CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
127 Hutchins St Duplex
B+ Composite 77.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,900

127 Hutchins St · Batavia, NY 14020
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,772 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1880 6,760 sqft lot $107/sqft · 17% below area Est $228k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Well cared for charming 2 family home. Perfect opportunity to occupy and rent. Both units have separate paved driveways for plenty of parking or visitors. Both units have vinyl windows, cozy hot-water baseboard heating and separate utilities. Lower unit has 2 bedrooms, covered front porch, large eat in kitchen, French doors, large living room, enclosed back porch with washer and dryer. Upper unit has 3 bedrooms, enclosed entrance, good sized living room, large kitchen. Basement has glass block windows and 2 ways to enter. Please allow 24 hours for life of offer, the seller will consider offers as they are presented. No sign on property.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Enclosed entrance
  • Separate utilities

Tags

PAVED DRIVEWAYSEPARATE UTILITIESCOVERED FRONT PORCHENCLOSED BACK PORCHWASHER AND DRYERENCLOSED ENTRANCE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Owner pays grounds care; Rent includes gardener; Operating expense details: see remarks; Two-unit multifamily property with separate gas and electric meters

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved parking with two or more spaces
  • Utilities: Cable available; Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story building; Existing construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Unit 1: Eat-in kitchen; Unit 2: Eat-in kitchen with oven/range and refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: One unit with 3 bedrooms; One unit with 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heating; Hot water heating
  • Interior features: Full walk-up basement with exterior entry
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 1×3bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $861 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $431/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
  • Recommended offer: $184k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 5.5% in Batavia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#536 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
  • Batavia City School District (town): math 38% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #477 of 590 in NY (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 55 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,971/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 817% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $192/mo; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $184,203 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.56%
Cap rate
12.95%
Cash-on-cash
23.78%
DSCR
2.06
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$228,499
List price
$189,900
Delta
-16.89%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9 Pringle Ave 0.35mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,900 (+7%) 10mo $169,000 $89 58
107 Watson St 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,720 (-3%) 16mo $55,000 $32 51
1 Cone St 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,521 (-14%) 20mo $110,000 $72 46
5 Watson St 0.52mi 3/2.0 2,016 (+14%) 13mo $105,000 $52 42
9 Watson St 0.53mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,008 (+13%) 19mo $86,000 $43 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$24,239
Equity at exit
$28,315
10-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
2.74×
Total profit
$92,362
Equity at exit
$16,419

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14020

Home prices YoY
-10.4%
Active inventory
89
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,971 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$218 /mo · $2,620/yr
Insurance
$79
Flood insurance flood zone
−$192 /mo · $2,309/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$624
Net cashflow
$861

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,881
Max offer price $189,900
Occupancy floor 66%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 1 $1,433
1× unit 3 1 $1,538
Total (2 units) $2,971

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
33 Manhattan Ave Batavia, NY 2.0 1.0 2162 $925 $0.43 10d 1 1.14mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $189,900 Pending 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-12
    days on market $189,900 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,900 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $189,900 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,900 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,900 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-04-28
    listed $189,900 Active 574-char remark
  13. 2024-12-23
    soldstatus $172,000
  14. 2024-12-20
    soldstatus $172,000 Closed 644-char remark
    Show marketing remark (644 chars)

    Well cared for charming 2 family home. Perfect opportunity to occupy and rent. Both units have separate paved driveways for plenty of parking or visitors. Both units have vinyl windows, cozy hot-water baseboard heating and separate utilities. Lower unit has 2 bedrooms, covered front porch, large eat in kitchen, French doors, large living room, enclosed back porch with washer and dryer. Upper unit has 3 bedrooms, enclosed entrance, good sized living room, large kitchen. Basement has glass block windows and 2 ways to enter. Please allow 24 hours for life of offer, the seller will consider offers as they are presented. No sign on property.

  15. 2024-10-29
    status Pending 644-char remark
    Show marketing remark (644 chars)

    Well cared for charming 2 family home. Perfect opportunity to occupy and rent. Both units have separate paved driveways for plenty of parking or visitors. Both units have vinyl windows, cozy hot-water baseboard heating and separate utilities. Lower unit has 2 bedrooms, covered front porch, large eat in kitchen, French doors, large living room, enclosed back porch with washer and dryer. Upper unit has 3 bedrooms, enclosed entrance, good sized living room, large kitchen. Basement has glass block windows and 2 ways to enter. Please allow 24 hours for life of offer, the seller will consider offers as they are presented. No sign on property.

  16. 2024-10-22
    listed $159,000 Active 644-char remark
    Show marketing remark (644 chars)

    Well cared for charming 2 family home. Perfect opportunity to occupy and rent. Both units have separate paved driveways for plenty of parking or visitors. Both units have vinyl windows, cozy hot-water baseboard heating and separate utilities. Lower unit has 2 bedrooms, covered front porch, large eat in kitchen, French doors, large living room, enclosed back porch with washer and dryer. Upper unit has 3 bedrooms, enclosed entrance, good sized living room, large kitchen. Basement has glass block windows and 2 ways to enter. Please allow 24 hours for life of offer, the seller will consider offers as they are presented. No sign on property.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,620 · $218/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,915 · $243/mo
Expected delta
+$295/yr (+$25/mo · 11.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AH · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,652
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$2,620
− Insurance
−$3,258
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,852
− Management
−$2,852
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable income
$7,907
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,898
After-tax cash flow
$8,438/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Batavia City School District
NCES district ID
3603990
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$43,288
Composite
37.13/100
National rank
#4490
State rank
#477 of 590 in NY

Livability — Batavia

Score
68/100
State rank
#536
US rank
#9660

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Batavia, NY
County
Genesee County · 22,002 people
City population
22,002
Metro
Batavia, NY
Population (ZIP)
22,002
Household income
$62,655
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
817.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
56,113 people
By 2030
54,140 · -3.5%
By 2040
49,368 · -12.0%
By 2050
43,911 · -21.7%
By 2075
32,511 · -42.1%
By 2100
21,695 · -61.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 33.0% · R 67.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.58%
Current HPI
263.2147
Rent YoY
Metro
Batavia, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+19.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $189,900 UNYREIS
  • 2024-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $172,000 Public Records
  • 2024-12-20 Sold (MLS) $172,000 UNYREIS
  • 2024-10-29 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2024-10-22 Listed $159,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

-1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,620 · -30.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…