11608 Northern Shrs · Holland, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming home in the desirable Waverly Shores community! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style manufactured home sits on a spaciouscorner lot, offering added privacy and extra outdoor space. Inside, you?ll find an open-concept layout designed for comfort and functionality. The beautifulkitchen features plenty of cabinet space, perfect for cooking and entertaining. Natural light fills the inviting living area, and a dedicated laundry room addseveryday convenience.
Key facts
- Corner lot
- Open-concept layout
- Community pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $52 ($625/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.6% in Holland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#46 in MI, #1,066 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
- West Ottawa Public School District (suburban): math 37% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #140 of 540 in MI (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Macatawa Bay Middle School (math 29% / reading 46%, grade F, #243 of 493 statewide, top 50%, 646 students, 65% FRL); West Ottawa High School Campus (math 39% / reading 62%, grade D+, #146 of 713 statewide, top 21%, 2,196 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,237 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (443 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ottawa County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.65%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $129,360
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11826 Bay Hbr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (0%) | 2mo | $129,900 | $77 | 85 |
| 3236 Waverly Park | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (-7%) | 5mo | $75,000 | $48 | 63 |
| 11765 Waverly Hbr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (-12%) | 13mo | $135,000 | $92 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-13,372
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $14,725
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49424
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 346
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,196 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$750
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$461
- Net cashflow
- $52
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $145 | -5% $99 | +0% $52 | +5% $5 | +10% $-41 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-121 | -5% $-35 | +0% $52 | +5% $139 | +10% $226 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $120 | -0.5pp $86 | base $52 | +0.5pp $17 | +1.0pp $-18 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12181 Felch St Holland, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 890 | $2,225 | $2.50 | 4d | 2 | 1.04mi |
| 12340 Quincy St Holland, MI | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 940 | $2,283 | $2.43 | 4d | 29 | 1.20mi |
| 11978 Zephyr Dr Holland, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,875 | $1.58 | 4d | 1 | 1.25mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $750 · $9,000/yr
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-02status Pending 480-char remark
Show marketing remark (480 chars)
Welcome to this charming home in the desirable Waverly Shores community! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style manufactured home sits on a spaciouscorner lot, offering added privacy and extra outdoor space. Inside, you?ll find an open-concept layout designed for comfort and functionality. The beautifulkitchen features plenty of cabinet space, perfect for cooking and entertaining. Natural light fills the inviting living area, and a dedicated laundry room addseveryday convenience.
-
2026-04-02status Pending 480-char remark
Show marketing remark (480 chars)
Welcome to this charming home in the desirable Waverly Shores community! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style manufactured home sits on a spaciouscorner lot, offering added privacy and extra outdoor space. Inside, you?ll find an open-concept layout designed for comfort and functionality. The beautifulkitchen features plenty of cabinet space, perfect for cooking and entertaining. Natural light fills the inviting living area, and a dedicated laundry room addseveryday convenience.
-
2026-04-02status Pending
Show marketing remark (480 chars)
Welcome to this charming home in the desirable Waverly Shores community! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style manufactured home sits on a spaciouscorner lot, offering added privacy and extra outdoor space. Inside, you?ll find an open-concept layout designed for comfort and functionality. The beautifulkitchen features plenty of cabinet space, perfect for cooking and entertaining. Natural light fills the inviting living area, and a dedicated laundry room addseveryday convenience.
-
2026-03-17$135,000 Active 480-char remark
Show marketing remark (480 chars)
Welcome to this charming home in the desirable Waverly Shores community! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style manufactured home sits on a spaciouscorner lot, offering added privacy and extra outdoor space. Inside, you?ll find an open-concept layout designed for comfort and functionality. The beautifulkitchen features plenty of cabinet space, perfect for cooking and entertaining. Natural light fills the inviting living area, and a dedicated laundry room addseveryday convenience.
-
2026-03-17$135,000 Active 480-char remark
Show marketing remark (480 chars)
Welcome to this charming home in the desirable Waverly Shores community! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style manufactured home sits on a spaciouscorner lot, offering added privacy and extra outdoor space. Inside, you?ll find an open-concept layout designed for comfort and functionality. The beautifulkitchen features plenty of cabinet space, perfect for cooking and entertaining. Natural light fills the inviting living area, and a dedicated laundry room addseveryday convenience.
-
2026-03-17$135,000 Active
Show marketing remark (480 chars)
Welcome to this charming home in the desirable Waverly Shores community! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style manufactured home sits on a spaciouscorner lot, offering added privacy and extra outdoor space. Inside, you?ll find an open-concept layout designed for comfort and functionality. The beautifulkitchen features plenty of cabinet space, perfect for cooking and entertaining. Natural light fills the inviting living area, and a dedicated laundry room addseveryday convenience.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,355
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,108
- − Management
- −$2,108
- − HOA
- −$9,000
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$1,051
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$252
- After-tax cash flow
- $877/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home in Waverly Shores is in good condition with a good ROI potential for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and overall appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and overall appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Ottawa Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2635910
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,127
- Composite
- 38.94/100
- National rank
- #4087
- State rank
- #140 of 540 in MI
Livability — Holland
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #46
- US rank
- #1066
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Ottawa County · 144,142 people
- City population
- 96,870
- Metro
- Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,810
- Household income
- $85,478
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 864.0
Population outlook (Ottawa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 313,561 people
- By 2030
- 330,027 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 361,118 · +15.2%
- By 2050
- 388,414 · +23.9%
- By 2075
- 452,175 · +44.2%
- By 2100
- 473,041 · +50.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 10% Asian 6% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 22% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ottawa
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.0% · R 59.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+21.5 2016: R+30.4 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+23.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -240.90%
- Current HPI
- 252.5142
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.08%
- Metro
- Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-02 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-02 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-17 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-17 Listed $135,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-17 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…