27828 N Black Butte Rd · Surprise, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.6/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.4/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
$330,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1.08-acre property • Single-level 4 bed / 3 bath • No HOA area and owned solar. Manufactured home on 1.08 acres in Wittmann with 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, and 2,017 sq ft. Single-level layout with open living area, spacious kitchen, and split-bedroom design. Primary suite includes private bath. Large lot offers space for RV parking, additional structures, or outdoor use. Desert setting with mountain and open sky views. Located near US-60/Grand Ave for access to Surprise retail, dining, and services. Approx. 20 to 25 miles to Lake Pleasant Regional Park and 10 to 15 miles to Hassayampa River Preserve. Acre property with flexible use.
Key facts
- Rv parking
- Large lot
- No hoa area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $330k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-163 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $301k (8.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (31.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $225k (31.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.3% in Surprise — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#19 in AZ, #4,616 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities D-, commute F.
- Nadaburg Unified School District (4252) (rural): math 30% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #90 of 249 in AZ (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 373 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$57k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $180k; list at $330k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.12%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $336,805
- List price
- $330,000
- Delta
- -2.02%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21132 W Dale Ln | 0.74mi | 4/3.0 | 2,026 (+0%) | 5mo | $325,000 | $160 | 60 |
| 26832 N 204th Pl | 0.71mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,052 (+2%) | 0mo | $424,000 | $207 | 58 |
| 20802 W Beacon Ct | 0.54mi | 4/3.0 | 2,280 (+13%) | 1mo | $295,000 | $129 | 52 |
| 27208 N 204th Pl | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,029 (+1%) | 16mo | $310,000 | $153 | 51 |
| 21006 N Big Horn Mountain Rd | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,269 (+12%) | 18mo | $370,000 | $163 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.83×
- Total profit
- $169,160
- Equity at exit
- $297,290
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.48×
- Total profit
- $505,973
- Equity at exit
- $641,117
Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85361
- Home prices YoY
- 19.4%
- Active inventory
- 373
- Price-to-rent
- 12.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,731
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $871/yr
- Insurance
- −$138
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$472
- Net cashflow
- $-163
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,500
- Closing costs
- $9,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29319 N 203rd Ave Wittmann, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $2,250 | $1.07 | 1d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $330,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $330,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $330,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $330,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $330,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $330,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $330,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $330,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $335,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $335,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $335,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $340,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $340,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $340,000 651-char remark
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
1.08-acre property • Single-level 4 bed / 3 bath • No HOA area and owned solar. Manufactured home on 1.08 acres in Wittmann with 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, and 2,017 sq ft. Single-level layout with open living area, spacious kitchen, and split-bedroom design. Primary suite includes private bath. Large lot offers space for RV parking, additional structures, or outdoor use. Desert setting with mountain and open sky views. Located near US-60/Grand Ave for access to Surprise retail, dining, and services. Approx. 20 to 25 miles to Lake Pleasant Regional Park and 10 to 15 miles to Hassayampa River Preserve. Acre property with flexible use.
-
2026-03-31$345,000 Active 651-char remark
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
1.08-acre property • Single-level 4 bed / 3 bath • No HOA area and owned solar. Manufactured home on 1.08 acres in Wittmann with 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, and 2,017 sq ft. Single-level layout with open living area, spacious kitchen, and split-bedroom design. Primary suite includes private bath. Large lot offers space for RV parking, additional structures, or outdoor use. Desert setting with mountain and open sky views. Located near US-60/Grand Ave for access to Surprise retail, dining, and services. Approx. 20 to 25 miles to Lake Pleasant Regional Park and 10 to 15 miles to Hassayampa River Preserve. Acre property with flexible use.
-
2018-08-15soldstatus $180,000 Closed 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
BACK ON MARKET! BUYER FAILED TO PERFORM. Attn: Horse Lovers, RVers & Front Porch Sitters, Possible Multi-Generational Home! Lovely home on quiet street in Wittmann. 4 Bedrooms, 3 Bathrooms, Formal Living Room, Family Room, Formal Dining Room, Breakfast Room, Front Porch, Horses Welcome, Water Company, NO HOA! This impeccably maintained home with wrap-around porch is a dream! Large kitchen with tons of storage and counter-tops and an island. Gracious master suite with separate tub and shower. Split floorplan. 3 other good-sized bedrooms. Separate family room that could be used for kids, multi-gen, etc. Custom Wrap-Around Porch. Shaded Carport. Completely Fenced. Workshop. This special home is move-in ready.
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2018-08-15soldstatus $180,000
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
BACK ON MARKET! BUYER FAILED TO PERFORM. Attn: Horse Lovers, RVers & Front Porch Sitters, Possible Multi-Generational Home! Lovely home on quiet street in Wittmann. 4 Bedrooms, 3 Bathrooms, Formal Living Room, Family Room, Formal Dining Room, Breakfast Room, Front Porch, Horses Welcome, Water Company, NO HOA! This impeccably maintained home with wrap-around porch is a dream! Large kitchen with tons of storage and counter-tops and an island. Gracious master suite with separate tub and shower. Split floorplan. 3 other good-sized bedrooms. Separate family room that could be used for kids, multi-gen, etc. Custom Wrap-Around Porch. Shaded Carport. Completely Fenced. Workshop. This special home is move-in ready.
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2018-07-13status Pending 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
BACK ON MARKET! BUYER FAILED TO PERFORM. Attn: Horse Lovers, RVers & Front Porch Sitters, Possible Multi-Generational Home! Lovely home on quiet street in Wittmann. 4 Bedrooms, 3 Bathrooms, Formal Living Room, Family Room, Formal Dining Room, Breakfast Room, Front Porch, Horses Welcome, Water Company, NO HOA! This impeccably maintained home with wrap-around porch is a dream! Large kitchen with tons of storage and counter-tops and an island. Gracious master suite with separate tub and shower. Split floorplan. 3 other good-sized bedrooms. Separate family room that could be used for kids, multi-gen, etc. Custom Wrap-Around Porch. Shaded Carport. Completely Fenced. Workshop. This special home is move-in ready.
-
2018-07-01status Active 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
BACK ON MARKET! BUYER FAILED TO PERFORM. Attn: Horse Lovers, RVers & Front Porch Sitters, Possible Multi-Generational Home! Lovely home on quiet street in Wittmann. 4 Bedrooms, 3 Bathrooms, Formal Living Room, Family Room, Formal Dining Room, Breakfast Room, Front Porch, Horses Welcome, Water Company, NO HOA! This impeccably maintained home with wrap-around porch is a dream! Large kitchen with tons of storage and counter-tops and an island. Gracious master suite with separate tub and shower. Split floorplan. 3 other good-sized bedrooms. Separate family room that could be used for kids, multi-gen, etc. Custom Wrap-Around Porch. Shaded Carport. Completely Fenced. Workshop. This special home is move-in ready.
-
2018-06-21status Pending 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
BACK ON MARKET! BUYER FAILED TO PERFORM. Attn: Horse Lovers, RVers & Front Porch Sitters, Possible Multi-Generational Home! Lovely home on quiet street in Wittmann. 4 Bedrooms, 3 Bathrooms, Formal Living Room, Family Room, Formal Dining Room, Breakfast Room, Front Porch, Horses Welcome, Water Company, NO HOA! This impeccably maintained home with wrap-around porch is a dream! Large kitchen with tons of storage and counter-tops and an island. Gracious master suite with separate tub and shower. Split floorplan. 3 other good-sized bedrooms. Separate family room that could be used for kids, multi-gen, etc. Custom Wrap-Around Porch. Shaded Carport. Completely Fenced. Workshop. This special home is move-in ready.
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2018-05-04historical Contract Contingent on Buyer Sale 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
BACK ON MARKET! BUYER FAILED TO PERFORM. Attn: Horse Lovers, RVers & Front Porch Sitters, Possible Multi-Generational Home! Lovely home on quiet street in Wittmann. 4 Bedrooms, 3 Bathrooms, Formal Living Room, Family Room, Formal Dining Room, Breakfast Room, Front Porch, Horses Welcome, Water Company, NO HOA! This impeccably maintained home with wrap-around porch is a dream! Large kitchen with tons of storage and counter-tops and an island. Gracious master suite with separate tub and shower. Split floorplan. 3 other good-sized bedrooms. Separate family room that could be used for kids, multi-gen, etc. Custom Wrap-Around Porch. Shaded Carport. Completely Fenced. Workshop. This special home is move-in ready.
-
2018-04-30status Active 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
BACK ON MARKET! BUYER FAILED TO PERFORM. Attn: Horse Lovers, RVers & Front Porch Sitters, Possible Multi-Generational Home! Lovely home on quiet street in Wittmann. 4 Bedrooms, 3 Bathrooms, Formal Living Room, Family Room, Formal Dining Room, Breakfast Room, Front Porch, Horses Welcome, Water Company, NO HOA! This impeccably maintained home with wrap-around porch is a dream! Large kitchen with tons of storage and counter-tops and an island. Gracious master suite with separate tub and shower. Split floorplan. 3 other good-sized bedrooms. Separate family room that could be used for kids, multi-gen, etc. Custom Wrap-Around Porch. Shaded Carport. Completely Fenced. Workshop. This special home is move-in ready.
-
2018-04-21status Pending 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
BACK ON MARKET! BUYER FAILED TO PERFORM. Attn: Horse Lovers, RVers & Front Porch Sitters, Possible Multi-Generational Home! Lovely home on quiet street in Wittmann. 4 Bedrooms, 3 Bathrooms, Formal Living Room, Family Room, Formal Dining Room, Breakfast Room, Front Porch, Horses Welcome, Water Company, NO HOA! This impeccably maintained home with wrap-around porch is a dream! Large kitchen with tons of storage and counter-tops and an island. Gracious master suite with separate tub and shower. Split floorplan. 3 other good-sized bedrooms. Separate family room that could be used for kids, multi-gen, etc. Custom Wrap-Around Porch. Shaded Carport. Completely Fenced. Workshop. This special home is move-in ready.
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2018-04-11price $180,000 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
BACK ON MARKET! BUYER FAILED TO PERFORM. Attn: Horse Lovers, RVers & Front Porch Sitters, Possible Multi-Generational Home! Lovely home on quiet street in Wittmann. 4 Bedrooms, 3 Bathrooms, Formal Living Room, Family Room, Formal Dining Room, Breakfast Room, Front Porch, Horses Welcome, Water Company, NO HOA! This impeccably maintained home with wrap-around porch is a dream! Large kitchen with tons of storage and counter-tops and an island. Gracious master suite with separate tub and shower. Split floorplan. 3 other good-sized bedrooms. Separate family room that could be used for kids, multi-gen, etc. Custom Wrap-Around Porch. Shaded Carport. Completely Fenced. Workshop. This special home is move-in ready.
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2018-04-09status Active 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
BACK ON MARKET! BUYER FAILED TO PERFORM. Attn: Horse Lovers, RVers & Front Porch Sitters, Possible Multi-Generational Home! Lovely home on quiet street in Wittmann. 4 Bedrooms, 3 Bathrooms, Formal Living Room, Family Room, Formal Dining Room, Breakfast Room, Front Porch, Horses Welcome, Water Company, NO HOA! This impeccably maintained home with wrap-around porch is a dream! Large kitchen with tons of storage and counter-tops and an island. Gracious master suite with separate tub and shower. Split floorplan. 3 other good-sized bedrooms. Separate family room that could be used for kids, multi-gen, etc. Custom Wrap-Around Porch. Shaded Carport. Completely Fenced. Workshop. This special home is move-in ready.
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2018-03-30status Pending 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
BACK ON MARKET! BUYER FAILED TO PERFORM. Attn: Horse Lovers, RVers & Front Porch Sitters, Possible Multi-Generational Home! Lovely home on quiet street in Wittmann. 4 Bedrooms, 3 Bathrooms, Formal Living Room, Family Room, Formal Dining Room, Breakfast Room, Front Porch, Horses Welcome, Water Company, NO HOA! This impeccably maintained home with wrap-around porch is a dream! Large kitchen with tons of storage and counter-tops and an island. Gracious master suite with separate tub and shower. Split floorplan. 3 other good-sized bedrooms. Separate family room that could be used for kids, multi-gen, etc. Custom Wrap-Around Porch. Shaded Carport. Completely Fenced. Workshop. This special home is move-in ready.
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2018-03-02$195,000 Active 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
BACK ON MARKET! BUYER FAILED TO PERFORM. Attn: Horse Lovers, RVers & Front Porch Sitters, Possible Multi-Generational Home! Lovely home on quiet street in Wittmann. 4 Bedrooms, 3 Bathrooms, Formal Living Room, Family Room, Formal Dining Room, Breakfast Room, Front Porch, Horses Welcome, Water Company, NO HOA! This impeccably maintained home with wrap-around porch is a dream! Large kitchen with tons of storage and counter-tops and an island. Gracious master suite with separate tub and shower. Split floorplan. 3 other good-sized bedrooms. Separate family room that could be used for kids, multi-gen, etc. Custom Wrap-Around Porch. Shaded Carport. Completely Fenced. Workshop. This special home is move-in ready.
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2006-12-12historical
-
2006-06-13$225,000
-
1991-03-15soldstatus $18,213
-
1990-05-14soldstatus $30,374
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1988-09-27soldstatus $19,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $871 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,178 · $182/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,307/yr (+$109/mo · 150.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,485
- − Property taxes
- −$871
- − Insurance
- −$1,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,160
- − Management
- −$2,160
- − Depreciation
- −$9,600
- Taxable loss
- −$7,926
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,902
- After-tax cash flow
- $-56/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nadaburg Unified School District (4252)
- NCES district ID
- 0405460
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,864
- Composite
- 29.74/100
- National rank
- #6443
- State rank
- #90 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Surprise
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #4616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 160,031
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,107
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 17% Native American 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 27% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 77.69%
- Current HPI
- 479.0154
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
+1608.5% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $340,000 ARMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $345,000 ARMLS
- 2018-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
- 2018-08-15 Sold (MLS) $180,000 ARMLS
- 2018-07-13 Pending — ARMLS
- 2018-07-01 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2018-06-21 Pending — ARMLS
- 2018-05-04 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2018-04-30 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2018-04-21 Pending — ARMLS
- 2018-04-11 Price Changed $180,000 ARMLS
- 2018-04-09 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2018-03-30 Pending — ARMLS
- 2018-03-02 Listed $195,000 ARMLS
- 2006-12-12 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2006-06-13 Listed $225,000 ARMLS
- 1991-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $18,213 Public Records
- 1990-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $30,374 Public Records
- 1988-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $19,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $871 · -11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…