5834 Curson Dr · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.4/30.0
- ARV discount +9.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this updated brick ranch in Washington Local with a simple, easy-to-love layout and numerous updates throughout. Vinyl plank flooring, updated bathrooms, and modern finishes give the home a fresh feel, while the kitchen features a stylish backsplash, stainless steel fridge, and stove. A convenient half bath just off the kitchen includes laundry hookups. New roof 2022. Keys at closing!
Key facts
- 4,800 sq ft lot
- Built 1966
- Listed 34 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt driveway
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Sanitary sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); One level / 1 story; Not attached; no common walls
- Construction: Brick construction; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Bedroom 2 on main level; Bedroom 3 on main level
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (total 1.5)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating
- Interior features: No interior steps; 5 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $122 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (3.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $125k (3.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Washington Local (urban): math 37% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #528 of 656 in OH (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Silver Creek Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,087 of 1,584 statewide, top 70%, 653 students, 0% FRL); Whitmer High School (math 38% / reading 48%, grade F, #494 of 781 statewide, top 63%, 2,247 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 21% FRL vs 48% district-wide (28 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $130k implies a 118% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.02%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $134,375
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5834 Curson Dr | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,075 (0%) | 1mo | $129,050 | $120 | 99 |
| 5836 Curson Dr | 0.01mi | 3/1.5 | 1,075 (0%) | 3mo | $124,500 | $116 | 97 |
| 1716 Caxton Ln | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,123 (+4%) | 1mo | $139,000 | $124 | 71 |
| 6200 Jackman Rd | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,079 (+0%) | 11mo | $132,000 | $122 | 64 |
| 1606 Primrose Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-11%) | 12mo | $120,000 | $125 | 63 |
| 6043 Pickard Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,148 (+7%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $166 | 62 |
| 1124 Northville Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,104 (+3%) | 8mo | $119,666 | $108 | 60 |
| 1765 Newport Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,038 (-3%) | 11mo | $178,000 | $171 | 50 |
| 1054 Northville Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,142 (+6%) | 18mo | $139,000 | $122 | 42 |
| 6052 Recamper Dr | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-13%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $144 | 40 |
| 6018 Saddlewood Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,225 (+14%) | 7mo | $232,000 | $189 | 40 |
| 6038 Tetherwood Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,225 (+14%) | 8mo | $184,800 | $151 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-9,379
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $18,880
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43612
- Home prices YoY
- -17.5%
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,252 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$132 /mo · $1,581/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $122
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $195 | -5% $159 | +0% $122 | +5% $85 | +10% $48 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $23 | -5% $72 | +0% $122 | +5% $171 | +10% $221 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $187 | -0.5pp $155 | base $122 | +0.5pp $88 | +1.0pp $54 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1417 Primrose Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1411 | $1,625 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 1509 Brooke Park Dr Apt 3 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 859 | $700 | $0.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1520 Brooke Park Dr Apt 6 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $760 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1540 Brooke Park Dr Unit 5 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $800 | $0.94 | 14d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1732 Newport Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,350 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5941 Tetherwood Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1364 | $1,695 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2132 Stirrup Ln Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,035 | $1.15 | 44d | 3 | 0.81mi |
| 1733 Christian Ave Unit 5 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $700 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5834 Yermo Dr Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 870 | $909 | $1.04 | 14d | 12 | 0.90mi |
| 6220 Lewis Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 764 | $895 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1801 Christian Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $939 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 927 W Northgate Pkwy Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,100 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2338 Bodette Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,800 | $1.57 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2347 Bucklew Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 540 W Alexis Rd Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $944 | $1.30 | 14d | 14 | 1.16mi |
| 823 Custer Dr Unit Upstairs Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $925 | $1.32 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1338 Crestwood Rd Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2527 Arletta St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4614 Commonwealth Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1459 | $1,295 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 5207 Bennett Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1109 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-21status Pending
-
2026-04-20historical Contingent
-
2026-04-17$129,900 Active
-
2026-04-09historical $129,900
-
1999-01-19soldstatus $59,500
-
1996-11-22soldstatus $37,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,581 · $132/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,804 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- +$223/yr (+$19/mo · 14.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,023
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,581
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,202
- − Management
- −$1,202
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$667
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$160
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,623/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904823
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,105
- Composite
- 35.36/100
- National rank
- #4957
- State rank
- #528 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,480
- Household income
- $50,728
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1203.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 23% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.05%
- Current HPI
- 235.5389
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.01%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+251.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — NORIS
- 2026-04-20 Contingent — NORIS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $129,900 NORIS
- 2026-04-09 Coming Soon $129,900 NORIS
- 1999-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $59,500 Public Records
- 1996-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,581 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…