8800 Masons Ln · Prestonsburg, KY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* MOTIVATED SELLER * Beautifully remodeled older cottage style home conveniently located off US 23 between Paintsville and Prestonsburg. This is a beautiful home in a great location. Don't miss out. Call today.
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Listed 80 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Not in a subdivision; Zoning: Residential
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking surface
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; 2 stories
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block construction
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Storage structure on property
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate
- Bathrooms: Two three-quarter bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Storm windows
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.5% in Prestonsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#327 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Johnson County (rural): math 23% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #103 of 165 in KY (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Porter Elementary School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #434 of 676 statewide, top 69%, 412 students, 55% FRL); Johnson County Middle School (math 25% / reading 49%, grade F, #80 of 217 statewide, top 41%, 475 students, 61% FRL); Johnson Central High School (math 20% / reading 25%, grade F, #200 of 254 statewide, top 79%, 955 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $458 appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
- Johnson County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.54%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $99,465
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8800 Mason Ln | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,745 (0%) | 19mo | $100,000 | $57 | 84 |
| 604 Ky Rt. 1100 | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,971 (+13%) | 15mo | $88,000 | $45 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $6,974
- Equity at exit
- $38,606
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $35,910
- Equity at exit
- $48,291
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41216
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,261 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $133
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $219 | -5% $176 | +0% $133 | +5% $89 | +10% $46 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $33 | -5% $83 | +0% $133 | +5% $182 | +10% $232 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $195 | -0.5pp $164 | base $133 | +0.5pp $100 | +1.0pp $67 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $125,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-05-04status Active
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2025-12-22status Active
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2025-12-02status Pending
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2025-11-10status Active
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2025-11-09status Pending
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2025-10-30$125,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,135
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,211
- − Management
- −$1,211
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$425
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$102
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,692/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Johnson County
- NCES district ID
- 2103060
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -23.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,508
- Composite
- 25.49/100
- National rank
- #7441
- State rank
- #103 of 165 in KY
Livability — Prestonsburg
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #327
- US rank
- #15655
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,343
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,330 people
- By 2030
- 21,570 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 19,849 · -11.1%
- By 2050
- 18,204 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 14,588 · -34.7%
- By 2100
- 11,127 · -50.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.7) · D 14.0% · R 84.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.1pp toward R · 2008: -41.6pp · 2024: -70.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.7 2020: R+67.1 2016: R+71.0 2012: R+59.5 2008: R+41.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.37%
- Current HPI
- 186.7049
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Relisted — EKAR
- 2025-12-22 Relisted — EKAR
- 2025-12-02 Pending — EKAR
- 2025-11-10 Relisted — EKAR
- 2025-11-09 Pending — EKAR
- 2025-10-30 Listed $125,000 EKAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…