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3421 Badley Ave
F Composite 23.09
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +6.0/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.7/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.7/10.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • DSCR +0.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$157,900

3421 Badley Ave · Alton, IL 62002
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,098 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 139 Days on market
Built 1940 0.36 ac lot $144/sqft · 56% above area Est $146k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Now available on a spacious double corner lot! Beautiful 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the Alton School District, featuring mature trees and established landscaping that enhance curb appeal. A covered front porch provides a welcoming outdoor space for relaxing and enjoying the surroundings. Inside, the home offers a large, open floor plan filled with natural light, creating a bright, warm, and inviting atmosphere throughout. The spacious kitchen includes abundant storage, and washer and dryer hookups are conveniently located on the main floor. Two driveways offer ample parking and added flexibility. The expansive backyard provides generous outdoor space along with an outdoor building ideal for a work area, complete with electrical outlets and a window A/C unit. Recent improvements include a new roof installed in 2025 with a transferable 30-year warranty, adding long-term value and peace of mind. With its charming character, open layout, and exceptional lot size, this property presents a standout opportunity. Agent related.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Double corner lot
  • Mature trees

Tags

DOUBLE CORNER LOTALTON SCHOOL DISTRICTMATURE TREESESTABLISHED LANDSCAPINGCOVERED FRONT PORCHLARGE OPEN FLOOR PLAN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $158k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-305 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $104k (34.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (32.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $104k (34.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 6.4% in Alton — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#701 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities D-.
  • Alton CUSD 11 (suburban): math 12% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #544 of 620 in IL (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 11% / reading 11%, grade F, #1,460 of 2,056 statewide, top 72%, 424 students, 0% FRL); Alton Middle School (math 10% / reading 11%, grade F, #580 of 665 statewide, top 88%, 1,241 students, 0% FRL); Alton High School (math 20% / reading 25%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 1,990 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 60% district-wide (60 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($139k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $37k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $95k; list at $158k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $104,002 (34.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.67%
Cap rate
3.97%
Cash-on-cash
-8.28%
DSCR
0.63
GRM
12.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$145,555
List price
$157,900
Delta
8.48%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1629 S Rodgers Ave 0.09mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,093 (-0%) 3mo $40,000 $37 88
3303 Jackson St 0.20mi 2/1.0 1,050 (-4%) 4mo $110,000 $105 80
3424 Yost St 0.38mi 2/1.0 1,148 (+5%) 1mo $30,000 $26 74
1407 Doerr Ave 0.28mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,131 (+3%) 2mo $139,500 $123 71
1429 S Rodgers Ave 0.18mi 3/1.0 (+1) 952 (-13%) 2mo $90,000 $95 62
3305 Fernwood Ave 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,196 (+9%) 2mo $109,000 $91 62
3505 Gary St 0.43mi 2/2.0 994 (-10%) 3mo $158,000 $159 58
1215 Clawson St 0.74mi 2/1.0 1,125 (+2%) 4mo $52,000 $46 58
3619 Horn Ave 0.68mi 2/1.0 1,170 (+7%) 5mo $125,000 $107 53
3505 Coronado Dr 0.59mi 2/1.0 937 (-15%) 0mo $120,000 $128 48
1205 Florence St 0.70mi 2/1.0 938 (-15%) 1mo $99,500 $106 42
3625 Horn Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 940 (-14%) 2mo $42,500 $45 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.2%
Equity multiple
0.11×
Total profit
$-39,344
Equity at exit
$23,543
10-year hold
IRR
-10.2%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-33,478
Equity at exit
$13,652

Cash invested: $44,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62002

Home prices YoY
-33.6%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
169
Price-to-rent
12.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,064 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$828
Tax from tax record
$252 /mo · $3,026/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$224
Net cashflow
$-305

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,451
Max offer price $104,002
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-216 -5% $-260 +0% $-305 +5% $-350 +10% $-394
Rent -10% $-389 -5% $-347 +0% $-305 +5% $-263 +10% $-221
Rate -1.0pp $-226 -0.5pp $-265 base $-305 +0.5pp $-346 +1.0pp $-388

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,475
Closing costs
$4,737
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3303 Jackson St Alton, IL 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,295 $1.23 45d 1 0.19mi
3305 Franor St Alton, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $549 $0.55 3d 1 0.52mi
3400 Milton Dr Alton, IL 2.0 1.5 972 $1,350 $1.39 6d 1 0.80mi
602 Sheppard St Alton, IL 2.0 1.0 1172 $875 $0.75 22d 1 0.85mi
2418 Sanford Ave Alton, IL 2.0 1.0 958 $875 $0.91 22d 1 1.09mi
306 Lampert St Alton, IL 2.0 1.0 925 $1,000 $1.08 0d 1 1.28mi
140 Illinois St East Alton, IL 2.0 1.0 960 $695 $0.72 0d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $157,900 Active 139 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $157,900 Active 136 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $157,900 Active 135 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $157,900 Active 134 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $157,900 Active 133 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $157,900 Active 131 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    price $157,900 Active 127 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 127 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 126 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 125 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,900 Active 121 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 120 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 119 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 118 DOM
  15. 2026-05-06
    historical Active Under Contract 1043-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1043 chars)

    Now available on a spacious double corner lot! Beautiful 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the Alton School District, featuring mature trees and established landscaping that enhance curb appeal. A covered front porch provides a welcoming outdoor space for relaxing and enjoying the surroundings. Inside, the home offers a large, open floor plan filled with natural light, creating a bright, warm, and inviting atmosphere throughout. The spacious kitchen includes abundant storage, and washer and dryer hookups are conveniently located on the main floor. Two driveways offer ample parking and added flexibility. The expansive backyard provides generous outdoor space along with an outdoor building ideal for a work area, complete with electrical outlets and a window A/C unit. Recent improvements include a new roof installed in 2025 with a transferable 30-year warranty, adding long-term value and peace of mind. With its charming character, open layout, and exceptional lot size, this property presents a standout opportunity. Agent related.

  16. 2026-03-23
    price $159,900 1043-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1043 chars)

    Now available on a spacious double corner lot! Beautiful 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the Alton School District, featuring mature trees and established landscaping that enhance curb appeal. A covered front porch provides a welcoming outdoor space for relaxing and enjoying the surroundings. Inside, the home offers a large, open floor plan filled with natural light, creating a bright, warm, and inviting atmosphere throughout. The spacious kitchen includes abundant storage, and washer and dryer hookups are conveniently located on the main floor. Two driveways offer ample parking and added flexibility. The expansive backyard provides generous outdoor space along with an outdoor building ideal for a work area, complete with electrical outlets and a window A/C unit. Recent improvements include a new roof installed in 2025 with a transferable 30-year warranty, adding long-term value and peace of mind. With its charming character, open layout, and exceptional lot size, this property presents a standout opportunity. Agent related.

  17. 2026-02-25
    price $179,500 1043-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1043 chars)

    Now available on a spacious double corner lot! Beautiful 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the Alton School District, featuring mature trees and established landscaping that enhance curb appeal. A covered front porch provides a welcoming outdoor space for relaxing and enjoying the surroundings. Inside, the home offers a large, open floor plan filled with natural light, creating a bright, warm, and inviting atmosphere throughout. The spacious kitchen includes abundant storage, and washer and dryer hookups are conveniently located on the main floor. Two driveways offer ample parking and added flexibility. The expansive backyard provides generous outdoor space along with an outdoor building ideal for a work area, complete with electrical outlets and a window A/C unit. Recent improvements include a new roof installed in 2025 with a transferable 30-year warranty, adding long-term value and peace of mind. With its charming character, open layout, and exceptional lot size, this property presents a standout opportunity. Agent related.

  18. 2026-02-03
    listed $195,000 Active 1043-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1043 chars)

    Now available on a spacious double corner lot! Beautiful 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the Alton School District, featuring mature trees and established landscaping that enhance curb appeal. A covered front porch provides a welcoming outdoor space for relaxing and enjoying the surroundings. Inside, the home offers a large, open floor plan filled with natural light, creating a bright, warm, and inviting atmosphere throughout. The spacious kitchen includes abundant storage, and washer and dryer hookups are conveniently located on the main floor. Two driveways offer ample parking and added flexibility. The expansive backyard provides generous outdoor space along with an outdoor building ideal for a work area, complete with electrical outlets and a window A/C unit. Recent improvements include a new roof installed in 2025 with a transferable 30-year warranty, adding long-term value and peace of mind. With its charming character, open layout, and exceptional lot size, this property presents a standout opportunity. Agent related.

  19. 2026-02-03
    historical $195,000 1043-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1043 chars)

    Now available on a spacious double corner lot! Beautiful 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the Alton School District, featuring mature trees and established landscaping that enhance curb appeal. A covered front porch provides a welcoming outdoor space for relaxing and enjoying the surroundings. Inside, the home offers a large, open floor plan filled with natural light, creating a bright, warm, and inviting atmosphere throughout. The spacious kitchen includes abundant storage, and washer and dryer hookups are conveniently located on the main floor. Two driveways offer ample parking and added flexibility. The expansive backyard provides generous outdoor space along with an outdoor building ideal for a work area, complete with electrical outlets and a window A/C unit. Recent improvements include a new roof installed in 2025 with a transferable 30-year warranty, adding long-term value and peace of mind. With its charming character, open layout, and exceptional lot size, this property presents a standout opportunity. Agent related.

  20. 2016-02-01
    soldstatus $95,000
  21. 2014-03-03
    soldstatus 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Charming Alton Home waiting for a new owner. This spacious 1.5 Story home features 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, Large living room, and a rear deck. Convenient location and within minutes of all amenities. Buyer to verify all MLS data including by not limited to square feet, measurements, features, exemptions/taxes, schools, etc

  22. 2013-11-26
    listed $49,000 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Charming Alton Home waiting for a new owner. This spacious 1.5 Story home features 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, Large living room, and a rear deck. Convenient location and within minutes of all amenities. Buyer to verify all MLS data including by not limited to square feet, measurements, features, exemptions/taxes, schools, etc

  23. 2008-09-16
    soldstatus $147,500
  24. 2007-07-03
    soldstatus $60,000
  25. 1997-02-06
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,026 · $252/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,305 · $275/mo
Expected delta
+$279/yr (+$23/mo · 9.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,773
− Mortgage interest
−$8,845
− Property taxes
−$3,026
− Insurance
−$790
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,022
− Management
−$1,022
− Depreciation
−$4,593
Taxable loss
−$6,524
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,566
After-tax cash flow
$-2,095/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alton CUSD 11
NCES district ID
1703600
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$46,257
Composite
11.34/100
National rank
#9710
State rank
#544 of 620 in IL

Livability — Alton

Score
64/100
State rank
#701
US rank
#14289

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Alton, IL
County
Madison County · 189,064 people
City population
29,543
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
29,543
Household income
$61,414
Rent vs Own
34.3% rent · 65.7% own
Severe rent burden
960.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
258,371 people
By 2030
251,523 · -2.7%
By 2040
233,640 · -9.6%
By 2050
213,042 · -17.5%
By 2075
165,255 · -36.0%
By 2100
123,953 · -52.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 20% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -98.43%
Current HPI
194.7313
Rent YoY
▲ 8.24%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1499.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $159,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $179,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-03 Listed $195,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-03 Coming Soon $195,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 2014-03-03 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-11-26 Listed $49,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $147,500 Public Records
  • 2007-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 1997-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,026 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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