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10802 Lot 47 Highway 31
B- Composite 68.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,000

10802 Lot 47 Highway 31 · Atmore, AL 36502
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · SingleFamily · 83 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition $42/sqft · 73% below area ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

"Charming Atmore Haven!" Here is the property you have been looking for! This delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, boasting over 1,280 sq. ft. , is ready to for you! Forget parking woes with your own private gravel driveway. Inside, an open-concept living and kitchen area awaits, great for entertaining guests. The adorable kitchen is a chef's dream, featuring brand new appliances and plenty of cabinet space, plus room for bar stools for extra seating. New vinyl flooring flows seamlessly throughout, creating an inviting atmosphere in every room. Privacy is key with a split bedroom design, placing the master suite on one end. Indulge in the master bathroom's large soaking tub, separate shower, and spacious walk-in closet. This home is brimming with charm and convenience. Don't miss out – call today to schedule your private showing and experience it for yourself! * Park rules/regulations and lot rent apply * Buyer to verify all information during due diligence! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

Key facts

  • Brand new appliances
  • Split bedroom design
  • New vinyl flooring

Tags

PRIVATE GRAVEL DRIVEWAYBRAND NEW APPLIANCESPLENTY OF CABINET SPACENEW VINYL FLOORINGSPLIT BEDROOM DESIGNMASTER BATHROOM SOAKING TUB

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $54k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $903 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $54k).
  • Recommended offer: $51k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.4% vs local median 7.4% in Atmore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 50/100 on livability (#530 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Escambia County (town): math 17% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #83 of 129 in AL (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $373 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $50,760 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.99%
Cap rate
26.35%
Cash-on-cash
71.65%
DSCR
4.19
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$196,627
List price
$54,000
Delta
-72.54%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
71.3%
Equity multiple
4.23×
Total profit
$48,772
Equity at exit
$8,052
10-year hold
IRR
75.2%
Equity multiple
8.71×
Total profit
$116,606
Equity at exit
$4,669

Cash invested: $15,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36502

Home prices YoY
-23.4%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,615 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$283
Tax est. 1.5%
$68 /mo · $810/yr
Insurance
$22
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$339
Net cashflow
$903

Break-even live

Break-even rent $472
Max offer price $54,000
Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,500
Closing costs
$1,620
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 1046-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1046 chars)

    "Charming Atmore Haven!" Here is the property you have been looking for! This delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, boasting over 1,280 sq. ft. , is ready to for you! Forget parking woes with your own private gravel driveway. Inside, an open-concept living and kitchen area awaits, great for entertaining guests. The adorable kitchen is a chef's dream, featuring brand new appliances and plenty of cabinet space, plus room for bar stools for extra seating. New vinyl flooring flows seamlessly throughout, creating an inviting atmosphere in every room. Privacy is key with a split bedroom design, placing the master suite on one end. Indulge in the master bathroom's large soaking tub, separate shower, and spacious walk-in closet. This home is brimming with charm and convenience. Don't miss out – call today to schedule your private showing and experience it for yourself! * Park rules/regulations and lot rent apply * Buyer to verify all information during due diligence! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

  2. 2026-05-04
    status Active 1046-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1046 chars)

    "Charming Atmore Haven!" Here is the property you have been looking for! This delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, boasting over 1,280 sq. ft. , is ready to for you! Forget parking woes with your own private gravel driveway. Inside, an open-concept living and kitchen area awaits, great for entertaining guests. The adorable kitchen is a chef's dream, featuring brand new appliances and plenty of cabinet space, plus room for bar stools for extra seating. New vinyl flooring flows seamlessly throughout, creating an inviting atmosphere in every room. Privacy is key with a split bedroom design, placing the master suite on one end. Indulge in the master bathroom's large soaking tub, separate shower, and spacious walk-in closet. This home is brimming with charm and convenience. Don't miss out – call today to schedule your private showing and experience it for yourself! * Park rules/regulations and lot rent apply * Buyer to verify all information during due diligence! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

  3. 2026-04-20
    status Pending 1046-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1046 chars)

    "Charming Atmore Haven!" Here is the property you have been looking for! This delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, boasting over 1,280 sq. ft. , is ready to for you! Forget parking woes with your own private gravel driveway. Inside, an open-concept living and kitchen area awaits, great for entertaining guests. The adorable kitchen is a chef's dream, featuring brand new appliances and plenty of cabinet space, plus room for bar stools for extra seating. New vinyl flooring flows seamlessly throughout, creating an inviting atmosphere in every room. Privacy is key with a split bedroom design, placing the master suite on one end. Indulge in the master bathroom's large soaking tub, separate shower, and spacious walk-in closet. This home is brimming with charm and convenience. Don't miss out – call today to schedule your private showing and experience it for yourself! * Park rules/regulations and lot rent apply * Buyer to verify all information during due diligence! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

  4. 2026-03-25
    price $54,000 1046-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1046 chars)

    "Charming Atmore Haven!" Here is the property you have been looking for! This delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, boasting over 1,280 sq. ft. , is ready to for you! Forget parking woes with your own private gravel driveway. Inside, an open-concept living and kitchen area awaits, great for entertaining guests. The adorable kitchen is a chef's dream, featuring brand new appliances and plenty of cabinet space, plus room for bar stools for extra seating. New vinyl flooring flows seamlessly throughout, creating an inviting atmosphere in every room. Privacy is key with a split bedroom design, placing the master suite on one end. Indulge in the master bathroom's large soaking tub, separate shower, and spacious walk-in closet. This home is brimming with charm and convenience. Don't miss out – call today to schedule your private showing and experience it for yourself! * Park rules/regulations and lot rent apply * Buyer to verify all information during due diligence! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

  5. 2026-02-10
    listed $62,000 Active 1046-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1046 chars)

    "Charming Atmore Haven!" Here is the property you have been looking for! This delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, boasting over 1,280 sq. ft. , is ready to for you! Forget parking woes with your own private gravel driveway. Inside, an open-concept living and kitchen area awaits, great for entertaining guests. The adorable kitchen is a chef's dream, featuring brand new appliances and plenty of cabinet space, plus room for bar stools for extra seating. New vinyl flooring flows seamlessly throughout, creating an inviting atmosphere in every room. Privacy is key with a split bedroom design, placing the master suite on one end. Indulge in the master bathroom's large soaking tub, separate shower, and spacious walk-in closet. This home is brimming with charm and convenience. Don't miss out – call today to schedule your private showing and experience it for yourself! * Park rules/regulations and lot rent apply * Buyer to verify all information during due diligence! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,381
− Mortgage interest
−$3,025
− Property taxes
−$810
− Insurance
−$270
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,551
− Management
−$1,551
− Depreciation
−$1,571
Taxable income
$10,605
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,545
After-tax cash flow
$8,288/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is move-in ready with new appliances, flooring, and exterior features. It offers a good condition score and is ready for a fresh coat of paint and landscaping to maximize its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves property's visual appeal
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Enhances functionality and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves property's visual appeal
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Enhances functionality and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia County
NCES district ID
0101350
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,905
Composite
22.73/100
National rank
#8036
State rank
#83 of 129 in AL

Livability — Atmore

Score
50/100
State rank
#530
US rank
#25632

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B- Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,121
Population (ZIP)
16,008

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,683 people
By 2030
35,844 · -2.3%
By 2040
34,393 · -6.2%
By 2050
33,109 · -9.7%
By 2075
28,305 · -22.8%
By 2100
21,091 · -42.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Black 40% Native American 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, China
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.4) · D 26.6% · R 72.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.8pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -46.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.4 2020: R+37.4 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+25.5 2008: R+28.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.16%
Current HPI
190.1872
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending BCAR
  • 2026-05-04 Relisted BCAR
  • 2026-04-20 Pending BCAR
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $54,000 BCAR
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $62,000 BCAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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