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48 Dikeman St Triplex
C Composite 56.59
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.5/10.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$445,500

48 Dikeman St · Waterbury, CT 06704
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,193 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1898 4,356 sqft lot $140/sqft · 17% above area Est $379k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Cash-flowing, well-maintained 3-family in the desirable W.O.W. neighborhood of Waterbury, offering a strong opportunity for both investors and owner-occupants. Ideal setup to live in one unit while collecting rent from the others. 1st and 2nd floors feature approx. 1,000 SF with 3 bedrooms, living room, full bath, and eat-in kitchen. 3rd floor is approx. 1,000 SF with 2 bedrooms, living room, full bath, and eat-in kitchen. Hardwood floors throughout with some kitchen and bath updates across the units. Separate utilities for each unit-1st floor is gas, 2nd and 3rd floors are electric. All units include laundry hookups. On-street parking only, keeping expenses low for ownership. Turn-key, low-maintenance asset with solid income potential. PROPERTY WILL HAVE AN ENTIRELY NEW ROOF BEFORE CLOSING. Conveniently located near public transportation, major highways, downtown, shopping, hospitals, and other amenities.

Key facts

  • Separate utilities
  • Downtown
  • Laundry hookups

Tags

SEPARATE UTILITIESLAUNDRY HOOKUPSNEW ROOFPUBLIC TRANSPORTATIONMAJOR HIGHWAYSDOWNTOWN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $446k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $398/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $446k).
  • Recommended offer: $432k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.6% in Waterbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#32 in CT, #2,205 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, employment D.
  • Waterbury School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #148 of 153 in CT (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,326/mo this rent would consume 131% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 1981% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $125k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($432k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $446k implies a 1682% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $432,135 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.51%
Cash-on-cash
11.48%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$379,486
List price
$445,500
Delta
17.40%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11 Putnam St 0.02mi 6/3.0 3,188 (-0%) 11mo $387,000 $121 90
64 Wood St 0.11mi 7/3.0 (+1) 3,393 (+6%) 1mo $495,000 $146 79
245 Walnut St 0.12mi 7/3.0 (+1) 2,970 (-7%) 0mo $210,000 $71 78
290 Orange St 0.22mi 7/3.0 (+1) 3,050 (-4%) 7mo $435,000 $143 71
21 Violet St 0.33mi 6/3.0 2,941 (-8%) 4mo $270,000 $92 68
28 Wall St 0.32mi 6/3.0 3,280 (+3%) 15mo $292,500 $89 68
33 Albert Pl 0.13mi 7/3.0 (+1) 3,584 (+12%) 1mo $385,000 $107 67
78 Griggs St 0.46mi 7/3.0 (+1) 3,456 (+8%) 2mo $470,000 $136 58
205 Cooke St 0.60mi 6/3.0 3,439 (+8%) 5mo $380,000 $110 55
133-135 Byrneside Ave 0.74mi 6/3.0 3,355 (+5%) 14mo $300,000 $89 46
230 Hill St 0.72mi 6/3.0 3,582 (+12%) 8mo $435,000 $121 40
36 Irving St 0.71mi 6/2.0 3,408 (+7%) 16mo $250,000 $73 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$32,033
Equity at exit
$66,425
10-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
3.04×
Total profit
$254,073
Equity at exit
$38,519

Cash invested: $124,740 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06704

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
20.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,326 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,336
Tax from tax record
$492 /mo · $5,902/yr
Insurance
$186
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,118
Net cashflow
$1,194

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,815
Max offer price $445,500
Occupancy floor 73%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $5,326

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$111,375
Closing costs
$13,365
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14 Niagara St Waterbury, CT 6.0 3.0 3156 $1,700 $0.54 3d 1 0.88mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    days on market $445,500 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $445,500 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $445,500 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $445,500 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $445,500 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $445,500 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-04-17
    listed $445,500 Active 919-char remark
    Show marketing remark (919 chars)

    Cash-flowing, well-maintained 3-family in the desirable W.O.W. neighborhood of Waterbury, offering a strong opportunity for both investors and owner-occupants. Ideal setup to live in one unit while collecting rent from the others. 1st and 2nd floors feature approx. 1,000 SF with 3 bedrooms, living room, full bath, and eat-in kitchen. 3rd floor is approx. 1,000 SF with 2 bedrooms, living room, full bath, and eat-in kitchen. Hardwood floors throughout with some kitchen and bath updates across the units. Separate utilities for each unit-1st floor is gas, 2nd and 3rd floors are electric. All units include laundry hookups. On-street parking only, keeping expenses low for ownership. Turn-key, low-maintenance asset with solid income potential. PROPERTY WILL HAVE AN ENTIRELY NEW ROOF BEFORE CLOSING. Conveniently located near public transportation, major highways, downtown, shopping, hospitals, and other amenities.

  8. 2026-04-14
    historical
  9. 2026-04-02
    listed $459,900 Active
  10. 2026-03-01
    historical
  11. 2026-01-20
    listed $449,900 Active
  12. 2025-12-15
    historical
  13. 2025-10-31
    price $449,900
  14. 2025-10-30
    listed $499,900 Active
  15. 2022-08-09
    historical
  16. 2022-05-25
    listed $270,000 Active
  17. 2009-01-28
    soldstatus $25,000
  18. 2008-12-08
    listed $28,900
  19. 2008-07-08
    historical
  20. 2008-04-09
    listed $146,000
  21. 2005-12-14
    soldstatus $61,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,902 · $492/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,718 · $643/mo
Expected delta
+$1,816/yr (+$151/mo · 30.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$63,912
− Mortgage interest
−$24,955
− Property taxes
−$5,902
− Insurance
−$2,228
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,113
− Management
−$5,113
− Depreciation
−$12,960
Taxable income
$7,642
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,834
After-tax cash flow
$12,492/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waterbury School District
NCES district ID
0904830
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$40,040
Composite
14.85/100
National rank
#9380
State rank
#148 of 153 in CT

Livability — Waterbury

Score
79/100
State rank
#32
US rank
#2205

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waterbury, CT
County
New Haven County · 688,236 people
City population
115,012
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
Population (ZIP)
31,713
Household income
$48,718
Rent vs Own
54.7% rent · 45.3% own
Severe rent burden
1981.0

Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
496,846

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 48% Black 28% Two or more races 20% White 18% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 30% Dominican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
56% English-only · Spanish 38% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
All cycles
2024: R+7.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.05%
Current HPI
340.0917
Rent YoY
▲ 8.02%
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+630.3% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $445,500 Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $459,900 Smart MLS
  • 2026-03-01 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $449,900 Smart MLS
  • 2025-12-15 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2025-10-31 Price Changed $449,900 Smart MLS
  • 2025-10-30 Listed $499,900 Smart MLS
  • 2022-08-09 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2022-05-25 Listed $270,000 Smart MLS
  • 2009-01-28 Sold (MLS) $25,000 Smart MLS
  • 2008-12-08 Listed $28,900 Smart MLS
  • 2008-07-08 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2008-04-09 Listed $146,000 Smart MLS
  • 2005-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2023): $5,902 · +78.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…