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766 Bay Esplanade
D Composite 43.2
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$719,000

766 Bay Esplanade · Clearwater, FL 33767
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,640 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 379 Days on market
Built 1940 6,821 sqft lot Est $663k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Under contract-accepting backup offers. Absolutely charming North Beach quintessential cottage home has only had 3 previous owners in 85 years. Light, bright and airy it is ideally located near an intercoastal access and a short walk straight to Clearwater’s beautiful beaches. This home boasts the location you want and is surrounded by many multi-million dollar high value properties. The very livable courtyard shaped floorplan has an easy flow and great feeling that makes this home live much larger than it is. Eat in Kitchen has two floor to ceiling pantry areas, north and east counter height windows plus a secondary side entry. The 87 foot long driveway features an offset for refuse/

Key facts

  • Storage space
  • Outdoor patio area
  • Cottage home

Tags

COTTAGE HOMEDETACHED GARAGESTORAGE SPACEOUTDOOR PATIO AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot roughly 62 x 110 (0.16 acres)
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces east; Residential property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on one level
  • Exterior features: Storage; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Wood-burning fireplace; Storage
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry amenities listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $719k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-509 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $629k (12.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $577k (19.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $577k (19.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#60 in FL, #988 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Sandy Lane Elementary School (math 32% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,969 of 2,144 statewide, top 94%, 304 students, 85% FRL); Dunedin Highland Middle School (math 53% / reading 52%, grade C+, #213 of 571 statewide, top 38%, 899 students, 53% FRL); Clearwater High School (math 30% / reading 36%, grade F, #406 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 1,664 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 48% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 38% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pinellas average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 431 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 379 days — a 12% lower offer ($633k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $225k; list at $719k implies a 220% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $576,571 (19.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 379 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.16%
Cash-on-cash
-0.49%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$662,560
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
43 Kipling Plz 0.31mi 2/3.0 (-1) 1,631 (-0%) 2mo $521,678 $320 76
741 Bruce Ave 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,650 (+1%) 23mo $1,075,000 $652 73
860 Narcissus Ave 0.26mi 3/2.5 1,714 (+4%) 19mo $650,000 $379 65
750 Lantana Ave 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,848 (+13%) 11mo $600,000 $325 60
1019 Mandalay Ave 0.64mi 3/3.0 1,655 (+1%) 16mo $712,500 $431 53
939 Mandalay Ave 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,755 (+7%) 15mo $550,000 $313 53
950 Lantana Ave 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,792 (+9%) 20mo $525,000 $293 43
921 Eldorado Ave 0.43mi 3/3.0 1,856 (+13%) 16mo $750,000 $404 42
1007 Mandalay Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,456 (-11%) 18mo $821,500 $564 36
684 Harbor Is 0.51mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,864 (+14%) 15mo $1,234,000 $662 34
1041 Eldorado Ave 0.73mi 3/3.0 1,873 (+14%) 16mo $960,000 $513 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.88% appreciation · 2.76% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.1%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$11,372
Equity at exit
$279,028
10-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$138,463
Equity at exit
$398,328

Cash invested: $201,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33767

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
431
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,766 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,771
Tax from tax record
$567 /mo · $6,802/yr
Insurance
$300
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,211
Net cashflow
$-509

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,409
Max offer price $629,165
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-102 -5% $-305 +0% $-509 +5% $-712 +10% $-916
Rent -10% $-964 -5% $-736 +0% $-509 +5% $-281 +10% $-53
Rate -1.0pp $-146 -0.5pp $-326 base $-509 +0.5pp $-695 +1.0pp $-884

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$179,750
Closing costs
$21,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
741 Lantana Ave Clearwater Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 1077 $3,695 $3.43 19d 1 0.08mi
757 Mandalay Ave Clearwater Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $5,000 $4.17 6d 1 0.10mi
819 Bay Esplanade Clearwater Beach, FL 3.0 3.0 2068 $10,000 $4.84 26d 1 0.12mi
867 Mandalay Ave Clearwater Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1988 $7,500 $3.77 26d 1 0.26mi
690 Island Way Clearwater, FL 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.5 1150 $3,500 $3.04 4d 3 0.34mi
880 Mandalay Ave Clearwater, FL 2.0 1.0–2.0 787 $4,995 $6.34 5d 9 0.35mi
880 Mandalay Ave Clearwater, FL 2.0 1.0–2.0 787 $4,995 $6.34 0d 8 0.35mi
670 Island Way #1006 Clearwater Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1854 $4,400 $2.37 26d 1 0.38mi
929 Lantana Ave Clearwater Beach, FL 3.0 3.0 2056 $6,000 $2.92 6d 1 0.41mi
650 Island Way Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $3,150 $2.32 15d 1 0.49mi
650 Island Way Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $3,050 $2.25 19d 2 0.49mi
15 Avalon St Clearwater, FL 3.0 3.5 2640 $12,000 $4.54 19d 3 0.50mi
15 Avalon St Clearwater, FL 3.0 3.5 2394 $13,500 $5.64 15d 2 0.50mi
644 Island Way #304 Clearwater Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1335 $2,700 $2.02 26d 1 0.54mi
610 Island Way #608 Clearwater Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1270 $2,900 $2.28 25d 1 0.59mi
521 Mandalay Ave #410 Clearwater Beach, FL 3.0 3.0 2087 $10,000 $4.79 26d 1 0.67mi
521 Mandalay Ave #1109 Clearwater Beach, FL 3.0 3.0 2087 $8,500 $4.07 26d 1 0.67mi
501 Mandalay Ave #309 Clearwater Beach, FL 3.0 3.0 2087 $9,000 $4.31 26d 1 0.72mi
505 Mandalay Ave #62 Clearwater Beach, FL 2.0 2.5 1619 $5,000 $3.09 23d 1 0.72mi
11 Baymont St Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1680 $11,250 $6.70 26d 2 0.79mi
11 San Marco St #1206 Clearwater Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1460 $7,000 $4.79 26d 1 0.86mi
10 Papaya St #1204 Clearwater Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1675 $6,500 $3.88 26d 1 0.90mi
415 Island Way Clearwater, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1721 $7,500 $4.36 19d 5 0.92mi
415 Island Way Clearwater, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1765 $7,500 $4.25 0d 4 0.92mi
415 Island Way Clearwater, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1765 $7,500 $4.25 3d 4 0.92mi
400 Island Way Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1315 $3,075 $2.34 5d 5 0.94mi
400 Island Way Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1315 $2,975 $2.26 26d 5 0.94mi
255 Dolphin Pt Clearwater, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1055 $2,950 $2.80 0d 5 0.99mi
255 Dolphin Pt Clearwater, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1055 $2,950 $2.80 19d 4 0.99mi
240 Windward Passage #401 Clearwater Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1886 $6,500 $3.45 15d 1 1.06mi
240 Windward Passage #401 Clearwater Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1886 $6,500 $3.45 16d 1 1.06mi
223 Island Way Unit 7F Clearwater Beach, FL 3.0 3.0 1960 $4,999 $2.55 16d 1 1.09mi
125 Island Way #502 Clearwater Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1850 $4,900 $2.65 26d 1 1.13mi
121 Island Way #323 Clearwater Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1090 $2,950 $2.71 9d 1 1.17mi
105 Island Way Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1090 $3,400 $3.12 26d 3 1.21mi
110 Devon Dr Clearwater Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1377 $6,500 $4.72 26d 1 1.28mi
185 Brightwater Dr #6 Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1430 $3,900 $2.73 26d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-17
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-02
    status Active
  3. 2025-12-31
    historical
  4. 2025-08-30
    status Active
  5. 2025-08-13
    status Pending
  6. 2025-04-14
    listed $719,000 Active
  7. 2024-10-31
    historical
  8. 2024-07-21
    price $995,000
  9. 2024-03-14
    listed $1,050,000 Active
  10. 2007-06-19
    listed $549,900
  11. 2006-08-16
    listed $599,000
  12. 2006-02-07
    listed $625,000
  13. 2001-06-13
    soldstatus $225,000
  14. 2001-05-24
    soldstatus $130,000
  15. 1994-06-28
    soldstatus $170,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,802 · $567/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,802 · $567/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥110°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$69,189
− Mortgage interest
−$40,275
− Property taxes
−$6,802
− Insurance
−$8,714
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,535
− Management
−$5,535
− Depreciation
−$20,916
Taxable loss
−$18,588
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,461
After-tax cash flow
$-1,641/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — Clearwater

Score
82/100
State rank
#60
US rank
#988

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clearwater, FL
County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
170,933
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
8,081
Household income
$117,425
Rent vs Own
15.2% rent · 84.8% own
Severe rent burden
295.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 2% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.88%
Current HPI
297.7165
Rent YoY
▲ 2.76%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+322.9% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-02 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-30 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-13 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-14 Listed $719,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-31 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-21 Price Changed $995,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-14 Listed $1,050,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-06-19 Listed $549,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-08-16 Listed $599,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-02-07 Listed $625,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
  • 2001-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 1994-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,802 · -3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…