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D- Composite 38.78
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.7/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.5/10.0
  • DSCR +0.1/10.0

$795,000

44 Box St Unit 2R · New York, NY 11222
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 596 sqft · Condo · 130 Days on market
Built 2017 $230/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 44 Box Street, Unit 2C a thoughtfully designed 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom condominium located in the heart of Greenpoint, Brooklyn. This approximately 596 square foot residence offers a refined balance of modern design, functionality, and comfort within one of the neighborhood’s newest boutique condominium buildings. Bathed in natural light, the home features floor-to-ceiling and oversized double-paned Pella windows with northern exposure, highlighting the wide-plank white oak hardwood floors throughout. The open-concept living and dining area flows seamlessly into a contemporary chef’s kitchen appointed with premium countertops, a Fisher & Paykel appliance package,

Key facts

  • Common roof deck
  • Private balcony
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

PRIVATE BALCONYWALK-IN CLOSETCOMMON ROOF DECKVIDEO INTERCOM SYSTEMLANDSCAPED ENTRANCEARTISAN-CRAFTED BUILDING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: 16 total units in the building; Pets not allowed in building
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $230

Exterior

  • Utilities: Has heating and cooling (electric heating)
  • Home design: Entry on level 2; Has view; 6-story building
  • Construction: Building has elevator(s)
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Building roof deck; Private outdoor space (over 60 sqft); North exposure

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Total of 3 rooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Recessed lighting; Walk-in closet(s); Double pane windows; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $795k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-20k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $559k (29.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $518k (34.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $518k (34.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 3.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 105 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,178/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($126k/yr) (locally 3139% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $85k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $80k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$137k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($700k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $517,775 (34.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.65%
Cap rate
3.83%
Cash-on-cash
-8.81%
DSCR
0.61
GRM
12.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 1.02% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
2.43×
Total profit
$319,034
Equity at exit
$716,199
10-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
5.51×
Total profit
$1,002,850
Equity at exit
$1,544,510

Cash invested: $222,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11222

Home prices YoY
2.9%
Rents YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
105
Price-to-rent
12.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,178 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,169
Tax est. 1.5%
$994 /mo · $11,925/yr
Insurance
$331
HOA
$230
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,087
Net cashflow
$-1,634

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,246
Max offer price $558,609
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-1,084 -5% $-1,359 +0% $-1,634 +5% $-1,908 +10% $-2,183
Rent -10% $-2,043 -5% $-1,838 +0% $-1,634 +5% $-1,429 +10% $-1,225
Rate -1.0pp $-1,233 -0.5pp $-1,431 base $-1,634 +0.5pp $-1,840 +1.0pp $-2,049

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$198,750
Closing costs
$23,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1 Bell Slip Brooklyn, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 766 $5,368 $7.00 0d 7 0.19mi
1 Blue Slip Brooklyn, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 834 $5,520 $6.61 0d 12 0.22mi
2 Blue Slip Brooklyn, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 819 $5,848 $7.14 0d 6 0.25mi
475 48th Ave Long Island City, NY 3.0 1.0–3.0 1293 $5,410 $4.18 0d 1 0.57mi
30 Waterside Plz New York, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 743 $5,244 $7.06 0d 35 0.94mi
20 Waterside Plz #978 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 682 $4,760 $6.98 7d 1 0.94mi
2719 44th Dr Long Island City, NY 1.0 1.0 628 $4,945 $7.87 8d 2 0.97mi
285 Kingsland Ave #2078 Brooklyn, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 725 $4,240 $5.85 25d 2 1.00mi
401 E 34th St New York, NY 3.0 1.0–2.0 887 $5,532 $6.23 0d 50 1.03mi
399 E 34th St Unit 1025362P New York, NY 1.0 1.0 570 $9,174 $16.09 23d 1 1.07mi
330 E 46th St #1794 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 489 $4,990 $10.19 25d 2 1.25mi
222 E 34th St #999 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 554 $5,490 $9.91 7d 1 1.28mi
300 E 46th St New York, NY 2.0–3.0 1.0 716 $4,300 $6.00 25d 2 1.31mi
230 E 44th St #2165 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 568 $3,150 $5.54 25d 2 1.34mi
940 1st Ave Unit 2040 New York, NY 2.0 1.5 600 $6,810 $11.35 0d 1 1.34mi
301 E 47th St #1737 New York, NY 2.0 1.0 600 $5,380 $8.97 21d 1 1.34mi
420 E 54th St New York, NY 3.0 1.0–2.5 1018 $7,261 $7.13 0d 12 1.36mi
556 3rd Ave Unit 2244 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 500 $5,640 $11.28 0d 1 1.37mi
556 3rd Ave New York, NY 1.0 1.0 540 $5,635 $10.44 3d 2 1.37mi
556 3rd Ave New York, NY 1.0 1.0 580 $5,240 $9.03 21d 2 1.37mi
340 E 51st St New York, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 791 $6,250 $7.90 4d 3 1.38mi
599 E 56th St Unit 1817 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 625 $4,850 $7.76 25d 1 1.39mi
340 E 52nd St #1527 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 575 $7,890 $13.72 0d 2 1.39mi
959 1st Ave Unit 6X New York, NY 1.0 1.0 739 $6,000 $8.12 25d 1 1.39mi
155 E 31st St #2190 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 725 $5,610 $7.74 8d 2 1.40mi
187 Kent Ave #1730 Brooklyn, NY 1.0 1.0 500 $5,750 $11.50 7d 1 1.40mi
346 E 18th St Unit 1254596P New York, NY 2.0 2.0 699 $12,979 $18.57 23d 1 1.40mi
333 E 52nd St Unit 2177 New York, NY 2.0 1.0 600 $4,900 $8.17 23d 1 1.42mi
250 E 21st St Unit 8D New York, NY 1.0 1.0 688 $9,525 $13.84 3d 1 1.43mi
300 E 51st St New York, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 875 $6,365 $7.27 4d 3 1.43mi
138 E 38th St New York, NY 3.0 1.0–2.0 750 $4,510 $6.01 25d 4 1.44mi
141 E 33rd St #1278 New York, NY 2.0 1.0–1.5 683 $6,230 $9.12 8d 3 1.44mi
220 E 49th St Unit 1021974P New York, NY 2.0 1.0 742 $5,190 $6.99 16d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$230 · $2,760/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    days on market $795,000 Active 130 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $795,000 Active 126 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $795,000 Active 125 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $795,000 Active 123 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $795,000 Active 122 DOM
  6. 2026-01-15
    listed $795,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$62,133
− Mortgage interest
−$44,532
− Property taxes
−$11,925
− Insurance
−$3,975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,971
− Management
−$4,971
− HOA
−$2,760
− Depreciation
−$23,127
Taxable loss
−$34,128
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$8,191
After-tax cash flow
$-11,413/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Kings County · 2,614,986 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
42,853
Household income
$125,734
Rent vs Own
81.9% rent · 18.1% own
Severe rent burden
3139.0

Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,847,441 people
By 2030
2,937,006 · +3.1%
By 2040
3,095,491 · +8.7%
By 2050
3,228,968 · +13.4%
By 2075
3,321,723 · +16.7%
By 2100
3,111,387 · +9.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13% Asian 6% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 15% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
68% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Kings

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 22.48%
Current HPI
787.4068
Rent YoY
▲ 1.02%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $795,000 RLS at REBNY

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…