57030 Central Church Rd · Varnado, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$114,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home on 1.3 acres located on Central Church Road in Angie, LA. Looking for a country home with a little room to roam - you found it. Home is a hardy plank exterior with a metal roof possessing 1166 square feet with a 4 bedroom 2 bath layout. Internally the home is well maintained and has had some updates since the new ownership. Property is located down a dead end road and has 1.3 acres with fencing that gives some horse / animals opportunity. Subject will come with a nice little portable building for storage behind the house. Overall a nice place in the country and is priced below appraisal.
Key facts
- 1.3 acre lot
- Built 1999
- Listed 58 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $114k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $139 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (8.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $104k (8.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#354 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
- Washington Parish (rural): math 27% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #38 of 98 in LA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Thomas Elementary School (math 38% / reading 51%, grade F, #176 of 646 statewide, top 29%, 763 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 77% district-wide (32 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Washington Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($792 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Washington County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $114k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.21%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.22×
- Total profit
- $71,175
- Equity at exit
- $103,151
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.32×
- Total profit
- $202,528
- Equity at exit
- $222,448
Cash invested: $32,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70426
- Home prices YoY
- 15.9%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,043 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$600
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $436/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $139
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $204 | -5% $172 | +0% $139 | +5% $107 | +10% $74 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $57 | -5% $98 | +0% $139 | +5% $180 | +10% $222 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $197 | -0.5pp $168 | base $139 | +0.5pp $110 | +1.0pp $79 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,625
- Closing costs
- $3,435
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $114,500 Pending 58 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $114,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $114,500 599-char remark
Show marketing remark (599 chars)
Home on 1.3 acres located on Central Church Road in Angie, LA. Looking for a country home with a little room to roam - you found it. Home is a hardy plank exterior with a metal roof possessing 1166 square feet with a 4 bedroom 2 bath layout. Internally the home is well maintained and has had some updates since the new ownership. Property is located down a dead end road and has 1.3 acres with fencing that gives some horse / animals opportunity. Subject will come with a nice little portable building for storage behind the house. Overall a nice place in the country and is priced below appraisal.
-
2026-05-14price $114,500 599-char remark
Show marketing remark (599 chars)
Home on 1.3 acres located on Central Church Road in Angie, LA. Looking for a country home with a little room to roam - you found it. Home is a hardy plank exterior with a metal roof possessing 1166 square feet with a 4 bedroom 2 bath layout. Internally the home is well maintained and has had some updates since the new ownership. Property is located down a dead end road and has 1.3 acres with fencing that gives some horse / animals opportunity. Subject will come with a nice little portable building for storage behind the house. Overall a nice place in the country and is priced below appraisal.
-
2026-04-07$119,500 Active 599-char remark
Show marketing remark (599 chars)
Home on 1.3 acres located on Central Church Road in Angie, LA. Looking for a country home with a little room to roam - you found it. Home is a hardy plank exterior with a metal roof possessing 1166 square feet with a 4 bedroom 2 bath layout. Internally the home is well maintained and has had some updates since the new ownership. Property is located down a dead end road and has 1.3 acres with fencing that gives some horse / animals opportunity. Subject will come with a nice little portable building for storage behind the house. Overall a nice place in the country and is priced below appraisal.
-
2026-04-07$119,500 Active 599-char remark
Show marketing remark (599 chars)
Home on 1.3 acres located on Central Church Road in Angie, LA. Looking for a country home with a little room to roam - you found it. Home is a hardy plank exterior with a metal roof possessing 1166 square feet with a 4 bedroom 2 bath layout. Internally the home is well maintained and has had some updates since the new ownership. Property is located down a dead end road and has 1.3 acres with fencing that gives some horse / animals opportunity. Subject will come with a nice little portable building for storage behind the house. Overall a nice place in the country and is priced below appraisal.
-
2025-12-09price $119,000
-
2025-12-09price $119,000
-
2025-12-01price $129,000
-
2025-12-01price $129,000
-
2025-11-25price $139,000
-
2025-11-17price $139,000
-
2025-10-28price $149,000
-
2025-10-28price $149,000
-
2025-10-14price $159,000
-
2025-10-14price $159,000
-
2025-09-29$169,000 Active
-
2023-06-14soldstatus $45,000 Closed
-
2023-05-23status Pending
-
2023-05-13price $49,900
-
2023-04-13price $54,900
-
2023-03-17price $59,900
-
2023-01-18price $69,900
-
2022-12-20price $74,900
-
2022-11-21$49,900
-
2022-11-21$79,900 Active
-
2022-11-21$49,900
-
2020-02-12soldstatus $86,000
-
2020-02-07soldstatus $86,000 Closed
-
2019-12-15status Pending
-
2019-11-01price $89,000
-
2019-09-25price $95,000
-
2019-08-15$99,500 Active
-
2019-08-15$89,000
-
2012-01-20soldstatus $45,000
-
2011-07-08$45,000
-
2011-07-08$45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $436 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $630 · $52/mo
- Expected delta
- +$194/yr (+$16/mo · 44.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,512
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,414
- − Property taxes
- −$436
- − Insurance
- −$572
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,001
- − Management
- −$1,001
- − Depreciation
- −$3,331
- Taxable loss
- −$243
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$58
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,729/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201860
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -29.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,972
- Composite
- 28.03/100
- National rank
- #6844
- State rank
- #38 of 98 in LA
Livability — Varnado
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #354
- US rank
- #23096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,880
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,642 people
- By 2030
- 43,302 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 40,345 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 37,434 · -16.1%
- By 2075
- 29,954 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 21,579 · -51.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (52%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 43% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.3) · D 29.3% · R 69.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -32.7pp · 2024: -40.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.3 2020: R+37.6 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+28.3 2008: R+32.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 21.81%
- Current HPI
- 159.3
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+154.4% since first listed35 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $114,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $114,500 GSREIN
- 2026-04-07 Listed $119,500 GSREIN
- 2026-04-07 Listed $119,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed $119,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed $119,000 GSREIN
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $129,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $129,000 GSREIN
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $139,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-11-17 Price Changed $139,000 GSREIN
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $149,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $149,000 GSREIN
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $159,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $159,000 GSREIN
- 2025-09-29 Listed $169,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2023-06-14 Sold (MLS) $45,000 GSREIN
- 2023-05-23 Pending — GSREIN
- 2023-05-13 Price Changed $49,900 GSREIN
- 2023-04-13 Price Changed $54,900 GSREIN
- 2023-03-17 Price Changed $59,900 GSREIN
- 2023-01-18 Price Changed $69,900 GSREIN
- 2022-12-20 Price Changed $74,900 GSREIN
- 2022-11-21 Listed $49,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2022-11-21 Listed $79,900 GSREIN
- 2022-11-21 Listed $49,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2020-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
- 2020-02-07 Sold (MLS) $86,000 GSREIN
- 2019-12-15 Pending — GSREIN
- 2019-11-01 Price Changed $89,000 GSREIN
- 2019-09-25 Price Changed $95,000 GSREIN
- 2019-08-15 Listed $89,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2019-08-15 Listed $99,500 GSREIN
- 2012-01-20 Sold (MLS) $45,000 GSREIN
- 2011-07-08 Listed $45,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2011-07-08 Listed $45,000 GSREIN
Property tax history
-2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $436 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…