4339 Solomon Dr · Orlando, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Short Sale. Calling all investors, Orlando! This spacious 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers incredible potential for renovation, making it the perfect project for an investor or a buyer looking for a fixer-upper to own a home in the Orlando market. Located just minutes from downtown. The roof was replaced in 2003, and while the A/C was not long ago replaced with new ductwork and was repiped recently, it is a great start for this property's home repair. The sellers are motivated and ready to review all. Reasonable offers
Key facts
- Repaired recently
- New ductwork
- Roof was replaced
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $221k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-48 ($-578/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (3.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (10.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $199k (10.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.0% in Orlando — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#12 in FL, #360 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 241 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($208k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $27k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $221k implies a 1363% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.93%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $385,170
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4340 Kirkland Blvd | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,530 (-12%) | 5mo | $314,700 | $206 | 68 |
| 4401 Marshall St | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,489 (-14%) | 13mo | $330,000 | $222 | 53 |
| 4669 Vargas St | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,535 (-12%) | 6mo | $330,000 | $215 | 52 |
| 3805 Roseboro St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,579 (-9%) | 22mo | $353,900 | $224 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-44,316
- Equity at exit
- $32,937
- IRR
- -24.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.03×
- Total profit
- $-63,655
- Equity at exit
- $19,099
Cash invested: $61,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32811
- Home prices YoY
- -33.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 241
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,986 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,158
- Tax from tax record
- −$367 /mo · $4,398/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$417
- Net cashflow
- $-48
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $77 | -5% $14 | +0% $-48 | +5% $-111 | +10% $-173 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-205 | -5% $-127 | +0% $-48 | +5% $30 | +10% $109 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $63 | -0.5pp $8 | base $-48 | +0.5pp $-105 | +1.0pp $-164 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,225
- Closing costs
- $6,627
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2151 S Ivey Ln Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,993 | $1.85 | 5d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 4226 Kelly Miller Ct Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1126 | $1,950 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1822 Horne Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1249 | $1,600 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1920 Willie Mays Pkwy Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $2,070 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 4487 Wheatley St Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1249 | $1,950 | $1.56 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1661 Gammon Ln Unit 1 Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1511 | $2,500 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4201 Cepeda St Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,800 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| Unit 3-207 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1159 | $1,600 | $1.38 | 5d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4655 Cepeda St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1266 | $1,695 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4118 Minoso St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1213 | $1,860 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3950 Columbia St Orlando, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $1,416 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1343 Croyle Dr Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $1,900 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4529 W Gore Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1439 | $2,549 | $1.77 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5300 Lescot Ln Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $1,900 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4700 Cason Cove Dr Orlando, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $2,132 | $2.13 | 4d | 12 | 1.25mi |
| 4822 Cason Cove Dr Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 884 | $2,199 | $2.49 | 3d | 9 | 1.31mi |
| 2805 Gulfstream Ct Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1574 | $2,375 | $1.51 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2751 L B McLeod Rd Unit 2751-A Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1338 | $1,600 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5377 Rosegay Ct Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1815 | $2,100 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4673 Gardens Park Blvd Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1109 | $3,200 | $2.89 | 2d | 16 | 1.37mi |
| 5235 Florida Holly Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $2,100 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5536 Metrowest Blvd Bldg 8 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1205 | $1,800 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5542 Metrowest Blvd Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,720 | $1.54 | 2d | 2 | 1.41mi |
| 5542 Metrowest Blvd Unit 106 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1159 | $1,765 | $1.52 | 5d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4803 Normandy Pl Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $1,800 | $1.43 | 4d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 4957 Vista Lago Dr Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $2,228 | $1.63 | 8d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1025 Clovercrest Rd Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,100 | $2.00 | 18d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1025 Clovercrest Rd Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,100 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 5584 Metrowest Blvd Orlando, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1051 | $1,876 | $1.78 | 24d | 8 | 1.45mi |
| 5548 Metrowest Blvd Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1093 | $1,460 | $1.34 | 3d | 2 | 1.46mi |
| 5548 Metrowest Blvd Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1093 | $1,470 | $1.34 | 5d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 5572 Metrowest Blvd #311 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $2,000 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2025-08-24status Pending
-
2025-08-24price $220,900
-
2025-08-24status Active
-
2025-06-12$247,900 Active
-
2025-06-02historical
-
2025-04-22price $249,500
-
2025-04-17price $250,000
-
2025-01-03$275,000 Active
-
2007-09-18historical
-
2007-06-11$157,900
-
2007-03-22historical
-
2007-02-15$159,900
-
1969-06-01soldstatus $15,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,398 · $367/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,398 · $367/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,830
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,374
- − Property taxes
- −$4,398
- − Insurance
- −$1,104
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,906
- − Management
- −$1,906
- − Depreciation
- −$6,426
- Taxable loss
- −$4,286
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,029
- After-tax cash flow
- $450/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange
- NCES district ID
- 1201440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,350
- Composite
- 41.47/100
- National rank
- #3461
- State rank
- #43 of 73 in FL
Livability — Orlando
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #360
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Orlando, FL
- County
- Orange County · 1,471,359 people
- City population
- 964,969
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,475
- Household income
- $54,082
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2728.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,618,226 people
- By 2030
- 1,787,404 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 2,125,621 · +31.4%
- By 2050
- 2,454,016 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 3,173,711 · +96.1%
- By 2100
- 3,607,781 · +122.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 17% White 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 7% Estonian 4% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 21% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Other Indo-European 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -145.37%
- Current HPI
- 284.9191
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.15%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+1362.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2025-08-24 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-24 Price Changed $220,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-24 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-12 Listed $247,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-02 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-22 Price Changed $249,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-17 Price Changed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-03 Listed $275,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-09-18 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-06-11 Listed $157,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-22 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-02-15 Listed $159,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1969-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+21.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,398 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…