30700 Blue Wing Cres · Springfield, LA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$204,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tucked in the sought-after community of Carter Plantation, this beautifully updated home offers serene golf course living with direct views of the 17th hole. Thoughtfully renovated in 2016, the interior features durable wood-look tile flooring throughout, blending style and functionality. The kitchen is outfitted with sleek quartz countertops, providing a modern touch for both everyday living and entertaining. Step outside to a covered back patio to enjoy quiet mornings or relaxing evenings while taking in the picturesque surroundings. Some of the amenities are a championship golf course, fitness center, community pool, pickle ball courts, and on-site dining This property delivers a seamless combination of comfort, quality upgrades, and prime location.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Renovated in 2016
- Covered back patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $1,000; Community features include golf, golf course community, and pool
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Remodeled after 2016 flood
- Construction: Brick and stucco exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Excellent condition
- Exterior features: Concrete covered patio; Community pool; Property located on a golf course; Outside city limits
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Granite counters; Pantry
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attic; Ceiling fan(s); Granite counters; Pantry; Pull-down attic stairs
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-90 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (7.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (11.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $181k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.4% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#218 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, crime F.
- Livingston Parish (suburban): math 40% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 98 in LA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 214 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 794 units permitted in Livingston Parish in 2024 (99 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $22k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Livingston County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.74%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $215,950
- List price
- $204,900
- Delta
- -5.12%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30704 Blue Wing Cres | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 | 1,258 (-1%) | 19mo | $173,000 | $138 | 83 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.85×
- Total profit
- $105,959
- Equity at exit
- $184,590
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.52×
- Total profit
- $316,719
- Equity at exit
- $398,076
Cash invested: $57,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70462
- Active inventory
- 214
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,813 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$154 /mo · $1,846/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$83
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$381
- Net cashflow
- $-90
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,225
- Closing costs
- $6,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23318 Fairway Gardens Ct Springfield, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1607 | $2,000 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 23950 Coats Rd Springfield, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1154 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $83 · $996/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 762-char remark
Show marketing remark (762 chars)
Tucked in the sought-after community of Carter Plantation, this beautifully updated home offers serene golf course living with direct views of the 17th hole. Thoughtfully renovated in 2016, the interior features durable wood-look tile flooring throughout, blending style and functionality. The kitchen is outfitted with sleek quartz countertops, providing a modern touch for both everyday living and entertaining. Step outside to a covered back patio to enjoy quiet mornings or relaxing evenings while taking in the picturesque surroundings. Some of the amenities are a championship golf course, fitness center, community pool, pickle ball courts, and on-site dining This property delivers a seamless combination of comfort, quality upgrades, and prime location.
-
2026-05-07status Pending 763-char remark
Show marketing remark (762 chars)
Tucked in the sought-after community of Carter Plantation, this beautifully updated home offers serene golf course living with direct views of the 17th hole. Thoughtfully renovated in 2016, the interior features durable wood-look tile flooring throughout, blending style and functionality. The kitchen is outfitted with sleek quartz countertops, providing a modern touch for both everyday living and entertaining. Step outside to a covered back patio to enjoy quiet mornings or relaxing evenings while taking in the picturesque surroundings. Some of the amenities are a championship golf course, fitness center, community pool, pickle ball courts, and on-site dining This property delivers a seamless combination of comfort, quality upgrades, and prime location.
-
2026-05-01$204,900 Active 762-char remark
Show marketing remark (762 chars)
Tucked in the sought-after community of Carter Plantation, this beautifully updated home offers serene golf course living with direct views of the 17th hole. Thoughtfully renovated in 2016, the interior features durable wood-look tile flooring throughout, blending style and functionality. The kitchen is outfitted with sleek quartz countertops, providing a modern touch for both everyday living and entertaining. Step outside to a covered back patio to enjoy quiet mornings or relaxing evenings while taking in the picturesque surroundings. Some of the amenities are a championship golf course, fitness center, community pool, pickle ball courts, and on-site dining This property delivers a seamless combination of comfort, quality upgrades, and prime location.
-
2026-05-01$204,900 Active 763-char remark
Show marketing remark (762 chars)
Tucked in the sought-after community of Carter Plantation, this beautifully updated home offers serene golf course living with direct views of the 17th hole. Thoughtfully renovated in 2016, the interior features durable wood-look tile flooring throughout, blending style and functionality. The kitchen is outfitted with sleek quartz countertops, providing a modern touch for both everyday living and entertaining. Step outside to a covered back patio to enjoy quiet mornings or relaxing evenings while taking in the picturesque surroundings. Some of the amenities are a championship golf course, fitness center, community pool, pickle ball courts, and on-site dining This property delivers a seamless combination of comfort, quality upgrades, and prime location.
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2019-11-18soldstatus $155,000
-
2019-11-15soldstatus Sold
-
2019-11-15soldstatus $155,000 Closed
-
2019-10-10status Pending
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2019-10-09status Pending
-
2019-09-03price $160,000
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2019-09-03$160,000
-
2019-09-01price $160,000
-
2019-06-24price $165,000
-
2019-06-21$165,000 Active
-
2019-06-21$160,000
-
2019-03-03$160,000
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2019-03-03$172,500 Active
-
2018-10-30price $172,500
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2018-08-30$172,500
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2007-09-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,846 · $154/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,846 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone A · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,752
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,478
- − Property taxes
- −$1,846
- − Insurance
- −$2,527
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,740
- − Management
- −$1,740
- − HOA
- −$996
- − Depreciation
- −$5,961
- Taxable loss
- −$4,536
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,089
- After-tax cash flow
- $9/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Livingston Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201020
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,755
- Composite
- 40.07/100
- National rank
- #3811
- State rank
- #13 of 98 in LA
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #16782
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,428
Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 158,511 people
- By 2030
- 168,241 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 186,252 · +17.5%
- By 2050
- 201,516 · +27.1%
- By 2075
- 231,217 · +45.9%
- By 2100
- 241,697 · +52.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 9% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Livingston
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+68.5) · D 15.1% · R 83.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -71.9pp · 2024: -68.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+68.5 2020: R+70.0 2016: R+72.5 2012: R+70.4 2008: R+71.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 115.93%
- Current HPI
- 389.85
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+15.9% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
- 2026-05-28 Sold (MLS) $200,000 GSREIN
- 2026-05-28 Sold (MLS) $200,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-07 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-07 Pending — GSREIN
- 2026-05-01 Listed $204,900 GSREIN
- 2026-05-01 Listed $204,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2019-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2019-11-15 Sold (MLS) $155,000 GSREIN
- 2019-11-15 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2019-10-10 Pending — GSREIN
- 2019-10-09 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2019-09-03 Price Changed $160,000 GBRMLS
- 2019-09-03 Listed $160,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2019-09-01 Price Changed $160,000 GSREIN
- 2019-06-24 Price Changed $165,000 GSREIN
- 2019-06-21 Listed $160,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2019-06-21 Listed $165,000 GBRMLS
- 2019-03-03 Listed $172,500 GSREIN
- 2019-03-03 Listed $160,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2018-10-30 Price Changed $172,500 GSREIN
- 2018-08-30 Listed $172,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2007-09-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,846 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…