4808 Vesper Ct #34 · New Port Richey, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.1/30.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +1.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$167,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PRICE IMPROVEMENT - DON'T MISS THIS OPPORTUNITY! Welcome to this charming "Carriage House" condo in the highly sought after 55+ community of Heritage Lake. This spacious 2 bedroom 2 bath offers a bright, open floor plan with soaring vaulted ceilings and plenty of natural light. The kitchen features granite countertops and stainless steel appliances, while the primary suite boasts an updated bath and walk in closets. Big-ticket updates are already done, including a new roof (2024), newer 2.5 ton HVAC system, hot water tank, and garbage disposal, along with a security system for peace of mind.
Key facts
- Walk in closet
- Granite countertops
- Updated bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $168k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-381 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $112k (32.9% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $168k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (32.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#67 in FL, #1,139 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, commute D, employment F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Longleaf Elementary School (math 69% / reading 73%, grade A-, #320 of 2,144 statewide, top 15%, 639 students, 40% FRL); River Ridge Middle School (math 53% / reading 49%, grade C, #237 of 571 statewide, top 43%, 1,107 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 805 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 55d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 82% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 3.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.74%
- DSCR
- 0.57
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $206,194
- List price
- $167,500
- Delta
- -18.04%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9414 Cape Charles Ave | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,308 (+18%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $191 | 62 |
| 4817 Grist Mill Cir #4817 | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 962 (-13%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $213 | 61 |
| 9623 Brassie Ct | 1.01mi | 2/2.0 | 1,148 (+4%) | 1mo | $179,900 | $157 | 58 |
| 3504 Niblick Ct #4 | 1.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,162 (+5%) | 0mo | $205,000 | $176 | 56 |
| 3845 Erin Brook Dr | 1.40mi | 2/2.0 | 1,183 (+7%) | 0mo | $275,000 | $232 | 53 |
| 9218 Championship Ln | 1.41mi | 2/1.5 | 1,023 (-7%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $132 | 49 |
| 4039 LA Pasida Ln | 0.85mi | 2/2.0 | 972 (-12%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $159 | 43 |
| 4101 Passport Ln #203 | 0.99mi | 2/2.0 | 1,251 (+13%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $80 | 42 |
| 8332 Fishhawk Ave | 1.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,239 (+12%) | 0mo | $289,900 | $234 | 40 |
| 3642 Trophy Blvd | 1.18mi | 2/2.0 | 923 (-16%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $130 | 40 |
| 3684 Trophy Blvd | 1.15mi | 2/2.0 | 923 (-16%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $157 | 39 |
| 3454 Niblick Ct | 1.41mi | 2/2.0 | 1,322 (+20%) | 2mo | $238,000 | $180 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -39.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.20×
- Total profit
- $-56,370
- Equity at exit
- $24,975
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.12×
- Total profit
- $-99,491
- Equity at exit
- $14,482
Cash invested: $46,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active · 3 under contract
- Median asking
- $174,700 ($148/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 101 d
- This list price
- 50% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +26.4% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34655
- Home prices YoY
- -22.9%
- Rents YoY
- -4.7%
- Active inventory
- 805
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,857 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$878
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$209 /mo · $2,512/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$690
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $-381
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-265 | -5% $-323 | +0% $-381 | +5% $-438 | +10% $-496 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-527 | -5% $-454 | +0% $-381 | +5% $-307 | +10% $-234 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-296 | -0.5pp $-338 | base $-381 | +0.5pp $-424 | +1.0pp $-468 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,875
- Closing costs
- $5,025
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4638 Sheffield Dr New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1261 | $2,200 | $1.74 | 56d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 9026 Severn Ln New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $1,875 | $1.27 | 42d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 9026 Severn Ln New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $1,875 | $1.27 | 67d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4217 Prado Ln New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1161 | $1,800 | $1.55 | 10d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 5223 Hunters Ridge Dr New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1231 | $2,000 | $1.62 | 76d | 5 | 0.67mi |
| 9400 Alta Sol Way New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1177 | $1,749 | $1.49 | 78d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 9221 Estrada Pl New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,595 | $1.59 | 32d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4147 La Pasida Ln New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1149 | $1,800 | $1.57 | 100d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4105 La Pasida Ln New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,750 | $1.80 | 120d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4008 El Merita Ct New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 891 | $1,495 | $1.68 | 32d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4008 El Merita Ct Unit 1 New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 891 | $1,495 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4031 Vista Verde Dr New Port Richey, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $1,584 | $1.92 | 0d | 6 | 0.91mi |
| 3832 Teeside Dr Unit 4 New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 956 | $1,495 | $1.56 | 106d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3832 Teeside Dr Unit 1 New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1034 | $1,495 | $1.45 | 100d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 9609 Midiron Ct #1 New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $2,200 | $2.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 9609 Midiron Ct #1 New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $2,200 | $2.56 | 54d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3819 Teeside Dr New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 956 | $1,400 | $1.46 | 7d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 9110 Via Recreo New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 891 | $1,500 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3952 Elvira Ct New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 957 | $1,400 | $1.46 | 54d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3683 Trophy Blvd New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 923 | $1,575 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3712 Trophy Blvd New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 923 | $1,395 | $1.51 | 10d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 8930 Lazy River Loop New Port Richey, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1018 | $1,560 | $1.53 | 0d | 17 | 1.15mi |
| 3668 Trophy Blvd New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 923 | $2,100 | $2.28 | 32d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 8403 Yearling Ln New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1277 | $2,035 | $1.59 | 79d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3554 Teeside Dr New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 10d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4454 Whitetail Ln New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,725 | $2.25 | 86d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 8563 Pilgrim Ct New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1236 | $1,400 | $1.13 | 100d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 8559 Pilgrim Ct New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1236 | $1,350 | $1.09 | 73d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3516 Teeside Dr New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,800 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 9303 Golf View Dr Unit 1 New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $2,500 | $2.49 | 32d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4212 Gray Squirrel Ln New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1135 | $2,000 | $1.76 | 83d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4420 Sawgrass Blvd New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,300 | $1.64 | 120d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4347 Otter Way New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,640 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 8135 Brown Pelican Ave New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $2,000 | $1.84 | 100d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Lease restrictions apply
- Financial info
- Total monthly fees $690 (total annual fees $8,280)Association approval requiredAssociation fees charged monthly
- HOA & community
- Has HOA (Qualified Property Management; Heritage Lake)Monthly association fee $74 (association fee includes cable TV, pool, escrow reserves fund, insurance, internet, structure maintenance, grounds maintenance, pest control, recreational facilities, trash)Monthly condo fee $616Buyer approval requiredClubhousePoolTennis courtsStreet lightsSenior communityCats allowed (size limit)
Exterior
- Parking
- DrivewayGarage door openerOversized garageAttached garage (1 garage space)
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerCable connectedElectricity connectedWater connectedSewer connected
- Home design
- Residential condominiumOne storyFacing southwestPUD zoningLocated on first floor
- Construction
- Block and stucco constructionShingle roofSlab foundationBuilt as part of Heritage Lake
- Exterior features
- Side porchPrivate mailboxRain guttersSliding doorsCul-de-sac lotAsphalt road
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalMicrowaveRangeRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms
- Flooring
- Ceramic tileLaminate
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Ceiling fansEat-in kitchenHigh ceilingsLiving room / dining room comboWalk-in closet(s)Window treatments
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryerLaundry in garage
HOA detail $690/mo · $8,280/yr condo
- Likely covers
- watertrashsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $167,500 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $167,500 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $167,500 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $167,500 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $167,500 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $167,500 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $167,500 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $167,500 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $167,500 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $167,500 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $167,500 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-09-11pricedays on market $167,500 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $169,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $169,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $169,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $169,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $169,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $169,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $169,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $169,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $169,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $169,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $169,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $169,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $169,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $169,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $169,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $169,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $169,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $169,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $169,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $169,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $169,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $169,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $169,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $169,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $169,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $169,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $169,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $169,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-08-03pricedays on market $169,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $172,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $172,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $172,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $172,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $172,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $172,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $172,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $172,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $172,000 Active 109 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,284
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,383
- − Property taxes
- −$2,512
- − Insurance
- −$838
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,783
- − Management
- −$1,783
- − HOA
- −$8,280
- − Depreciation
- −$4,873
- Taxable loss
- −$7,167
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,720
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,847/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This well-maintained 2-bedroom condo in Heritage Lake is in good condition with recent updates, including a new roof and HVAC system. It offers a good return on investment with potential for further value increases through exterior painting and landscaping.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase the home's value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Improves curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — New Port Richey
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #67
- US rank
- #1139
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pasco County · 570,045 people
- City population
- 137,708
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,964
- Household income
- $85,470
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 21% of renters
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.58%
- Current HPI
- 278.3649
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.70%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-7.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-06 Price Changed $172,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $176,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $180,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Listed $185,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…