Duplex
127 Hutchins St · Batavia, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AH
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $810 – $3,808
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Well cared for charming 2 family home. Perfect opportunity to occupy and rent. Both units have separate paved driveways for plenty of parking or visitors. Both units have vinyl windows, cozy hot-water baseboard heating and separate utilities. Lower unit has 2 bedrooms, covered front porch, large eat in kitchen, French doors, large living room, enclosed back porch with washer and dryer. Upper unit has 3 bedrooms, enclosed entrance, good sized living room, large kitchen. Basement has glass block windows and 2 ways to enter. Please allow 24 hours for life of offer, the seller will consider offers as they are presented. No sign on property.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Enclosed entrance
- Separate utilities
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Owner pays grounds care; Rent includes gardener; Operating expense details: see remarks; Two-unit multifamily property with separate gas and electric meters
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking with two or more spaces
- Utilities: Cable available; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story building; Existing construction
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Unit 1: Eat-in kitchen; Unit 2: Eat-in kitchen with oven/range and refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One unit with 3 bedrooms; One unit with 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heating; Hot water heating
- Interior features: Full walk-up basement with exterior entry
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 1×3bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $861 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $431/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $184k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 5.5% in Batavia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#536 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Batavia City School District (town): math 38% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #477 of 590 in NY (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 55 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,971/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 817% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $192/mo; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.78%
- DSCR
- 2.06
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $228,499
- List price
- $189,900
- Delta
- -16.89%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Pringle Ave | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,900 (+7%) | 10mo | $169,000 | $89 | 58 |
| 107 Watson St | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,720 (-3%) | 16mo | $55,000 | $32 | 51 |
| 1 Cone St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,521 (-14%) | 20mo | $110,000 | $72 | 46 |
| 5 Watson St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 2,016 (+14%) | 13mo | $105,000 | $52 | 42 |
| 9 Watson St | 0.53mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,008 (+13%) | 19mo | $86,000 | $43 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $24,239
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $92,362
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14020
- Home prices YoY
- -10.4%
- Active inventory
- 89
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,971 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$218 /mo · $2,620/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$192 /mo · $2,309/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$624
- Net cashflow
- $861
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $1,433 |
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $1,538 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,971 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 Manhattan Ave Batavia, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2162 | $925 | $0.43 | 10d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $189,900 Pending 46 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $189,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $189,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-28$189,900 Active 574-char remark
-
2024-12-23soldstatus $172,000
-
2024-12-20soldstatus $172,000 Closed 644-char remark
Show marketing remark (644 chars)
Well cared for charming 2 family home. Perfect opportunity to occupy and rent. Both units have separate paved driveways for plenty of parking or visitors. Both units have vinyl windows, cozy hot-water baseboard heating and separate utilities. Lower unit has 2 bedrooms, covered front porch, large eat in kitchen, French doors, large living room, enclosed back porch with washer and dryer. Upper unit has 3 bedrooms, enclosed entrance, good sized living room, large kitchen. Basement has glass block windows and 2 ways to enter. Please allow 24 hours for life of offer, the seller will consider offers as they are presented. No sign on property.
-
2024-10-29status Pending 644-char remark
Show marketing remark (644 chars)
Well cared for charming 2 family home. Perfect opportunity to occupy and rent. Both units have separate paved driveways for plenty of parking or visitors. Both units have vinyl windows, cozy hot-water baseboard heating and separate utilities. Lower unit has 2 bedrooms, covered front porch, large eat in kitchen, French doors, large living room, enclosed back porch with washer and dryer. Upper unit has 3 bedrooms, enclosed entrance, good sized living room, large kitchen. Basement has glass block windows and 2 ways to enter. Please allow 24 hours for life of offer, the seller will consider offers as they are presented. No sign on property.
-
2024-10-22$159,000 Active 644-char remark
Show marketing remark (644 chars)
Well cared for charming 2 family home. Perfect opportunity to occupy and rent. Both units have separate paved driveways for plenty of parking or visitors. Both units have vinyl windows, cozy hot-water baseboard heating and separate utilities. Lower unit has 2 bedrooms, covered front porch, large eat in kitchen, French doors, large living room, enclosed back porch with washer and dryer. Upper unit has 3 bedrooms, enclosed entrance, good sized living room, large kitchen. Basement has glass block windows and 2 ways to enter. Please allow 24 hours for life of offer, the seller will consider offers as they are presented. No sign on property.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,620 · $218/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,915 · $243/mo
- Expected delta
- +$295/yr (+$25/mo · 11.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AH · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,652
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$2,620
- − Insurance
- −$3,258
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,852
- − Management
- −$2,852
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable income
- $7,907
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,898
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,438/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Batavia City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3603990
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,288
- Composite
- 37.13/100
- National rank
- #4490
- State rank
- #477 of 590 in NY
Livability — Batavia
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #536
- US rank
- #9660
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Batavia, NY
- County
- Genesee County · 22,002 people
- City population
- 22,002
- Metro
- Batavia, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,002
- Household income
- $62,655
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 817.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 56,113 people
- By 2030
- 54,140 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 49,368 · -12.0%
- By 2050
- 43,911 · -21.7%
- By 2075
- 32,511 · -42.1%
- By 2100
- 21,695 · -61.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 33.0% · R 67.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.58%
- Current HPI
- 263.2147
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Batavia, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+19.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $189,900 UNYREIS
- 2024-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $172,000 Public Records
- 2024-12-20 Sold (MLS) $172,000 UNYREIS
- 2024-10-29 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2024-10-22 Listed $159,000 UNYREIS
Property tax history
-1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,620 · -30.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…