215 Larch Oval · Coolbaugh, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.7/30.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- ARV discount +3.4/15.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$349,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Pristine Pocono Farms Ranch with Dedicated Den/Home Office & Pet-Friendly Yard!Welcome home to this beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom Ranch nestled in the highly sought-after Pocono Farms Country Club and Golf Community. Designed with modern living in mind, the home boasts a bright, inviting open-concept layout that effortlessly connects your living and entertaining spaces. Cozy up by the fireplace in the spacious living room, or host memorable gatherings in the expansive family and game room. Perfect for remote professionals, the dedicated den serves as an ideal home office, providing a quiet and productive workspace away from the main living areas. The well-appointed kitchen is a chef's delight, complete with modern appliances, ample storage, and a casual breakfast bar that opens to the formal dining room. Slip away to the massive primary suite, featuring a private reading area, a full en-suite bathroom, and its own direct entrance to the back deck. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides a safe haven for your furry family members to run freely. Living here means enjoying a resort-style lifestyle with unparalleled community amenities, including a PGA golf course, a brand-new Olympic-sized pool and splash pad, tennis and basketball courts, a modern gym, a lake, and a vibrant country club restaurant and bar featuring live entertainment. Don't miss your chance to own this private oasis!
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- Community pool
- Built 1970
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA fee of $1,750 annually
Exterior
- Parking: Circular driveway; Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; On-site septic; Electric service for heating, cooling, and hot water
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Above-grade living (no below-grade area indicated); Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Masonry construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Community pool; Lot dimensions approximately 93 x 131
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Wood floors and carpet
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level; Two full bathrooms total
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Open floor plan; Breakfast area; Kitchen island; Skylights; Ceiling fans; Soaking tub; Walk-in shower; Carpeted areas; Wood floors; One gas/propane fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer on the main floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $349k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-230 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $308k (11.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $284k (18.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $284k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Clear Run El Ctr (717 students, 77% FRL); Pocono Mountain West Jhs (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #441 of 512 statewide, top 86%, 713 students, 75% FRL); Pocono Mountain West Hs (math 82% / reading 92%, grade A, #8 of 437 statewide, top 2%, 1,512 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 49% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($344k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.83%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $319,680
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4105 Arbutus Dr #1200 | 0.20mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,922 (+8%) | 9mo | $345,000 | $180 | 61 |
| 216 Pheasant Pl | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 | 2,016 (+14%) | 1mo | $365,000 | $181 | 56 |
| 2589 Country Club Dr | 0.54mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,776 (0%) | 12mo | $430,000 | $242 | 54 |
| 108 Black Bear Ln | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,920 (+8%) | 4mo | $369,000 | $192 | 52 |
| 3605 Cedar Ln | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,920 (+8%) | 9mo | $295,000 | $154 | 43 |
| 605 Quail Ln | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,512 (-15%) | 12mo | $295,000 | $195 | 42 |
| 1110 Kilmer Rd Rd | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (-5%) | 17mo | $270,000 | $161 | 42 |
| 304 Winchester Dr | 0.53mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,864 (+5%) | 19mo | $350,000 | $188 | 40 |
| 210 Locust Ln | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,703 (-4%) | 16mo | $295,000 | $173 | 40 |
| 5127 Iroquois St | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,524 (-14%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $161 | 40 |
| 3522 Wren Run | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,953 (+10%) | 14mo | $347,000 | $178 | 37 |
| 3630 Cedar Ln | 0.66mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,962 (+10%) | 20mo | $275,000 | $140 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $15,724
- Equity at exit
- $144,440
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $91,682
- Equity at exit
- $213,340
Cash invested: $97,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18466
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 358
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,841 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,830
- Tax from tax record
- −$353 /mo · $4,240/yr
- Insurance
- −$145
- HOA
- −$146
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$597
- Net cashflow
- $-230
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-33 | -5% $-131 | +0% $-230 | +5% $-329 | +10% $-428 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-455 | -5% $-342 | +0% $-230 | +5% $-118 | +10% $-6 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-54 | -0.5pp $-141 | base $-230 | +0.5pp $-321 | +1.0pp $-413 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,250
- Closing costs
- $10,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2570 Country Club Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1990 | $2,650 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 5108 Seneca Way Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2466 | $3,200 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 163 Long Woods Rd Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1983 | $2,400 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 6385 Cherokee Trl Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2028 | $3,500 | $1.73 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $146 · $1,752/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $349,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $349,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $349,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $349,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $349,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $349,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $349,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $349,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $349,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $349,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $349,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 695-char remark
Show marketing remark (1412 chars)
Pristine Pocono Farms Ranch with Dedicated Den/Home Office & Pet-Friendly Yard!Welcome home to this beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom Ranch nestled in the highly sought-after Pocono Farms Country Club and Golf Community. Designed with modern living in mind, the home boasts a bright, inviting open-concept layout that effortlessly connects your living and entertaining spaces. Cozy up by the fireplace in the spacious living room, or host memorable gatherings in the expansive family and game room. Perfect for remote professionals, the dedicated den serves as an ideal home office, providing a quiet and productive workspace away from the main living areas. The well-appointed kitchen is a chef's delight, complete with modern appliances, ample storage, and a casual breakfast bar that opens to the formal dining room. Slip away to the massive primary suite, featuring a private reading area, a full en-suite bathroom, and its own direct entrance to the back deck. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides a safe haven for your furry family members to run freely. Living here means enjoying a resort-style lifestyle with unparalleled community amenities, including a PGA golf course, a brand-new Olympic-sized pool and splash pad, tennis and basketball courts, a modern gym, a lake, and a vibrant country club restaurant and bar featuring live entertainment. Don't miss your chance to own this private oasis!
-
2026-06-07$349,000 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (1412 chars)
Pristine Pocono Farms Ranch with Dedicated Den/Home Office & Pet-Friendly Yard!Welcome home to this beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom Ranch nestled in the highly sought-after Pocono Farms Country Club and Golf Community. Designed with modern living in mind, the home boasts a bright, inviting open-concept layout that effortlessly connects your living and entertaining spaces. Cozy up by the fireplace in the spacious living room, or host memorable gatherings in the expansive family and game room. Perfect for remote professionals, the dedicated den serves as an ideal home office, providing a quiet and productive workspace away from the main living areas. The well-appointed kitchen is a chef's delight, complete with modern appliances, ample storage, and a casual breakfast bar that opens to the formal dining room. Slip away to the massive primary suite, featuring a private reading area, a full en-suite bathroom, and its own direct entrance to the back deck. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides a safe haven for your furry family members to run freely. Living here means enjoying a resort-style lifestyle with unparalleled community amenities, including a PGA golf course, a brand-new Olympic-sized pool and splash pad, tennis and basketball courts, a modern gym, a lake, and a vibrant country club restaurant and bar featuring live entertainment. Don't miss your chance to own this private oasis!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,240 · $353/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,877 · $406/mo
- Expected delta
- +$637/yr (+$53/mo · 15.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,097
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,549
- − Property taxes
- −$4,240
- − Insurance
- −$1,745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,728
- − Management
- −$2,728
- − HOA
- −$1,752
- − Depreciation
- −$10,153
- Taxable loss
- −$8,798
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,111
- After-tax cash flow
- $-651/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Coolbaugh
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,997
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.36%
- Current HPI
- 202.4134
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+111.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Listed $349,000 GLVRMLS
- 2026-06-07 Listed $349,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $349,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $349,000 PMAR
- 2023-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $320,000 Public Records
- 2023-07-24 Sold (MLS) $320,000 PMAR
- 2023-06-08 Listed $315,000 PMAR
- 2023-04-27 Listed $315,000 PMAR
- 2018-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $162,000 Public Records
- 2018-07-13 Sold (MLS) $162,000 PMAR
- 2018-05-17 Listed $165,000 PMAR
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2026): $4,240 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…