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1172 Main St
B Composite 70.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$40,000

1172 Main St · Fayette, MS 39069
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,716 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1930 9,583 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 3 bedroom/2 bath home is on Main Street in Fayette, Ms, Jefferson County. This is a foreclosure and will not pass USDA, FHA nor VA inspection. This is an "as-is" sale. Call for your tour today.

Key facts

  • 9,583 sq ft lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 28 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Building area approximately 1,716 (source: Assessor); Lot size approximately 0.22 acres

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway with on-site parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Utilities: Other
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Brick veneer construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built in (year source: Assessor)
  • Exterior features: Privacy fencing; City lot

Interior

  • Flooring: Linoleum flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heating present (type: Other); Cooling present (type: Other)
  • Interior features: Aluminum-framed windows; Common laundry area on the main level
  • Laundry & utility: Common-area laundry on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $522 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#245 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jefferson County School District (rural): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #119 of 130 in MS (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 98% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.6%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $629 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.6% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $39,400 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.85%
Cap rate
21.96%
Cash-on-cash
55.94%
DSCR
3.49
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.57% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
55.9%
Equity multiple
3.62×
Total profit
$29,298
Equity at exit
$8,568
10-year hold
IRR
59.7%
Equity multiple
7.33×
Total profit
$70,887
Equity at exit
$8,099

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39069

Home prices YoY
-2.1%
Active inventory
9
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,141 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$210
Tax from tax record
$153 /mo · $1,835/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$240
Net cashflow
$522

Break-even live

Break-even rent $480
Max offer price $40,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,000
Closing costs
$1,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $40,000 Pending 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $40,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $40,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $40,000 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    days on market $40,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $40,000 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $40,000 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $40,000 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $40,000 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $40,000 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $40,000 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $40,000 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $40,000 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-05-19
    listed $40,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,835 · $153/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,835 · $153/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,693
− Mortgage interest
−$2,241
− Property taxes
−$1,835
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,095
− Management
−$1,095
− Depreciation
−$1,164
Taxable income
$6,063
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,455
After-tax cash flow
$4,810/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County School District
NCES district ID
2802220
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$25,293
Composite
7.24/100
National rank
#9960
State rank
#119 of 130 in MS

Livability — Fayette

Score
59/100
State rank
#245
US rank
#20165

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fayette, MS
Population (ZIP)
4,704

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
6,938 people
By 2030
6,583 · -5.1%
By 2040
5,834 · -15.9%
By 2050
5,238 · -24.5%
By 2075
4,303 · -38.0%
By 2100
3,754 · -45.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% White 3% Asian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Solid D (+66.3) · D 82.7% · R 16.4%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: 74.4pp · 2024: 66.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+66.3 2020: D+71.5 2016: D+73.8 2012: D+77.8 2008: D+74.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.57%
Current HPI
73.7723
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $40,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+8.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,835 · +16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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