307 W 5th St · Pana, IL 62557

$50,500

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,340 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market

Built 1925 0.26 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.1/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Motivated Seller!! Make an offer!! Affordable opportunity to make your vision come to life! This property has already had a major head start, with a fully remodeled exterior featuring new; roof, gutters, siding, windows, fascia and soffit. On the interior, you'll find a blank slate, ready for your vision, already equipped with all new electrical, subfloor and some updated plumbing and ductwork as well. With the potential to design a 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom layout, this home is perfect for investors, flippers or buyers looking to customize every detail. Situated on a large lot, there's plenty of room for outdoor living, expansion or additional features. Bring your ideas and turn this property

Key facts

• New siding
• New gutters
• New fascia

Tags

• FULLY REMODELED EXTERIOR
• NEW ROOF
• NEW GUTTERS
• NEW SIDING
• NEW WINDOWS
• NEW FASCIA

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; One story
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Built with full foundation
• Exterior features: Front porch; Patio; Concrete road access

Interior

• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
• Interior features: Unfinished full basement
• Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $445 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
• Recommended offer: $50k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 6.4% in Pana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#599 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Pana CUSD 8 (town): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #360 of 620 in IL (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $349 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Christian County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $33k; list at $50k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $49,742 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.00% ✓
• Cap rate: 16.86%
• Cash-on-cash: 37.75%
• DSCR: 2.68
• GRM: 4.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $121,940
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
601 Wilson St	0.20mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,424 (+6%)	1mo	$153,500	$108	71
9 W 2nd St	0.35mi	2/1.5	1,455 (+9%)	2mo	$91,000	$63	66
601 S Oak St	0.36mi	2/2.0	1,468 (+10%)	10mo	$145,000	$99	59
716 Kitchell Ave	0.73mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,344 (+0%)	8mo	$100,000	$74	54
406 S Grant St	0.20mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,152 (-14%)	7mo	$105,000	$91	52
205 W 7th St	0.20mi	2/1.0	1,160 (-13%)	15mo	$124,000	$107	52
308 N Locust St	0.75mi	3/1.5 (+1)	1,390 (+4%)	7mo	$98,500	$71	46
405 S Maple St	0.65mi	2/1.0	1,179 (-12%)	5mo	$11,500	$10	41
405 Maple St	0.65mi	2/1.0	1,179 (-12%)	6mo	$8,500	$7	40
201 Franklin St	0.63mi	2/1.0	1,188 (-11%)	12mo	$115,000	$97	38
2350 E 200 North Rd	0.72mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,500 (+12%)	6mo	$159,000	$106	36
608 Maple St	0.73mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,151 (-14%)	14mo	$89,000	$77	22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 33.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.43×
• Total profit: $20,166
• Equity at exit: $7,530

10-year hold

• IRR: 40.7%
• Equity multiple: 4.83×
• Total profit: $54,114
• Equity at exit: $4,366

Cash invested: $14,140 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Illinois: 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 62557

• Home prices YoY: -18.5%
• Active inventory: 66
• Price-to-rent: 4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,011 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$265
• Tax from tax record: −$68 /mo · $815/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$212
• Net cashflow: $445

Break-even live

Break-even rent $448

Max offer price $50,500

Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $473	-5% $459	+0% $445	+5% $431	+10% $416
Rent	-10% $365	-5% $405	+0% $445	+5% $485	+10% $525
Rate	-1.0pp $470	-0.5pp $458	base $445	+0.5pp $432	+1.0pp $418

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,625
• Closing costs: $1,515
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 32 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $50,500 Active 23 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $50,500 Active 22 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $50,500 Active 21 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $50,500 Active 20 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   price $50,500 Active 19 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $52,000 Active 19 DOM
7. 2026-06-14
   days on market $52,000 Active 17 DOM
8. 2026-06-13
   days on market $52,000 Active 16 DOM
9. 2026-06-10
   days on market $52,000 Active 14 DOM
10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $52,000 Active 13 DOM
11. 2026-06-09
    price $52,000 Active 12 DOM
12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $53,500 Active 12 DOM
13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $53,500 Active 11 DOM
14. 2026-06-05
    days on market $53,500 Active 8 DOM
15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $53,500 Active 7 DOM
16. 2026-06-03
    price $53,500 Active 6 DOM
17. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 6 DOM
18. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 5 DOM
19. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 4 DOM
20. 2026-05-30
    days on market $55,000 Active 3 DOM
21. 2026-05-27
    listed $55,000 Active
22. 2026-04-13
    price $59,900
23. 2026-04-08
    price $63,000
24. 2026-04-01
    price $64,900
25. 2026-03-26
    listed $69,900 Active
26. 2026-03-20
    historical
27. 2026-03-10
    listed Active
28. 2026-02-03
    price $60,000
29. 2026-01-22
    price $65,000
30. 2026-01-19
    price $70,000
31. 2026-01-14
    listed $72,000 Active
32. 1995-04-01
    soldstatus $33,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $815 · $68/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $981 · $82/mo
• Expected delta: +$166/yr (+$14/mo · 20.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,131
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,829
• − Property taxes: −$815
• − Insurance: −$252
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$970
• − Management: −$970
• − Depreciation: −$1,469
• Taxable income: $4,824
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,158
• After-tax cash flow: $4,180/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pana CUSD 8
• NCES district ID: 1730630
• Math proficiency: 20% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 29% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $42,385
• Composite: 20.88/100
• National rank: #8493
• State rank: #360 of 620 in IL

Livability — Pana

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #599
• US rank: #12409

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Pana, IL
• Population (ZIP): 6,859

Population outlook (Christian County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 31,182 people
• By 2030: 29,787 · -4.5%
• By 2040: 26,793 · -14.1%
• By 2050: 23,757 · -23.8%
• By 2075: 17,333 · -44.4%
• By 2100: 11,573 · -62.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (91%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Christian

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+46.7) · D 25.9% · R 72.6% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -40.4pp toward R · 2008: -6.3pp · 2024: -46.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+46.7 2020: R+44.6 2016: R+42.7 2012: R+23.1 2008: R+6.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -30.82%
• Current HPI: 135.6938
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.59%
• F500 in state: 60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	4	$201B
▸Consumer Goods	4	$87B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$64B
▸Healthcare	2	$55B
▸Retail / Pharmacy	1	$148B
▸Agriculture / Food	1	$86B

Price history

+66.7% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-27 Listed $55,000 CIBR
• 2026-04-13 Price Changed $59,900 CIBR
• 2026-04-08 Price Changed $63,000 CIBR
• 2026-04-01 Price Changed $64,900 CIBR
• 2026-03-26 Listed $69,900 CIBR
• 2026-03-20 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-10 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-03 Price Changed $60,000 CIBR
• 2026-01-22 Price Changed $65,000 CIBR
• 2026-01-19 Price Changed $70,000 CIBR
• 2026-01-14 Listed $72,000 CIBR
• 1995-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $815 · -35.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.