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8800 Masons Ln
D+ Composite 46.09
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.1/30.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$125,000

8800 Masons Ln · Prestonsburg, KY 41216
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,745 sqft · SingleFamily · 80 Days on market
1.00 ac lot Est $99k · 26% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* MOTIVATED SELLER * Beautifully remodeled older cottage style home conveniently located off US 23 between Paintsville and Prestonsburg. This is a beautiful home in a great location. Don't miss out. Call today.

Key facts

  • 1 acre lot
  • Listed 80 days

Tags

REMODELED COTTAGE STYLE HOMECONVENIENTLY LOCATED OFF US 23

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Not in a subdivision; Zoning: Residential

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking surface
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; 2 stories
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block construction
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Storage structure on property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: Two three-quarter bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Storm windows

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.5% in Prestonsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#327 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Johnson County (rural): math 23% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #103 of 165 in KY (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Porter Elementary School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #434 of 676 statewide, top 69%, 412 students, 55% FRL); Johnson County Middle School (math 25% / reading 49%, grade F, #80 of 217 statewide, top 41%, 475 students, 61% FRL); Johnson Central High School (math 20% / reading 25%, grade F, #200 of 254 statewide, top 79%, 955 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $458 appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Johnson County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $117,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.57%
Cash-on-cash
4.54%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$99,465
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8800 Mason Ln 0.01mi 3/2.0 1,745 (0%) 19mo $100,000 $57 84
604 Ky Rt. 1100 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,971 (+13%) 15mo $88,000 $45 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.1%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$6,974
Equity at exit
$38,606
10-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
2.03×
Total profit
$35,910
Equity at exit
$48,291

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 41216

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,261 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$133

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $219 -5% $176 +0% $133 +5% $89 +10% $46
Rent -10% $33 -5% $83 +0% $133 +5% $182 +10% $232
Rate -1.0pp $195 -0.5pp $164 base $133 +0.5pp $100 +1.0pp $67

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $125,000 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $125,000 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 76 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 72 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $125,000 Active 71 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 67 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 66 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $125,000 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 59 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 58 DOM
  17. 2026-05-04
    status Active
  18. 2025-12-22
    status Active
  19. 2025-12-02
    status Pending
  20. 2025-11-10
    status Active
  21. 2025-11-09
    status Pending
  22. 2025-10-30
    listed $125,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,135
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,211
− Management
−$1,211
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$425
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$102
After-tax cash flow
$1,692/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Johnson County
NCES district ID
2103060
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -23.00%
Median HH income
$34,508
Composite
25.49/100
National rank
#7441
State rank
#103 of 165 in KY

Livability — Prestonsburg

Score
63/100
State rank
#327
US rank
#15655

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,343

Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,330 people
By 2030
21,570 · -3.4%
By 2040
19,849 · -11.1%
By 2050
18,204 · -18.5%
By 2075
14,588 · -34.7%
By 2100
11,127 · -50.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (99%)
Race & ethnicity
White 99%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Johnson

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.7) · D 14.0% · R 84.7% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-29.1pp toward R · 2008: -41.6pp · 2024: -70.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.7 2020: R+67.1 2016: R+71.0 2012: R+59.5 2008: R+41.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.37%
Current HPI
186.7049
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Relisted EKAR
  • 2025-12-22 Relisted EKAR
  • 2025-12-02 Pending EKAR
  • 2025-11-10 Relisted EKAR
  • 2025-11-09 Pending EKAR
  • 2025-10-30 Listed $125,000 EKAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…