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11608 Northern Shrs
C- Composite 51.45
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

11608 Northern Shrs · Holland, MI 49424
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · Manufactured · 16 Days on market
Built 2018 Good condition Est $129k · at est. $750/mo HOA · 34% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming home in the desirable Waverly Shores community! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style manufactured home sits on a spaciouscorner lot, offering added privacy and extra outdoor space. Inside, you?ll find an open-concept layout designed for comfort and functionality. The beautifulkitchen features plenty of cabinet space, perfect for cooking and entertaining. Natural light fills the inviting living area, and a dedicated laundry room addseveryday convenience.

Key facts

  • Corner lot
  • Open-concept layout
  • Community pool

Tags

WAVERLY SHORES COMMUNITYCORNER LOTOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTKITCHEN FEATURES CABINET SPACEDEDICATED LAUNDRY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $52 ($625/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.6% in Holland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#46 in MI, #1,066 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • West Ottawa Public School District (suburban): math 37% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #140 of 540 in MI (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Macatawa Bay Middle School (math 29% / reading 46%, grade F, #243 of 493 statewide, top 50%, 646 students, 65% FRL); West Ottawa High School Campus (math 39% / reading 62%, grade D+, #146 of 713 statewide, top 21%, 2,196 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,237 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (443 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ottawa County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
Recommended offer $132,975 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
6.76%
Cash-on-cash
1.65%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$129,360
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11826 Bay Hbr 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,680 (0%) 2mo $129,900 $77 85
3236 Waverly Park 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,560 (-7%) 5mo $75,000 $48 63
11765 Waverly Hbr 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,475 (-12%) 13mo $135,000 $92 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.3%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-13,372
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$14,725
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49424

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
346
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,196 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$750
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$461
Net cashflow
$52

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,130
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $145 -5% $99 +0% $52 +5% $5 +10% $-41
Rent -10% $-121 -5% $-35 +0% $52 +5% $139 +10% $226
Rate -1.0pp $120 -0.5pp $86 base $52 +0.5pp $17 +1.0pp $-18

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12181 Felch St Holland, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 890 $2,225 $2.50 4d 2 1.04mi
12340 Quincy St Holland, MI 3.0 1.0–2.0 940 $2,283 $2.43 4d 29 1.20mi
11978 Zephyr Dr Holland, MI 2.0 2.0 1188 $1,875 $1.58 4d 1 1.25mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$750 · $9,000/yr

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-02
    status Pending 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home in the desirable Waverly Shores community! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style manufactured home sits on a spaciouscorner lot, offering added privacy and extra outdoor space. Inside, you?ll find an open-concept layout designed for comfort and functionality. The beautifulkitchen features plenty of cabinet space, perfect for cooking and entertaining. Natural light fills the inviting living area, and a dedicated laundry room addseveryday convenience.

  2. 2026-04-02
    status Pending 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home in the desirable Waverly Shores community! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style manufactured home sits on a spaciouscorner lot, offering added privacy and extra outdoor space. Inside, you?ll find an open-concept layout designed for comfort and functionality. The beautifulkitchen features plenty of cabinet space, perfect for cooking and entertaining. Natural light fills the inviting living area, and a dedicated laundry room addseveryday convenience.

  3. 2026-04-02
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home in the desirable Waverly Shores community! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style manufactured home sits on a spaciouscorner lot, offering added privacy and extra outdoor space. Inside, you?ll find an open-concept layout designed for comfort and functionality. The beautifulkitchen features plenty of cabinet space, perfect for cooking and entertaining. Natural light fills the inviting living area, and a dedicated laundry room addseveryday convenience.

  4. 2026-03-17
    listed $135,000 Active 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home in the desirable Waverly Shores community! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style manufactured home sits on a spaciouscorner lot, offering added privacy and extra outdoor space. Inside, you?ll find an open-concept layout designed for comfort and functionality. The beautifulkitchen features plenty of cabinet space, perfect for cooking and entertaining. Natural light fills the inviting living area, and a dedicated laundry room addseveryday convenience.

  5. 2026-03-17
    listed $135,000 Active 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home in the desirable Waverly Shores community! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style manufactured home sits on a spaciouscorner lot, offering added privacy and extra outdoor space. Inside, you?ll find an open-concept layout designed for comfort and functionality. The beautifulkitchen features plenty of cabinet space, perfect for cooking and entertaining. Natural light fills the inviting living area, and a dedicated laundry room addseveryday convenience.

  6. 2026-03-17
    listed $135,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home in the desirable Waverly Shores community! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style manufactured home sits on a spaciouscorner lot, offering added privacy and extra outdoor space. Inside, you?ll find an open-concept layout designed for comfort and functionality. The beautifulkitchen features plenty of cabinet space, perfect for cooking and entertaining. Natural light fills the inviting living area, and a dedicated laundry room addseveryday convenience.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,355
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,108
− Management
−$2,108
− HOA
−$9,000
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$1,051
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$252
After-tax cash flow
$877/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home in Waverly Shores is in good condition with a good ROI potential for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and overall appearance

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and overall appearance

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Ottawa Public School District
NCES district ID
2635910
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$58,127
Composite
38.94/100
National rank
#4087
State rank
#140 of 540 in MI

Livability — Holland

Score
82/100
State rank
#46
US rank
#1066

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Ottawa County · 144,142 people
City population
96,870
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
Population (ZIP)
49,810
Household income
$85,478
Rent vs Own
23.8% rent · 76.2% own
Severe rent burden
864.0

Population outlook (Ottawa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
313,561 people
By 2030
330,027 · +5.3%
By 2040
361,118 · +15.2%
By 2050
388,414 · +23.9%
By 2075
452,175 · +44.2%
By 2100
473,041 · +50.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 10% Asian 6% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 22% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ottawa

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.0% · R 59.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
+3.4pp toward D · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -20.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.4 2020: R+21.5 2016: R+30.4 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+23.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -240.90%
Current HPI
252.5142
Rent YoY
▲ 5.08%
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-02 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $135,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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