3545 E Oriole Ln · New Kingman-Butler, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This beautifully spacious updated 5-bedroom, 2-bath home offers plenty of space for everyone plus a bonus room off the main bedroom, perfect for a home office, nursery, or workout area. Sitting on a fully fenced double lot, there s room for parking, pets, and outdoor fun. Step inside to find fresh interior paint, all-new flooring throughout, updated kitchen and bathrooms, and a cozy brick fireplace in the living room. Major updates include a new roof, new hot water heater, and new gravel landscaping for easy maintenance. Enjoy carports on both sides of the home and plenty of yard space for all your outdoor toys or gatherings. Move-in ready and full of upgrades this one has it all!
Key facts
- Cozy brick fireplace
- New hot water heater
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $347 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (6.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $211k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.3% in New Kingman-Butler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Kingman Unified School District (79598) (town): math 19% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #179 of 249 in AZ (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 643 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,237/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 688% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $240k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.20%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $303,282
- List price
- $240,000
- Delta
- -20.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3984 N Diamond Dr | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,663 (+6%) | 3mo | $329,000 | $198 | 49 |
| 3913 N Jewel St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,636 (+4%) | 13mo | $394,684 | $241 | 43 |
| 3909 N Jewel St | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,754 (+12%) | 2mo | $390,000 | $222 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-22,738
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-14,546
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 86409
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 643
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,237 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $735/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$470
- Net cashflow
- $347
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3678 E Andrea Dr Kingman, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2042 | $1,850 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3597 E Koval Dr Kingman, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1811 | $2,200 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $240,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $240,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $240,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $240,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $240,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $240,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $240,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $240,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $240,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $240,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $240,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $240,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $240,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $240,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-04-14status Active 693-char remark
Show marketing remark (693 chars)
This beautifully spacious updated 5-bedroom, 2-bath home offers plenty of space for everyone plus a bonus room off the main bedroom, perfect for a home office, nursery, or workout area. Sitting on a fully fenced double lot, there s room for parking, pets, and outdoor fun. Step inside to find fresh interior paint, all-new flooring throughout, updated kitchen and bathrooms, and a cozy brick fireplace in the living room. Major updates include a new roof, new hot water heater, and new gravel landscaping for easy maintenance. Enjoy carports on both sides of the home and plenty of yard space for all your outdoor toys or gatherings. Move-in ready and full of upgrades this one has it all!
-
2026-03-13status Pending 693-char remark
Show marketing remark (693 chars)
This beautifully spacious updated 5-bedroom, 2-bath home offers plenty of space for everyone plus a bonus room off the main bedroom, perfect for a home office, nursery, or workout area. Sitting on a fully fenced double lot, there s room for parking, pets, and outdoor fun. Step inside to find fresh interior paint, all-new flooring throughout, updated kitchen and bathrooms, and a cozy brick fireplace in the living room. Major updates include a new roof, new hot water heater, and new gravel landscaping for easy maintenance. Enjoy carports on both sides of the home and plenty of yard space for all your outdoor toys or gatherings. Move-in ready and full of upgrades this one has it all!
-
2026-02-05status Active 693-char remark
Show marketing remark (693 chars)
This beautifully spacious updated 5-bedroom, 2-bath home offers plenty of space for everyone plus a bonus room off the main bedroom, perfect for a home office, nursery, or workout area. Sitting on a fully fenced double lot, there s room for parking, pets, and outdoor fun. Step inside to find fresh interior paint, all-new flooring throughout, updated kitchen and bathrooms, and a cozy brick fireplace in the living room. Major updates include a new roof, new hot water heater, and new gravel landscaping for easy maintenance. Enjoy carports on both sides of the home and plenty of yard space for all your outdoor toys or gatherings. Move-in ready and full of upgrades this one has it all!
-
2026-01-22status Pending 693-char remark
Show marketing remark (693 chars)
This beautifully spacious updated 5-bedroom, 2-bath home offers plenty of space for everyone plus a bonus room off the main bedroom, perfect for a home office, nursery, or workout area. Sitting on a fully fenced double lot, there s room for parking, pets, and outdoor fun. Step inside to find fresh interior paint, all-new flooring throughout, updated kitchen and bathrooms, and a cozy brick fireplace in the living room. Major updates include a new roof, new hot water heater, and new gravel landscaping for easy maintenance. Enjoy carports on both sides of the home and plenty of yard space for all your outdoor toys or gatherings. Move-in ready and full of upgrades this one has it all!
-
2026-01-05price $240,000 693-char remark
Show marketing remark (693 chars)
This beautifully spacious updated 5-bedroom, 2-bath home offers plenty of space for everyone plus a bonus room off the main bedroom, perfect for a home office, nursery, or workout area. Sitting on a fully fenced double lot, there s room for parking, pets, and outdoor fun. Step inside to find fresh interior paint, all-new flooring throughout, updated kitchen and bathrooms, and a cozy brick fireplace in the living room. Major updates include a new roof, new hot water heater, and new gravel landscaping for easy maintenance. Enjoy carports on both sides of the home and plenty of yard space for all your outdoor toys or gatherings. Move-in ready and full of upgrades this one has it all!
-
2025-10-23$260,000 Active 693-char remark
Show marketing remark (693 chars)
This beautifully spacious updated 5-bedroom, 2-bath home offers plenty of space for everyone plus a bonus room off the main bedroom, perfect for a home office, nursery, or workout area. Sitting on a fully fenced double lot, there s room for parking, pets, and outdoor fun. Step inside to find fresh interior paint, all-new flooring throughout, updated kitchen and bathrooms, and a cozy brick fireplace in the living room. Major updates include a new roof, new hot water heater, and new gravel landscaping for easy maintenance. Enjoy carports on both sides of the home and plenty of yard space for all your outdoor toys or gatherings. Move-in ready and full of upgrades this one has it all!
-
2025-03-13soldstatus $80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $735 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,584 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- +$849/yr (+$71/mo · 115.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,842
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$735
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,147
- − Management
- −$2,147
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable income
- $187
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$45
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,122/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kingman Unified School District (79598)
- NCES district ID
- 0400295
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,760
- Composite
- 17.87/100
- National rank
- #9002
- State rank
- #179 of 249 in AZ
Livability — New Kingman-Butler
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Mohave County · 181,906 people
- Metro
- Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,365
- Household income
- $50,852
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 688.0
Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 209,184 people
- By 2030
- 209,674 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 205,897 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 196,810 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 169,454 · -19.0%
- By 2100
- 136,630 · -34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Mohave
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -158.90%
- Current HPI
- 280.1884
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.33%
- Metro
- Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+200.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — WARDEX
- 2026-03-13 Pending — WARDEX
- 2026-02-05 Relisted — WARDEX
- 2026-01-22 Pending — WARDEX
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $240,000 WARDEX
- 2025-10-23 Listed $260,000 WARDEX
- 2025-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $735 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…