Fourplex
555 Sunset Ave NE · Ocean Shores, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 72°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$578,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Great opportunity to own an income-producing investment at the beach! This well-located 4-plex ideally located close to beach approaches, canals, and Damon Point. Each unit features 2 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, The half bath is off the primary bedroom. Functional layouts include full kitchens with all appliances, Dining room, spacous living room with fireplace, plus washer/dryers in every unit. all units are approx 988 Sqft. Tenants enjoy the balconies and small patio spaces, adding to long-term rental appeal. Strong income-producing property with consistent rental demand in a desirable coastal market—excellent opportunity for investors or owner-users looking to build equity at the beach
Key facts
- Well-located 4-plex
- 0.23 acre lot
- Built 1974
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2.0-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $578k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $308/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $578k).
- Recommended offer: $543k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.1% in Ocean Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#424 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, health & safety C-.
- North Beach School District (rural): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #236 of 291 in WA (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 653 active listings in the ZIP; 297 units permitted in Grays Harbor County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,035/mo this rent would consume 124% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 172% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grays Harbor County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($543k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $150k; list at $578k implies a 287% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.13%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,209,972
- List price
- $578,000
- Delta
- -52.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 671 Sunset Ave NE Unit 1-4 | 0.47mi | 8/4.0 | 3,368 (-15%) | 15mo | $758,000 | $225 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-15,397
- Equity at exit
- $86,182
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $86,839
- Equity at exit
- $49,975
Cash invested: $161,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98569
- Home prices YoY
- -3.4%
- Active inventory
- 653
- Price-to-rent
- 31.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,035 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,031
- Tax from tax record
- −$264 /mo · $3,167/yr
- Insurance
- −$241
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,267
- Net cashflow
- $1,232
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2.0 | 1.5 | $6,036 |
| #1 | 2.0 | 1.5 | $1,509 |
| #2 | 2.0 | 1.5 | $1,509 |
| #3 | 2.0 | 1.5 | $1,509 |
| #4 | 2.0 | 1.5 | $1,509 |
| Total (4 units) | $6,035 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $144,500
- Closing costs
- $17,340
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $578,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $578,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $578,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $578,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $578,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $578,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $578,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $578,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $578,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $578,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $578,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $578,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $578,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $578,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $578,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $578,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-03-31$578,000 Active
-
2010-03-11soldstatus $149,500 Sold
-
2010-02-01status Pending
-
2010-01-21status
-
2010-01-19historical
-
2010-01-06price $149,500
-
2009-12-04price $180,000
-
2009-12-04status
-
2009-12-01historical
-
2009-11-16price $190,000
-
2009-10-15price $215,900
-
2009-10-15status
-
2009-10-14historical
-
2009-09-14price $227,500
-
2009-08-31price $246,800
-
2009-07-01$267,225 Active
-
2004-06-15soldstatus $219,000
-
2004-06-15soldstatus $219,000
-
2004-04-13$219,000
-
2001-07-20soldstatus $100,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,167 · $264/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,664 · $472/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,497/yr (+$208/mo · 78.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥72°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $72,420
- − Mortgage interest
- −$32,377
- − Property taxes
- −$3,167
- − Insurance
- −$2,890
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,794
- − Management
- −$5,794
- − Depreciation
- −$16,815
- Taxable income
- $5,584
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,340
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,441/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Beach School District
- NCES district ID
- 5305700
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,966
- Composite
- 34.46/100
- National rank
- #10153
- State rank
- #236 of 291 in WA
Livability — Ocean Shores
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #424
- US rank
- #16852
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ocean Shores, WA
- County
- Grays Harbor County · 44,693 people
- City population
- 7,187
- Metro
- Aberdeen, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,489
- Household income
- $58,378
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 172.0
Population outlook (Grays Harbor County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,443 people
- By 2030
- 63,255 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 56,466 · -15.0%
- By 2050
- 50,516 · -24.0%
- By 2075
- 39,296 · -40.9%
- By 2100
- 31,142 · -53.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3% Native American 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 8% Iranian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Grays Harbor
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.0) · D 45.6% · R 51.6% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -6.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.0 2020: R+6.6 2016: R+7.1 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -13.33%
- Current HPI
- 380.05
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Aberdeen, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+478.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Listed $578,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-03-11 Sold (MLS) $149,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-02-01 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-01-21 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-01-19 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-01-06 Price Changed $149,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-12-04 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-12-04 Price Changed $180,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-12-01 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-11-16 Price Changed $190,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-10-15 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-10-15 Price Changed $215,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-10-14 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-09-14 Price Changed $227,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-08-31 Price Changed $246,800 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-07-01 Listed $267,225 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $219,000 Public Records
- 2004-06-15 Sold (MLS) $219,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-04-13 Listed $219,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2026): $3,167 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…