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215 Larch Oval
D- Composite 36.62
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$349,000

215 Larch Oval · Coolbaugh, PA 18466
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,776 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1970 0.28 ac lot Est $320k · 9% over $146/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Pristine Pocono Farms Ranch with Dedicated Den/Home Office & Pet-Friendly Yard!Welcome home to this beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom Ranch nestled in the highly sought-after Pocono Farms Country Club and Golf Community. Designed with modern living in mind, the home boasts a bright, inviting open-concept layout that effortlessly connects your living and entertaining spaces. Cozy up by the fireplace in the spacious living room, or host memorable gatherings in the expansive family and game room. Perfect for remote professionals, the dedicated den serves as an ideal home office, providing a quiet and productive workspace away from the main living areas. The well-appointed kitchen is a chef's delight, complete with modern appliances, ample storage, and a casual breakfast bar that opens to the formal dining room. Slip away to the massive primary suite, featuring a private reading area, a full en-suite bathroom, and its own direct entrance to the back deck. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides a safe haven for your furry family members to run freely. Living here means enjoying a resort-style lifestyle with unparalleled community amenities, including a PGA golf course, a brand-new Olympic-sized pool and splash pad, tennis and basketball courts, a modern gym, a lake, and a vibrant country club restaurant and bar featuring live entertainment. Don't miss your chance to own this private oasis!

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • Community pool
  • Built 1970

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: HOA fee of $1,750 annually

Exterior

  • Parking: Circular driveway; Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; On-site septic; Electric service for heating, cooling, and hot water
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Above-grade living (no below-grade area indicated); Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Masonry construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Community pool; Lot dimensions approximately 93 x 131

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Wood floors and carpet
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level; Two full bathrooms total
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; Breakfast area; Kitchen island; Skylights; Ceiling fans; Soaking tub; Walk-in shower; Carpeted areas; Wood floors; One gas/propane fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer on the main floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $349k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-230 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $308k (11.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $284k (18.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $284k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Clear Run El Ctr (717 students, 77% FRL); Pocono Mountain West Jhs (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #441 of 512 statewide, top 86%, 713 students, 75% FRL); Pocono Mountain West Hs (math 82% / reading 92%, grade A, #8 of 437 statewide, top 2%, 1,512 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 49% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($344k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $284,141 (18.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
5.50%
Cash-on-cash
-2.83%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$319,680
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4105 Arbutus Dr #1200 0.20mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,922 (+8%) 9mo $345,000 $180 61
216 Pheasant Pl 0.37mi 3/2.5 2,016 (+14%) 1mo $365,000 $181 56
2589 Country Club Dr 0.54mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,776 (0%) 12mo $430,000 $242 54
108 Black Bear Ln 0.52mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,920 (+8%) 4mo $369,000 $192 52
3605 Cedar Ln 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,920 (+8%) 9mo $295,000 $154 43
605 Quail Ln 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,512 (-15%) 12mo $295,000 $195 42
1110 Kilmer Rd Rd 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,680 (-5%) 17mo $270,000 $161 42
304 Winchester Dr 0.53mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,864 (+5%) 19mo $350,000 $188 40
210 Locust Ln 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,703 (-4%) 16mo $295,000 $173 40
5127 Iroquois St 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,524 (-14%) 2mo $245,000 $161 40
3522 Wren Run 0.58mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,953 (+10%) 14mo $347,000 $178 37
3630 Cedar Ln 0.66mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,962 (+10%) 20mo $275,000 $140 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.9%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$15,724
Equity at exit
$144,440
10-year hold
IRR
6.6%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$91,682
Equity at exit
$213,340

Cash invested: $97,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18466

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
358
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,841 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,830
Tax from tax record
$353 /mo · $4,240/yr
Insurance
$145
HOA
$146
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$597
Net cashflow
$-230

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,133
Max offer price $308,329
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-33 -5% $-131 +0% $-230 +5% $-329 +10% $-428
Rent -10% $-455 -5% $-342 +0% $-230 +5% $-118 +10% $-6
Rate -1.0pp $-54 -0.5pp $-141 base $-230 +0.5pp $-321 +1.0pp $-413

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,250
Closing costs
$10,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2570 Country Club Dr Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.5 1990 $2,650 $1.33 45d 1 0.59mi
5108 Seneca Way Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.5 2466 $3,200 $1.30 45d 1 0.75mi
163 Long Woods Rd Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.0 1983 $2,400 $1.21 45d 1 0.81mi
6385 Cherokee Trl Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 3.0 2028 $3,500 $1.73 45d 1 1.34mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$146 · $1,752/yr
Likely covers
poolgym

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $349,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $349,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $349,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $349,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $349,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $349,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $349,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $349,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $349,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $349,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $349,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    remarks 695-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1412 chars)

    Pristine Pocono Farms Ranch with Dedicated Den/Home Office & Pet-Friendly Yard!Welcome home to this beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom Ranch nestled in the highly sought-after Pocono Farms Country Club and Golf Community. Designed with modern living in mind, the home boasts a bright, inviting open-concept layout that effortlessly connects your living and entertaining spaces. Cozy up by the fireplace in the spacious living room, or host memorable gatherings in the expansive family and game room. Perfect for remote professionals, the dedicated den serves as an ideal home office, providing a quiet and productive workspace away from the main living areas. The well-appointed kitchen is a chef's delight, complete with modern appliances, ample storage, and a casual breakfast bar that opens to the formal dining room. Slip away to the massive primary suite, featuring a private reading area, a full en-suite bathroom, and its own direct entrance to the back deck. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides a safe haven for your furry family members to run freely. Living here means enjoying a resort-style lifestyle with unparalleled community amenities, including a PGA golf course, a brand-new Olympic-sized pool and splash pad, tennis and basketball courts, a modern gym, a lake, and a vibrant country club restaurant and bar featuring live entertainment. Don't miss your chance to own this private oasis!

  13. 2026-06-07
    listed $349,000 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (1412 chars)

    Pristine Pocono Farms Ranch with Dedicated Den/Home Office & Pet-Friendly Yard!Welcome home to this beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom Ranch nestled in the highly sought-after Pocono Farms Country Club and Golf Community. Designed with modern living in mind, the home boasts a bright, inviting open-concept layout that effortlessly connects your living and entertaining spaces. Cozy up by the fireplace in the spacious living room, or host memorable gatherings in the expansive family and game room. Perfect for remote professionals, the dedicated den serves as an ideal home office, providing a quiet and productive workspace away from the main living areas. The well-appointed kitchen is a chef's delight, complete with modern appliances, ample storage, and a casual breakfast bar that opens to the formal dining room. Slip away to the massive primary suite, featuring a private reading area, a full en-suite bathroom, and its own direct entrance to the back deck. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides a safe haven for your furry family members to run freely. Living here means enjoying a resort-style lifestyle with unparalleled community amenities, including a PGA golf course, a brand-new Olympic-sized pool and splash pad, tennis and basketball courts, a modern gym, a lake, and a vibrant country club restaurant and bar featuring live entertainment. Don't miss your chance to own this private oasis!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,240 · $353/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,877 · $406/mo
Expected delta
+$637/yr (+$53/mo · 15.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,097
− Mortgage interest
−$19,549
− Property taxes
−$4,240
− Insurance
−$1,745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,728
− Management
−$2,728
− HOA
−$1,752
− Depreciation
−$10,153
Taxable loss
−$8,798
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,111
After-tax cash flow
$-651/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Coolbaugh

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,997

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.36%
Current HPI
202.4134
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+111.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Listed $349,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-06-07 Listed $349,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $349,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $349,000 PMAR
  • 2023-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $320,000 Public Records
  • 2023-07-24 Sold (MLS) $320,000 PMAR
  • 2023-06-08 Listed $315,000 PMAR
  • 2023-04-27 Listed $315,000 PMAR
  • 2018-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $162,000 Public Records
  • 2018-07-13 Sold (MLS) $162,000 PMAR
  • 2018-05-17 Listed $165,000 PMAR

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,240 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…