3449 Addison Rd · Geneva, OH 44041

$189,900

4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,608 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 79 Days on market

Built 1920 6.58 ac lot $118/sqft · at area comps Est $197k · at est.

---

Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +12.7/30.0
• ARV discount +9.2/15.0
• Schools +4.7/10.0
• DSCR +3.8/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• 1% rule +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home situated on 6.5 acres in Geneva Township. This property is a true gem with endless potential and just needs a little love to bring it back to life. Whether you’re dreaming of a mini homestead, a private retreat, or your next investment project, this one is the perfect blank canvas to make your own. Featuring city water and septic, this property offers the space, setting, and opportunity to create something truly special.

Key facts

• Investment project
• Septic
• City water

Tags

• 6.5 ACRES
• CITY WATER
• SEPTIC
• PRIVATE RETREAT
• INVESTMENT PROJECT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-22 ($-269/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $186k (2.1% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (18.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $155k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.5% in Geneva — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#291 in OH, #4,770 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
• Geneva Area City (town): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #362 of 656 in OH (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Geneva Platt R. Spencer Elementary School (math 43% / reading 41%, grade F, #1,030 of 1,584 statewide, top 66%, 402 students, 0% FRL); Geneva Middle School (math 49% / reading 61%, grade B-, #335 of 654 statewide, top 52%, 511 students, 62% FRL); Geneva High School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #303 of 781 statewide, top 42%, 658 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 155 units permitted in Ashtabula County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Ashtabula County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $60k; list at $190k implies a 216% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $154,900 (18.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.82% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.15%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.51%
• DSCR: 0.98
• GRM: 10.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $197,246
• List price: $189,900
• Delta: -3.72%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 12 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4530 N Ridge Rd E	0.28mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,600 (-0%)	7mo	$201,000	$126	74
3170 S Myers Rd	0.56mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,624 (+1%)	4mo	$309,900	$191	60
3215 S Myers Rd	0.43mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,407 (-12%)	4mo	$266,000	$189	47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -17.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.39×
• Total profit: $-32,218
• Equity at exit: $28,315

10-year hold

• IRR: -9.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.44×
• Total profit: $-29,965
• Equity at exit: $16,419

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 73 Landlord-Friendly
• State Ohio: 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 44041

• Home prices YoY: -31.3%
• Active inventory: 88
• Price-to-rent: 10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,549 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$996
• Tax from tax record: −$171 /mo · $2,054/yr
• Insurance: −$79
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$325
• Net cashflow: $-22

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,577

Max offer price $185,937

Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $85	-5% $31	+0% $-22	+5% $-76	+10% $-130
Rent	-10% $-145	-5% $-84	+0% $-22	+5% $39	+10% $100
Rate	-1.0pp $73	-0.5pp $26	base $-22	+0.5pp $-72	+1.0pp $-122

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $47,475
• Closing costs: $5,697
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
430 Garfield St Geneva, OH	4.0	1.0	1248	$1,549	$1.24	45d	1	1.45mi

Listing history 26 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $189,900 Active 79 DOM
2. 2026-06-21
   days on market $189,900 Active 78 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $189,900 Active 76 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $189,900 Active 75 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $189,900 Active 74 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $189,900 Active 73 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $189,900 Active 71 DOM
8. 2026-06-12
   days on market $189,900 Active 70 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $189,900 Active 67 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Active 66 DOM
11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Active 65 DOM
12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 64 DOM
13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $189,900 Active 61 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,900 Active 60 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,900 Active 59 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 58 DOM
17. 2026-04-03
    listed $189,900 Active 471-char remark

    Show marketing remark (471 chars)

    Welcome to this 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home situated on 6.5 acres in Geneva Township. This property is a true gem with endless potential and just needs a little love to bring it back to life. Whether you’re dreaming of a mini homestead, a private retreat, or your next investment project, this one is the perfect blank canvas to make your own. Featuring city water and septic, this property offers the space, setting, and opportunity to create something truly special.

18. 2023-12-29
    soldstatus $60,000
19. 2007-02-05
    soldstatus $60,900 133-char remark

    Show marketing remark (133 chars)

    Vacant And Easy To Show, Offered As-is, No Disclosures, Selller Requires Pre Approval Letter Or Verification Of Funds With All Offers

20. 2006-12-19
    listed $64,900 133-char remark

    Show marketing remark (133 chars)

    Vacant And Easy To Show, Offered As-is, No Disclosures, Selller Requires Pre Approval Letter Or Verification Of Funds With All Offers

21. 2004-10-15
    historical
22. 2004-06-04
    soldstatus $135,000
23. 2004-06-04
    soldstatus $135,000
24. 2003-10-24
    listed $135,000
25. 2003-10-19
    listed $165,000
26. 1992-06-17
    soldstatus $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,054 · $171/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,508 · $209/mo
• Expected delta: +$454/yr (+$38/mo · 22.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,588
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,637
• − Property taxes: −$2,054
• − Insurance: −$950
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,487
• − Management: −$1,487
• − Depreciation: −$5,524
• Taxable loss: −$3,551
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$852
• After-tax cash flow: $583/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Geneva Area City
• NCES district ID: 3904405
• Math proficiency: 52% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 60% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $43,525
• Composite: 47.12/100
• National rank: #2328
• State rank: #362 of 656 in OH

Livability — Geneva

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #291
• US rank: #4770

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Ashtabula · 97,617 people
• Metro: Cleveland, OH
• Population (ZIP): 13,992
• Household income: $58,438
• Rent vs Own: 28.3% rent · 71.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 12.5

Population outlook (Ashtabula County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 92,950 people
• By 2030: 89,146 · -4.1%
• By 2040: 80,715 · -13.2%
• By 2050: 72,270 · -22.2%
• By 2075: 55,780 · -40.0%
• By 2100: 40,928 · -56.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (85%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 85% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Ashtabula

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -41.9pp toward R · 2008: 13.5pp · 2024: -28.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+23.5 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+12.1 2008: D+13.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -105.04%
• Current HPI: 230.8747
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.98%
• F500 in state: 48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	3	$145B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$49B
▸Financial Services	3	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$93B
▸Aerospace / Defense	2	$47B
▸Utilities	2	$33B

Price history

+192.2% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-03 Listed $189,900 MLSNOW
• 2023-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
• 2007-02-05 Sold (MLS) $60,900 MLSNOW
• 2006-12-19 Listed $64,900 MLSNOW
• 2004-10-15 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
• 2004-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
• 2004-06-04 Sold (MLS) $135,000 MLSNOW
• 2003-10-24 Listed $135,000 MLSNOW
• 2003-10-19 Listed $165,000 MLSNOW
• 1992-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,054 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.