0%) 10mo $160,000 $167 58
28 Lang Ln 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,044 (+9%) 11mo $283,500 $272 47
40 Nosirrah Rd 0.67mi 3/1.0 816 (-15%) 18mo $107,900 $132 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.89% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.1%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$5,348
Equity at exit
$35,453
10-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$59,057
Equity at exit
$21,883

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18210

Home prices YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
453
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,750 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$180 /mo · $2,166/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$38
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$578
Net cashflow
$652

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,925
Max offer price $230,000
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20 Iowa Rd Albrightsville, PA 3.0 1.0 930 $2,750 $2.96 23d 1 0.91mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$38 · $456/yr
Likely covers
poolsecurity

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-04-20
    soldstatus $230,000
  2. 2026-04-09
    soldstatus $230,000 Closed 1257-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1257 chars)

    Welcome to this charming chalet, surrounded by nature's beauty of trees and the songs of the birds. Enjoy your early morning coffee or relax for a cozy night on your expansive front porch. Step inside to the gorgeous, vaulted ceilings highlighting the large beams and beautiful windows that flood the home with natural sunlight and beautiful view. Two sliding doors open up your living room centered around a cozy pellet stove with a striking stone surround. The kitchen features a newly updated countertop and sink, with an eat-in kitchen. The main level offers 2 bedrooms with a full bath and easy access laundry. The upper level overlooks the main level and features the master suite with walk-in closet and jetted tub. This home has much to love and has major improvements done. Including a new septic pump (2025), and new roof with spouting (2024). Detached 1-car garage for convenient parking or additional storage. In the community of Mt. Pocahontas, offering a clubhouse, outdoor pool, playground, basketball/tennis courts and baseball field; with security. Conveniently located near PA turnpike and I-80, and proximity to major Pocono resorts. Low taxes! Whether you are looking for your new home or a weekend getaway, schedule your own tour today!

  3. 2026-04-09
    soldstatus $230,000 Closed 1257-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1257 chars)

    Welcome to this charming chalet, surrounded by nature's beauty of trees and the songs of the birds. Enjoy your early morning coffee or relax for a cozy night on your expansive front porch. Step inside to the gorgeous, vaulted ceilings highlighting the large beams and beautiful windows that flood the home with natural sunlight and beautiful view. Two sliding doors open up your living room centered around a cozy pellet stove with a striking stone surround. The kitchen features a newly updated countertop and sink, with an eat-in kitchen. The main level offers 2 bedrooms with a full bath and easy access laundry. The upper level overlooks the main level and features the master suite with walk-in closet and jetted tub. This home has much to love and has major improvements done. Including a new septic pump (2025), and new roof with spouting (2024). Detached 1-car garage for convenient parking or additional storage. In the community of Mt. Pocahontas, offering a clubhouse, outdoor pool, playground, basketball/tennis courts and baseball field; with security. Conveniently located near PA turnpike and I-80, and proximity to major Pocono resorts. Low taxes! Whether you are looking for your new home or a weekend getaway, schedule your own tour today!

  4. 2026-03-03
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (1257 chars)

    Welcome to this charming chalet, surrounded by nature's beauty of trees and the songs of the birds. Enjoy your early morning coffee or relax for a cozy night on your expansive front porch. Step inside to the gorgeous, vaulted ceilings highlighting the large beams and beautiful windows that flood the home with natural sunlight and beautiful view. Two sliding doors open up your living room centered around a cozy pellet stove with a striking stone surround. The kitchen features a newly updated countertop and sink, with an eat-in kitchen. The main level offers 2 bedrooms with a full bath and easy access laundry. The upper level overlooks the main level and features the master suite with walk-in closet and jetted tub. This home has much to love and has major improvements done. Including a new septic pump (2025), and new roof with spouting (2024). Detached 1-car garage for convenient parking or additional storage. In the community of Mt. Pocahontas, offering a clubhouse, outdoor pool, playground, basketball/tennis courts and baseball field; with security. Conveniently located near PA turnpike and I-80, and proximity to major Pocono resorts. Low taxes! Whether you are looking for your new home or a weekend getaway, schedule your own tour today!

  5. 2026-03-03
    status Pending 1257-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1257 chars)

    Welcome to this charming chalet, surrounded by nature's beauty of trees and the songs of the birds. Enjoy your early morning coffee or relax for a cozy night on your expansive front porch. Step inside to the gorgeous, vaulted ceilings highlighting the large beams and beautiful windows that flood the home with natural sunlight and beautiful view. Two sliding doors open up your living room centered around a cozy pellet stove with a striking stone surround. The kitchen features a newly updated countertop and sink, with an eat-in kitchen. The main level offers 2 bedrooms with a full bath and easy access laundry. The upper level overlooks the main level and features the master suite with walk-in closet and jetted tub. This home has much to love and has major improvements done. Including a new septic pump (2025), and new roof with spouting (2024). Detached 1-car garage for convenient parking or additional storage. In the community of Mt. Pocahontas, offering a clubhouse, outdoor pool, playground, basketball/tennis courts and baseball field; with security. Conveniently located near PA turnpike and I-80, and proximity to major Pocono resorts. Low taxes! Whether you are looking for your new home or a weekend getaway, schedule your own tour today!

  6. 2026-03-03
    status Pending 1257-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1257 chars)

    Welcome to this charming chalet, surrounded by nature's beauty of trees and the songs of the birds. Enjoy your early morning coffee or relax for a cozy night on your expansive front porch. Step inside to the gorgeous, vaulted ceilings highlighting the large beams and beautiful windows that flood the home with natural sunlight and beautiful view. Two sliding doors open up your living room centered around a cozy pellet stove with a striking stone surround. The kitchen features a newly updated countertop and sink, with an eat-in kitchen. The main level offers 2 bedrooms with a full bath and easy access laundry. The upper level overlooks the main level and features the master suite with walk-in closet and jetted tub. This home has much to love and has major improvements done. Including a new septic pump (2025), and new roof with spouting (2024). Detached 1-car garage for convenient parking or additional storage. In the community of Mt. Pocahontas, offering a clubhouse, outdoor pool, playground, basketball/tennis courts and baseball field; with security. Conveniently located near PA turnpike and I-80, and proximity to major Pocono resorts. Low taxes! Whether you are looking for your new home or a weekend getaway, schedule your own tour today!

  7. 2026-02-23
    listed $230,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (1257 chars)

    Welcome to this charming chalet, surrounded by nature's beauty of trees and the songs of the birds. Enjoy your early morning coffee or relax for a cozy night on your expansive front porch. Step inside to the gorgeous, vaulted ceilings highlighting the large beams and beautiful windows that flood the home with natural sunlight and beautiful view. Two sliding doors open up your living room centered around a cozy pellet stove with a striking stone surround. The kitchen features a newly updated countertop and sink, with an eat-in kitchen. The main level offers 2 bedrooms with a full bath and easy access laundry. The upper level overlooks the main level and features the master suite with walk-in closet and jetted tub. This home has much to love and has major improvements done. Including a new septic pump (2025), and new roof with spouting (2024). Detached 1-car garage for convenient parking or additional storage. In the community of Mt. Pocahontas, offering a clubhouse, outdoor pool, playground, basketball/tennis courts and baseball field; with security. Conveniently located near PA turnpike and I-80, and proximity to major Pocono resorts. Low taxes! Whether you are looking for your new home or a weekend getaway, schedule your own tour today!

  8. 2026-02-23
    listed $230,000 Active 1257-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1257 chars)

    Welcome to this charming chalet, surrounded by nature's beauty of trees and the songs of the birds. Enjoy your early morning coffee or relax for a cozy night on your expansive front porch. Step inside to the gorgeous, vaulted ceilings highlighting the large beams and beautiful windows that flood the home with natural sunlight and beautiful view. Two sliding doors open up your living room centered around a cozy pellet stove with a striking stone surround. The kitchen features a newly updated countertop and sink, with an eat-in kitchen. The main level offers 2 bedrooms with a full bath and easy access laundry. The upper level overlooks the main level and features the master suite with walk-in closet and jetted tub. This home has much to love and has major improvements done. Including a new septic pump (2025), and new roof with spouting (2024). Detached 1-car garage for convenient parking or additional storage. In the community of Mt. Pocahontas, offering a clubhouse, outdoor pool, playground, basketball/tennis courts and baseball field; with security. Conveniently located near PA turnpike and I-80, and proximity to major Pocono resorts. Low taxes! Whether you are looking for your new home or a weekend getaway, schedule your own tour today!

  9. 2026-02-23
    listed $230,000 Active 1257-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1257 chars)

    Welcome to this charming chalet, surrounded by nature's beauty of trees and the songs of the birds. Enjoy your early morning coffee or relax for a cozy night on your expansive front porch. Step inside to the gorgeous, vaulted ceilings highlighting the large beams and beautiful windows that flood the home with natural sunlight and beautiful view. Two sliding doors open up your living room centered around a cozy pellet stove with a striking stone surround. The kitchen features a newly updated countertop and sink, with an eat-in kitchen. The main level offers 2 bedrooms with a full bath and easy access laundry. The upper level overlooks the main level and features the master suite with walk-in closet and jetted tub. This home has much to love and has major improvements done. Including a new septic pump (2025), and new roof with spouting (2024). Detached 1-car garage for convenient parking or additional storage. In the community of Mt. Pocahontas, offering a clubhouse, outdoor pool, playground, basketball/tennis courts and baseball field; with security. Conveniently located near PA turnpike and I-80, and proximity to major Pocono resorts. Low taxes! Whether you are looking for your new home or a weekend getaway, schedule your own tour today!

  10. 2025-11-04
    price $244,000
  11. 2025-08-29
    price $249,500
  12. 2025-07-29
    listed $252,000 Active
  13. 2012-04-04
    soldstatus $94,500
  14. 2012-04-03
    soldstatus $99,900
  15. 2012-04-03
    soldstatus $94,500
  16. 2011-09-24
    listed $99,900
  17. 2011-09-24
    listed $99,900
  18. 2011-06-06
    listed $124,900
  19. 1997-02-20
    soldstatus $47,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,166 · $180/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,900 · $242/mo
Expected delta
+$734/yr (+$61/mo · 33.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,000
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$2,166
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,640
− Management
−$2,640
− HOA
−$456
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable income
$4,374
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,050
After-tax cash flow
$6,775/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jim Thorpe Area SD
NCES district ID
4212540
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$53,476
Composite
31.42/100
National rank
#5988
State rank
#394 of 539 in PA

Livability — Towamensing Trails

Score
62/100
State rank
#1361
US rank
#16977

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing B+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
7,879
Population (ZIP)
7,879

Population outlook (Carbon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
61,643 people
By 2030
59,840 · -2.9%
By 2040
55,413 · -10.1%
By 2050
50,843 · -17.5%
By 2075
43,326 · -29.7%
By 2100
37,126 · -39.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Russian 4% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carbon

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.8) · D 32.2% · R 67.0%
2008→2024 swing
-36.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.9pp · 2024: -34.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.8 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+6.9 2008: D+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.89%
Current HPI
203.8099
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+389.4% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $230,000 Public Records
  • 2026-04-09 Sold (MLS) $230,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-09 Sold (MLS) $230,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-03-03 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-03 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Listed $230,000 PMAR
  • 2026-02-23 Listed $230,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-23 Listed $230,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2025-11-04 Price Changed $244,000 PMAR
  • 2025-08-29 Price Changed $249,500 PMAR
  • 2025-07-29 Listed $252,000 PMAR
  • 2012-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $94,500 Public Records
  • 2012-04-03 Sold (MLS) $94,500 PMAR
  • 2012-04-03 Sold (MLS) $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-09-24 Listed $99,900 PMAR
  • 2011-09-24 Listed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-06-06 Listed $124,900 PMAR
  • 1997-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,166 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…